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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-28-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Habs/Bolts. Montreal's Carey Price is only allowing an average of 2.04 GPG in the playoffs, while the Lightning's Andrei Vasilevskiy is conceding just 1.9 in the postseason. The main reason these two clubs are here right now is because of their tough defensive play, and unbelievable goaltending. We know these teams can play defense. We know these goaltenders have the ability to "steal" a game on "any given Sunday." We don't have to question these team's defensive game-plans or mentality. But the winner of this series is going to be the one that can generate offense. Tampa would seemingly have the upper-hand in that department, as it finished the regular season among the best in almost all offensive statistical categories. The Habs? Not so much. But with a few extra days off to prepare for this one and to get their "legs" back underneath them after a gruelling journey to this point, I think it will indeed be these offenses which garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries. So that's my read/call in Game 1. I expect a faster-paced, more wide-open affair, one which sees the total fly over the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck...Larry |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights OVER 5 | Top | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Canadiens/Knights. This has been a very defensive series so far. The first three games "pushed" on 5, while Game 4 went well under in the Knights' 2-1 win. We're all tied up heading back to Las Vegas now and with the shift in venue again, I'm finally expecting some pucks to find the back of the net tonight. Clearly, Marc-Andre Fleury and Carey Price have stolen the headlines in this series, but note that the Canadiens have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten in trying to revenge an OT home loss to an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. Vegas is No. 1 in the league defensively, conceding just 2.18 GPG. But it's also the No. 3 offensive team, averaging 3.39 GPG. The Knights' defense has been stymied to this point, but Montreal could be ripe for the picking here after its late collapse in Game 4. The Lightning/Islanders series was also a very defensive one up until Tampa's 8-0 blowout win last night. I say this series takes a similar turn here as well as far as the scoring is concerned. Look for a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring Game 5. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-20-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -127 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* GAME 4 TOTAL is on the over Knights/Canadiens. This has been an evenly matched series. So far all three games have "pushed" on the O/U at 5, but in Game 4 I do finally predict more of a wide-open affair, as the favored Golden Knights look to control the tempo as to avoid a dreaded 1-3 hole. Vegas had a 2-1 lead heading into the final minutes of Game 3, before a late goal by Montreal, followed by the OT winner. Despite how the Canadiens ended up winning (whether you consider that a "lucky" victory or not), Montreal has played unbelieavably overall in the playoffs and I don't think it's getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers. Each team has experienced, World-class goaltenders and elite defenses, but note that the Knights have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last nine in trying to revenge an OT road loss to an opponent. I think Game 4 sets up great from a few different situational and trend based angles as being a faster-paced, higher-scoring contest. The play in Game 4 is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-18-21 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the UNDER Knights/Canadiens. Both teams lead the playoffs in most offensive and defensive statistical categories. Both have World class goaltenders and in this important Game 3 contest, I believe they'll garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. The past two games have gone under the number, with both defenses controlling the tempo and nothing is going to change here either. Marc-Andre Fleury and Carey Price are playing unbelievably right now and each has the ability to take over a game and a series. The Canadiens won't be out to push the pace here now that they have the advantage of being back at home. The last thing Montreal can clearly afford to do is to try and open things up and give these high-flying Knights any sort of momentum on the offensive end. Montreal has been incredibly disciplined throughout the playoffs, waiting for its opponent to make a mistake to then take advantage. Everything points to yet another highly-competitive, lower-scoring under in Game 3. Good luck...Larry |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 107 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* TOTAL WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER is on the over Avs/Knights. Clearly, if Colorado is going to get back into this series and push it to a Game 7 back on home ice, it's going to have to generate offense and go on the attack from the opening face off, until the final horn. These are two of the best defense clubs in the league, but they're also both in the Top 10 on the offensive side. We've seen defensive affairs that have gone to extra periods in this series, and we've seen a couple of high-scoring blowouts as well. I think Game 6 is going to be competitive for sure, but I believe it'll be a higher-scoring contest with the Avs forced to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Knights are adept at playing any style of game. They're also very opportunistic. With the Colorado defense having to join the rush, it'll leave the visitors open on the backside more than normal. Colorado, I'll point out as well, has also seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge back-to-back losses to an opponent. The stage is set for some offensive fireworks in Game 6. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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06-08-21 | Lightning v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Lightning/Hurricanes. It's do or die for Carolina. As good as the Hurricanes have looked all season and as much potential as they showed, they're clearly still no match for the defending champs. The Lightning have a big opportunity to end this series here and now, but clealry the Canes won't be going down without a fight. The first three games of this series were a tight defensive affair, but Game 4 turned into a shootout in the Lightning's 6-4 win. And one of the biggest reasons behind that was that the Hurricanes were forced to be the aggressor to try and get back into the series. They couldn't afford to play a defensive style of game and come out on top against the equally as defensive-minded Lightning, instead they had to push the pace from start to finish. And that's again the case here. And by pushing the pace with their defenseman in the offensive attack, it leaves Carolina open on the backend to this opportunistic Lightning offense. I say Game 5 will have a similar final combined score as what we saw in Game 4. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 121 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
10* FIRST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Canes/Predators. Carolina is desperate to end this series, and Nashville is holding on for dear life. I expect this competitive game to produce some offensive fireworks this evening. Carolina has a 3-2 series lead now after snapping a two-game slide. So far home ice advantage has proved to be the difference-maker in this series and while that trend may or may not hold true again here, everything points to a wide-open one that's for sure in my opinion. The Hurricanes are averageing 3.5 GPG in the playoffs, and Nashville is going to have to match pace here if it wants to extend. Note as well that the Preds have averaged 4.5 goals per game at home here in their two playoff games. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point to a high-scoring over in this one. Good luck...Larry |
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05-26-21 | Panthers v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Panthers/Lightning. Both teams are equally adept on both ends of the ice. Honestly, it wouldn't be terribly difficult to write a convincing argument for this total to go either way. So why is this total going to fly over the number? The Lightning will be out to atone for their lacklustre 4-1 loss last time out (it's interesting to note as well that the Bolts have seen the total go over in eight of their last 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in), and they'll absolutely want to avoid this series going to a decisive Game 7. The Panthers somehow managed to stifle this potent Lightning offense last time out, but they'll have to match pace with the home side here to once again avoid elimination. This isn't going to be a "chess match," it's going to be a "shoot-out" until the end. This one has over written all over it. Good luck...Larry |
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05-24-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 121 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
10* TOTAL WEEKLY WIPE-OUT WINNER on the OVER Wild/Knights. The Knights are on the brink of moving on after moving to 2-1 in this series. The Wild have to get something going on the offensive end after getting shutout in Game 4. The Wild are struggling defensively now as well, as goaltender Cam Talbot has struggled mightily over the last three games. The Knights finished the regular season ranked third in goals per game, and fourth in shots per game. Yes, Vegas was also the No. 1 defense in the league, but a small letdown does seem imminent against a Wild team that it has its back against the wall, and which has seen the total fly over the posted number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout loss vs. an opponent. The stage is finally set for some offensive fireworks. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-23-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
10* TOTAL LAS VEGAS INSIDER on the OVER Bruins/Capitals. The last two games of this series have gone under the number, with Boston winning both. The Capitals return home with their backs against the wall, in need of a victory. Will that happen? Perhaps, but whether the Capitals can push this series another game or not, I absolutely expect more of a wide-open game, a pace which I see leading to plenty of pucks finding the back of the net. Washington has seen the total fly over the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses. The Capitals defense is crumbling around them, as they've conceded 11 goals over the last three games. Washington will be forced to have its defenseman join the attack today as well, which will leave it more vulnerable than ever on the back end to this opportunistic Bruins' offense. Situationally and also from a trend-based stand-point, this one has over written all over it. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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05-18-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10* FIRST ROUND TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Wild/Knights. Two of the best defensive clubs in the league skated to a low-scoring 1-0 extra-periods decision in Game 1, but I believe Game 2 will be much more wide-open and ultimately higher-scoring. It takes a lot of energy to constantly back check and block pucks and after that defensive affair for the ages, I think we'll see a completely different flow to Game 2. Note that Vegas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last eight after getting shutout in its previous contest. Minnesota has seen the total soar over the number in six of its last eight after a shutout victory in which it scored two or less goals in. Look for the offenses to be a step ahead in this one. The play is the over. Good luck...Larry |
