Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Brewers Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Brewers on Thursday, July 11th, 2024 at American Family Field, in Milwaukee, WI. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Brewers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
(44-48) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers (54-39)
Date: Thursday, July 11th
Time: 2:10 ET
Venue: American Family Field Milwaukee, WI
Projected Starting Pitchers: Paul Skenes vs. Aaron Civale
MLB Moneyline Odds: Pirates -125 | Brewers +106 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Pirates -1.5 | Brewers +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Pirates vs. Brewers Gameday
The Pirates and Brewers are set to square off in this NL Central matchup at 2:10 PM ET. The Brewers are the home team and are currently listed as the underdog, with a money line payout of +106 compared to the Pirates’ -125.
Paul Skenes will be on the mound for the Pirates, while Aaron Civale will get the start for the Brewers. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -106.
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Pirates by a score of 9-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out six times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -161 on the money line.
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This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Martin Perez for the Pirates and Tobias Myers for the Brewers. Perez only went 4 2/3 innings while giving up five hits and five earned runs. Myers, on the other hand, put together a good outing, going eight innings and striking out six without giving up a run.
Milwaukee’s two and three hitters, Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins, each homered and combined for five RBI. Sal Frelick also had a three-hit game and scored three times for the Brewers’ offense.
Pittsburgh is 44-48 overall and 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 14-14 against other teams in the NL Central this year. The Pirates have won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 18-19 overall when favored this year.
At home, the Pirates are 22-24 this year, and they are also 22-24 on the road. Pittsburgh is 11-12-5 in series this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 44-47. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Pirates have gone over in 6 of 17 games. Overall, 73.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Pirates Gambling
The Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 50-42 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 27-19 ATS. The Pirates have been a better bet as an underdog, going 37-18 ATS in those games. They have been outscored by an average of 0.2 runs per game this season.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to generate offense this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which ranks 20th in the league. Their batting average of .230 is 17th in the league, and they strike out 9 times per game, which is 25th in the league. Their top hitter this season has been Bryan Reynolds, who is hitting .280 with 17 home runs and 56 RBI. Reynolds has been hot lately, going 12 for 33 (.364) with 4 home runs and 10 RBI in his last 8 games. Another player to watch is Rowdy Tellez, who is on a 3-game hitting streak and is hitting .385 with 4 home runs and 8 RBI in his last 8 games.
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Milwaukee is 54-39 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cardinals by 5.5 games. The Brewers are 21-11 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers are at home today, where they are 28-14 this season.
The Brewers have gone just 26-25 on the road this year. As the favorite, the Brewers are 32-19 this season and 22-20 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 16-9-3 this year, and they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Pirates.
The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Brewers have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 50-39, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 14 times and under 4 times. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and the over has hit in their last three games.
Brewers Gambling
When betting the run line on the Brewers, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog, as they are 27-15 against the run line in those games. They are just 21-30 vs. the run line as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 48-45, and their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game.
Brewers Stats
The Milwaukee Brewers have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 8th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly strong, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd best in the league. The Brewers have been getting on base at an impressive rate, leading the league in OBP at .334. Their top hitters for the season include Christian Yelich, who is hitting .335 with a .417 OBP, and Willy Adames, who has 14 home runs and 62 RBI. Yelich has been red hot, hitting .432 over his last 10 games. The Brewers have a few players on hitting streaks, with Yelich at 4 games, Adames at 5 games, and William Contreras at 3 games.
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Pirates Brewers Pitching
Right-hander Paul Skenes gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Skenes has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 2.12. In his 10 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. Skenes has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.12. At home, his ERA is 3.17.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces off against the Pirates. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.18. Opponents are batting .266 off Civale this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.39. In his 18 starts, Civale has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Civale’s last outing came vs. the Dodgers, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Pirates head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Pirates they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Brewers are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Brewers have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Pirates are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Brewers have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our pick for today’s Pirates vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +106. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 4-1.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Paul Skenes finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters. As for the Brewers’ starter, Aaron Civale, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is 13th among starters.
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