Free NCAA Pick: Duke vs. UConn Odds
Looking for Duke Blue Devils vs. UConn Huskies free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Blue Devils taking on the Huskies on Saturday, September 23rd at the Pratt & Whitney Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Duke UConn matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Duke Blue Devils vs. UConn Huskies (0-3)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Duke -21.5 | UConn +21.5
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Duke -4305 | UConn +1233
College Football Betting Total: O/U 48
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Get ready for an exciting NCAA football showdown as the nationally ranked 3-0 #18 Duke Blue Devils face off against the struggling 0-3 UConn Huskies outdoors on the grass this Saturday instead of their usual indoor hoops matchup. Duke is the heavy favorite at -21.5, with a total of 45.5 points.
If you’re feeling bold, UConn offers tempting odds at +1000 on the moneyline. Don’t miss this game at Rentschler Field, airing on CBSSN.
Duke boasts an impressive 8-2 ATS record in their L10.
Stay tuned to our NCAA football handicapping blog for expert insights on this matchup!
Last season, Duke and UConn did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, UConn has the leg up at 3-0.
The over/under record in these games was 1-1-1 with the teams averaging 51 points per game combined.
UConn went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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Duke Blue Devils
The Blue Devils are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 38-14 win over Northwestern.
So far, Duke has been a good bet vs. the spread, as they are a perfect 2-0. Their average scoring margin this season is at +26, while being favored one time and the underdog in one game.
Across three games, the average over/under line in Duke’s matchups is 51.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 45.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-1.
Duke Blue Devils Stats
On the ground, the Blue Devils are 28th in college football at 115 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 242.7 (7th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 25 and have a per game average of 216.
Overall, they are 30th in points (36 PPG).
This season, the Blue Devils’ defense has yielded an average of 147.7 rushing yards, earning them a rank of 96th. Opponents have an average of 153 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks attaining a passer rating of 59.4 when facing Duke.
They are currently 76th in points allowed in NCAA rankings.
On offense, Duke did not throw for a touchdown vs. Northwestern but did run for five scores. In terms of overall yards, they finished with 487 and averaged 6.7 yards per rushing attempt and 219 total passing yards.
UConn Huskies
After trailing by -17 at halftime, UConn could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 24-17 to Florida International.
Against the spread, the Huskies are still at 0-3 on an average scoring margin of -12. They have been favored two times this season and the underdog in one game.
So far this season, UConn boasts an over/under record of 0-3.
On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 42.7 points, while the average over/under line has been 48.5 points.
UConn Huskies Stats
UConn’s rushing attack is ranked 44th in college football with 97 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 127.7 rushing yards per game, placing them 89th nationally. On average, they are attempting 32.7 passes per game leading to 186.3 passing yards per contest.
In terms of scoring, they hold the 78th position, averaging 15 points per game.
The Huskies’ ended with 32 pass attempts vs Florida International, racking up 170 yards and one score. In the rushing department, they averaged 4.3 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, UConn’s defense is ranked 132nd. Opponents, on average, attempt 26.3 passes against the Huskies.
They are allowing 27.7 PPG, which places them 55th in college football.
Their rush defense ranks 122nd in the NCAA.
Duke Blue Devils vs. UConn Huskies NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Blue Devils are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Huskies are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Huskies have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Blue Devils’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Huskies’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Duke vs. UConn Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Devils | -5000 | -3195 | -23 | -21.5 |
| Huskies | +1300 | +1041 | +23 | +21.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Duke -21.5
For a point-spread pick, I like Duke with a -21.5 spread for this one. The Huskies are giving up 27PPG, and Duke knows how to put up points.
The 5th best defense in the nation, and one that limits the opposition in the red zone is a recipe for success in College football betting.
Following a strong defensive performance, I expect them to deliver another good outing. I believe Duke will not only secure the win but also cover the spread against UConn.
Give me the Devils ATS on Saturday.
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Duke Blue Devils vs. UConn Huskies NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Game 4️⃣ ready#CTFootball pic.twitter.com/eyzyYbzqba
— UConn Football (@UConnFootball) September 18, 2023
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