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03-13-19 | Devils v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER TOTAL is on the under Devils/Oilers (9:35 EST). New Jersey comes in off a 6-4 loss in Calgary just last night and I think it’s going to have a hell of a time here finding the same sort of energy levels in the second game of the back to back at this point of the season. Edmonton has been playing much better over the last month having won seven of its last ten. That includes a 3-2 OT win over the Rangers last time out. The Oilers play with revenge here after a 5-2 defeat in New Jersey at the start of the season, but the situation each team finds itself coming into this one, points to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion. The Oilers will look to dictate the pace of this one and in the end, I believe that everything does indeed point to the “under” as the correct call tonight. Good luck…Larry |
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03-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Flames UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Total Oddsmakers Error is on the under Knights/Flames (8:35 EST). These teams played last week in Vegas and the Knights scored the 2-1 lower-scoring victory. The Flames have been scuffling of late and they’ll be eager to get back into the winners circle and to avenge that setback. The Knights though laid everything on the line in last night’s 6-2 in Vancouver and I think they’ll come in predictably tired here in the second game of the back to back. Not only do these two Pacific division teams have a recent history of playing to tight, lower-scoring affairs, but note that LV has seen the total go under the number in 16 of its last 20 vs. teams with winning records, while Calgary has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of five already this year after three or more consecutive losses. Everything once again points to a low-scoring battle. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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03-04-19 | Oilers v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* NHL TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Oilers/Sabres (7:05 EST). Edmonton enters off a rare 4-0 road win over Columbus, while Buffalo is looking to bounce back after a 5-2 loss at Toronto. After losing 11 of its previous 12, Edmonton has now won four of its last six. The Oilers though are a poor 14-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.59 goals and conceding 3.29 in those contests. Buffalo is 19-13 at home, averaging 3.13 goals and allowing 3.03, but note that the Sabres have seen the total go “under” the number in seven of their last nine after allowing five or more goals in a two goal or more loss in their previous outing. I think these two inconsistent non-conference bottom feeders play to more of a lower-scoring battle than a wide-open shootout. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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03-02-19 | Devils v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Devils/Bruins (7:05 EST). The Bruins are 9-0-1 over their last ten games and they’re coming off a big home victory over Tampa to move into second place in the East (I had Boston in that one as my Feb. GAME OF THE MONTH.) The Devils come to town off a poor 6-3 loss at home to Philadelphia. The Devils will be going with Corey Schneider in net for this one and he’s been decent since returning from injury, going 4-3-1 with a 2.11 GAA in eight games. The home side will counter with Tuukka Rask, who is 21-8-5 overall with a 2.36 GAA. I have a hard time seeing New Jersey putting up much of a fight here. And there’s no need for Boston to put up much of a fight here. This number is a little high, play the “under.” Good luck…Larry |
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06-02-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the over Knights/Capitals (8:05 EST). Game 1 was a barn-burner with the Golden Knights prevailing 6-4. Vegas scored the first goal in Game 2, but then the Capitals would clamp down and in the end earn the 3-2 victory. I had Washington in Game 2 and Alexander Ovechkin and goaltender Braden Holtby, who made perhaps the save of the year, would come through in the end for the visiting side. While Game 2 stayed below the posted number, I think that Game 3 will feature a lot of scoring as each side pushes the pace from start to finish. So far Vegas goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury is 13-4 with a 1.88 GAA in the playoffs, while Braden Holtby is 13-7 with a 2.19 GAA. The Golden Knights come into this one averaging 3.06 GPG, while conceding 2.00. The Capitals come in averaging 3.48 GPG while allowing 2.62. I’ll point out though that Vegas has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 16 already this year when playing with two days rest, while Washington has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of six already this season when tied in a playoff series. As mentioned off the top, I think that each side will be playing at a frantic pace, which will in turn lead to a high-scoring shootout. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-28-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the under Capitals/Knights (8:05 EST). The Capitals’ Braden Holtby is 12-6 with a 2.04 GAA in the playoffs this year, while the Golden Knights’ Marc-Andre Fleury is 12-3 with a 1.68 GAA. I base my selections on many different things. Sometimes it’s about scheduling, or revenge, or trends, or the overall situation etc. This one is based mainly on common sense. I think the long lay off between series will cause each of these high-powered teams to come out with some rust to open Game 1. And that’s all these World class goaltenders are going to need to turn this one into a classic “battle” in net. For the record, Washington enters averaging 3.47 goals and conceding 2.47 in the playoffs thus far, while Las Vegas is averaging just 2.87 goals and allowing 1.80 in the postseason. I’ll point out though that Washington has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while LV has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of eight when playing with three or more days of rest. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-23-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the under Caps/Lightning (8:05 EST). Washington held on for a 3-0 win in Game 6. This has been a difficult series to predict, but with a trip to the Stanley Cup Final on the line, I think each team plays it “cautious” in Game 7. Washington goes with Braden Holtby in net and he’s 11-6 with a 2.16 GAA thus far in the Playoffs, while Tampa goes with Andrei Vasilevskly, who is 11-5 with a 2.55 GAA in the postseason. Washington is 28-22 on the road overall this year, averaging 3.04 goals and conceding 3.10 in those contests. During the playoffs though the Capitals have been averaging 3.44 goals and allowing 2.61. Tampa Bay is 35-15 at home this season, averaging 3.48 goals and conceding 2.94. During the playoffs the Lightning are averaging 3.13 goals and allowing 2.75. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league, but neither would have gotten this far without its respective goaltender. As stated off the top, I predict that each team comes out with a “cautious” approach, waiting for the other to make the first mistake. And in a scenario like that, I expect these competent netminders to be the main story lines in tomorrow’ summaries. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-17-18 | Lightning v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the over Lightning/Capitals. Tampa has made this a series after its 4-2 Game 3 victory. The Lightning though can ill afford to take the foot off the gas, as a loss would drop them to 3-1 in the series, a hole likely too deep to dig out of. Washington is going to have to match pace with its hungry counterpart tonight as it looks to regain the offensive form which saw it total nine goals over the first two games on the road. These are two of the best netminders in the league going head-to-head, but everything points to a wide-open “goal-fest” in my opinion. So far the Lightnings’ Andrei Vasilevskly is 9-4 with a 2.68 GAA in the postseason, while the Capitals’ Braden Holtby is 10-4 with a 2.18 GAA. Tampa is 29-17 on the road overall this year, averaging 3.53 goals and conceding 2.74 in those contests. Washington is 31-17 at home overall this season, averaging 3.35 goals and conceding 2.63 in those games. I’ll point out as well that Tampa has already seen the total go over the number in 23 of 38 this year after a victory by two goals or more, while the Caps have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last seven after a loss by two goals or more. With each team pushing from start to finish, expect this one to soar over the total sooner than later. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-11-18 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 45 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is on the under Capitals/Lightning (8:05 EST). Tampa took two of three in the regular season between these clubs. The Capitals needed six games to get by the Penguins last round, while the Bolts edged the Bruins in five. The Lightning come in focused, while Washington comes in motivated after finally getting the monkey off its back with its win over Pittsburgh, a team which had knocked it out of the playoffs in each of the last two years. Each teams possesses unbelievable offensive depth, experience and talent. But the reason these two clubs are where they are right now is because of their goaltending to this point. The Capitals’ Braden Holtby is 8-3 with a 2.04 GAA and he easily outplayed his counterpart in Matt Murray last time out. The Lightnings’ Andrei Vasilevskly is 8-2 with a 2.20 GAA and he’d also be the difference maker in the last round, getting the better of Bruins’ veteran Tuukka Rask. From a trend based stand point, this one sets up well for a lower-scoring goaltenders battle as well, as note that Washington has seen the total go under the number in seven of 11 road games this year when the total in the contest was set at six or more, while Tampa has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five when playing with three days rest. I think each side comes out a little flat footed, as fatigue becomes a major factor at this time of year. With each team playing it a bit cautious to start this series, it leaves the door open for the netminders to become the main focal point in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-07-18 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 34 h 4 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Caps/Pens (7:00 EST). For the most part Washington goaltender Braden Holtby has looked a lot better than Pittsburgh’s Matt Murray. That hasn’t always been the case historically though between these competent net-minders. The Pens will be looking to “shore things up” on the defensive though as they face elimination and with the home side putting a concerted effort onto that end of the ice, I do indeed expect a classic “goaltenders battle” in Game 6. The Pens are on the brink of elimination and they’re going to be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight. Washington is on the brink of advancing, but it has a long and recent history of complete failure in this position (2015 East Conf Finals 3-1 lead on the Rangers, only to fall 4-3 in the most recent.) The conditions definitely set up for a more of a defensive battle. I’ll also point out though that Washington has seen the total go under the number in six of its last nine when leading in a playoff series, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four when trailing in a playoff series. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-05-18 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 37 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the over Pens/Caps (7:00 EST). These teams are all tied up at two games apiece. Game 5 is an important one and I’m expecting more of a wide open offensive affair as each side pushes the pace in search of a crucial victory. Note that Pittsburgh comes in ranked as the No. 1 offense in the playoffs with an average of 3.80 GPG, while conceding 2.60. Goaltender Matt Murray was 10-12 with a 3.05 GAA on the road this year and note that vs. the Capitals he’s just 4-4 with a 3.26 GAA. Washington is averaging 3.50 goals in the playoffs and conceding 2.80. Goaltender Braden Holtby is 6-3 with a 2.07 GAA overall in the playoffs, but just 8-11 with a 2.90 GAA lifetime against the Pens. I’ll point out as well that Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in 18 of 29 this year after a victory by two goals or more, while Washington has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 31 of 50 against winning clubs this season. For all the reasons listed above, play on the over. Good luck…Larry |
