Free NBA Pick: Hawks vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Hawks taking on the Heat on Tuesday, April 11th, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Hawks Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
(41-41) Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
Date: Tuesday, April 11th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Hawks +175| Heat -198 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 226.5
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The NBA Play-In Tournament tips off with the Eastern Conference seventh and eighth seeds as the Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks. The winner cements their berth into the playoffs as the seventh seed and will face the Boston Celtics in the first round.
The loser will get a second shot at making the postseason hosting the winner of the Raptors and Bulls to claim the eighth and final playoff berth moving on to face the Bucks.
ATS
At this time, the Hawks are 36-45-1 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 18-23 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 30-49-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 14-25-2 ATS as the home team.
Season Series
Miami won the season series 3-1 with victories on November 27th (106-98), March 4th (117-109), and March 6th (130-128) while Atlanta won on January 16th (121-113).
Overall, in history, the Heat holds the all-time record having bested the Hawks in 76 of their 134 matches. The teams have met three times in the postseason all in the first round with the Hawks prevailing in 1994 (3-2) and 2009 (4-3) while the Heat won the most recent series (4-1) in 2022.
Atlanta Hawks
Two years ago the Hawks reached the conference finals with cornerstone Trae Young stepping into the spotlight. Last season, the team struggled to replicate its 2021 success.
That led to the front office investing in Dejounte Murray with a view to taking the next step. We can debate how losing Kevin Huerter was a bad decision but there are more compelling questions that arose over the course of the season.
Clearly, the thinking was Murray offered another playmaker that could capitalize on dishing to the Hawks’ 3-point snipers and more importantly a defender to deal with guards that were blazing past Young and exposing the Hawks late in games.
Best-laid plans don’t always meet expectations as Atlanta ranked 18th in assists, 21st in 3-point shooting, and 22nd in defensive rating. Atlanta’s strength lies in the mid-range where they rank first in attempts and makes.
Stats
Atlanta ranks third in scoring, averaging 118.4 points per game while they shoot 48.3%, from the field and 35.2% from the perimeter ranking ninth and 21st respectively.
On defense, opponents score 118.1 points ranking 26th while foes register 48.6% field goal percentage and 35.6% perimeter percentage ranking 25th and 10th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Donovan Williams (OUT—G League)
- Trent Forrest (OUT—G League)
Miami Heat
After finishing atop the Eastern Conference last season the Heat battled injuries all season and failed to replicate their offense with the perimeter shooting taking a nosedive specifically.
While Miami has struggled to score none of the top teams are anxious to face playoff Jimmy Butler who can take over a series and put the team on his back.
Moreover, the Hawks’ offensive strength of scoring in the mid-range will be countered by the Heat’s defensive strength of defending the mid-range as they allow the fewest attempts and makes.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kyle Lowry (questionable —knee)
- Max Strus (probable—finger)
- Nikola Jovic (OUT— back)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA picks!
Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
- Also, the Hawks are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Miami.
- By comparison, the Heat are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games when hosting Atlanta.
Free Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
This matchup features the seventh-ranked Hawks offense facing the ninth-ranked Heat defense with each team’s weakness being on the opposing end of the hardwood.
The paint will be the key area of the court to keep an eye on as the Hawks score the seventh most points in the paint but the Heat allows the second-fewest paint points. Moreover, Atlanta allows the second most paint points so expect a steady died of Buter and Bam Adebayo attacking the rim.
In a single elimination game, one player can be the difference and Jimmy Buckets lives for this time of year which is why I’m taking the Heat to win and cover.
4* Free Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Heat ATS
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