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Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB playoff predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Phillies on Friday, October 21, 2022 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball playoff matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Phillies free National League Championship Series pick.
2022 MLB Playoff Handicapping
(1-1) San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-1)
Date: Friday, October 21st, 2022
Time: 7:37 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA.
Projected Pitchers: Suarez (PHI), Musgrove (SD)
MLB Moneyline Odds: PK
MLB run line Betting Odds: SD +155, PHI -180
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5 (under -115)
San Diego Padres
A nightmare top of the second inning had the Padres staring down an 0–2 deficit in the NLCS before they staged a comeback to win, 8–5, at Petco Park and even the series before going to Philadelphia.
Brandon Drury and Josh Bell each homered in the bottom of the second to get the Padres back to within two runs after allowing four in the top of the inning.
Then five runs in the fifth put San Diego ahead for good. Juan Soto had an RBI hit to tie the game and Drury put the Pads ahead with a two-RBI single.
Such a comeback would not have been possible had Blake Snell caved after some terrible luck in that second inning, in which the Phillies scored four on a combination of bloops and a fly ball Soto lost in the sun.
Snell cruised through the next three innings, however, and Nick Martinez got the next six outs. Josh Hader struck out the side in the ninth for yet another save.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies look vulnerable now.
Not only did they squander a golden opportunity to go back home up 2–0 in the series. Their thin pitching staff has been exposed with a long way yet to go in this series.
That is, if Philadelphia can hang on and win a couple more games to extend this series. There are no more days off.
Ranger Suarez must not only pitch well in this game but in one more, most likely. That will be a tall order for this young left-hander, though he has pitched well so far.
He has only had to start one game so far: Game 1 against the Braves. He struggled with command but only gave up one run in 3.1 innings.
The thing is, the Padres have now hit Aaron Nola and seen most of the Philadelphia bullpen. They are on the verge of wearing out Philly’s pitching staff, while there’s remains mostly intact.
Joe Musgrove has been a third ace for San Diego in the postseason and he eliminated the Mets on the road earlier this month already.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Padres last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Head to Head: Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Playoff Prediction:
San Diego is going to win this game. It is the more complete and deeper ball club and it will show that in Philadelphia.
Suarez will be rested and could very well be effective for much of his start. The Padres will be patient and make him work because they know he will have to pitch again in this series.
Suarez doesn’t exactly pour in strikes, which means he won’t get deep into this game. Philly’s bullpen didn’t scare San Diego in Game 2 and it should only get worse in that regard for the Phillies as this series goes on.
The Phillies pretty much have to win in exactly one way: strong starting pitching and solo home runs. That’s what happened in Game 1 but it will be difficult to win two or three more times that way.
4* Free MLB Playoffs Betting Pick: San Diego (-1.5) +155
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