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Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs Cardinals Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Cardinals on Monday, May 6, 2019 at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Cardinals free pick.
2019 MLB Season
(18-14) Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (20-13)
Date: Monday May 6, 2019
Time: 8:05 PM ET
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO.
Projected Starters: Velasquez vs. Mikolas
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cardinals -130 | Phillies +120
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.5
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Philadelphia Phillies
Gabe Kapler’s Philadelphia Phillies host the National in a Sunday rubber match before taking a tour of Missouri this week with three-game sets in St. Louis and then Kansas City.
Philly so far leads a fairly weak NL East by a game-and-a-half over Atlanta but Jake Arrieta leads the team in Wins Above Replacement with just over one. Six Phillies have at least one WAR and four of them are pitchers.
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Aaron Nola isn’t one of those arms. Bryce Harper isn’t one of the bats. In fact, despite a 125 OPS+, Harper has just one-tenth of a Win Above Replacement.
He is only making $11.5 million this season. The big bucks don’t kick in until next year, when he’ll begin making either $23.5 or $27.5 million per season until 2031.
St. Louis Cardinals
The Lizard King, Miles Mikolas, made the All-Star Team and finished sixth in the NL Cy Young in a feel-good season for an all-American boy who had to go over to Japan before getting another chance (and eventually becoming a star) in Major League Baseball.
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Getting to the top is one thing; staying there is another. Mikolas signed a big four-year extension after his tremendous 2018 and he’s experienced some turbulence in 2019.
His ERA was 5.30 going into his last start, which was a good one in Washington: six innings and one earned run. He hasn’t had to be yanked in the middle of an inning yet and has completed forty frames in seven starts, at least.
But eight home runs allowed isn’t a good number. They have come in clusters, though. He’s given up six in two starts so he’s been homer-free in three of his seven outings thus far. If he can maintain that and then limit the long balls on days he does give one up, he’ll be ok.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 11-4-1 in PHI last 16 overall.
- Under is 11-4-1 in PHI last 16 on grass.
- Under is 9-4 in PHI last 13 Mon. games.
- Over is 7-1 in STL last 8 Mon. games.
- STL are 12-2 in their last 14 home games.
- STL are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
- PHI are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings in St. Louis.
- PHI are 8-18 in the last 26 meetings.
Free Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction: over.
Velasquez is one of those Philly pitchers with at least one WAR but he’s going up against one of the game’s stronger lineups. As for Mikolas, I believe his minor struggles continue for now and that this one hits double-digits.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Phillies ML
MLB Free Score Prediction: Philadelphia 6 – St. Louis 4
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