Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Phillies on Tuesday, October 3rd, 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Phillies free pick.
2023 MLB Handicapping – Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
2023 MLB playoffs – National League Wild Card Series
(84-77) Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (90-72)
Date: Tuesday, October 3rd
Time: 8:08 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Jesús Luzardo vs. Zack Wheeler
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins +134 | Phillies -161 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Marlins +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Tonight, the NL Wild Card Series kicks off at 8:08 PM ET as the Philadelphia Phillies welcome the Miami Marlins to Citizens Bank Park, with the action broadcasted on ESPN.
The Phillies hold the favored position with a -159 moneyline, while the Marlins sit at +135. Philadelphia also carries a -1.5 run line advantage at +138 odds, with the over/under set at 7.5 runs.
Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.56 ERA) takes the mound for the Phillies, aiming for his 14th win of the season, while the Marlins pin their hopes on Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.89 ERA). Stay tuned to CappersPicks.com for daily MLB playoff picks throughout the 2023 postseason.
Miami Marlins
So far this season, the Marlins have an above record of 84-77 placing them 3rd in the NL East. On the road, the team is 38-43 while going 46-35 at home.
Miami’s record against the runline currently stands at 74-88 on an average run differential of -0.4. Their over/under is currently 75-83 with an average of 8.6 combined runs per contest.
Marlins
So far on offense, the Marlins are averaging 4.1 runs per game (25th). Currently, their combined batting average is 27th in the MLB at .259 to go along with an OPS of .721, placing them 17th.
In terms of strikeouts, they are 5th having struck out a total of 5th times and have generated 430 walks.
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Philadelphia Phillies
So far this season, the Phillies have an above record of 90-72 placing them 2nd in the NL East. On the road, the team is 41-40 while going 49-32 at home.
Philadelphia’s record against the runline currently stands at 71-91 on an average run differential of 0.5. Their over/under is currently 75-77 with an average of 9.3 combined runs per contest.
Phillies
So far on offense, the Marlins are averaging 4.1 runs per game (25th). Currently, their combined batting average is 27th in the MLB at .259 to go along with an OPS of .721, placing them 17th.
In terms of strikeouts, they are 5th having struck out a total of 5th times and have generated 430 walks.
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Starting Pitcher Matchup
The Marlins will turn to Jesús Luzardo as their starter for today’s game. Through 32 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.63 and record of 10-10. So far, his batting average allowed is .235 to go along with an OBP allowed of .295.
Luzardo’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 208/55. In terms of home runs, he has given up 22, and has a SLG allowed of .401.
The Phillies will turn to Zack Wheeler as their starter for today’s game. Through 32 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.61 and record of 13-6. So far, his batting average allowed is .229 to go along with an OBP allowed of .273.
Wheeler’s current strikeout to walk ratio stands at 212/39. In terms of home runs, he has given up 20, and has a SLG allowed of .364.
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Marlins head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Marlins they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Marlins are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Miami emerged victorious in seven of their 13 regular-season matchups against Philadelphia, so, they know they can play with this Phils team.
Despite entering the game as the underdog on the moneyline, I like the Marlins to pull out a road win over the Phillies. Over the last three times that the Marlins have been the underdog against the Phillies, they have put together a record of 2-1.
I am anticipating this happening again today.
My bigger play tonight will be on the UNDER in this one. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games on the road, plus we’ve seen the UNDER hit in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games against Miami.
Luzardo won’t give up the long ball tonight, and Wheeler does nothing but throw quality starts of late. This one will be a pitchers duel.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
ICYMI: September#RingTheBell x @smartwater pic.twitter.com/V9dPX7Y4t1
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) October 2, 2023
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