Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Padres on Monday, May 27th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres
(19-35) Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres (28-28)
Date: Monday, May 27th
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers vs. Michael King
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +153 | Padres -182 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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At PETCO Park in San Diego, CA, the Padres will host the Marlins in an NL matchup. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM. The weather forecast is calling for 66 degrees with broken clouds.
On the mound for the Marlins is Trevor Rogers, while the Padres will counter with Michael King. The Padres are the favorite in this one, with a money line payout of -182 compared to +153 for the Marlins. The over/under line is currently set at 7.5 runs.
Miami Marlins
Miami is 19-35 overall and trail the Phillies by 19 games in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 4-12. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 9-16 this year compared to 10-19 at home.
So far, the Marlins have been the favorite in 14 of their games, going just 3-11 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Marlins are 16-24. They have won four straight series, and their overall series record is 5-11-1. Miami’s overall series record is 5-11-1.
The Marlins’s offense was carried by Bryan De La Cruz in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks. De La Cruz went 2/5 with three RBIs and a run scored. The Marlins really broke things open with a three-run 7th inning. Miami was the +113 underdog going into this road game.
Ryan Weathers started for the Marlins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Diamondbacks batters. Miami’s bullpen closed things out with Tanner Scott picking up the save.
Marlins Gambling
When the Miami Marlins are on the road, the over has been a popular bet this season. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 30-24. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of 10 games. Overall, 75.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their games have gone under in four straight contests.
The Marlins have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 13-12. They have covered the run line in six straight road games and are 21-19 as the underdog. Miami’s average run differential in losses is -3.8, while it is +2.9 in wins.
Marlins Stats
When it comes to the Miami Marlins’ offense, they have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which ranks 29th in the league. Their home offense has been slightly better, averaging 4.2 runs per game, but their road offense has been poor, averaging just 3.2 runs per game. Their power numbers are also lacking, as they rank 19th in total home runs. The Marlins’ top hitters this season have been Bryan De La Cruz, Jazz Chisholm Jr., and Josh Bell. Chisholm Jr. is currently on a 5-game hitting streak. In terms of recent performances, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hitting .297 over his last 9 games, while Josh Bell has 8 RBIs over his last 9 games.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is at an even 28-28 overall as they get set to host the Marlins today. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games for the division lead. San Diego’s record in the NL West is 12-13 this season.
At home, the Padres are just 11-18 this year. However, they have been good on the road, going 17-10. So far, they are 16-16 as the favorite and 12-12 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 10-7-2, and they have won four straight series on the road. At home, the Padres have dropped two straight series.
San Diego is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +111 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score two runs, both of which came in the 6th.
Joe Musgrove put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Ha-Seong Kim, who went 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.
Padres Gambling
San Diego Padres games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-26. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-9. The over/under line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is 7.5 runs, and the Padres have gone under in their last two games.
San Diego has been a good bet on the run line this season, going 30-26 overall. However, they have been much better on the road, going 21-6 compared to just 9-20 at home. They have an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game this season, but that number jumps to +1.6 on the road and drops to -1.2 at home.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 5.1 runs per game, good for 2nd in the league. Their batting average of .255 is 4th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .322 is 5th. Jake Cronenworth has been one of their top hitters this season, with a .270 batting average, 8 home runs, and 34 RBIs. He’s currently on a 3-game hitting streak. Fernando Tatis Jr. has struggled recently, hitting .195 over his last 10 games.
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Marlins Padres Pitching
Miami is sending left-hander Trevor Rogers to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with a 6.11 ERA. Rogers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.84. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .307 off Rogers this season. Per nine innings, he has 8.08 strikeouts and 4.53 walks.
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and is facing the Marlins at home. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and five of them have been quality starts. King’s ERA for the season is 4.28, along with a record of 4-4. In his last outing, King went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. King’s ERA at home is 6.19 compared to 4.33 on the road.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Marlins they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 8-2 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Marlins are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Padres game is that the Padres will come out on top by a score of 7-4. However, with the money line payout for the Padres being -182, we actually like the over, with the line being 7.5 runs.
Looking at today’s starters, we have Michael King going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Trevor Rogers, we have him going five innings and finishing with five K’s.
Offensively, our projections have the Padres finishing with nine hits and the Marlins with nine. However, the Padres are projected to hit the fewest home runs in the league today.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
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