– Last Updated on January 25, 2023 3:51 pm
Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Mets on Saturday May 11, 2019 at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins Mets free pick.
2019 MLB Season
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Date: Saturday May 11, 2019
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, New York
Projected Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Jacob deGrom
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -265 | Marlins +242
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 6.5
Live MLB Odds
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Miami Marlins
Miami is not going to be competitive until they are more able to score runs. They lost the last three of their series against the Cubs, only scoring 5 combined and are not even averaging three runs per game for the season. Worst of all their best hitters might be veterans that are well past their prime, guys like Curtis Granderson and Starlin Castro. It is pretty bleak these days.
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Sandy Alcantara has made 7 starts this season and in 4 he has walked more than the struck out. Walks were a problem for him last year too but he was giving up far fewer hits so he was able to manage them better. He has posted better numbers on the road than at home this season. The Marlins bullpen can strike out guys – 6th – but they are worst in the Majors in WAR.
New York Mets
The Mets need to start playing better. The moves they made this offseason were about reloading not rebuilding and they are getting production from young players like Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil. Brandon Nimmo was also supposed to be a part of that youth movement but he has regresses early after a good rookie campaign last year. Slugger Todd Frazier has been terrible.
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Lack of hitting has put more pressure on what should be a good pitching staff. Jacob deGrom has been the Mets best starter but not nearly as effective as a year ago. It is pretty simple math, his walk and homer rates are up. Put those together and it easy to plot the regression. Oddly he has been terrible at home with an ERA over 6. This is a good assignment though.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 14-4 in MIA last 18 road games.
- MIA are 12-41 in their last 53 road games.
- MIA are 16-39 in their last 55 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in NYM last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in NYM last 9 on grass.
- NYM are 6-18 in deGroms last 24 home starts.
Free Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Prediction:
You have to fade the Marlins…almost always. The problem is that is not a great value situation.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Mets RL
With deGrom on the hill it gets a little worse because of his ability to dominate. Still it is the play here.
MLB Free Score Prediction: New York 4 – Miami 1
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