Free MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Red Sox taking on the Yankees on Friday, September 23, 2022, at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Red Sox Yankees free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(72-76) Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees (90-58)
Date: Friday, September 23, 2022
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY.
Projected Pitchers: Hill (BOS), Cole (NY)
MLB Moneyline Odds: ML Boston +185 / New York -215 (Bet Now!)
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: OFF
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U 7.5
Boston Red Sox
After splitting a two-game series in Cincinnati, Boston begins its final series of the season against the Yankees Thursday night in the Bronx.
Michael Wacha starts that game and Rich Hill this one. At age 42, Hill has logged over 100 innings for just the sixth time in his career.
He’s 7-7 in 23 starts this season with a 4.70 ERA. He’s looked really good at times and struggled at others.
He rarely throws more than five innings so one bad inning will hurt his numbers more than others. Typically, that’s what gets Hill: one bad inning.
Somehow, he has managed to avoid the Yankees up to this point in the season. It will be his first start against them and his only in 2022. It may also be the final start at Yankee Stadium in his career.
That bit of information shouldn’t be overlooked when considering whether Hill pitches well on Friday night. He’s been around a long time and overcome a lot. He’s already had a tremendous renaissance and he will want to go out on the highest note possible.
That said, opponents have better than a 110 OPS+ against Hill on the season and right-handers have accounted for 11 of the 12 home runs he has allowed.
New York Yankees
New York swept its own two-game series against Pittsburgh at home this week and it will stay right where it is for this four-gamer against the Red Sox.
The Yankees have dominated the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium over the last several seasons (see trends below) and Gerrit Cole is 2-0 against Boston on the season.
But that’s in four starts, not all of which went breezy. He only lasted four innings against the Sox in this first start of the season back in April and gave up four runs in six innings just over a week ago.
The Red Sox have not fared well against some of the best starters in the league, however, as evidenced by the trend below involving Boston and starting pitchers with a WHIP under 1.15.
Cole’s WHIP is barely over 1.00 and he’s racked up 22 strikeouts against the Sox in his last two starts, including 10 in that start last week.
Aaron Judge and Xander Bogaerts go into the series tied for the American League lead in batting average at .317. The drama between these two rivals will be toned down with the Red Sox headed for a last-place finish but the race between Judge and Bogaerts will give the fans something to follow.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Head to Head: Red Sox are 16-40 in the last 56 meetings in New York.
- Head to Head: Red Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
- Head to Head: Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Free Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction:
Hill pitches well and Boston does just enough damage to Cole to take a lead into the later innings.
It won’t be pretty but the Red Sox will hold on to win a close one.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Boston +185
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