Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Athletics Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Athletics on Thursday, September 22nd at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Athletics free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(81-66) Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics (54-94)
Date: Thursday, September 22
Time: 3:37 PM ET
Venue: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA.
Listed Starters: Kirby (SEA), Martinez (OAK)
MLB Moneyline Odds: SEA -230 | OAK +200
MLB run line Betting Odds: SEA -130 | Athletics +114 (FanDuel)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.0 (O/U -125/+105)
Seattle Mariners
Seattle lost the first game of its final series in Oakland this season, 4–1, on Tuesday.
The Mariners lost ground on Toronto for home-field advantage in the Wild Card round of the playoffs set for the second week of October but Baltimore and Chicago both lost too.
That means Seattle remained with its healthy lead over the last two playoff hopefuls in the American League.
The series resumes on Wednesday and concludes in this spot on Thursday.
From there, the Mariners go to Kansas City and then finish up with a long homestand against Texas, Oakland, and Detroit.
Only a total collapse against a bunch of the worst teams in the league or a near perfect finish from either Chicago or Baltimore will stop the Mariners from playing in the postseason.
Luis Castillo will be the ace of the staff and then Manager Scott Servais will have decisions to make.
He could go with a veteran like Robbie Ray or Marco Gonzales or turn to one of his two young arms that have pitched so well this season: Logan Gilbert or Thursday’s starter George Kirby.
Kirby is a year younger and didn’t start this season in the big leagues but he was up in early May and he’s been in the rotation ever since.
He was on a five-game winning streak until he lost a 2–1 game to Shohei Ohtani over the weekend. Kirby gave up four hits in that one, striking out eight and walking just one.
The A’s haven’t been a problem for him the last two times he’s faced them. Kirby allowed one run in 13 innings over those two starts.
A final feather in Kirby’s cap: since allowing four homers in his final start of June, he hasn’t given one up. That’s a run of 12 starts and nearly 65 innings.
Oakland Athletics
Oakland hasn’t won two in a row since it beat the Yankees on August 27 and 28. It will attempt to do that on Wednesday against Robbie Ray.
Then the offense is going to run the gauntlet with Kirby going in the finale of this series and Chris Bassitt, Jacob DeGrom, and Max Scherzer already scheduled to throw for the Mets when they come to town over the weekend.
The A’s best chance to win this game is to keep it close and steal it away at the end.
It means Adrian Martinez, Oakland’s starting pitcher, will have to be good.
He’s done it before in this his first big league season, like when he threw six shutout innings in Baltimore, or gave up three hits and one run in 5.1 innings vs the Yankees.
He gave up 14 hits in a single start this month against the White Sox and lost a second in a row the last time out against Houston.
The low total in this one suggests Vegas believes Martinez could have some stuff in this game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
- Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Athletics last 7 home games.
- Head to Head: Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
- Head to Head: Mariners are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Oakland.
- Head to Head: Mariners are 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Prediction:
I can’t really see Seattle losing this game but -230 is too expensive on the moneyline anyway.
Playing the runline isn’t so appealing either with the distinct possibility Seattle struggles to score runs, though it did score seven against Martinez in a game back in June.
An even bigger line is the way to go. Play for Seattle to put some runs on the board and for Kirby to pitch well and make it a comfortable victory.
An adjusted line -3.5 or above is where I am looking.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Seattle -1.5
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