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04-28-18 | Sharks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* O/U ODDSMAKER’S ERROR is on the under Sharks/Knights (8:05 EST). Las Vegas has been a truly amazing team. Without question the best expansion team in the history of sports. The Golden Knights embarrassed the Sharks 7-0 in Game 1. San Jose will be risking life and limb now trying to slow down Vegas, but the Golden Knights are equally adept at playing a “lock down” style of game as well, as evidenced by their low-scoring four-game series sweep of the LA Kings in the first round. The Sharks are now 22-22 on the road, averaging 2.68 goals and conceding 2.93 in those games. Goaltender Martin Jones is now 4-1 with a 2.05 GAA in the postseason this year after allowing four goals in the Game 1 blowout loss. There’s no reason not to think that Jones won’t be able to bounce back here though. The Golden Knights are 32-12 at home, averaging 3.55 goals and conceding 2.34 in those contests. Netminder Marc-Andre Fleury is 5-0 with a 0.54 GAA in the postseason thus far. I’ll point out as well that San Jose has seen the total go under the number in 18 of 22 this year following a loss by two goals or more, while Las Vegas has seen the total dip below the posted number in 17 of 28 this season following a victory by two goals or more. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-23-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Bruins/Leafs (7:00 EST). Toronto hung on for a 4-3 win in Boston in Game 5 and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done on home ice as well and push this series to a conclusive Game 7. I’m also expecting these competent goalkeepers to be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Boston had a 3-1 series lead, but it failed to the job done last time out. David Backes would score his second of the series in a losing cause. The Bruins are 23-20 on the road this year, averaging 2.91 goals and conceding 2.60 in those contests. Goaltender Tuukka Rask gave up four goals on 13 shots in Game 5 before getting yanked. Rask is 13-10 with a 2.51 GAA on the road this year. The Leafs are 30-13 at home, averaging 3.30 goals and conceding 2.65 in those contests. Frederik Andersen stopped 42 of 45 shots that he faced to improve to 2-2 with a 3.86 GAA so far in this playoffs. Andersen has to be feeling confident here though as he’d finish 23-10 with a 2.64 GAA at home. Additionally I’ll point out that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 17 of 24 this year after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven home games when the total in the contest is set at 6 or higher. With so much on the line for each side and with neither wanting to make any major mistakes, everything points to a classic goaltenders battle in Game 6. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-21-18 | Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the under Devils/Lightning (3:05 EST). When the smoke clears at the end of this one, I look for this total to sneak below the posted number. Tampa comes in off a hard-fought 3-1 win in Game 4 to grab a 3-1 series lead and in my opinion, everything points to a similar final combined score here as well. New Jersey comes in having gone 21-22 on the road, averaging 2.98 GPG and conceding 3.19 in those contests. Corey Schneider is 6-11 with a 3.25 GAA on the road, but he has gone 5-6 in 12 career games against Tampa Bay with a 2.94 GAA. Keith Kinkaid is 14-9 with a 2.97 GAA on the road and 2-4 with 3.33 GAA lifetime against the Bolts. Tampa Bay is 31-12 at home so far this year, averaging 3.60 GPG in those contests and conceding 2.91. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly stopped 27 of 28 shots last time out to move to 3-1 with a 2.26 GAA in the playoffs thus far. Note that he was 26-9 with a 2.84 GAA at home this season. I’ll point out as well that New Jersey has in fact seen the total go under the number in four of its last five after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing, while TB has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after a win by two goals or more. I believe the conditions are finally right for a tight-checking, lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-19-18 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the under Bruins/Leafs (7:05 EST). It’s the all important Game 4. Boston wants to take a strangle-hold on the series before heading home, while the Leafs will be leaving everything on the ice in an attempt to even it up. Fatigue sets in at this point and in my opinion, everything points to a classic lower-scoring under between these two hungry clubs. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 2-1 with a 2.71 GAA and .911 save percentage thus far. Note that he’s still 16-7-2 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against the Leafs. Toronto net minder Frederik Andersen is now 20-14 with a 2.53 GAA lifetime in the postseason and 10-1-0 with a 2.09 GAA lifetime against the Bruins. I’ll point out as well that Boston has seen the total go under the number in 16 of 23 this year after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-13-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the under Flyers/Penguins (7:00 EST). I had a play on the “under” in Game 1 of this series and that would unfortunately turn out to be a loser in the Penguins’ 7-0 destruction of the Flyers. Philadelphia will be laying everything it has on the line tonight to atone for that pathetic effort and to try to steal Game 2 so as to wrest back the home ice advantage. The goaltender matchup tonight features Brian Elliot of the Flyers, who is 23-18 with a 2.66 GAA, against Matt Murray, who is 27-19 with a 2.92 GAA. Philadelphia is 20-22 on the road, averaging 2.95 goals and conceding 3.00. Pittsburgh is 31-11 at home, averaging 3.71 goals and conceding 2.62 in those contests. I’ll point out though that the Flyers have seen the total go under the number in ten of 16 this year after scoring one goal or less in their previous outing, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven after scoring six or more goals in its previous contest, while also shutting out its opponent at the same time. I think the conditions are right for a much more defensive affair in Game 2 of this Opening Round series. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-11-18 | Flyers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PEFECT STORM is on the under Flyers/Penguins (7:00 EST). Pittsburgh swept the season 4-0 this year. Philadelphia will send out Brian Elliot between the pipes and he went 23-18 with a 2.66 GAA, while the home side counters with Matt Murray, who was 27-19 with a 2.92 GAA. Philadelphia was 20-21 on the road, averaging 3.02 goals and conceding 2.90 in those contests. Elliot has for the most part been spectacular whenever he’s faced the Penguins, going 7-5 with a 2.88 GAA lifetime. Pittsburgh is 30-11 at home, averaging 3.63 goals and conceding 2.68 in those contests. Note that Murray is 3-2 with a 3.00 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. I’ll point out though that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five in the first four of the playoffs, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five when playing with three or more days rest. These were a couple of the highest scoring teams in the league, but I’m expecting more of a defensive battle to open the playoffs. With these two competent goaltenders going head-to-head, everything does indeed point to the under as the correct call here. Good luck…Larry |
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03-14-18 | Penguins v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the under Penguins/Rangers (8:00 EST). Pittsburgh comes in off a 3-1 home victory over Dallas, while New York cruised to a 6-3 home win over Carolina in its most recent action. Pittsburgh is just 13-21 on the road though, averaging 2.89 GPG in those contests, while conceding 3.29. Casey DeSmith stopped 17 of 18 shots in the win over the Stars to improve to 4-4 with a 2.44 GAA this year. New York is 19-17 at home this season, averaging 2.97 GPG in those contests, while conceding 2.92. Henrik Lundqvist is scheduled to get the start between the pipes and he’s 25-29 with a 2.92 GAA, including 16-12 with a 2.81 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in five of its last seven following a non-conference game, while New York has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of ten after playing to three or more consecutive overs. I like Pittsburgh to duplicate its strong defensive performance from last time out and while the Rangers have been putting the puck in the net a prodigious rate of late, the trends above suggest a return to the norm is in the cards tonight. I think this one has “goaltenders battle” written all over it, play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-16-18 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Blues/Stars (8:30 EST). St. Louis will be eager to return to the winners circle after a 4-3 OT loss to Nashville, while Dallas is also out to atone this evening after a listless 6-0 home setback to the lowly Canucks in its latest action. With both teams looking to “shore things up” on the defensive end tonight after some embarrassing play in their previous outings, I do indeed expect more of a defensive goaltenders battle in this one. St. Louis enters averaging 2.83 GPG, while conceding 2.56. Netminder Jake Allen is 19-18 with a 2.74 GAA on the year, including 9-10 with a 2.81 GAA on the road. Not fantastic numbers, but certainly not horrible either. Note though that Allen has consistently been at his best whenever he’s faced the Stars, going 8-3 with a 2.20 GAA lifetime against them. Dallas comes into this one averaging 3.00 GPG, while conceding just 2.61. The Stars gave up just eight goals during a five-game win streak, but they clearly fell apart in the loss to Vancouver. Goaltender Ben Bishop is expected between the pipes tonight and he’s now 23-18 with a 2.50 GAA, including 17-9 with a 2.18 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in 17 of 29 this year against clubs with winning records, while Dallas has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of five already this year when playing with three or more days of rest. As mentioned off the top, the conditions and the numbers point to a lower-scoring under. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-12-18 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Lightning/Leafs (7:05 EST). Tampa enters this one off a 4-3 home win over LA, while Toronto comes in off a 6-3 home victory over Ottawa. Two capable goaltenders go head-to-head in this one (Andrei Vasilevskly and Frederik Anderson) and suffice it to say, I believe they’ll be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. The Lightning average 3.56 GPG and they concede 2.60. Vasilevskly stopped 44 of 47 shots against the Kings and he is now 33-12 with a 2.29 GAA overall, including 15-8 with a 2.08 GAA on the road. The Leafs average 3.21 GPG and they concede 2.77. Anderson stopped 22 of 25 shots against the Senators to improve to 27-19 with a 2.65 GAA overall, including going 14-9 with a 2.63 GAA at home. Despite being a couple of the highest scoring teams in the league (Tampa is in fact the highest scoring club), I’ll point out that the Lightning have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four against division opponents, while Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven after playing three consecutive home games this season. I’m expecting an all out contested battle from start to finish between these Eastern Conference heavy weights, as everything points to this one sneaking below the number once it’s all said and done. