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Free MLB Pick: Astros vs.Yankees ALCS Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Yankees in Game 4 of the American League Championship Series on Wednesday October 16, 2019 at Yankee Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Yankees free pick.
2019 ALCS Game 4
(1-1) Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (1-1)
Date: Wednesday October 16, 2019
Time: 8:08 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Projected Pitchers: TBD vs. TBD (Bullpen Game) — Heavy rain is forecast for Wednesday, and if Game 4 is postponed, Tanaka and Grienke would start Thursday on normal rest.
MLB Moneyline Odds: Astros +105 | Yankees -112
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.5
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Houston Astros
As it stands now, Houston is going to have to try and win Game 4 without any of its three aces involved.
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Zack Greinke could, conceivably, come out of the bullpen but AJ Hinch has indicated that he’d like Greinke to start Game 5 on full rest. That leaves things up the the bullpen.
Jose Urquidy, the 24-year-old rookie from Mexico, will be the Astros’ long man. Hinch hinted at using a more experienced opener so that the kid wouldn’t have to throw the first inning at Yankee Stadium.
He pitched in Game 4 of the LDS and got five outs without allowing a run, despite allowing four Rays to reach base. He’s got electric stuff and held opponents under to 1.5 walks per nine innings during the regular season and 1.3 homers.
That more experienced opener could be Brad Peacock, who Hinch has yet to unleash out of the ‘pen after adding him to the roster ahead of the ALCS.
Houston’s bullpen does feel fairly set at the back end with Joe Smith, Will Harris, and Roberto Osuna the three arms of choice.
It will be difficult for Houston to get 27 outs without any of their aces or a really big effort from somebody else — namely Peacock or Urquidy.
New York Yankees
Of course, you may have heard that heavy rain is in the forecast for Wednesday night. Weather reports are fickle but if the rains come, Greinke would start on full rest for Houston against Masahiro Tanaka, who out-dueled him in Game 1 at Minute Maid.
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That would be a plus for the Astros because New York’s bullpen is more equipped to win a game of a bunch of different guys getting three, four, five, six, outs.
The Yankees will throw Chad Green; they will throw Adam Ottavino, Tommy Kahnle, Zack Britton, and Aroldis Chapman. Those five guys should be able to get no less than six innings and probably at least seven.
Then there are still more options yet. CC Sabathia and JA Happ can come in to get left-handers. They could also be used in a long spot.
Luis Cessa hasn’t yet pitched in this year’s postseason but he’s available and Aaron Boone trust him. I do too. He’s got a nice arm on him and could throw an inning in this game.
Tyler Lyons is there. As is Jonathan Loaisiga. In a game without the big guns, New York has the clear upper hand.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- HOU are 50-18 in their last 68 games on grass.
- HOU are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
- Under is 10-4-1 in HOU last 15 road games.
- NYY are 9-2 in their last 11 playoff home games.
- NYY are 13-4 in their last 17 Wed. games.
- NYY are 54-17 in their last 71 home games.
Free Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction: consensus is New York. I’m looking the other way.
If this game is played on Wednesday, everybody will like New York and for good reason.
But the Astros have guys who will feel the onus to step up, guys like Peacock, who could play a big role in this one. I just wouldn’t be shocked if Houston’s bullpen hanged with the Yankees.
If the Astros get up over +140, I’ll be looking to bite. If the total gets up around eight, I’ll be looking to bite on that under. Don’t assume the Yankees roll.
4* Free 2019 ALDS Betting Pick: Yankees ML
MLB Free Score Prediction: Houston 2 – New York 3
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