Free NCAA Football Prediction: Boilermakers vs. Hawkeyes Odds
Looking for Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes free picks? College football betting sees the Boilermakers taking on the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 16th, 2021, at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 7 predictions like this Purdue Iowa free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
Purdue Boilermakers (3-2) vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Kinnick Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Purdue +11.5 / Iowa -11.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Boilermakers +430 / Hawkeyes -620
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 42.5
The visiting Purdue Boilermakers are tied for second in the Big 10 West with a record of 1-1. A victory over Iowa would move them closer to competing for a division title.
Iowa sits atop the Big 10 West with a 3-0 record in the division and a 6-0 record overall.
The Purdue Boilermakers enter this week’s matchup with an overall record of 3-2. So far, the Boilermakers have played the 48th toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of 8.2. Purdue is coming off a 20-13 home loss to the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
In the game, the Boilermakers put up 371 yards through the air and 77 on the ground. Defensively, Purdue gave up 300 total yards.
On the season, Purdue is ranked 87th in points scored, averaging 23.6 points per game. On the road, the Boilermakers are scoring 31.0 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 7th in the NCAA, allowing 15.4 points per game. On offense, Purdue throws the ball on 60.25% of their plays, leading to 325.4 yards per game. 13th in CFB.
On the ground, the Boilermakers have rushed for 90.2 yards per contest.
So far the Boilermakers have lost the turnover battle, with a turnover differential of -1.0 on the season. The Purdue pass rush is averaging 1.4 sacks per game.
The Iowa Hawkeyes come into this home contest with an overall record of 6-0. So far Iowa has played the 12th toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of 18.5. In their last game, the second-ranked Hawkeyes defeated seventh-ranked Penn State in a 23-20 nailbiter. In the contest, the Hawkeyes put up 195 yards through the air and 118 on the ground.
Defensively, Iowa gave up 289 total yards.
On the season, Iowa is ranked 45th in points scored, averaging 31.5 points per game. In games at Kinnick Field, the Hawkeyes are scoring 39.0 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 2nd in the NCAA, allowing 13.0 points per game. On offense, Iowa throws the ball on 45.61% of their plays, leading to 194.2 yards per game. 94th best in CFB.
On the ground, the Hawkeyes have rushed for 124.7 yards per contest.
So far, the Hawkeyes have won the turnover battle, with a turnover differential of 2.5 on the season. The Iowa pass rush is averaging 2.3 sacks per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Hawkeyes last 6 home games.
- Road team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa.
- Under is 5-2 in Hawkeyes last 7 games overall.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
In this Big 10 matchup, I see the Boilermakers keeping it within the 11.5 point spread.
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Pick: Boilermakers +11.5
Coming off an emotional victory over Penn State, the Iowa Hawkeyes control their own destiny in the Big 10 West. If Purdue can pull off the upset, they will crawl their way back into the conversation for the division crown. This game features two teams who like to play at different speeds with the Boilermakers ranking among college football fastest pace teams.
The Hawkeyes prefer to control the time of possession by keeping the ball on the ground. Purdue’s passing game will test the Iowa secondary, and even though I see Iowa winning this game outright, I see the Boilermakers coming up with a backdoor cover.
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