Free NCAA Football Prediction: Knights vs. Owls Odds
Looking for Central Florida Knights vs. Temple Owls free picks? College football betting sees the Knights taking on the Owls on Saturday, October 30th, 2021 at Lincoln Financial Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 9 predictions like this Central Florida- Temple free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
Central Florida Knights (4-3) vs. Temple Owls (3-4)
Date: Saturday, October 30th, 2021
Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Central Florida -10.5 / Temple +10.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Knights -435 / Owls +330
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 61.5
This week nine matchup between the UCF Knights and the Temple Owls opened with the Knights as -11 point favorites. Since then the line has moved slightly toward Temple.
The over-under line has come down from 53 to 51.5.
Central Florida Knights
This season Central Florida’s offense is ranked 61st in CFB, averaging 27.7 points per game. On average they come up with 5.6 yards per play.
Offensively, they prefer to lean on the run, with 54% of their plays staying on the ground. When doing so, they have been effective averaging 5.3 yards per carry.
When the offense makes its way into the endzone they come away with points 86% of the time. One area they could improve is converting 3rd downs as they move the chains at a 36% rate.
Defensively, the Knights give up 31 points per game, 87th in college football. Opponents are converting on third downs 37% of the time.
The strength of Central Florida’s defense is limiting opponents passing attack. So far they have given up 6.5 yards per pass, 25th in the NCAA.
Heading into this game, Temple has played the 118th toughest schedule in college football. Through seven games they have an average scoring margin of -19.5 points per game.
This season, Temple has struggled to put up points, scoring just 18.8 points per game. When playing at home, their scoring output hardly improves as they score 19 points per game at Lincoln Financial Field.
Not only does the team struggle to score, but they have a hard time even moving the ball, ranking 112th ranked team in yards per game at 314.
One of the reasons behind their offensive woes is their third-down conversion percentage of just 30%. In the red zone, they come up with points 85% of the time, 62nd in CFB.
Defensively, the Owls allow 38.3 points per game while giving up 412.7 yards per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Temple.
Free Week 9 NCAA Football Pick
Even though these teams aren’t separated by much in American Athletic Conference standings, this game should end with UCF winning by a wide margin.
4* Free Week 9 NCAA Betting Pick:
When looking at how these two teams compare, there aren’t many aspects where Temple holds the advantage. Offensively, the Owls are a slightly better passing team but struggle to turn this production into points.
Central Florida is a superior team in nearly every key statistic including yards per game, average scoring margin, opponent yards per game. and turnover margin.
Even though both teams struggle to keep their opponents out of the endzone, UCF’s offense is better equipped to take advantage. With an over-under sitting at 61.5, the SportsBooks are projecting a lot of points.
I can easily see UCF accounting for at least 40 of these points. If Temple is going to cover the spread, they will need to at least put up 30. They have only accomplished this feat twice this year.
In this matchup, I recommend taking Central Florida to cover the -10.5 point spread. I will also look to place a small wager on this game to under its total. This serves as a bit of a hedge. If Temple is able to keep the game close, that will likely mean it is a lower scoring game than expected.
4* Free Week 9 NCAA Betting Pick: Central Florida SU
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