Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Diamondbacks on Friday, May 3rd, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(16-18) San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18)
Date: Friday, May 3rd
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Slade Cecconi
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres -108 | Diamondbacks -110 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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It’s a late-night NL West matchup between the Padres and Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. First pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET, and the Padres are slight favorites on the road, with a money line payout of -108 compared to the Diamondbacks’ -110.
On the mound, it’s Dylan Cease for the Padres against Slade Cecconi for the Diamondbacks. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -116 compared to the under at -106.
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 16-18 overall as they open their series on the road vs. the Diamondbacks. The Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games. The Padres have won two straight games, and this came after winning the final two games of their series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year, but they have been better on the road at 8-6. As the favorite, the Padres are 11-10 this year and 5-8 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 5-5-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the top of the first, the Padres responded with two runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Padres was Joe Musgrove, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of two-run ball. He also finished with nine K’s and issued just one walk. Jake Cronenworth went only one inning, but he drove in four runs with a homer.
The Padres have gone over the total in two straight games, and their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 18-15, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-4. Overall, only 11.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-17 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 11-3 ATS. The Padres have been a good bet as the underdog, going 8-5 ATS, but have struggled at home, going just 6-14 ATS.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 9th in MLB. Their batting average of .250 is 6th in the league, and their .320 OBP is 9th.
They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game away from home. Jurickson Profar has been one of their top hitters, with a .342 batting average and .431 OBP. Jake Cronenworth has also been productive, hitting .265 with 5 home runs and 24 RBI on the season. Cronenworth is currently on a 6-game hitting streak, and Profar has hit .579 over his last 5 games.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 14-18 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 5.5 games. The Diamondbacks lost two of three games to the Dodgers in their most recent series. So far, they have gone 8-6 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-8 this year and 6-10 on the road. This season, they have been the favorite in 15 games, going 8-7 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 6-11 this year. Arizona has an overall series record of 3-6-1 and has dropped three straight series.
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with an 8-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the +121 underdog at home. Things really got away from the Diamondbacks in the 2nd inning, as the Dodgers scored five runs in the inning. Arizona’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.
Jordan Montgomery got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up six earned runs. Offensively, the Diamondbacks had seven hits but only scored one run. Joc Pederson was hot at thejson, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 13-18, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-4. The Diamondbacks have played 17 games with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and 8 games with lines lower than 8.5 runs. Their over/under record in the last 2 games is 0-2.
Arizona has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 15-17 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 8-8 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 0.8 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 9-8 in those games.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been solid offensively this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which ranks 6th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly strong, averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. While their total home run output is below average, their batting average of .249 ranks 7th in the league.
They have been disciplined at the plate, ranking 4th in walks and 6th in OBP. Their top hitters for the season include Ketel Marte, who is hitting .307 with 5 home runs and 15 RBI, and Christian Walker, who is hitting .276 with 7 home runs and 22 RBI. Walker has been hot lately, hitting .303 with 4 home runs and 9 RBI over his last 10 games. Ketel Marte is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that April 27th start, Cease took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, Cease had picked up the win in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 2.78, along with a record of 3-2. Cease’s WHIP for the season is currently .87. Opponents have a batting average of .142 vs. Cease this season. Per nine innings, Cease is averaging 10.09 strikeouts and 3.53 walks.
Slade Cecconi will be making his first start of the season at home against the Padres. He’s coming off a win in his first start of the season, where he went 6 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Cecconi struck out 3 and allowed 2 hits. In his most recent start, he took a loss against the Mariners, going 6 innings and giving up 1 earned run.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being -108. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Dylan Cease is expected to go five innings, and he is projected to finish with six strikeouts. As for the Diamondbacks, they are projected to finish with seven strikeouts.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The #Dbacks have acquired RHP Matt Bowman from the Twins and made the following roster moves. pic.twitter.com/XG5JiKePoy
— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) May 3, 2024
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