Free MLB Pick: Reds vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Reds taking on the Padres on Sunday, April 21, 2019 at Petco Park in San Diego. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Reds Padres free pick.
2019 MLB Season
(7-12) Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres (11-10)
Date: Sunday, April 21, 2019
Time: 4:10 PM ET
Venue: Petco Park in San Diego CA
Projected Pitchers: Mahle vs. Lucchesi
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres -142 | Reds +134
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7½
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Tyler Mahle’s first full season in the big leagues was just a year ago. He started the season in Cincinnati’s starting rotation at age twenty-three and made twenty-three starts.
He gave up a lot of hits and a lot of walks and finished with an 84 ERA+. The nine strikeouts per nine were what the Reds, and Mahle, had to hang on to.
We’re still talking about April sample sizes but he’s off to a better start this season, this his second at age twenty-four. He’s still giving up the hits but not as many are homers (closer to one per nine as compared to close to two a season ago) and he’s cut down on his walks, with only a small dip in the strikeouts.
San Diego Padres
After the first two weeks of the season, the Padres had the best record in the National League with a run differential of -1. Compare that to Cincinnati, which had the best Pythagorean Expectation in the National League through two weeks but a poor record.
Regression stopped waiting around and San Diego lost its fifth in a row on Friday night, 4–3, in ten innings. The Reds have won a couple to creep up toward their expected record, of just over .500.
Mahle is a California guy for Cincinnati, as is Joey Lucchesi. He wasn’t the thoroughbred Mahle was coming out of high school and went the college route. Still, he was the first pitcher from the 2016 class to debut, when he began last season in San Diego’s rotation, and pitched better than Mahle did.
In twenty-six starts last season, he was close to league-average, with a 94 ERA+ and a WHIP under 1.30. He started this season with ten shutout innings but got in trouble late in his last start; he finished with five runs to his name despite finishing seven innings.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Reds are 16-37 last 53 overall
- Reds are 15-36 last 51 road games
- Reds are 1-4 in Mahle’s last 5 road starts
- Padres are 1-4 last 5 home games
Free Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction: under!
I’m expecting to see an 8.0, maybe even an 8.5 as a total, which may just be a tad high. I like both starters’ chances.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Padres ML
MLB Free Score Prediction: Cincinnati 3 – San Diego 4
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