Free MLB Pick: Astros vs. Yankees ALCS Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Yankees in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series on Friday October 18, 2019 at Yankee Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Yankees free pick.
2019 ALCS Game 5
(2-1) Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (1-2)
Date: Friday October 18, 2019
Time: 7:08 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Projected Pitchers: Verlander (HOU), Paxton (NYY)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +120 | Yankees -130
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Astros -180 | Yankees +160
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.0
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Houston Astros
The Astros got their rain on Wednesday and wiggled out of a bullpen matchup with the Yankees in Game 4. Zack Greinke takes the ball for the second time in this series in Game 4 and on a full four days of rest.
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Greinke was good the first time around; Masahiro Tanaka was just better. Depending on how that game shakes out on Thursday night, the Astros will either be playing to close out the series in New York or trying to get a game up in a pivotal Game 5.
They’ll be happy to send Justin Verlander to the mound, where he returns for the second time in this series, also on a full four days of rest.
That doesn’t mean he’ll be razor sharp. After a dominant first start in the postseason, he came back on three days of rest against the Rays and labored.
He started Game 2 on four days of rest and was good. He got 20 outs and gave up just two runs but he gave up five hits, walked two, and only struck out seven. The numbers are good but for Verlander they are actually sub-par. He just didn’t look as sharp as I’ve seen him.
Plus, he threw another 109 pitches. AJ Hinch uses his horses once he’s got them warm and in the game but these outings are taking a toll, even on Gerrit Cole, who looked just a tad more human in Game 3.
The Astros may have enough to get through this series but with every game, they are weakening.
New York Yankees
I don’t quite get that sense with New York, though it still may take more than James Paxton and a super bullpen to beat Verlander.
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Paxton’s 30 but this is his first postseason. His final line against the Twins in the LDS didn’t look good but he pitched well, given the situation. He was not sharp at all in Game 2 back at Minute Maid though.
All Paxton did was get one out in the third inning before Chad Green had to come to the rescue. He was walking guys and giving up hits and Aaron Boone did well to get him out of the game before the Yankees got far behind at all. Paxton only ended up with one run allowed to his name.
I’m not confident the Astros will hit him hard again. He hasn’t been good this year; he especially hasn’t been good considering the Yankees brought him in to be an ace. Paxton’s disappointment is one of the many bad storylines that were lost among all the good stories that emerged.
But that being said, he has good stuff and the Astros’ bats haven’t been able to string together hits. If Paxton can avoid the walks, this game will stay low.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- HOU are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.
- HOU are 51-18 in their last 69 games on grass.
- Under is 11-4-1 in HOU last 16 road games.
- NYY are 54-18 in their last 72 home games.
- NYY are 9-3 in their last 12 playoff home games.
- NYY are 57-23 in their last 80 games as a favorite.
- Head to Head: HOU are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in New York.
Free Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction: low.
I’m still on the under angle. I played the under in Game 4 after cashing it in Games 2 and 3. There are a lot of hitters out of rhythm in this series. It’s twice as hard to snap a slump in the postseason.
4* Free 2019 ALCS Betting Pick: Under 8
MLB Free Score Prediction: Houston 2 – New York 3
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