Sam F Davis Stakes Handicapping Picks
Horse racing gamblers are you looking for 2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Free Pick & Handicapping Odds…plus some predictions? Need some advice on who to take? The 2024 (G3) Sam F Davis Stakes is set for February 10 at Tampa Bay Downs in Tampa Bay, FL. Here’s a preview of our top contenders.
Sam F Davis Stakes Preview
- Race: Sam F Davis Stakes
- Purse: $250,000
- Track: Tampa Bay Downs
- Date: February 10
- Post Time: 5:15 PM (ET)
- Live: Sam F Davis Stakes Odds: Click Here
Before we can give you our expert 2024 Sam F Davis Stakes free pick, we have to break down the entries! In fact, we’d love to hear from you after you’ve given this post a read to see if you see an angle that we don’t!
2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Handicapping
The road to the 2024 Kentucky Derby runs through Tampa Bay this Saturday, as the Florida track hosts the only Kentucky Derby qualifying race of the weekend.
Open to horses age three, the (G3) Tampa Bay Derby is run at 1 1/16 miles on the dirt track, and will award Derby qualifying points to the top five finishers on a 20-10-6-4-2 scale.
The race is drawn a full field of 12 runners, 11 of which are trying to pick up their first Derby qualifying points of the season.
Odds listed here are provided by the Tampa Bay track oddsmaker.
2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Free Pick & Handicapping: Change Of Command Race Odds: 3-1
It took Change of Command four starts to get his maiden win, but he had improved both his finishing position and speed figure each time out. Here he looks to move forward once again in his stakes racing debut.
He picked up his second consecutive win last out after a stretch duel in which he was actually headed at one point and then fought back for a narrow win at the wire.
2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Free Pick & Handicapping: Agate Road Race Odds: 7-2
Agate Road is already a graded-stakes winner after taking the (G2) Pilgrim Stakes at Aqueduct last October. He was also a 2023 Breeders’ Cup participant, finishing a respectable fifth in the (G1) BC Juvenile Turf, the only time he didn’t finish first or second in five lifetime starts.
After running second in his career debut in a race that was originally on turf but moved to the dirt, he has run exclusively on the grass in his last four starts.
Copper Tax Race Odds: 5-1
After running second in his maiden effort, Copper Tax reeled off a string of four wins in a row at his home base of Delaware Park, culminating in an open-lengths victory in the Rocky Run Stakes. He backed that up with another stakes win at Laurel Park.
He then joined the Derby trail with a start in the (G3) Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct where he finished sixth after a very wide trip throughout the race.
West Saratoga Race Odds: 8-1
West Saratoga is the only horse in the field that already has Derby qualifying points in the bank after gaining 10 with a win last September in the (G3) Iroquois Stakes and adding one more point with a fifth place finish in the (G1) Breeders’ Futurity in October.
He was off after that for three months before coming back to run a well-beaten seconding the Pascoe Stakes at Tampa Bay one month ago.
Here’s My 2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Free Pick.
This is shaping up to be a very interesting race, with no real standout in the field and a bunch of under-the-radar types that offer good betting value. In the case of the top two favourites, I think there are enough reasons to play against them and look deeper into the field.
Despite the last-out win for Change of Command, I didn’t think it was a very good race. Even with a speed duel almost from the gate, they got progressively slower with each quarter mile and finished the last 16th in a very pedestrian 7:21. Not what you want to see from a favourite that was supposed to win easy.
As for Agate Road, he has the best back class and highest Equibase speed figure in this race, but turf-to-dirt has not been a successful move for recent Kentucky Derby hopefuls. I need to see him win at least once on the dirt before I’d bet him at low odds.
That leaves Copper Tax and West Saratoga from the list above, and I’m going to try and find some of that value and use them both. The field Copper Tax faced in the Remsen was tougher than what he’s going up against here, and I’m willing to give him an excuse in that one with the wide trip. Delaware Park might not have offered him the toughest competition either, but he knows how to win and I’ll put him on top.
West Saratoga, meanwhile, has shown a lot of promise while running second four times in eight starts, so I’ll use him underneath in the exacta.
Full Field: 2024 Sam F Davis Stakes Odds
By post position
- #1 – El Principito 50-1
- #2 – Tireless 12-1
- #3 – Patriot Spirit 6-1
- #4 – Crazy Mason 10-1
- #5 – No More Time 10-1
- #6 – Agate Road 7-2
- #7 – Copper Tax 5-1
- #8 – Everdoit 30-1
- #9 – Change of Command 3-1
- #10 – West Saratoga 8-1
- #11 – Fulmineo 15-1
- #12 – Elysian Meadows 15-1