Free MLB Pick: Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Diamondbacks on Friday, May 17th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Tigers Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(21-22) Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (21-23)
Date: Friday, May 17th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tarik Skubal vs. Ryne Nelson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Tigers -143 | Diamondbacks +121 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Tigers -1.5 | Diamondbacks +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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At 9:40 PM ET, the Detroit Tigers will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The Tigers are currently favored in this interleague matchup, with a money line of -143 compared to the Diamondbacks’ +121.
On the mound for the Tigers is Tarik Skubal, while the Diamondbacks will be countering with Ryne Nelson. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -111 compared to the under at -109.
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 21-22 overall and trails the Guardians by 5.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have dropped two straight games, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. This year, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games.
At home, the Tigers are 10-13 this year, and they have gone 11-9 on the road. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, going 3-1, and they are 11-10 as the favorite overall. Detroit’s overall series record is 6-6-2, and they have lost four straight series.
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 2-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the heavy favorite at -166. Offensively, the Tigers only had three fewer hits than the Marlins but didn’t score a run. Carson Kelly was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a run scored, but the Tigers couldn’t get anything else going.
Casey Mize got the start for the Tigers and took the loss. He actually pitched well, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. The Tigers defense let him down, as both of the runs he allowed were unearned. Detroit also wasted a big game from Miguel Cabrera, who went 3/4 with a double.
The Tigers have played 40 games this season, and 19 of them have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or fewer. Their over/under record in those games is 3-6-2, and their combined run average in those games is 7.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 20-21, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game.
When the Tigers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-7. They have covered in three straight games and are 15-7 against the run line when they are the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.9, while it is -2.7 in losses.
Tigers Stats
The Detroit Tigers offense has struggled this season, ranking near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. Their runs per game, batting average, and OPS all rank in the bottom third of MLB. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been performing well recently. Kerry Carpenter has 4 hits in his last 4 games, including 2 home runs. Spencer Torkelson has also hit 2 home runs in his last 6 games. Mark Canha is currently on a 3-game hitting streak and leads the team in RBI this season.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 21-23, which has them 2nd in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are seven games behind the Dodgers for the lead in the NL West, and they are 9-8 in divisional games this year. Arizona’s overall series record is 5-8-1 this year, and they went 2-1 in their most recent series vs. the Reds.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 11-11 this year compared to a 10-12 mark on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 20 games, going 11-9 in those. As for their games as the underdog, they are 10-14 this season. Currently, they are 3-5 as the underdog at home.
Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -156. Offensively, the Diamondbacks only scored two runs on six hits and didn’t have a big inning. Christian Walker went 2/4 with a homer, and Ryan Thompson scored the team’s other run, going 1/3.
Brandon Pfaadt put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only two walks and struck out nine Reds batters. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out, with Paul Sewald picking up the save.
Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 18-24, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 1-0-1. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 18-24, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 1-0-1.
Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-23 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 12-10, compared to just 9-13 at home. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 14-10 on the run line, compared to just 7-13 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.6, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks 5th in the league. Their batting average of .245 is 11th in the league, while their on-base percentage of .322 ranks 6th. They have been getting good production from Ketel Marte and Christian Walker. Marte is currently on a 15-game hitting streak and has been one of the team’s top hitters this season, batting .289 with 9 home runs and 24 RBI. Walker has been productive as well, hitting .264 with 8 home runs and 28 RBI. The Diamondbacks have been getting good plate discipline, ranking 6th in walks and 6th in strikeouts per game.
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Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers this season and comes into the game with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 2.02. Skubal has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 11.02 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Skubal has won each of his last three starts. The left-hander has been especially tough at home, with an ERA of 2.53 compared to 1.0 on the road.
Ryne Nelson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he got the start and went 4 2/3 innings. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs, 10 hits, and one homer. Nelson finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 5.33, along with a record of 2-2. Opposing batters are hitting .343 off Nelson this season. So far, he has made one quality start this year.
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Tigers head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Tigers they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Tigers are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Tigers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout being +121. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 3-1.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryne Nelson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal with six. However, we have Nelson going just five innings, and Skubal going six.
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