Free MLB Pick: Padres vs Astros Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Astros on Friday, April 6, 2018 at Minute Maid Park in Houston Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Astros free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(1-5) San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros (5-1)
Date: Friday, April 6, 2018
Time: 8:10 PM ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston Texas
Projected Pitchers: Luis Perdomo (R) vs. Lance McCullers (R)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -280
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9
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San Diego Padres
Perdomo was marked with the loss against Milwaukee only making it four innings while giving up five earned off of seven hits. I suppose the seven strikeouts was a plus, but the four walks is a minus.
He is a pitcher that doesn’t induce a ton of strikeouts (6.59 K/9) and does okay with the walks (3.29 BB/9), but he mainly relies on inducing ground balls with a career 60.1% GB%. His HR/9 of 1.15 isn’t terrible, but he does have a high HR/FB ratio of 18.3% meaning that when he does induce a fly ball, one of every five fly balls have a chance at leaving the yard.
San Diego’s lineup has had a decent start to their season minus the batting average where they are slashing .224/.312/.405 while also smacking 19 extra-base hits and 23 RBI. They’ll need their lineup rolling on all cylinders to keep up with this hot Houston lineup.
The strikeout artist picked up from where he left off last year inducing strikeout after strikeout. McCullers was able to get the win against interstate rival Texas going 5.1 innings giving up two earned off of four hits while also fanning 10 batters compared to one walk.
He was struck on the ankle in the fourth but was able to shake it off and strike out the side in the fifth before leaving early in the sixth.
What makes him dangerous is his ability to induce ground balls when he’s not striking batters out with a career 54.7% GB%. This in turn has helped keep the home runs to a minimum, while he has a 20.5% soft contact percentage, making him very difficult to get hits off of.
Houston’s hot lineup is continuing their torrid pace slashing .281/.360/.477 in their first seven contests while also hitting 28 extra-base hits and 41 RBI.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- SD are 28-59 in their last 87 road games.
- SD are 3-10 in Perdomos last 13 road starts.
- Under is 8-3-1 in HOU last 12 Fri. games.
- HOU are 21-8 in their last 29 Fri. games.
- HOU are 39-16 in their last 55 overall.
Free San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction: Houston squeaks past San Diego
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: San Diego +1.5
Houston owns a .51 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio and this can play into Perdomo’s favor as he relies on inducing ground balls. McCullers could be pitching on a sore ankle and it could throw off his mechanics some.
Expect this to be a close contest as neither lineup has much familiarity with the opposing pitchers.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Houston 5 – San Diego 4
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