Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Royals Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Royals on Friday, May 31st, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Royals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals
(30-29) San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals (35-23)
Date: Friday, May 31st
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Michael Wacha
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres -131 | Royals +111 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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At 8:10 PM ET in Kansas City, the Royals are set to host the Padres at Kauffman Stadium. The weather forecast calls for light rain and a temperature of 69 degrees. The Padres are slight favorites in this interleague matchup, with a money line payout of -131 compared to the Royals’ +111.
On the mound for the Padres is Dylan Cease, while the Royals will counter with Michael Wacha. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -109 compared to the under at -111.
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 30-29 overall and is 3rd in the NL West, 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres will be on the road today to take on the Royals, and they are 2 games above .500 on the road, compared to 13-19 at home. The Padres have gone 12-13 against other teams in the NL West this year.
As the road team, the Padres have won two straight, and they are 7-4 this year as the road favorite. San Diego has an overall series record of 11-7-2 this year, and they have won four straight series on the road. Their series win over the Marlins was just the second time in their last five series that they have won.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 9-1 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite at -184 going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Marlins scored two in the 2nd and added another three in the 3rd. The Padres’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd and finished with eight hits.
Yu Darvish had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted three innings, taking the loss. The Padres’s offense was carried by Ha-Seong Kim, who went 1/3 with a homer.
Padres Gambling
The Padres have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 30-28, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 4-6-1. Overall, 40.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
San Diego has been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 31-28 overall and 21-6 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of +1.6 runs per game on the road this season.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they are 3rd in the league with 5.1 runs per game. The Padres have a good team batting average of .255, which is 4th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .321 ranks 6th. They have been getting on base at a good clip, but their ISO of .133 is 18th in the league. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the team’s top hitters this season, with Profar leading the team in RBI with 35 and Cronenworth hitting .261. Luis Arraez has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .421 over his last 9 games.
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Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 35-23 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL Central, three games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals lost three of four in their most recent series vs. the Twins. So far, they have gone 12-8 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Royals are 21-8 this year, and they have gone 14-15 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 18-7 this year, and they are 17-16 as the underdog. Kansas City has won seven straight games at home, and they are 9-5 as the home underdog this year. The team’s overall series record is 10-8, and they are coming off a series win over the Pirates.
Led by a big game by Vinnie Pasquantino at the plate, the Royals are coming off a game in which they scored six runs on seven hits. Pasquantino went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Royals really got things going with a two-run 1st inning but couldnjson’t hold the lead, and the Twins scored seven times in the 6th to pick up the win. Kansas City was the +136 underdog going into this road game.
Daniel Lynch started for the Royals, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Royals’s bullpen allowed another seven runs in the 6th to close things out.
Royals Gambling
Today’s over/under line for the Kansas City Royals’ game against the San Diego Padres is set at 8 runs. The Royals have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 24-32. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-4-1. So far this season, 56.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
When betting the run line, the Royals have been a solid play this season, going 38-20 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 20-9 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have been winning by an average of 2.1 runs per game at home. They have covered the run line in seven straight games at home and have been a profitable play as the underdog, going 23-10 on the run line in those games.
Royals Stats
The Kansas City Royals have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 6th in runs per game and 6th in batting average. They have been especially potent at home, where they are 2nd in the league in runs per game. Their top hitters this season have been Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr., who both rank in the top 10 in the league in batting average. Witt Jr. has been hot lately, hitting .333 over his last 6 games. The Royals will look to keep their offense rolling as they take on the opposing team.
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Padres Royals Pitching
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with an ERA of 3.29. Cease’s WHIP for the season is currently .96. Cease has made six appearances on the road and is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in those outings. In his last start, Cease took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Cease’s ERA for the season is 4.30 at home.
Michael Wacha will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Rays, he gave up one homer. Before that outing, Wacha had picked up the win in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 4.31, along with a record of 4-5. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is 1.26. Out of his 11 starts, he has six quality starts and is averaging 7.76 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Wacha has allowed six homers and is averaging 2.73 walks per nine innings.
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Royals are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Royals have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Royals have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for this Padres vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +111. With the payout and our projections, this is a great value pick, as we have the final score at 6-3 in favor of the Royals.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Michael Wacha finishing with four strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. Cease is projected to go four innings, while Wacha should go around five. We also have Wacha giving up fewer runs than Cease.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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