Free NCAA Football Prediction: Golden Bears vs. Ducks Odds
Looking for California Golden Bears vs. Oregon Ducks free picks? College football betting sees the Golden Bears taking on the Ducks on Saturday, October 15th at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 7 predictions like this California- Oregon free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(5-0) California Golden Bears (1-4) vs. Oregon Ducks (4-1)
Date: Saturday, October 15th, 2021
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene Oregon
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Golden Bears +14.5, Ducks -14.5
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Golden Bears +470 Ducks -700
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 55.5
California Golden Bears
The California Golden Bears enter this week’s matchup with an overall record of 1-4. So far, the Golden Bears have played the 65th toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of -7.2. The Golden Bears are coming off a 21-6 defeat against Washington State.
The Golden Bears put up 152 yards through the air and 121 on the ground. Defensively, California gave up 332 total yards.
On the season, California is ranked 103rd in points scored, averaging 19.8 points per game. On the road, the Golden Bears are scoring 28.0 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 68th in the NCAA, allowing 27.0 points per game. Offensively, California throws the ball on 54.21% of their plays, leading to 239.2 yards per game. 53th in CFB.
On the ground, the Golden Bears have rushed for 136.2 yards per contest.
So far the Golden Bears defense has generated enough turnovers to give the team an even turnover differential. The California pass rush is averaging 1.8 sacks per game.
The Oregon Ducks come into this home contest with an overall record of 4-1. So far Oregon has played the 21st toughest schedule in college football, with an average scoring margin of 7.2. Oregon looking to rebound from 31-24 loss to Stanford.
In the game, the Ducks put up 186 yards through the air and 228 on the ground. Defensively, Oregon gave up 354 total yards.
On the season, Oregon is ranked 35th in points scored, averaging 32.8 points per game. In games at home, the Ducks are scoring 29.5 points per contest. The team’s defense is ranked 57th in the NCAA, allowing 25.5 points per game.
On offense, Oregon throws the ball on 40.28% of their plays, leading to 200.0 yards per game. 86th best in CFB. On the ground, the Ducks have rushed for 217.5 yards per contest.
So far, the Ducks have won the turnover battle, with a turnover differential of 1.8. The Oregon pass rush is averaging 2.2 sacks per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Oregon.
- Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Home team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Free Week 7 NCAA Football Pick
I am taking the California Golden Bears to cover the +14.5 point spread.
4* Free Week 7 NCAA Betting Pick: California +14.5
In a matchup between two Pac-12 teams, the Oregon Ducks will be looking to keep pace in the North division and need to pick a win over the last-place California Golden Bears. Oregon enters the games as 14.5 point home favorites.
Since 2003, 14.5 point favorites have covered the spread 46% of the time. On offense, Oregon has the edge, scoring 13.0 more points per game than California. Defensively, the Ducks are also the superior unit giving up two fewer points per game than the Golden Bears.
With both teams coming off bye weeks, I expect California to come into this game well prepared. Despite, all of Oregon’s advantages, I never underestimate an underdog’s ability to play up to their competition in rivalry games. In this matchup, I expect the Golden Bears to keep it within 14.5.
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