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the under Knights/Panthers (7:35 EST). I use many different strategies when doing my handicapping. I have found that using “common sense” is often the best approach. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Las Vegas comes in off a highly satisfying 4-1 win in Tampa Bay just last night and I think it’s primed for a bit of a mental lapse here. The Knights continue to defy the odds, but with a much more “winnable” game at Carolina on Sunday to end its road trip, it’s not too hard to imagine the over-achieving visiting side in some small way, also “looking ahead” to that one. Florida will look to take advantage. The Panthers have lost four of five, most recently a 4-2 setback at home to Calgary. Clearly Florida won’t be taking anything for granted as it looks to atone for its recent shoddy play. I’ll point out that Las Vegas has seen the total go under the number in five of six so far in 2018, while Florida has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 17 following a non-conference game. This one has low-scoring “goaltenders battle” written all over it. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Sharks/Kings (4:05 EST). San Jose comes into this one off a tough 6-5 OT home win over Arizona, while LA enters off a 4-2 home setback to Anaheim. A couple of competent goaltenders in Jonathan Quick and Martin Jones go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, all signs point to classic “battle.” The Sharks come into this one averaging 2.78 GPG, while conceding just 2.66 (ranked sixth.) Jones is 13-14 with a 2.65 GAA this year, but he’s almost always been at his best whenever facing the Kings, going s sharp 8-5 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against them. LA averages 2.93 GPG and it concedes only 2.40 (ranked first overall.) Quick is 19-16 with a 2.33 GAA (owns a lifetime 2.52 GAA against San Jose.) I’ll point out as well that San Jose has seen the total go under the number in four of its last six after posting an OT victory in its previous outing in which it scored five goals or more in, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its three after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-09-18 | Hurricanes v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Hurricanes/Lightning (7:35 EST). Florida enters off a 7-1 road loss to Boston, while Tampa enters off a 5-2 road victory over Detroit. After winning seven of eight, the Panthers have now lost three of four. Florida enters averaging 2.73 GPG, while conceding 3.00. Cam Ward is 11-5 with a 2.63 GAA, including 6-3 with a 2.81 GAA on the road. Tampa broke a two-game slide with the convincing victory over the Red Wings and it now averages 3.61 GPG, while conceding just 2.41. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskly is an amazing 26-8 with a 2.04 GAA, including 15-2 with a 2.19 GAA at home. I’ll point out as well that Carolina has seen the total go under the number in six of ten already this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Tampa has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last six against clubs with losing records. I think tomorrow’s summaries will be dominated with the talk of these two competent net minders. While each team comes in off a high-scoring affair, everything points to a lower-scoring under in this one. Good luck…Larry |
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12-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER is on the over Hawks/Stars (8:35 EST). Analysis posted at least six hours before game time. |
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12-05-17 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* Fan Appreciation O/U Oddsmaker’s Error is the under Rangers/Penguins (7:35 EST). New York comes to town off a 5-1 home win over the Hurricanes, while Pittsburgh enters off a 5-1 home win over the Sabres. New York averages 3.31 GPG and concedes 2.96. Goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is 13-8 with a 2.66 GAA. Lundqvist has had plenty of success against the Penguins over his career, posting a solid 2.51 lifetime GAA (in over 60 games played!) The Penguins average 2.96 GPG and concede 3.21. Goaltender Tristan Jarry is 4-2 with a 1.99 GAA, including 3-0 with a 2.07 GAA at home. I’ll point out that New York has seen the total go under the number in six of ten this year against teams with winning records, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go under in five of seven home games when the total in the contest is set at 6 or more. I think these goaltenders will be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the under. Good luck….Larry |
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11-27-17 | Panthers v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the over Panthers/Devils (7:00 EST). Florida comes in off a 4-1 home loss to Chicago, while the Devils enter off a 4-3 OT victory over Detroit. So far the Panthers average 2.82 GPG, while conceding 3.45. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is 5-6 with a 2.71 GAA. Luongo is also 12-16 with a 2.76 GAA lifetime against New Jersey. The Devils average 3.22 GPG, while allowing 3.00. Netminder Corey Schneider who is 9-7 with a 2.76 GAA this year. I’ll point out though that Florida has seen the total go over the number in nine of 12 this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and in seven of ten after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest, while New Jersey has seen the total sail above the posted number in six of its last 11 against clubs with losing records. Suspect defensive play, combined with below average goaltending at the moment, points to this total flying over the number as the game comes donw the stretch. Good luck…Larry |
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11-04-17 | Penguins v. Canucks OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
My 8* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the over Penguins/Canucks (10:05 EST). The Canucks won four in a row, but have since dropped two straight. The Pens can empathize, they’ve lost three of their last four, most recently falling to Calgary in OT. With both teams looking to break out of their respective “funks,” I’m expecting a fast-paced, wide-open “shootout” this evening. Pittsburgh is going to be especially motivated here, as the 2-1 OT setback in Calgary marked the fourth time in its last five road games in which it’s managed to net just one goal. I’ll point out though that the defending champs have seen the total go over the number in 11 of their last 16 after playing three consecutive road games, while the Canucks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 31 of their last 56 non-conference contests. With each team pushing the pace and desperate for a win, everything points to this one going over sooner rather than later. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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10-09-17 | Capitals v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Capitals/Lightning. I base my selections on many different things. Sometimes it’s all about the players on the acutal field (or ice in this case.) Other times though it’s about scheduling, the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into a contest, or even strong or lop-sided trends. In this case I simply feel this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the under. Washington has opened the season with back-to-back high-scoring victories, beating Ottawa 5-4 in a shootout on Opening Night, before a convincing 6-1 win at home over Montreal on Saturday. With a matchup against rival Pittsburgh at home on Wednesday, this one does indeed set up as a “trap” game for the Capitals in many respects. Tampa also comes in off back-to-back high-scoring games to open the season, beating the Panthers at home 5-3 on Opening Nght, before then falling 5-4 in Florida the following night. With three whole days off after this game, before a meeting at home against the Penguins on Friday, this also does set up as a bit of a trap for the home side as well. While I’m expecting a very competitive affair, I think it’ll be the starting goaltenders which are the mainy story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. These teams feature high-powered offenses, but they’re also backed by some of the best goaltending on the planet. A great overall “situational” play. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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10-09-17 | Blackhawks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Hawks/Leafs (7:05 EST). I base my selections on many different things. Sometimes it’s all about the players on the acutal field (or ice in this case.) Other times though it’s about scheduling, the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into a contest, or even strong or lop-sided trends. In this case I simply feel this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the under. The Blackhawks come in off two wild, high-scoring affairs to open the season, clobbering the Penguins 10-1, before then smashing Columbus 5-1. Now Chicago transitions for its first road trip of the season and can’t help itself in “looking ahead” to its game in Montreal tomorrow night. The Leafs have also opened the season with back-to-back blowout victories, handling Winnipeg 7-2 on the road and then beating the Rangers 8-5 at home on Saturday night. While I’m expecting a very competitive affair, I think it’ll be the starting goaltenders which are the mainy story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. These teams feature high-powered offenses, but they’re also backed by some of the best goaltending on the planet. A great overall “situational” play. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the under Pens/Predators (8:00 EST). So far two of three in this series have flown above the posted number, but I think Game 4 sets up as more of a defensive affair. It was 1-0 for Pittsburgh after the first period in Game 3 and famous Canadian broadcaster Don Cherry would go on to claim that the Predators might not ever score another goal on Pens’ netminder Matt Murray in this series. Nashville would then go on to score three goals in the second period, en route to the 5-1 blowout. Predators’ netminder Pekka Rinne returned to form and the league’s No. 1 defense in the postseason looked fantastic after a shaky couple of games in Pittsburgh. Murray has all the tools and experience to bounce back himself though, so I’m not reading too much into one sub-par effort. The trends/numbers also support our play on the “under,” as note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in six of its last nine in the Stanley Cup Finals, while Nashville has seen the total go under in three of its last four after holding an opponent to one goal or less in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-31-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Predators/Penguins (8:00 EST). I had a play on the Predators in Game 1 and obviously came up short. I’m going to steer clear of the side in this one and instead focus on the total. After the high-scoring 5-3 victory for the Penguins, I’m expecting a much more tightly checked/contested affair in Game 2 and I look for these all star goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Pittsburgh scored three goals in the first period and then tallied zero shots in the second period. Nashville scored once in the second period and then two more in the third to tie it 3-3, but then the champs bounced back and managed to pull away. What was up with Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne? He came into the Stanley Cup Final as the No. 1 goaltender, but he looked horrible, allowing the five goals on just 12 total shots. It was an unbelievably horrible night-mare outing for Rinne, but I am absolutely not reading too much into it. Despite the atrocious performance, he’s still 12-5 with a 1.83 GAA in the postseason. Pittsburgh was clearly “lucky” to win that game, considering it only had 12 shots on net. If the Pens only manage 12 shots tonight, I’d be surprised if they manage a single goal. Goaltender Matt Murray is 4-1 with a 1.62 GAA in the playoffs for the Penguins. I’ll point out as well that Nashville has seen the total go under the number in 12 of 21 following a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of its last seven in the Stanley Cup Final. