Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Braves on Tuesday, September 19th, 2023 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Braves free pick.
2023 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
(82-68) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (96-54)
Date: Tuesday, September 19th
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez vs. Spencer Strider
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies +185 | Braves -225 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5 | Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Tonight at 7:20 PM ET, the Phillies aim to upset the Braves. The favored Braves have -223 moneyline odds, while the underdog Phillies stand at +183.
Atlanta also leads on the run line (-1.5 with -108 odds). The over/under is set at 9 runs (-102 for the over and -118 for the under).
The Phils had a big win last night to kick off the series. Don’t miss my MLB handicapping blog for more insights on this thrilling matchup!
So far this season, the Phillies have an above record of 82-68 placing them 2nd in the NL East. On the road, the team is 39-37 while going 43-31 at home.
Philadelphia’s record against the runline currently stands at 67-83 on an average run differential of 0.5. Their over/under is currently 68-73 with an average of 9.3 combined runs per contest.
So far on offense, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th). Currently, their combined batting average is 8th in the MLB at .259 to go along with an OPS of .770, placing them 5th.
In terms of strikeouts, they are 22nd having struck out a total of 22nd times and have generated 496 walks.
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Heading into the game, the Braves are riding a four game losing streak and have a record of 96-54. Currently, they are 1st in the NL East. On the road, the team is 49-28 while going 47-26 at home.
Atlanta’s record against the runline currently stands at 78-72 on an average run differential of 1.4. Their over/under is currently 83-63 with an average of 10.1 combined runs per contest.
On offense, the Phillies come into the game with a batting average of .259 and an OBP of .770 placing them 5th and 5th, respectively. Currently, Philadelphia is 9th in home runs and 8th in RBI’s.
In terms of slugging percentage, the Phillies are at .440 (5th) and 7th in isolated power.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Starting Pitcher Matchup
The Phillies will turn to Cristopher Sánchez as their starter for today’s game. Through 16 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.4 and record of 2-4. So far, his batting average allowed is .232 to go along with an OBP allowed of .267.
Sánchez’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 83/14. In terms of home runs, he has given up 14, and has a SLG allowed of .420.
The Braves will turn to Spencer Strider as their starter for today’s game. Through 29 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.73 and record of 17-5. So far, his batting average allowed is .200 to go along with an OBP allowed of .270.
Strider’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 259/54. In terms of home runs, he has given up 20, and has a SLG allowed of .340.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
At the current price of -225 on the moneyline, there just isn’t enough value in taking the Braves straight-up. Also, they don’t have a great track record vs. the runline as the favorite this season.
Instead, I’ll be taking the Phillies to keep things interesting and cover the runline as road underdogs.
We had a free play on our blog last night for the Braves to right the ship and get things back on track, but now after seeing them play last night we’re not sold on them to bust out of this losing streak. It’s getting ugly in Atlanta.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The only good thing that happened last night in Atlanta…
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 18, 2023
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