Free MLB Pick: Dodgers vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Dodgers taking on the Padres on Friday, May 10th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Dodgers Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
(26-13) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres (20-20)
Date: Friday, May 10th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tyler Glasnow vs. Michael King
MLB Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -174 | Padres +144 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Dodgers -1.5 | Padres +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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It’s a beautiful night for baseball in San Diego, as the Padres host the Dodgers in an NL West matchup. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 PM ET at PETCO Park, with clear skies and a temperature of 67 degrees in the forecast.
On the mound, Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers, while Michael King will take the hill for the Padres. The Dodgers come in as the favorite, with a money line payout of -174 compared to the Padres at +144. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -105 compared to -116 for the under.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles is on the road today to take on the Padres, and they have won seven straight games, putting them at 26-13 overall. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres and are 7-4 in divisional games this year. Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Marlins with three straight wins.
So far, the Dodgers have been really good as the favorite, going 25-12, including an 11-4 mark as the road favorite. This season, they have been tough to beat at home, going 15-8, and they have gone 11-5 on the road. The Dodgers have been really good in night games, putting up a record of 17-6 this year. Los Angeles’ series record is 8-5 this year, and they have won five straight series overall, including four straight on the road.
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -267. Offensively, the Dodgers scored their three runs on just six hits and only had one home run.
Gavin Stone put together a good start for the Dodgers, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. Teoscar Hernandez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have played 39 games this season, and 32 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 22-17. In their last game, the over/under line was set at 9 runs, and the game finished with 4 runs scored. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 2-1.
When the Dodgers are favored, they are 20-17 on the run line, and their average run margin in those games is 1.9. They have covered the run line in four straight games and are 10-6 on the run line on the road this season.
Dodgers Stats
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the best offensive team in the league this season, leading the MLB in several key offensive categories. Their batting average of .270 is the best in the league, and their OBP, SLG, and OPS are all ranked 1st. They are also 1st in runs scored per game at 5.5. Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernández have been two of the Dodgers’ top hitters this season, with Ohtani hitting .355 and Hernández hitting .265. Ohtani has 11 home runs and 27 RBI on the season.
In terms of recent performances, Max Muncy has 4 home runs in his last 8 games, while Ohtani is hitting .382 in his last 9 games. Freddie Freeman is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 20-20, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 10-9 in divisional matchups this year. At home, the Padres are just 8-12 this year but have been good on the road at 12-8.
So far, the Padres have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 13-11. As for their record as the underdog, the Padres are 7-9 this year. They come into this one having won two straight at home, but they are just 0-4 as the home underdog this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-4-2, and they have won three straight series.
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 3-0 win. After allowing one run to the Cubs in the bottom of the first, the Padres responded with a run of their own. San Diego went on to add another two runs in the 5th inning.
Starting for the Padres was Dylan Cease, who picked up the win while tossing seven scoreless innings. He also finished with 12 K’s and issued just two walks. The Padres’s offense was carried by Jake Cronenworth, who went 2/3 with a double, run scored, and an RBI.
The Padres have gone under the over/under line in two straight games, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 21-18, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 3-4-1. So far this season, 45% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 35% have had lines set lower than 8 runs.
The Padres have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, going 22-18 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 16-4 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and are 11-5 as an underdog against the run line this season.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 8th in runs per game. Their batting average of .260 is 2nd in the league, and their OBP of .324 is 5th. They have been particularly strong on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game away from home.
Jurickson Profar has been one of their top hitters, with a .328 batting average and 27 RBIs on the season. Jake Cronenworth has been hot at the plate, hitting .400 over his last 7 games.
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Right-hander Tyler Glasnow is starting for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made six quality starts in his eight outings and has a record of 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA. Opponents are batting .173 off Glasnow this season, and his WHIP is currently .92. In his last outing, Glasnow gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 1.70 compared to 3.87 at home.
San Diego is starting right-hander Michael King vs. the Dodgers today. He has made seven starts and three of them have been quality starts. King’s ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a record of 3-3. So far, he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 4.38. At home, his ERA is 7.31, and he is 0-1. In his last outing, King didn’t give up a run in six innings of work vs. the Diamondbacks. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Dodgers head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Dodgers they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Dodgers are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this one is a 9-6 win for the Padres, and with them being the underdog at +144, we see this as a great value pick. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tyler Glasnow finishing with more strikeouts than Michael King, but we still have the Padres coming out on top.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the over at 8 runs. The Dodgers are projected to score 6 runs, and they have a few more home runs than the Padres in our projections.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back to business as usual come Friday. pic.twitter.com/9mzJy7xtCo
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 10, 2024
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