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-25-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 35 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the over Senators/Penguins (8:00 EST). For the most part I’ve had a pretty good read on this series, although I did have a loser with the Penguins in Game 6. This has been a highly competitive series which has featured great goaltending at times and great offensive apptititude in others. The Senators’ Craig Anderson looked brilliant in Game 6, after getting destroyed 7-0 in Game 5. Pittsburgh has used both Marc-Andre Fleury and Matt Murray in this series, but it’ll be Murray that gets the call tonight. But for this pick, I think it’s going to be the offenses that everyone is talking about tomorrow morning. It’s do-or-die, a winner takes all trip to the Stanley Cup Final on the line and suffice it to say, I’m expecting some fireworks! And note, Ottawa has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in all four games so far in the playoffs when tied in a series, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go over the number in ten of 15 this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-21-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER TOTAL is the over Senators/Penguins (3:00 EST). Ottawa had a great opportunity to take a strangle-hold on this series, but came out flat in Game 4 and now it heads back to Pennsylvania for Game 5 all tied up at two games apiece with the defending champs. Both teams have looked great at times in this series and pretty average in others. For the most part Ottawa wins games with its defense, while the Penguins win with their offense. Ottawa is ranked seventh in the playoffs in scoring with 2.69 per game, while conceding the sixth lowest at 2.44. Pittsbrugh is ranked No. 2 in the postseason on offense with 2.94 GPG, while ranked seventh in least goals allowed with 2.50 conceded. I’ll call the Sens’ Craig Anderson and the Pens’ Matt Murray a “wash” in net. But note, Ottawa has in fact seen the total go over the number in all three games that it’s played in the postseason when tied in a playoff series, while Pittsburgh has seen the total eclipse the posted number in two of its last three home games where the total is five or less. I think the situation lends itself to a faster-paced, higher-scoring shootout. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-20-17 | Predators v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 32 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U PERFECT STORM on the over Predators/Ducks (7:15 EST). I had a play on the “over” in Game 4 and feel rather lucky to have earned the “push,” as after being down 2-0 for most of the game, the Predators would score two late ones to push the game to OT in the Ducks eventual 3-2 victory. This series is all knotted up at two and suffice it to say, I do definitely expect a more wide open affair in Game 5 and look for this one to fly over the posted number sooner rather than later. Clearly Nashville will be looking for a better start after the sluggish Game 4 performance, getting outshot 14-2 in the first period. Anaheim fell apart defensively late, but kept its playoff goal average going at a steady three GPG, ranked No. 1 overall. From a trend based stand point, this one also sets up a great as a higher-scoring affair, as note that the Predators have seen the total go over the number in 11 of 16 this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while the Ducks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of their last seven conference finals matchups. With both teams pushing the pace, all signs do indeed point to a higher-scoring “over.” Good luck…Larry |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the over Ducks/Predators (8:00 EST). Nashville has been the stingiest team in the playoffs this year, conceding just 1.76 GPG thus far. The Ducks are the highest scoring team in the league in the postseason, averaging over 3 GPG. But Anaheim has also been one of the worst on the defensive end in conceding 2.96 per contest. Anaheim has been brilliant in this spot for bettors over the years, going 5-2 in its last seven when trailing in a playoff series. But I have a hard time betting against Nashville right now, as it’s one of the best in front of the home town crowd. Clearly the Predators have the better goaltending in Pekka Rinne, as the Ducks’ John Gibson has been nothing more than “serviceable” so far in the playoffs, going 8-5 with a 2.74 GAA and .915 save percentage. I’ll point out though that the Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year when trailing in a playoff series, while the Predators have seen the total sail above the posted number in three of their last four after allowing one goal or less in their previous contest. With Anaheim pushing the pace from start to finish, all signs do indeed point to a higher-scoring affair in Game 4. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-16-17 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is the under Ducks/Predators (8:00 EST). I took Anaheim in Game 1 and lost and then came back with the Ducks -1.5 +275 on the PUCK-LINE in Game 2. When I released that pick, I had a very good feeling that the team could score an empty netter and that’s exactly what happened. Perhaps a little too close for comfort, but regardless, it now goes down as likely my most legendary NHL playoff release of all time. In Game 3 I’m expecting the Predators to do what they do best and that’s to lock this one down from the opening face-off until the final horn. Nashville comes into this one ranked as the No. 1 defensive team in the playoffs by allowing just 1.75 GPG. Rinne allowed four goals in a game for the first time since March 13th in Game 2, but there’s no reason to think he’ll have back-to-back lapses though (Rinne is now 9-3 with a 1.62 GAA in the postseason.) The Ducks have been good offensively, ranked No. 2 and they’ve been poor defensively so far in the playoffs. But note that Anaheim has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after a win by two goals or more, while Nashville has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three after a loss by two goals or more. I think the writing is on the wall and a lower-scoring goaltenders battle is in the cards. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-15-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 34 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the “over” Sens/Pens (8:00 EST). I had a play on the Senators +190 in Game 1 and Ottawa would go on to take the contest 2-1 in overtime. It was a tight game and really it could have gone either way. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair in Game 2 as Pittsburgh will be looking to do what it does best and that’s push the pace from start to finish. Ottawa will be forced to match tempo if it has any shot at another upset. The Senators were a solid road team in the regular season, going 22-19 away from friendly confines. So far they’re 5-2 in the playoffs (also interesting to note that Ottawa is 6-1 in OT games in the postseason thus far). Sens’ goaltender Craig Anderson is now 9-4 with a 2.37 GAA and .917 save percentage. Ottawa is ranked seventh in the playoffs in scoring with an average of 2.77 GPG. Pittsburgh is ranked No. 1 on offense in the playoffs with an average of 3.23 GPG, but it looked stalled for most of Game 1. I like the Pens to get untracked here though, note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last five after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. And note that Ottawa has seen the total go over the number in its last three after scoring two goals or less in its previous contest. Pens’ netminder Marc-Andre Fleury looked shaky in Game 1 and owns an unspectacular 2.49 GAA in the postseason to this point. For all the reasons listed above, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-07-17 | Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -135 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is the “under” Ducks/Oilers (7:05 EST). I had the Ducks in Game 5 and clearly I feel pretty lucky to have earned that win. The Oilers are kicking themselves right now after letting a three-goal lead with three minutes left to play slip away in Game 5. The Ducks scored a historic three goals in just three minutes and then won in OT 4-3. So far four of the first five games in this series have flown above the posted number, but I think the conditions are now finally right for a lower-scoring “under.” For one thing, both these teams are going to be dead tired after back-to-back extra period games. Both teams came into this series with red-hot goaltending, but neither John Gibson nor Cam Talbot have looked particularly good in this series. For arguments sakes, let’s call the netminders a “wash” in this one. What I will point out though is that Anaheim has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 23 this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest, while Edmonton has seen the total dip below the posted number in 16 of 25 home games this season when the total is set at 5.5. A couple of dead tired teams. The home side desperate for a victory to stay alive, with the visiting team looking to close out. When you add it all up, I think this one falls under the number once it’s all said and done. Good luck…Larry |
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05-04-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is the under Sens/Rangers (7:30 EST). Ottawa took the first two games of this series at home, before New York bounced back with a 4-1 win in Game 3 on its home ice. This should be a competitive Game 4, as despite the Game 3 setback, the Sens are still 27-12 their last 39 trips to The Big Apple. Craig Anderson will get the call in net for the visitors and so far he’s 6-3 with a 2.28 GAA and .917 save percentage in the postseason. The home side counters with Henrik Lundqvist, who is 5-4 with a 2.03 GAA and .935 save percentage in the playoffs. Obviously this is a major game in the series, either tying it up For New York, or with Ottawa taking a strangle-hold. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a very tightly-checked, “chippy” affair. I’ll point out as well that Ottawa has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five following a loss by three or more goals, while New York has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last eight in the second round of the playoffs. Lundqvist has given up just three goals over his last three home games. I’m banking on these two goaltenders on being the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-20-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens OVER 4.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Rangers/Habs (7:05 EST). So far the Over/Under is 1-3 in this series. At 4.5, this is the lowest total so far in the playoffs and in my opinion, it’s too low. The most common finishing number in the NHL is 5. With this series knotted at two games apiece, I’m finally expecting a much more wide open affair in Game 5. New York is actually better on the road than at home, finishing 28-15 away from friendly confines. The Habs finished 25-18 in Montreal and will be looking to avenge the Game 4 setback. These goaltenders are a “wash.” Both Henrik Lundqvist and Carey Price have a ton of playoff experience and each has the capability to completely take over a game. All of that said though, I’ll point out that the Rangers have in fact seen the total go over the number in five of eight road games this year where the total is set at 5 or less, while Montreal has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 19 of 31 this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, I’m expecting a higher-scoring shootout. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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04-14-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 5.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the the over Jackets/Pens (7:05 EST). It’s do-or-die for Columbus after falling 3-1 in Game 1. Heading home in a 2-0 hole would likely be too much for the Jackets to overcome agianst the defending champs. Columbus wasn’t able to take advantage of a last second goaltenders change in Game 1, with Matt Murray getting injured in the warm-ups, forcing veteran Marc-Andre Fleury into action. Fleury looked great, but I think he’s going to have his hands full with a Blue Jackets team with ranked sixth in the league in scoring with 3.01 GPG. Columbus goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has been solid all year and has enjoyed plenty of success against the Pens throughout his caeer, but note that he’s struggled in the postseason, just 2-7 with a 3.44 GAA in his career. Bobrovsky will be counting on his offense in picking up the pace today as the Pens come in tied with the Blue Jackets in scoring this year with an average of 3.01 GPG. I’m expecting a wide open affair and for this total to eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch. Play on the over. Good luck…Larry |
