Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on December 21, 2022 7:09 pm
Free NCAA Football Prediction: SMU vs. BYU Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. BYU Cougars free picks? College football betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Cougars on Saturday, December 17th, at University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Mustangs Cougars free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs. BYU Cougars
2022 New Mexico Bowl
SMU Mustangs 7-5 vs. BYU Cougars 7-5
Date: Saturday, December 17th
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: University Stadium Albuquerque
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Mustangs -5 / Cougars 5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Mustangs -196 / Cougars 159
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 65.5
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SMU Mustangs
Last season, the Mustangs finished with an overall record of 7-5. This includes going 5-3 in American Athletic action.
In their most recent game, the Mustangs defeated Memphis by a score of 34-31. But, they were unable to grab the ATS win, as their 3 was not enough to cover the spread.
The Mustangs head into the game with the 18th-ranked scoring offense at 38.42 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 34 receiving touchdowns compared to 25 rushing scores.
Heading into the game, the Mustangs will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 123rd at 34.67 points per game allowed.
Against the spread, the Mustangs have gone 4-6-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up they have a record of 5-5-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 5-5-0. SMU has a negative scoring differential in these games, averaging 36.8 points per game and allowing 39.0.
Through their last 5 road contests, the Mustangs’ offense has averaged 31.2 points per game while allowing an average of 38.2. SMU posted an overall record of 2-3-0 while going 2-3-0 ATS.
BYU Cougars
So far, the Cougars have an overall record of 7-5 and have not played a game in the FBS Independents.
In their previous game, the Cougars picked up a 35-26 home win over Stanford. This was an impressive victory as they were also the 6.5-point underdogs.
The Cougars head into the game with the 49th-ranked scoring offense at 31.92 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 32 receiving touchdowns compared to 17 rushing scores.
Heading into the game, the Cougars will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 100th at 30.0 points per game allowed.
Over their last 10 games, the Cougars have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these games, they posted a straight-up mark of 5-5-0. Their last 10 scoring differential sits at -1.2, as they averaged 30.7 points per game while allowing 31.9 points. The over-under record in these games was 7-3-0.
Across their 5 previous home games, BYU has an ATS mark of 0-5-0. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3-0 while averaging 33.8 points per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
- Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.
In the passing game, the Mustangs are currently one of the leading groups in the country, at 324.92 yards per game through the air. This week, the Mustangs will be facing a BYU defense that is ranked 93rd in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 339.1 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
So far, the Cougars are averaging 266.58 yards per game through the air, placing them 32nd in the country. This week, the Cougars will be facing an SMU defense that is ranked 135th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 279.44 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
4* New Mexico Bowl NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Heading into this game, both teams are going to try and move the ball in the passing attack. Between BYU and SMU, the Cougars have a slightly better matchup vs a struggling SMU secondary. For this New Mexico Bowl matchup, I will be taking the points with BYU.
4* SMU Mustangs vs. BYU Cougars NCAA Betting Pick: BYU
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