Free NCAA Football Prediction: Horned Frogs vs. Wolverines Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Michigan Wolverines free picks? College football betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Wolverines on Saturday, December 31st at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football bowl game predictions like this TCU Michigan free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: 2022 Fiesta Bowl
(12-1) #3 TCU Horned Frogs vs. #2 Michigan Wolverines (13-0)
Date: Saturday, December 31st, 2022
Time: 4:00 pm EST
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: TCU +7.5 | Michigan -7.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Horned Frogs +235 | Wolverines -285
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 58.5
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The TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) answered every challenge they faced this season – right up until the 31-28 OT loss to Kansas State in the Big 12 Championship Game. By then TCU had put together an impressive enough resume to make their first ever trip to the CFP.
The Michigan Wolverines (13-0) are making their second straight trip to the College Football Playoff, and would love a shot at revenge against Georgia in the National Championship after UGA beat UM 34-11 in the Orange Bowl last season.
There’s even a slight possibility that Ohio State could beat Georgia, and if Michigan can get past TCU we’d have “The Game” for the National Championship which would be a ratings bonanza. Either way the Wolverines have to do their part to get there first.
TCU Horned Frogs
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh has to see a lot of himself from his playing days in TCU QB Max Duggan, a gritty competitor who just finds a way to win. Duggan went from being the backup to start the year to a 3,321 yard, 30 TD, 4 INT campaign that landed him as the runner-up to USC’s Caleb Williams for the 2022 Heisman Trophy.
Everybody was waiting week after week for TCU to falter. They didn’t in a 38-31 win at Kansas or topping 43-40 in OT or beating Texas 17-10 or Baylor 29-28. Now the Horned Frogs have to do something they haven’t done all season and that’s rebound from a loss after finally having the magic run out against Kansas State.
Duggan did look human in the loss to K-State, going 18/36 for 251 with 1/1 but he added 110 yards on the ground. WR Quentin Johnston also added 139 yards receiving in the Big 12 Championship game but facing Michigan’s #3 ranked total defense (277.1 ypg) is a big quality of competition upgrade.
Michigan Wolverines
Michigan’s path out of the semifinals of the CFP is much easier this year after losing to eventual national champion Georgia last season, but the Wolverines still cannot look past Texas Christian.
Even with being off for nearly a month, it looks like Michigan will not get one of their biggest weapons back as RB Blake Corum decided to get surgery on his knee and evaluate his future, whether that be the NFL draft or a return to Ann Arbor.
Corum is a big loss as his 1,463 yards and 18 TDs can surely attest. That being said the Wolverines have some talent on their offensive line, and RB2 Donovan Edwards exploded for 216 yards and 2 TDs in the regular season finale against the Buckeyes.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Horned Frogs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall
- Horned Frogs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games
- Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games overall
- Wolverines are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall
- Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games
Free 2022 Fiesta Bowl NCAA Football Final Analysis:
TCU head coach Sonny Dykes is playing with house money as nobody expected his team to be in the CFP especially in his first year with the program. Michigan is the better team here, but Duggan just has a way to keep games close and this game should probably have more of a 4-5 point line.
4* Free Fiesta Bowl NCAA Betting Pick: TCU +7.5
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