Free MLB Pick: Marlins vs. Reds Odds
Looking for Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Marlins taking on the Reds on Tuesday, July 26th, 2022 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Marlins-Reds free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(45-51) Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (37-58)
Date: Tuesday, July 26th, 2022
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Projected Pitchers: Pablo Lopez (MIA) vs. Hunter Greene (CIN)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Marlins -115 / Reds -105
MLB run line Betting Odds: Marlins -1.5 (+150) / Reds +1.5 (-170)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
The Marlins and Reds will be squaring off for the middle game of their series on Tuesday evening.
Pablo Lopez and Hunter Greene are the expected starters in this one.
Miami is currently a small favorite on the road. The total opened at 8 and is now up to 8.5 in every spot that I have checked.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have been a weird team to me so far this season. There is no question that they have potential, but they still have a long way to go.
When I look at this squad, I see them as still being at least a few years away from being where they want to be. It does not mean they cannot have success with what they have now, but it will not be done with the consistency that they want.
This is a team that is clearly no longer a bottom feeder, but they are also not among some of the best in the NL yet. I still view them as a middling type of team and that is never where an organization wants to be.
When it comes to the Fish, it is clear that pitching is their biggest strength, but that does not mean they can always just rely on it. It would be a good sign for them if they were able to get a more consistent offense, but that has not been the case for some time now.
As far as this season goes, winning the division is out of reach, and although possible, I do not see them making the wild card to get into the playoffs. There are just a lot of very good teams in the NL and for right now, they are more talented than Miami.
This series did not start off the way the Marlins would have liked and Trevor Rogers once again struggled. The lefty went 3.2 innings while allowing 8 hits and 6 earned runs. He was a guy that came into this season with a lot of expectations, but he has yet to consistently deliver.
Of course, these guys can still win the series, but losing the opener by an 11-2 margin just cannot happen against that team. They are really going to have to bounce back starting on Tuesday.
Pablo Lopez will get the ball in the middle game and he has been quite sharp this season. Given how well Sandy Alcantara has been this year, a guy like this gets overshadowed at times, but he has been putten up good numbers and is someone Miami can trust when he takes the mound.
Cincinnati Reds
As you look at the whole, the Reds have had a very bad season, but they have picked up certain victories along the way that have surprised me.
I am not saying it was a lock the Marlins would win every game in this series, but I did not exactly see this group beating them by 9 runs.
Cincinnati does have the ability to play well, but their poor play far outweighs their good play. For as many times as fans walk away impressed with their play, there are a lot more times they walk away disappointed.
Despite being a team that does have some obvious flaws, they still have had the ability to be productive on offense and that was the case on Monday.
The Reds really did not waste a lot of time getting to Rogers, which is just what they had to do. They knew they were facing a guy who has really struggled and it was important they took advantage of that.
They were able to do more damage against the Miami bullpen, as Cincinnati got 5 more runs off them as well. Overall, it was a very productive day for the offense.
As far as the pitching went, I also liked what I saw. Nick Lodolo, who clearly has a ton of upside, fired 6 innings and did not allow an earned run while striking out 9 batters. Although not in a high leverage spot, the bullpen came in and did not make things interesting.
Getting the ball in this one is Hunter Greene and it is clear he has the tools to be a solid MLB arm, but he still has some refining to do. I agree he might not be as bad as a 3-11 record would indicate, but there is no denying the kid has struggled an awful lot thus far.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The Marlins are 12-2 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- The Marlins are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
- The Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series.
- The Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. the NL East.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction:
The Marlins looked awful in the opener, but I do view this game as a good bounce-back opportunity for them.
Miami is still the better team here and they have a clear advantage in terms of starter and bullpen. Ultimately, I think that will lead them to get the job done.
It would not surprise me if Greene is sharp at times in this one, but I still do not trust him to put it together totally. Also, I cannot exactly back this Cincinnati bullpen.
As the short road favorite, I like the Marlins in this spot.
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