Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Cardinals on Friday, May 17th, 2024 at Busch Stadium, in St. Louis, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Cardinals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals
(22-22) Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals (18-25)
Date: Friday, May 17th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Busch Stadium St. Louis, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Brayan Bello vs. Kyle Gibson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -114 | Cardinals -104 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Red Sox -1.5 | Cardinals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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It’s a rainy night in St. Louis, where the Cardinals are set to host the Red Sox at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET, and you can catch the action on BSMW. Brayan Bello will be on the mound for Boston, while Kyle Gibson gets the start for St. Louis.
Oddsmakers have this one as a close matchup, with the Red Sox coming in as a slight favorite on the road. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the under currently paying out at -111.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is at .500 with a record of 22-22, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Cardinals. In the AL East, they are in 4th place, 7.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL East teams, going just 1-6 this year.
At home, the Red Sox are 10-13 and have gone 12-9 on the road. As the road favorite this year, Boston is a perfect 5-0. Their overall series record is 7-6-1, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Rays. The Red Sox are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Boston is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-5 loss to Tampa Bay, Jarren Duran went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox also got a good start from Cooper Criswell, going 3 2/3 innings, and giving up just three runs on four hits. They also got a big lift from Rafael Devers, going 2/4 with a homer.
Kenley Jansen took the loss out of the bullpen for the Red Sox, as Boston allowed two runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -108 at home.
With a combined run average of 7.9, the Boston Red Sox have seen their games go over the over/under line of 8 runs in 15 of their 40 games this season. The over/under line for their game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8 runs, and the Red Sox have gone over that line in just one of the six games this season where the line was set at 8 runs.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-8. They have a positive run differential of 1.8 runs per game on the road, and their average run differential in winning games is 4.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 14-10, compared to just 6-14 as the favorite.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox offense has been average this season, scoring 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Their batting average of .242 is 12th in the league, while their slugging percentage of .399 is 7th. They have been struggling with strikeouts, ranking 27th in the league with 9 strikeouts per game. Rafael Devers has been one of their top hitters, hitting .288 with 6 home runs and 16 RBI this season. He is currently on a 6-game hitting streak, going 8 for 25 (.320) with 2 home runs and 4 RBI in his last 6 games.
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St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 18-25 overall and trails the Brewers by eight games in the NL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other NL Central teams, going 1-6. The Cardinals host the Red Sox today, and they are 6-11 at home this year.
As for their record on the road, the Cardinals are 12-14. They have dropped four straight at home, and they are 1-2 as the home underdog this year. St. Louis’ overall series record is 6-8, and they won their most recent series vs. the Angels. The Cardinals are just 3-7 across their last ten games.
St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 7-2 loss on the road. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were the slight favorite at -121 on the money line. Things really got away from the Cardinals in the 1st inning, as the Angels scored four runs in the inning. St. Louis’s offense scored their only two runs in the 6th.
Lance Lynn had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Paul Goldschmidt, who homered in the 6th, going 1/4.
The St. Louis Cardinals have been on a three-game over streak, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Boston Red Sox is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals have gone over the line in 19 of their 42 games this season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 20-23 overall, but just 8-9 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 12-8, compared to 8-15 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -1.2 runs per game, and they have lost four straight run line bets at home.
Cardinals Stats
The St. Louis Cardinals have struggled to generate offense this season, ranking near the bottom of the league in several key offensive categories. Their runs per game average of 3.6 is 29th in the MLB, and their home run total of 32 is 19th. Their batting average of .225 is 21st, and their slugging percentage of .347 is 25th. However, they do have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Paul Goldschmidt hitting .304 over his last 5 games and on a 5-game hitting streak. Nolan Arenado leads the team with 21 RBI on the season.
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Right-hander Brayan Bello is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Bello has made six starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .205 off Bello this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.07. Bello’s most recent outing came on May 12th, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. He has won each of his last three starts. Per nine innings, Bello is averaging 7.67 strikeouts and 2.56 walks.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.67 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has a WHIP of 1.20 and has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone seven innings in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Gibson this year. So far, he has allowed six homers and is averaging 3.67 walks per nine innings compared to 7.35 strikeouts.
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Red Sox head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Red Sox they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Cardinals are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Cardinals have a 2-8 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Red Sox are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Cardinals have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Red Sox vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout being -114. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the third lowest among all starters today. As for the Red Sox starter, Brayan Bello, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him ranked 11th among all starters.
Looking at the Cardinals lineup, they are projected to finish with just eight hits, which is the third lowest among all teams today. As for the Red Sox, they are projected to finish with nine hits, and their home run projection has them finishing 13th in the league.
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://x.com/Cardinals/status/1790601673032745063
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