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04-02-17 | Predators v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is the over Predators/Blues (4:05 EST). The 39-27-7-4 Nashville Predators are in St. Louis to take on the 42-28-5-2 Blues and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it. Nashville lost 3-1 to Toronto before then bouncing back with a 3-0 afternoon win over the Wild at home on Saturday. St. Louis looks to get back into the winners circle after a humbling 2-1 shootout loss to the lowly Avs on Friday night. The Blues also play with revenge here, as Nashville has taken three of four in the season series this year. Nashville allows 2.7 GPG, ranked 15th overall and averages 2.9, which ranks ninth. St. Louis allows 2.6 and averages 2.8, ranked fourth in the league. I’ll point out that Nashville has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four after shutting out its opponent in its previous outing, while St. Louis has seen the total sail above the posted number in two of its last three after scoring one goal or less. I think each team will have its chances here and look for this total to indeed fly over as it comes down the stretch. Good luck…Larry |
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03-18-17 | Capitals v. Lightning OVER 5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Capitals/Lightning (7:05 EST). The 45-17-3-5 Washington Capitals are in Tampa Bay to take on the 34-27-6-3 Lightning and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has shootout written all over it. Washington will be eager here to return to the winners circle after a 2-1 OT loss at home to Nashville. In fact, the Capitals have now lost five of their last six. Tampa can empathize and will be equally motivated this evening after a humbling 5-0 home loss to Toronto. Despite that lop-sided blowout, the Bolts have in fact played pretty well of late, having won four of their last five. I’ll point out that the “over” is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the clubs in Tampa Bay. Washington averages 3.17 GPG and concedes 2.16. That defense has looked pretty mediocre over the last five games though. Tampa averages 2.67 GPG and concedes 2.70. I’ll point out though that the Capitals have seen the total go over the number in 12 of 15 road games this year with a total of 5 or less and in five of eight after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest, while the Lightning have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of 18 this year after allowing four goals or more and in 12 of 20 after a loss by two goals or more. Washington is chomping at the bit to break out of its funk, while the Lightning are also making a push towards the postseason. I believe everything points to a higher-scoring affair, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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03-17-17 | Sabres v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is the over Sabres/Ducks (10:05 EST). The 28-30-6-6 Buffalo Sabres are in Anaheim to take on the 37-23-8-2 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it. Buffalo looks to get back on track after a 2-0 loss in LA last night. The Sabres have now lost ten of their last 12. Over that stretch they’ve averaged 3.23 GPG, but allowed 3.43. Anaheim is 23-11 at home this year. It averages 2.58 GPG and concedes 2.49. Buffalo isn’t out of the playoff picture yet, but it needs to start stringing some wins together immediately. I’ll point out that the Sabres have in fact seen the total go over the number in 16 of 24 non-conference games this season, in ten of 13 when playing on back to back days and in nine of 14 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Anaheim has seen the total fly above the posted number in four of its last six non-conference contest. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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03-12-17 | Rangers v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the under Rangers/Red Wings. The 43-23 New York Rangers are in Detroit to take on the 26-29-11-0 Red Wings on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. The Rangers have won three of four before falling 4-3 at Carolina on Thursday. Detroit comes in off a 4-2 win over Chicago on Friday, a victory which snapped a four-game losing streak. These teams played on January 22nd and the Rangers would sneak away with the 1-0 OT victory. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting another hard-fought, lower-scoring affair this evening. New York uncharacteristically let in a couple late goals to the Hurricanes in its most recent loss. The Rangers average 3.2 GPG and concede 2.6. Expect to Antti Raanta back in the net tonight as he’ll look to rebound on the road. This will likely be the first time that the Wings have missed the postseason since 1989. Detroit averages just 2.4 GPG and is last in the league on the power play, converting just 12.4 percent of its chances. I’ll point out that New York has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after allowing four goals or more, while Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of eight after a win by two goals or more. I think the writing is on the wall and a lower-scoring goaltenders battle is in the cards. Play the UNDER. Good luck…Larry |
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02-13-17 | Coyotes v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the under Coyotes/Flames (9:05 EST). The 18-28-7 Arizona Coyotes are in Calgary to take on the 28-25-3 Flames and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has goaltenders battle written all over it. Arizona is terrible and it’s struggled the most against its own division, dropping 11 of its last 13 against the Pacific. Note that the Coyotes have just 12 road wins in their last 54 tries. And clearly that doesn’t bode well for the offensively challenged visitors in facing a red hot Flames team which has won four of its last five. This is a game that playoff hopeful Calgary can ill afford to lose. The Flames have looked a lot better on both ends of the ice over the last month and note that they’ve seen the total go under the number in ten of 17 against their division and in five of eight after playing three consecutive road games, while the Coyotes have seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of 17 against the division and in both games that it’s played in this year after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” I have a hard time seeing the visitors mustering much offense tonight. This number is a little out of whack, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-10-17 | Blackhawks v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the under Hawks/Jets (8:00 EST). Chicago comes in off a 4-3 OT win against Minnesota. It was the Hawks third straight win and suffice it to say, I think they suffer a bit of a letdown tonight. Corey Crawford stopped 35 of 38 shots and is now 21-12-3 with a 2.59 GAA and .917 save percentage. After three straight victories, the Jets come into this one desperate after back-to-back losses. Most recently Winnipeg fell 4-2 at home to Minnesota on Tuesday. With an injury to Ondrej Pavelec in the setback, Connor Hellebuyck becomes the No. 1 goaltender now. I’ll point out that Chicago has in fact seen the total go under the number in four of five this season after playing to three or more consecutive “overs” and in six of its last nine road games when the total in the contest is set at 5.5. And note that Winnipeg has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four home games when the total is set at 5.5 and in two of its last three after allowing four goals or more. The Jets are 4-0 against the Hawks this season and Hellybuyck has started all four and posted a 1.25 GAA and .961 save percentage. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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02-03-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is the under Jackets/Penguins (7:05 EST). The 33-12-3-1 Columbus Blue Jackets are in Pittsburgh to take on the 31-13-4-1 Penguins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will be more of a defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe by posting 6 as the Over/Under. The Blue Jackets won the first meeting between the clubs, hammering the Penguins 7-1. Pittsburgh will clearly be out to atone for that “brain fart” and has to be feeling pretty confident as it’s won ten of the last 14 in this series in front of the home town crowd. Columbus comes in off a 6-4 win over the Rangers. The Blue Jackets though had a 6-0 lead, before then managing to hold on down the stretch. Sergei Bobrovsky is expected in net tonight and he’s 28-11 with a 2.29 GAA on the year, including going 11-7 with a 2.45 GAA on the road. Note that he’s 10-6 with a 2.61 GAA lifetime against the Pens. Columbus averages 3.35 GPG and concedes just 2.39. Pittsburgh averages 3.55 GPG and concedes 2.90. The Pens came out of the break with a solid 4-2 win at home over Nashville. Matt Murray got the win in that one and he’s now 18-7 on the year with a 2.41 GAA, including going 10-2 with a 2.35 GAA at home. I think it’s important to note that Columbus has already seen the total go under the number in four of five this year after playing three consecutive road games, while Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three home games when the total is set at 6 or more. These are two of the best offensive clubs in the league, but they’re also both pretty good on the defensive end. After the wide-open blowout in the first matchup though, I’m expecting a much tighter affair this evening. These are two of the best goaltenders in the game right now and I think the spotlight shines on them. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is the under Hurricanes/Capitals (7:05 EST). The 21-18-3-4 Carolina Hurricanes are in Washington to take on the 31-9-2-4 Capitals and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has goaltenders battle written all over it. Carolina enters off a 3-2 road loss to Columbus, while Washington comes in off a 4-3 OT win over Dallas. It’s interesting to note that the home team has won six of the last eight in this series. Cam Ward is expected in net tonight for the Hurricanes, so far he’s 18-20 with a 2.54 GAA on the year. He’s 17-20 with a 2.59 GAA lifetime against the Capitals. Carolina is ranked 16th in the league in scoring with an average of 2.67 GPG, while ranked 17th on the defensive end in conceding 2.76. Washington could come in a bit complacent here, it’s now won 11 of its last 12 after taking down the Stars in the extra frame. Note that the Capitals have allowed just 25 goals over their last 12 games. Braden Holtby is scheduled in net for the home side and he’s 22-12 with a 1.99 GAA on the year, including going 14-6 with a 1.72 GAA here at home. Holtby has dominated the Canes throughout his career as well, going 9-4 with a 1.90 GAA. Washington averages 3.22 GPG and allows just 2.09. I’ll point out that the Hurricanes have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven on the road and in four of their last five road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Capitals have seen the total dip below the posted number in three of their last five home games against teams with a road win percentage below .400. I think the home side dictates the tempo and this one ultimately stays under once it’s all said and done. