Free MLB Pick: Rays vs. Royals Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Rays taking on the Royals on Thursday, July 4th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Rays Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals
(43-43) Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals (48-40)
Date: Thursday, July 4th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Alec Marsh
MLB Moneyline Odds: Rays -131 | Royals +111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Rays -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Rays vs. Royals Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Kansas City, MO, the Royals are set to host the Rays at Kauffman Stadium. The pitching matchup for this AL showdown features Zach Eflin for the Rays against Alec Marsh for the Royals. The Rays come into this one at 43-43, while the Royals are 48-40 on the year.
Looking at the odds, the Rays are currently favored on the road, with a money line payout of -131 compared to the Royals at +111. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -118 compared to the under at -103.
Thanks to a two-run 7th inning for the Royals’ offense, they picked up a 4-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at -106 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Ryan Pepiot for the Rays, and he went just four innings while giving up two runs and took the loss. Michael Wacha put together a good outing for the Royals, getting the win after going six innings and giving up one earned run.
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Kansas City got a big performance from Bobby Witt Jr., as he went 2/3 with a home run and two RBIs. Vinnie Pasquantino also had two hits and drove in a run for the Royals’ offense.
Tampa Bay is at an even 43-43 overall as they are 12 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional games. The Rays are on the road today, and they are 20-18 on the road compared to 23-25 at home.
The Rays have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 14-11-2 this year. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 25-23 and 18-20 as the underdog. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games and are currently tied with the Royals in their series.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Rays’ over/under record for the season is 42-40, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. The under has hit in their last three games.
Rays Gambling
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.5 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of -0.6 runs per game, and their run line record is 39-47. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 23-15 compared to 16-32 at home.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which ranks 25th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly poor, scoring just 3.8 runs per game at home, which is 28th in the league. Their overall batting numbers are below average, with a .235 team batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Their top hitters for the season include Isaac Paredes, who is hitting .276 with 14 home runs and 46 RBIs, and Yandy Díaz, who is hitting .267 with 7 home runs and 40 RBIs. Paredes has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .269 with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs over his last 7 games. Randy Arozarena is currently on a 5-game hitting streak, while Paredes is on a 3-game streak.
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Kansas City is 48-40 overall and trails the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. The Royals are 16-10 against other teams in the division. The Royals are at home today, where they are 31-17 this season. They have gone 17-23 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 24-13, and they are 24-27 as the underdog.
The Royals have won two straight series, and their overall series record is 13-13-1 this year. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games and are 1-1 in their series vs. the Rays.
When the Kansas City Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-49 overall. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-17. This season, 25.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the over/under line in three straight contests.
Royals Gambling
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 50-38, and they are 29-19 against the run line at home. They are 21-19 against the run line on the road, and their average run margin at home is 1.1 runs per game.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong at home, where they average 5.1 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. The Royals have been getting good production from Bobby Witt Jr., who is hitting .314 this season with 13 home runs and 56 RBI. Salvador Perez is also having a good season, hitting .278 with 14 home runs and 54 RBI. Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot lately, hitting .407 over his last 7 games. Witt Jr. is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Rays Royals Pitching
Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Zach Eflin to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 4-5 with a 3.92 ERA. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Nationals. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Eflin has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.11 strikeouts per nine innings.
Right-hander Alec Marsh is getting the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Rays. This year, he has made 15 starts and has a record of 6-5 to go along with an ERA of 4.19. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Marsh picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-1 and 3.50 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 6.31 ERA on the road.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Rays head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Rays they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Rays are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Rays vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +111. We have the Royals winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout for a Royals win at +111, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zach Eflin’s chances of picking up a win ranked seventh among starters, but we have Alec Marsh’s chances of getting a win as the fourth worst. Marsh does have a solid projected strikeout total of seven, and you could look to take his over on his strikeout line.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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