Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mets on Saturday, September 5th, 2020 at Citi Field in Flushing, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Phillies free pick.
2020 MLB Handicapping
Philadelphia Phillies vs.New York Mets
Date: Saturday, September 5th 2020
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing New York
Projected Pitchers: Spencer Howard vs. Seth Lugo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies +140 Mets -160
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 (+115)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9.5
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The Phillies seem like a strange underdog on Saturday, at least such a significant one at +140 considering they are riding a 5-game win streak that includes a 5-3 win in the series opener Friday.
The Mets did have a little momentum after coming back to beat the Yankees 9-7 on Thursday in a one-game makeup, but Friday’s loss was their sixth in the last eight games.
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is making a run for it as they are 9-1 over their last 10 to pull within two games of the Braves in the NL East. The Phillies now have a 93.6% probability of making the postseason with a 19-15 record.
The Mets would be wise to pitch around Rhys Hoskins on Saturday as the big man is hitting .458 with 4 HR in the last six games. Interestingly enough, the Phillies have never hit a HR in 71 team AB vs. Mets starter Seth Lugo.
Can rookie Spencer Howard help push the Philadelphia win streak to six? The right-hander has gotten progressively better in each of his four starts in the majors, going 5.0 IP and allowing just 2ER last time out for his first win.
New York Mets
It takes some guts to lay the -160 on the Mets Saturday night. New York does have the #1 batting average in the majors (.271) but that hasn’t translated to a whole lot of wins as the Mets are 17-22 with a 41% playoff chance.
Howard has only made four big league starts for Philadelphia, but one of them was against the Mets on August 14th. Robinson Cano and Dominic Smith both went yard off the Phillies pitcher even though New York lost 5-6.
Seth Lugo also pitched in that 5-6 loss to the Phillies a couple weeks but allowed 3 hits and an ER in just 1/3 of an inning. Lugo has allowed 1 ER in his last two starts, but has only thrown a combined 6.2 innings.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Phillies are 4-0 last 4 overall
- Phillies are 6-0 last 6 vs. team with losing record
- Phillies are 6-1 last 7 Saturday games
- Mets are 2-5 last 7 overall
- Phillies are 5-0 last 5 head to head meetings
Free Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction:
This line has to be a trap but it’s one with value as the Phillies are +140 on a 5-game win streak. It’s going to be a bullpen day for New York as Lugo doesn’t give you more than 4 IP.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Phillies +140
The rookie Howard has been getting better for Philadelphia.
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