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-17 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -121 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the over Predators/Canucks (10:05 EST). The 20-16-4-3 Nashville Predators are in Vancouver to take on the 20-19-4-2 Canucks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Nashville comes in with a ton of momentum after winning three straight. Vancouver enters on the other end of the spectrum, having lost four straight. The Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne is 16-11-6 with a 2.40 GAA this year. He’s 10-8-2 with a 2.53 GAA lifetime against the Canucks. So far Nashville averages 2.74 GPG, which ranks 14th, while conceding 2.58 per contest. After winning six straight over the holidays, the Canucks have once again fallen on hard times, most recently dropping a 2-1 OT loss to the Devils. Vancouver averages 2.38 GPG and concedes 2.84. I’ll point out though that Nashville has already seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after playing to three or more conseuctive “unders,” while Vancouver has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of 18 this season following a non-conference contest. I think a desperate Canucks side pushes this one from start to finish, forcing the visitors to match pace. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-17 | Canadiens v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the under Canadiens/Red Wings (3:00 EST). The 27-11-5-1 Montreal Canadiens are in Detroit to take on the 18-19-6-0 Red Wings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has lower-scoring goaltenders battle written all over it. Montreal’s last road game resulted in a 7-1 beatdown loss in Minnesota. The Habs would bounce back on Saturday though by scoring three goals in a matter of 62 seconds in a 3-2 victory over the Rangers. Goaltender Carey Price had 29 saves on the night and is now 21-7-4 with a 2.34 GAA this season. Note that he’s 10-3-1 with a 2.05 GAA lifetime against Detroit. So far Montreal ranks fifth overall in scoring at 3.11 GPG, while allowing the ninth lowest on the defensive end at 2.52. The Wings are coming off a big win at home over the Penguins as back-up goaltender Jared Coreau would go on to make 28 saves. He’s 4-1-1 with a 3.12 GAA in place of Jimmy Howard. Offensive consistency has plagued the team though as Detroit still ranks the seventh lowest with just 2.47 GPG. Note that the Wings also aren’t helping themselves by conceding 2.95. I’ll point out that Montreal has seen the total go under the number in seven of 11 this year after allowing four goals or more, while Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four this season after playing to three consecutive “overs.” The Habs have already taken two off of the Wings this year, but all signs point to a much more competitive affair this time around, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-17 | Flyers v. Capitals UNDER 5 | Top | 0-5 | Push | 0 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the under Flyers/Capitals (12:35 EST). The 22-16-2-4 Philadelphia Flyers are in Washington to take on the 28-9-1 Capitals and for a number of different reasons, i think this one will turn out to be a lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Washington enters off a 6-0 home win over the Blackhawks and has now won eight in a row. The Flyers come to town off a poor 6-3 showing in Boston yesterday afternoon. Note that the under is 3-0-1 the last four games in this series. Flyers goaltender Steven Mason is 9-7 with a 2.65 GAA lifetime against the Capitals, while Braden Holtby is 6-11 with a 2.71 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. Holtby though is 21-12 with a 1.85 GAA on the year, including 14-6 with a 1.72 GAA at home. I’ll point out that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in four of its last six against teams with winning records, while Washington has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of 14 this year after scoring four goals or more in its previous contest. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-01-17 | Flyers v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER TOTAL is the under Flyers/Ducks (8:05 EST). The 20-14-1-3 Philadelphia Flyers are in Anaheim to take on the 18-12-7-1 Ducks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it! Philadelphia opened the season as one of the best offensive clubs in the league, but the team has regressed mightily ever since, most recently having been shutout in two of its last three games and having scored a total of seven goals over its last six games. Goaltender Steve Mason is just 14-16 with a 2.78 GAA and he left the 2-0 loss to the Sharks last time out with a hand injury. If he’s unable to go, then backup Anthony Stolarz, who is 2-0 with a 1.79 GAA will get the call. The Ducks can empathize with Philadelphia’s offensive struggles as they’ve scored just nine goals in losing four of their last five games. Goaltender John Gibson is 12-16 with a 2.58 GAA this year, and 7-5 with a 2.55 GAA at home. Gibson has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot as he’s 2-0 with a 2.00 GAA lifetime against the Flyers. I’ll point out that Philadelphia has seen the total go under in four of its last five against teams with losing records and in four of its last five when its opponent scores two goals or less in its previous contest, while Anaheim has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last eight in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days scenario. Neither team has been getting great goaltending, but each starter catches a break today in facing these struggling offensive units. This one sneaks under the number in the end. Good luck…Larry |
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12-05-16 | Panthers v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Florida/Boston (7:00 EST). The 12-11-0-2 Florida Panthers are in Boston to take on the 14-10-0-1 Bruins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one just screams “shootout!” Florida enters off a 2-0 shutout loss in Ottawa on Saturday. Goaltender Roberto Luongo is having a decent year, but note that he’s just 15-16-4 with a 2.45 GAA in 37 games against the Bruins, including only 1-3-1 in his last five. Boston has three wins and seven points in its last four games, most recently holding on for a 2-1 win over the Sabres on Saturday. David Krejci had his fourth goal and 15th point in the victory. These are two of the better defensive clubs in the league, but I’ll point out that Florida has in fact seen the total go over the number in four of its last six in trying to revenge loss against an opponent and in six of nine this year following a divisional contest, while Boston has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 14 of its last 22 after playing to three or more consecutive “unders.” The value has now swung the other way, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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11-28-16 | Stars v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 118 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the over Stars/Blues (8:00 EST). Both teams comes in off victories and I’m expecting each to carry that positive momentum over in this one. In my opinion, all signs point to a higher-scoring shootout. Note that the “over” is 4-0-3 the last seven in this series. Dallas is just 3-8 on the year and a struggling offense is the main reason why. The Stars have had to deal with a ton of injuries early though and as they get healthier, clearly the offense will pick up. Remember, Dallas finished among the league leaders in almost every single offensive category last season. The Stars have also been getting “hit-or-miss” goaltending this year, as Antti Niemi is 0-2 with a 5.55 GAA on the road. Note that Dalas is 29th in goals allowed, giving up 3.27 GPG. The Blues are 9-2 at home and have been riding red hot goaltender Jake Allen, who is 10-6 overall and 7-2 with a 1.42 GAA at home. Overall though St. Louis is in the bottom third defensively, allowing 2.68 GPG, which ranks 20th. I’ll point out that Dallas has seen the total go over in 22 of its last 40 when playing with two days rest, while St. Louis has seen the total sail above the posted number in five of eight against the division already this season. I’m expecting these rivals to push the pace from start to finish. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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11-27-16 | Flames v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF TOP TOTAL is the on the OVER Flames/Flyers (7:30 EST). Calgary comes into this one with a ton of confidence after winning three of its last four, most recently posting a 2-1 victory over the Bruins on Friday. The Flyers high-flying offense will be looking to solve Flames’ red hot netminder Chad Johnson, who is 5-1 with a 1.17 GAA in his last six games. And Philadelphia will surely be hungry here as it’s lost three of four. Goaltender Steve Mason is 5-8-3 with an .892 save percentage after a 3-2 loss to the Rangers on Friday. That ranks third-worst among NHL goalies with 12 or more starts. Note though that Philadelphia has had 40 or more shots in a game five times this season. I’ll point out that Calgary has seen the total go over the number in 18 of its last 26 road games where the total is five or less, while Philadelphia has seen the total go over in all five non-conference contests this season. I’m expecting a wide-open affair and for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Good luck…Larry |
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11-18-16 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the over Blackhawks/Flames (9:05 EST). Calgary will be looking for someone to step up and take on a leadership role over the coming weeks with star Johnny Gaudreau now sidelined with injury. Calgary beat Minnesota 1-0 on Tuesday and then followed it up with a 2-1 OT win over Arizona on Wednesday. The Flames are just 3-6 at home, but now have something to build off and they’ll have to be ready to push the pace with the high-flying Blackhawks coming to town. Chicago is third overall and began a seven-game road trip with a 4-0 loss in Winnipeg on Tuesday. Clearly the Blackhawks will be out to atone for that pathetic performance, note that it ended their seven-game win streak and was the first time that they failed to gain at least a point in 11 outings: “It's not how you want to start (the trip) at all," Chicago coach Joel Quenneville said afterwards. "We have tougher games as we keep going. They keep getting tougher and tougher and tougher. There's no easy games on the road anymore. We've had a favorable schedule here, and we know we have to play much better." So while neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs of late, I think the conditions are now right for these two hungry sides to finally put some pucks in the net. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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11-13-16 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -116 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* WESTERN-CONFERNECE TOTAL OF MONTH is the under Stars/Canucks (4:05 EST). Vancouver is 5-9-1 and has lost ten of its last 11 heading into this Sunday afternoon game against the Dallas Stars, who are 6-6-3. It’s safe to say that neither side is where it hoped to be at this point of the season. The Canucks main issue has come on the offensive end. Vancouver has actually gotten solid goaltending and defensive work, but the power play has stalled (the Canucks have scored on only 8.7 percent of their man-advantage opportunities) and overall the team has mustered just 28 goals. Dallas has turned things around of late with back-to-back wins at Calgary and Edmonton, but will clearly face a stiff test tonight in trying to secure a third straight away from friendly confines and especially against this frustrated and determined Canucks team. Stars’ goaltender Kari Lehtonen has posted back-to-back wins and he’ll have a battle on his hands with Canucks’ red hot netminder Ryan Miller. I’ll point out that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in 13 of its last 22 after playing three consecutive road games, while Vancouver has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 30 when playing with two days of rest. The situation and the trends all point to the under as the correct move in this one. Good luck…Larry |
