Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs Rays Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Rays on Monday, October 5, 2020 at Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Rays free pick.
2020 MLB Postseason Handicapping
AL Divisional Series Game 1 of 5
(0-0) New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays (0-0)
Date: Monday, October 5, 2020
Time: 8:07 PM ET
Venue: Tropicana Field, Tampa, FL.
Projected Pitchers: Cole (NY), Snell (TB)
MLB Moneyline Odds: NY -150 // TB +130
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: NY (-1.5) +112 // TB (+1.5) -134
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.0
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It so happens that in this year’s new playoff format, all four matchups in the Divisional Round are between teams in the same division.
New York is the only series favorite seeded lower than its opponent in the Divisional Round (-127 via DraftKings Sportsbook), despite losing eight of ten matchups against the Rays in the regular season.
New York Yankees
The top-seeded Rays are underdogs in the series because they will likely have to face Gerrit Cole twice.
They don’t necessarily have to beat him but their chances of advancing are slim without at least splitting the two games the Yankees’ ace is expected to start.
Cole struck out 13 and walked none in a seven-inning gem in Game 1 of the Wild Card Round against Cleveland.
He faced Tampa Bay three times in the month of August and didn’t win any of the three starts.
In fact, he finished 0–1 in the three games, allowing 20 hits and nine earned runs in 16.1 innings. The strikeouts were there (27) but Tampa proved tougher than most teams as it worked counts and coaxed six bases on balls.
Tampa Bay Rays
Like New York, Tampa Bay swept its Wild Card opponent and did not have to dig deep into its pitching depth to do so.
Blake Snell gave up one hit in 5.2 innings in a Game 1 win over Toronto. The Rays didn’t use Charlie Morton or Ryan Yarbrough but they are going right back to Snell to face Cole here.
In an overlooked trade with St. Louis back in January, Tampa Bay acquired Cuban outfielder Randy Arozarena for a package of prospects that included a pitcher it selected in the first round of 2018.
Arozarena didn’t begin the season with the Rays but he wound up getting 76 plate appearances and posting a 179 OPS+.
He started both games in the Wild Card Series and went 4-for-8 with two doubles and a triple hitting out of the second slot in the lineup.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 7-2 in NYY last 9 games following a win.
- Over is 11-4 in NYY last 15 games as a favorite.
- Over is 11-4 in NYY last 15 overall.
- Under is 10-2 in TB last 12 on grass.
- TB are 10-2 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Over is 9-2 in TB last 11 Mon. games.
- Head to Head: NYY are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay.
- Head to Head: NYY are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings.
Free New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction: the under comes in.
Neither side shows much value but what I’m geared up for here is a true pitcher’s duel.
In addition to the under, the only other play I would consider here is something small on the Yankee runline, in part as a hedge against Snell not being sharp.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Under 7.0
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