Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Handicapping Picks
Horse racing gamblers are you looking for 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Free Pick & Handicapping Odds…plus some predictions? Need some advice on who to take? The 2023 Juvenile is set for November 3 at Santa Anita Race Track in Arcadia, CA. Here’s a preview of our top contenders.
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Preview
- Race: BC Juvenile
- Purse: $2 million
- Track: Santa Anita
- Date: November 3
- Post Time: 7:00 PM (ET)
- Live: BC Juvenile Odds: Click Here
Before we can give you our expert 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile free pick, we have to break down the entries! In fact, we’d love to hear from you after you’ve given this post a read to see if you see an angle that we don’t!
2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Handicapping
The fourth-of-five Breeders’ Cup races to go on Friday, the (G1) BC Juvenile is open to horses age 2, and they’ll race 1 1/16th of a mile on the Santa Anita dirt.
Betting Angles: In contrast to the BC Juvenile Fillies, where the favourite has won nearly 50% of the time, the Juvenile is historically more wide open. Only five favourites have won in the past 20 years, while horses at odds of 10-1 or higher have won eight times in that span. Ten of the last 20 winners have won their final prep prior to the Juvenile, and all 20 finished in the top 3 in their final prep.
Odds listed here are provided by the Santa Anita track oddsmaker.
2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Free Pick & Handicapping: Locked Race Odds: 7-2
The lukewarm morning line favourite, Locked crushed the field – including a next-out winner – by more than 7 lengths to get his debut score at Saratoga this past summer, and then followed that up with a much closer 1/2 length win in the (G1) Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland.
That win came at this same 1 1/16 miles distance, and he’s one of only two in the race with a win at the distance.
2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Free Pick & Handicapping: Muth Race Odds: 4-1
The other runner with a win at the distance, Muth has been ultra-consistent in winning two of his three starts, hitting 90 or better Beyer speed figures all three, the only entrant in the field to have done so. He’s also two-for-two on the Santa Anita dirt.
He was beaten by more than four lengths two starts back by one he’ll face here again, stablemate Prince of Monaco, in the (G3) Best Pal Stakes at Del Mar. However, he bounced back from that to take the (G1) American Pharaoh Stakes by more than 3 lengths last out at Santa Anita.
Prince of Monaco Race Odds: 4-1
The aforementioned winner of the Best Pal, Prince of Monaco has done all his racing at Del Mar where he is unbeaten in three lifetime starts.
Two back when winning the Best Pal he popped off a 104 Beyer speed figure which is the best in this field. It’s interesting to note, however, that in his other two races he failed to hit 90, and his margin of victory has been steadily diminishing with every start and as the distances get progressively longer.
The Wine Steward Race Odds: 8-1
If you like Locked in this race, then you have to take a hard look at The Wine Steward, who was only beaten a half-length by that one last out in that Breeders’ Futurity. It’s only that narrow loss that prevents him from being an unbeaten four-for-four in his short career.
Although he, as well, has seen a diminishing margin of victory through his three wins and then the runner-up finish, he has in fact improved his speed rating with every one of his four starts.
Here’s My 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Free Pick.
There’s something to be said for horses that not only have wins at the track, but also a win at the distance when it comes to juvenile colts, and with that in mind I’m going to play Muth for the win here.
I like to see consistent high speed in a race horse, and I think he’s a safe bet to contend based on that alone. I think he got caught up in a front-end speed duel that cost him in the Best Pal, and I expect here he’ll sit a much more patient stalking trip.
I also like the steady improvement shown by The Wine Steward, and I’ll use him win the exacta.
Full Field: 2023 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Odds
By post position
- #1 – The Wine Steward 8-1
- #2 – Prince Of Monaco 4-1
- #3 – Wine Me Up 15-1
- #4 – Timberlake 4-1
- #5 – Ecoro Neo (scratched)
- #6 – Locked 7-2
- #7 – Cuban Thunder 30-1
- #8 – General partner 8-1
- #9 – Fierceness 6-1
- #10 – Muth 4-1
- #11 – Noted 20-1