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Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Blue Jays taking on the Phillies on Wednesday, September 21, 2022 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Blue Jays Phillies free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(83-64) Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (80-66)
Date: Wednesday, September 21, 2022
Time: 6:45 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Projected Pitchers: Gausman (TOR), Wheeler (PHI)
MLB Money Line Odds: Blue Jays -105 Phillies -115
MLB run line Betting Odds: Blue Jays (-1.5) +170, Phillies (+1.5) -200
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.0 (under -115)
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto has been hot in September. It has lost just five times, including on Sunday when it dropped a one-run game to Baltimore, which avoided a sweep at Rogers Centre.
The Orioles were down 3–1 after seven but got one in the eighth and three in the ninth to win, 5–4.
Adam Cimber and Jordan Romano have been solid all season at the back end of the bullpen but they were the victims in the eighth and ninth innings, respectively.
Even with the loss, Toronto enters Tuesday’s opener in Philly atop the American League Wild Card, a game ahead of Tampa and a game-and-a-half ahead of Seattle.
The top two seeds in the Wild Card host all three games (if necessary) of the first round.
Toronto has the same number of losses at home as it does on the road and but actually three more wins.
That makes its run differential that much more difficult to figure out.
Despite playing three more games at home and having a slightly better record, Toronto has scored 34 more runs away and allowed some 57 fewer.
It has a -11 run differential at home and a +80 on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia, meanwhile, occupies the third Wild Card spot in the National League ahead of Tuesday’s game.
It’s just half a game behind San Diego but still not clear of Milwaukee, which trails by 2.5 games.
The Phillies have had some epic collapses in their history so the current four-game losing streak might drum up a little extra panic than it would among other fanbases.
It started when Philadelphia failed to sweep Miami last week and carried into its series in Atlanta, which the Braves swept three in a row.
If Kyle Gibson can’t stop the bleeding on Tuesday, it will be up to Zack Wheeler in this game on Wednesday.
Wheeler was having another terrific season before he had to shut it down due to arm soreness on August 20.
He missed five starts but is slated to return for this one. He’ll be on a pitch count with Noah Syndergaard ready to piggyback out of the bullpen.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games.
- Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Head to Head: Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Head to Head: Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia.
- Head to Head: Blue Jays are 24-9 in the last 33 meetings.
- Head to Head: Blue Jays are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Philadelphia.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
The Blue Jays will prove a tough lineup for Wheeler to make his return against.
There’s certainly a strong possibility the Phillies’ starter won’t be sharp out of the gates.
Even if he is, he won’t be in the game long enough to match Kevin Gausman, who gets six innings most times out.
But Gausman has been uneven of late. He’s got some good starts mixed in with some not so good ones but he’s not longer the model of consistency he was early in the season and last year with the Giants.
So play this one over a total that feels too low in a hitter-friendly ballpark.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Odds aren’t yet available but a final score prediction is below.
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