Free MLB Pick: Cubs vs. Reds Odds
Looking for Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Cubs taking on the Reds on Thursday, May 16, 2019 at Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cubs Reds free pick.
2019 MLB Season
(25-14) Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (18-24)
Date: Thursday, May 16, 2019
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati OH
Projected Pitchers: Quintana vs. Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs +105 | Reds -114
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9
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Jose Quintana took a lot of crap from Cubs fans in his first year-and-a-half with the club and not for entirely good reason. Sure, was was highly-touted and can look so, so good at times. And sure, he was just marginally better than league-average in the second half of 2017 and all of 2018.
But he’s stepping up this season when the Cubs really need him. Of course, his performance this season makes it easier to look back a little more favorably on the last year-and-a-half.
But this year, when the Cubs are thin in the pitching staff and getting little good out of Yu Darvish, Quintana has gone 4–2 and pitched to a 124 ERA+. He’s failed to go fewer than six innings just once in his last six starts and hasn’t given up more than three runs.
In fact, take away his first start of the season, in which he gave up eight runs in three innings and lost, Quintana’s numbers would look even better.
The Reds are just 6–8 in their last fourteen games but of the eight losses, six have come by one run and the other two have come by two.
Cincinnati is in last place in the AL Central with an 18–23 record but hold a Pythagorean Record of 24–17, having scored thirty more runs than they have allowed.
Unlike years past, when the Reds didn’t have a single starting pitcher who was better than league-average, this year’s team has five guys who are above the average.
Luis Castillo has been the best. The 26-year-old flamethrower from the Dominican Republic has a 1.57 ERA in nine starts this season a 4–1 record. His WHIP is under one and he’s giving up just over five hits per nine innings, while striking out more than eleven. That’s nasty.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- CHC are 22-6 in their last 28 overall.
- CHC are 22-6 in their last 28 games on grass.
- CHC are 50-17 in their last 68 Thu. games.
- Under is 11-0 in CIN last 11 Thu. games.
- Under is 41-16-2 in CIN last 59 overall.
- Under is 41-16-2 in CIN last 59 on grass.
Free Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction: Castillo.
Just by regression (or progression) alone, the Reds are at least a decent team to back.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Odds aren’t yet available but a final score prediction is below.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Chicago 2 – Cincinnati 5
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