Free MLB Pick: Astros vs Rays ALDS Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Rays in Game 3 of the American League Division Series on Monday October 7, 2019 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Rays free pick.
2019 ALDS Game 3
(2-0) Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays (0-2)
Date: Monday October 7, 2019
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL.
Projected Pitchers: Greinke (HOU), Morton (TBR)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros -135 | Rays +125
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Astros (+110) | Rays (-135)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.5 (Over -120)
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Houston Astros
Gerrit Cole struck out 15 of the 23 hitters he got out in Game 2 and Houston scratched enough just enough on offense to win 3–1 and take a 2–0 series lead.
Alex Bregman homered in the fourth against Blake Snell to break a scoreless tie. Roberto Osuna escaped a jam in the eighth and then left a mess in the ninth that Will Harris came on to clean up.
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Tampa’s bullpen kept it close enough after Snell departed following Bregman’s homer. Five guys (Castillo, Yarbrough, Pagan, Anderson, Poche) held Houston to two runs (one earned) over the final four-and-two-thirds.
It wasn’t enough, which was the theme of the weekend for Tampa Bay, who fought to steal one on the road against Verlander or Cole.
Tampa Bay Rays
But just because Tampa didn’t steal on on the road against the two best pitchers in baseball doesn’t mean it’s out of this.
The Rays send former Astro and Wild Card winner Charlie Morton to the mound against the man who effectively replaced him as the third wheel: Zack Greinke.
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I like Morton as a plus-money ‘dog at home. Not only was he dominant at Tropicana Field this season, he owns big games, and I’m sure he’s killing to stick it to his former team that balked at the opportunity to pony up and outbid the Rays, who, by the way, had the lowest payroll in baseball this season.
Morton’s postseason success prior to this season has been well-documented. Then he came out and threw a gem against the Yankees in a key regular season spot back when the Rays were still fighting for a playoff reservation.
And then he beat the A’s in Oakland less than a week ago to get Tampa Bay into the spot its currently in.
There are some spots when the team trailing 0–2 goes back home dead. This isn’t one of them. The Rays are relentless and they aren’t going to roll over this easy, especially with the Astros showing a bit of their underbelly in this one.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 12-1-3 in HOU last 16 on astroturf.
- HOU are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- Under is 9-3-1 in HOU last 13 road games.
- Under is 10-1 in TB last 11 playoff home games.
- TB are 25-7 in their last 32 Mon. games.
- TB are 16-5 in their last 21 games on astroturf.
Free Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Prediction: the Rays force a Game 4.
I don’t see Tampa Bay lighting up Zack Greinke. Rather, I’m calling for a bit of a repeat of Game 2.
Greinke and Morton will duel for the first half but instead of Houston scoring first, Tampa Bay will. If that happens, you have to like the Rays.
Tampa’s bullpen is better and it will be in this game too.
4* Free 2019 ALDS Betting Pick: Rays (+125)
I’m betting on Tampa Bay to win as the significant plus-money ‘dog and for that under to hold tight, if you’re about the parlay.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Tampa Bay 4 – Houston 3
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