Free NCAA Football Prediction: Trojans vs. Bobcats Odds
Looking for Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats free picks? College football betting sees the Trojans taking on the Bobcats on Saturday, October 16th at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 7 predictions like this Troy Texas State free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats
Date: Saturday, October 16th, 2021
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Trojans -7.5, Bobcats+7.5
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Troy -320 | Bobcats +245
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 49.5
This week’s game between the Troy Trojans and Texas State Bobcats features two teams from the Sunbelt Conference. The Trojans are currently third Group A with a conference record of 1-1. Texas State is in second place in Group B with a 1-0 record in conference play.
The Troy Trojans enter this week’s matchup with an overall record of 3-3. So far, the Trojans have played the 109th toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of -3.0.
In week five, Troy pulled off a narrow 27-24 victory over Georgia Southern. In the game, the Trojans put up 270 yards through the air and 139 on the ground. Defensively, Troy gave up 301 total yards.
On the season, Troy is ranked 108th in points scored, averaging 18.2 points per game. On the road, the Trojans are scoring 17.0 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 34th in the NCAA, allowing 21.2 points per game.
On offense, Troy throws the ball on 59.36% of their plays, leading to 236.6 yards per game. 62th in CFB. On the ground, the Trojans have rushed for 86.2 yards per contest.
So far the Trojans defense has generated enough turnovers to give the team an even turnover differential. The Troy pass rush is averaging 5.0 sacks per game.
Texas State Bobcats
The Texas State Bobcats come into this home contest with an overall record of 2-3. So far Texas State has played the 120th toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of -9.8.
Like their opponents, Texas State is also coming off a tightly contested win. Last week Texas State defeated South Alabama 33-31 in overtime. In the game, the Bobcats put up 187 yards through the air and 213 on the ground. Defensively, Texas State gave up 330 total yards.
On the season, Texas State is ranked 83rd in points scored, averaging 24.2 points per game. In games at home, the Bobcats are scoring 22.0 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 99th in the NCAA, allowing 34.0 points per game.
On offense, Texas State throws the ball on 46.74% of their plays, leading to 173.8 yards per game. 111th best in CFB. On the ground, the Bobcats have rushed for 143.8 yards per contest.
So far, the Bobcats defense has generated enough turnovers to give the team an even turnover differential. The Texas State pass rush is averaging 1 sack per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bobcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
In this Sunbelt Conference game, I like Texas State to keep this game close and cover the +7.5 point spread.
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Pick: Texas State +7.5
This game will come down to whether or not each team can take advantage of their opponent’s weakness. Defensively, the Troy Trojans are the superior unit giving up 13.0 fewer points per game than the Bobcats. However, I don’t think the Trojans offense is capable of fully capitalizing on their favorable matchup.
On offense, Texas State has the edge, scoring 6.0 more points per game than Troy. Both teams play at a place near the NCAA average, so both groups should be able to play their style of game. I think this game ends up coming down to the wire and am confident that Texas State covers the spread.
If you’re looking for more picks like this Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats matchup we’ll be providing 4* free College football game predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free CFB Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NCAA Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!