Free MLB Pick: Braves vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Braves taking on the Mets on Sunday, May 12th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Braves Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
(24-12) Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (18-20)
Date: Sunday, May 12th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Bryce Elder vs. Luis Severino
MLB Moneyline Odds: Braves -126 | Mets +105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Braves -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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It’s a rainy night in New York as the Mets host the Braves in an NL East showdown. First pitch is set for 7:10 at Citi Field, and you can catch the action on ESPN. The Braves are favored in this one, with a money line of -126 compared to the Mets at +105.
On the mound for the Braves is Bryce Elder, while the Mets will counter with Luis Severino. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -122 compared to the under at -103.
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-1 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -160 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Christian Scott took the loss for the Mets, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Atlanta’s offense was led by Orlando Arcia and Michael Harris II, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia and Harris each scored two runs and drove in a combined three runs.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game and 4th in batting average. Their home and road splits are both solid, with 5.1 runs per game at home (4th) and 4.9 on the road (8th). Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter, leading the team in batting average and on-base percentage, and he is currently on a 5-game hitting streak. Travis d’Arnaud has also been a key contributor, with a .270 batting average and 16 RBI on the season. In terms of recent performances, Austin Riley has been hitting .300 over his last 8 games, while Ronald Acuña Jr. has hit .273 over the same span.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. However, their home offense has struggled, scoring just 3.4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. Their overall offensive numbers are below average, as they rank 16th in runs per game, and their batting average of .234 is 13th in the league. The Mets have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 4th in the league in that category. Their top hitters for the season include Brandon Nimmo, who has a .375 on-base percentage and leads the team with 25 RBIs. Nimmo has been hot at the plate, hitting .294 over his last 10 games.
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Bryce Elder and the Braves are on the road to take on the Mets today. Elder has started 3 games this season, and he is coming off a loss to the Dodgers in which he gave up 4 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings. He did pick up a win in his first start of the year, going 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 2.92. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone eight innings without giving up an earned run. Opponents are batting .196 off Severino this season. At home, his ERA is 2.08 compared to 4.5 on the road.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Braves head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Braves they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Braves are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Braves vs. Mets matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Braves. With the Braves on the money line at -126, there is some good value in picking them up straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryce Elder finishing with more strikeouts than Luis Severino, and we also have Elder going for more innings. As for the Mets, they are projected to finish with fewer runs and hits than the Braves.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/Mets/status/1789656241070830065
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