Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Phillies on Wednesday, October 4th, 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Phillies free pick.
2023 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
(84-77) Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (90-72)
Date: Wednesday, October 4th
Time: 8:08 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Braxton Garrett vs. Aaron Nola
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +130 | Phillies -159 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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The NL Wild Card series began with a bang on Tuesday, October 3, delivering some thrilling games. Now, the spotlight shifts to tonight’s clash between the Marlins and Phillies, hoping for another exhilarating showdown like the series opener.
On Wednesday, at 8:08 PM ET, the Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park to face the Phillies, a game you can catch live on ESPN. The Phillies aim to advance to the NLDS, while the Marlins strive to keep the series alive with a crucial victory.
The MLB Moneyline Odds currently stand at Marlins +130 and Phillies -159, making for an intriguing betting matchup. In today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds, the Marlins are at +1.5, and the Phillies are at -1.5, with a total Over/Under of 8 runs.
Miami Marlins
So far this season, the Marlins have an above record of 84-77 placing them 3rd in the NL East. On the road, the team is 38-43 while going 46-35 at home.
Miami’s record against the runline currently stands at 74-89 on an average run differential of -0.4. Their over/under is currently 75-84 with an average of 8.6 combined runs per contest.
Marlins
On offense, the Marlins come into the game with a batting average of .259 and an OBP of .721 placing them 4th and 17th, respectively. Currently, Miami is 20th in home runs and 27th in RBI’s.
In terms of slugging percentage, the Marlins are at .405 (17th) and 20th in isolated power.
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Philadelphia Phillies
So far this season, the Phillies have an above record of 90-72 placing them 2nd in the NL East. On the road, the team is 41-40 while going 49-32 at home.
Philadelphia’s record against the runline currently stands at 72-91 on an average run differential of 0.5. Their over/under is currently 75-78 with an average of 9.3 combined runs per contest.
Phillies
On offense, the Phillies come into the game with a batting average of .256 and an OBP of .765 placing them 7th and 6th, respectively. Currently, Philadelphia is 7th in home runs and 8th in RBI’s.
In terms of slugging percentage, the Phillies are at .438 (5th) and 6th in isolated power.
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Starting Pitcher Matchup
The Marlins will turn to Braxton Garrett as their starter for today’s game. Through 31 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.66 and record of 9-7. So far, his batting average allowed is .243 to go along with an OBP allowed of .287.
Garrett’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 156/29. In terms of home runs, he has given up 20, and has a SLG allowed of .409.
The Phillies will turn to Aaron Nola as their starter for today’s game. Through 32 appearances, he has an ERA of 4.46 and record of 12-9. So far, his batting average allowed is .235 to go along with an OBP allowed of .276.
Nola’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 202/45.
In terms of home runs, he has given up 32, and has a SLG allowed of .416.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Marlins they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Marlins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Phillies ML
The Phillies played a great game on Tuesday, and I believe they will finish off the fish with Nola on the hill tonight even though he didn’t have the best 2023 numbers vs. Miami.
If this was going to be a lower scoring game I might lean to the Marlins, but I think the Phils bats show up tonight.
With the Marlins struggling this season on the road, I like the Phillies to pick up a home win over Miami. At -159 there is still decent value on the moneyline.
In their most recent 10 games, the Phillies were favored on the ML 8 times, emerging victorious in 6 of them.
The Phils are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games, and they’re 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Take it to the bank, the Phillies will advance to face the Braves in the NLDS.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Let's do it again tomorrow, yeah?#RedOctober x @IBX
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 4, 2023
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