Free NBA Pick: Celtics vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Celtics taking on the Heat on Saturday, May 27th, 2023 at the Kaseya Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Celtics Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
(2-3) Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat (3-2)
Date: Saturday, May 27th
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Celtics -147 | Heat +127 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Celtics -2.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 210.5
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The Eastern Conference Finals between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat has reached Game 6. Boston extended the series with a second consecutive must-win taking the Thursday match 110-97.
At this time, the Celtics are 53-44-1 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 25-22-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 42-53-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 20-27-2 ATS as the home team.
The teams split the regular season series 2-2 with Boston winning the first two meetings on October 21st (111-104) and November 30th (134-121) while the Heat took the latter two contests on December 2nd (120-116 in overtime) and January 24th (98-95).
This is the sixth time the clubs are facing each other in the postseason with Miami ahead 3-2 all-time. It’s the third time in the last four seasons the teams have met in the Conference Finals with the Celtics winning last season 4-3.
It took having their backs against the wall for the Celtics to show up in the Eastern Conference Finals and they answered the call winning the last two elimination games (they’re fourth in this playoffs).
Most teams play better offensively when they are excelling on the defensive end creating turnovers but the Celtics are the reverse. When they are hitting 3-pointers their defense takes a palpable step up.
As for the perimeter shooting, when Boston shoots 40 percent or better they are 38-2, and in the playoffs are 9-1. In contrast, the Celtics were 19-23 this season and 1-7 in the playoffs when they shoot under 40 percent.
On the positive side, Boston claims the fourth-best point production averaging 117.9 points per game. In terms of efficiency, they shoot 47.5% from the field and 37.6% from the perimeter ranking 15th and sixth respectively.
Presently, opponents average 111.4 points per game which rank fifth. Celtics opponents are limited to 46.3% from the field and 34.5% from the perimeter ranking fifth and fourth respectively.
To summarize the injury report…
- Malcolm Brogdon PG (questionable —forearm)
- Danilo Gallinari, SF (OUT indefinitely — ACL)
While the current narrative is how Jimmy Butler had his lowest scoring output (14) and Bam Adebayo succumbed repeatedly to pressure by turning over the ball in Game 5 there are other factors.
First, not having Gabe Vincent had a palpable effect but the reality is Erik Spoelstra shut down his starters early recognizing the game was out of hand, and wanted to save his squad’s legs.
Butler has guaranteed a win while it’s also clear Spoelstra will be combing over the film seeking answers for how his team adapts to the switching defense the Celtics used.
Gabe Vincent is listed as questionable and although he’s not on the injury report you have to wonder how Caleb Martin’s leg is after hyperextending it in Game 5.
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
To summarize the injury report…
- Gabe Vincent PG (questionable — ankle)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— knee)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
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Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Miami.
- Also, the Celtics are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road.
- By comparison, the Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Free Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
The magic number for this game is FIVE – that’s because the Heat are 4-0 in series when they lead 3-2 and the Celtics are 4-0 in elimination games this season. Only one of those streaks can stay alive.
Miami will approach this like their Game 7 even though the Celtics haven’t been great at home it’s not a fate they want to test.
Although some have shifted into believing the Celtics can be the first team to overcome an 0-3 start to win the series the 0-150 record of prior teams in this position speaks volumes.
4* Free Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Heat +2.5
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