Free NCAA Football Toledo Bowl Prediction: Middle Tennessee State vs. Toledo Odds
Looking for Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders vs. Toledo Rockets free picks? College football bowl game betting sees the Blue Raiders taking on the Rockets on Friday, December 17, 2021, at Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau, Bahamas Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Blue Raiders Toledo free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Independence Bowl
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (6-6) vs. Toledo Rockets (7-5)
Date: Friday, December 17, 2021
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Thomas Robinson Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Middle Tennessee State +10 / Toledo -10 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Blue Raiders +300/ Toledo -400
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 50
Middle Tennessee State and Toledo kick off the bowl season with a matchup in the Bahamas Bowl. Even though the two teams enter the game with similar records, the Rockets are the heavy betting favorites, needing to cover a 10 point spread.
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Middle Tennessee State comes into this game looking to finish their season on a high note. If the Blue Raiders can come away with a win, they will end the year with an above .500 record.
Playing in Conference USA, the team finished 4-4 against conference opponents. When playing away from home Middle Tennesee State struggled, winning just two of their seven road games.
In terms of betting, the Blue Raiders finished the season with an ATS record of 6-6, The team finished the regular season on a high note, knocking off Florida Atlantic, despite being 3.5 point underdogs.
Against the Owls, Middle Tennesee State picked up the win despite losing the battle of yardage. The key to the game was their ability to take advantage of their opponent’s 2 turnovers.
Throughout the year, the Blue Raiders relied on several players at both quarterback and running back. Nicholas Vattiatio and Mike Diello both saw time in the team’s final game, combining for 236 yards through the air.
Toledo Rockets
The Toledo Rockets enter this contest hoping to finish their season on a 4 game winning streak. After getting off to a slow start in the MAC Conference, the Rockets used their winning streak to finish the season ranked 3rd in the MAC West.
Given that this game is being played away from home should not bother the team as they ended the season with a 4-2 record on the road.
The Rocket’s strong finish to the regular season was also beneficial to bettors as the team racked up 3 straight ATS wins. In Toledo’s last contest, they easily covered a 28.5 point spread by defeating Akron by 35 points.
As the year went on, Toledo really found their groove on offense, finishing the season with four straight games going over the posted point total. In 3 out of their last 4 games, the team ended with exactly 49 points,
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Blue Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Blue Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
4* Free Toledo Bowl NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Toledo comes into this game with a clear advantage on offense. Coming into the game, the Rockets are the 27th ranked scoring offense, averaging 32 points per game. On the other side, Middle Tennesse State relies heavily on their passing attack, throwing the ball on 52% of their plays. However, even though the team ranks 25th in pass plays per game, they are just 62nd in passing yardage.
Toledo is not an ideal matchup for a team looking to throw the ball as they give up just 6.5 yards per pass attempt. The Rockets also have a knack for generating turnovers, ranking 20th in the NCAA in opponent interception percentage.
Look for Toledo to finish their season on a high note as winners of the 2021 Bahamas Bowl.
4* Free Toledo Bowl NCAA Betting Pick: Toledo -10
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