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11-07-16 | Sabres v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the over Sabres/Bruins (7:05 EST). Buffalo is 4-1-2 on the road this year, while Boston is just 1-3-0 on home ice to start the new season. Despite injuries to key players, the Sabres will be looking to keep their run of good play alive on the road tonight, while clearly the Bruins will be looking to reverse their fortunes with a much better effort in friendly confines. From a situational stand point, this one sets up perfectly for a faster-paced, higher-scoring shootout. Buffalo most recently won 2-1 at Ottawa on Saturday, while the Bruins were clobbered 5-2 to the Rangers on home ice. Sabres goaltender Robin Lehner has played well of late, but note that he’s a sub-par 3-6-3 with a 2.64 GAA and .925 save percentage lifetime against Boston. The Bruins missed the playoffs last year, thanks in large part to their poor home record, finishing 17-18-6 last season. Boston could elect to play backup goaltender Zane McIntyre tonight with a game in Montreal tomorrow. Starter Tuukka Rask tweaked a previous lower-body injury in the loss to New York and will likely be given the night off. I’ll point out that Buffalo has seen the total go over the number in 25 of its last 40 road games where the total is five or less, while Boston has seen the total go over the number in 24 of its last 45 home games where the total is five or less. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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11-05-16 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE SUPER TOTAL is on the over Canucks/Leafs (7:00 EST). Vancouver has been getting decent goaltending during its somewhat stunning seven game slide, but it’s offense has been atrocious, having been shutout four times in that span. The Leafs are coming off consecutive victories, finally geting some decent goaltending behind their already decent offense. Is Vancouver’s offense really as horrible as the last two weeks of play would indicate? I’d say the answer is “no.” "They feel that we're getting chances, we're just not scoring," Nucks’ coach Willie Desjardins said last night. "They've played the game long enough that they know they will eventually come. If you're playing poorly it's tough. It's hard, too, when you've played well and you haven't got anything.” Frederik Andersen has played much better of late after a shaky start for Toronto, but note that the Leafs have seen the total go OVER the number in three of four this year against clubs with losing records and in eight of their last 13 home games with a total of 5 or less. And despite their offensive issues of late, note that the Canucks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four against teams with losing records and in three of their last four road games with a total of 5 or less. This hungry Vancouver team will be looking to snap the slide with a concerted effort on the offensive end and the home side will need to match pace. Everything points to the over as the correct call in this one. Good luck…Larry |
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11-03-16 | Oilers v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 105 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the over Oilers/Rangers (7:05 EST). Two of the best teams in the league collide on Thursday night and when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I’m expecting this total to eclipse the posted number. Edmonton is 7-2-1, while New York is 7-3 to open the 2016/17 campaign. The Oilers are looking to bounce back after a 3-2 OT loss in Toronto on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on future All Star Connor McDavid, as he’s been held pointless over the last two games. Cam Talbot has been excellent in net for Edmonton, but now faces a Rangers offense which leads the league with an average of four goals per game. New York comes in white hot offensively as well, having scored a combined 11 goals over its last two games against the Lightning and Blues. Henrik Lundqvist has been his usual dominant self between the pipes for the Blue Shirts, but now he faces an Oilers team which is ranked seventh in the league in scoring with an average of 3.10 GPG. I’ll point out that Edmonton has seen the total go over the number in five of its last eight road games where the total is 5.5, while New York has seen the total go over the number in a whopping 11 of its last 13 games after shutting out its opponent in its previous contest. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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10-17-16 | Avalanche v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Avs/Pens (7:05 EST). Pittsburgh is already 2-0 to open the season. The Avs are 1-0 after a high-scoring 6-5 win over Dallas on Saturday. New coach Jared Bednar assessed afterwards: “I liked the way we played offensively. I thought we were skating and on our toes, creating chances. (But) I think we have to get better defensively," Bednar said. "We made some mistakes defensively up ice that gave them some numbers and gave them some scoring chances early in the game, and also a bit later." Colorado will be looking to clamp down defensively against the dangerous Penguins tonight. Pittsburgh has gotten fantastic goaltending from vetern Marc-Andre Fleury to open the year, he’s stopped 73 of 77 shots so far, while posting a very respectable 1.92 GAA in the process. The visitors counter with backup Calvin Pickard, who stopped 47 of 48 shots in a 1-0 Avs OT loss in Pittsburgh back on December 18th, 2014. Note that Colorado has seen the total go under in 37 of its last 68 against clubs with winning records, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in 35 of its last 56 non-conference games. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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06-12-16 | Penguins v. Sharks UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 109 | 55 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the under Pens/Sharks (8:05 EST). I played this one early and paid a bit more to get 5.5, but if you can only get 5, I still love this selection. I played the over in Game 5 (the only total to eclipse the posted number so far in this series), but I think these teams return to their normal tight defensive play and look for this total to sneak below the number once the final horn sounds. I can’t see Penguins’ goaltender Matt Murray having consecutive poor outings, he’d uncharacteristically allow three goals on just 21 shot attempts. Despite the sub-par effort, Murray is still a fantastic 14-6 with a 2.14 GAA in the postseason thus far. Sharks’ goaltender Martin Jones will look to build off his best performance of the Stanley Cup Finals, he’d stop 44 of 46 shots and is 14-9 with a 2.16 GAA in the playoffs to this point. I think Game 5 was an outlier and am expecting these teams to return to their low-scoring, defensive ways in Game 6, play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
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06-09-16 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 53 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the over Sharks/Penguins (8:00 EST). So far this has been a defensive series, as the total has either gone under or “pushed” in all four games thus far. Pittsburgh has been able to slow down the top line of San Jose and the Sharks’ role players have been unable to step up and get the job done. The incredible depth of the Penguins has been on full display though and with a chance to win the Stanley Cup on home ice, it’ll be all hands on deck for Pittsburgh as it looks to keep the pressure on San Jose. This is a great situational play in my opinoin as the Sharks are going to be forced to open this one up more than ever and try to get a barrage of pucks on net. This is going to leave the team open on the back end at times, which will give the opportunistic Pens even more chances to capatalize. For the first time in this series, everything does indeed point to the over as the way to go in Game 5. Good luck…Larry |
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06-06-16 | Penguins v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the over Penguins/Sharks (8:05 EST). So far all three games have either “pushed” or fallen below the posted number, but I think that we’ll finally see a more wide open affair this evening and expect this total to eclipse the posted number once the final horn blares. The Pens looked great in Game 3, outshooting the home side 42-26, but they just couldn’t get the OT winner. During the regular season Pittsburgh led the league in shots per game and so far in the playoffs the team is averaging a whopping 3.10 GPG. Let’s face it, the Sharks were lucky to steal Game 3, but the bottom line is that the team is back in this series and can firmly steal the momentum with another big effort this evening. So far San Jose has been stymied by the Pens aggressive defensive attack, but I think the team will finally start making adjustments to get more production in front of the Pittsburgh net. I’ll point out that the Penguins have seen the total go over the number in nine of their last 13 when leading in a playoff series, while the Sharks seen the total sail over the number in three of four this season after playing to three or more consecutive unders. Everything points to the over as the correct call in Game 4. Good luck…Larry |
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05-24-16 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Eastern Conference Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the under Penguins/Lightning (8:05 EST). These teams have played to three straight overs and for the first time in the series, the total in tonight’s game is 5.5. I think the value has now swung to the lower-number as I expect these clubs to play to a tightly checked, lower-scoring outcome. The over is actually 20-4-3 the last 27 games in this series. Tampa Bay was down 2-0 until mid way through the second period of Game 5, before then exploding for four goals. At this point of the season, if you’re wagering on this game, there’s not too much more that I can tell you about these teams. The Lightning have been playing without their two best players (Steven Stamkos and goaltender Ben Bishop), but continue to get contributions from their younger players. The Penguins were the hottest team in the second half of the regular season and looked pretty much unstoppable through most of the playoffs, but have stumbled vs. Tampa Bay. Rookie goaltender Matt Murray was finally benched in favor of veteran Marc-Andre Fleury, who will now look to respond after the shaky Game 5 performance. These teams are very evenly matched, both are extremely deep offensively and equally as adept on the defensive end. Each also gets above average goaltending. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in five of seven this year after playing to three or more consecutive overs, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go under in four of five when leading in a playoff series. Play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-23-16 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Sharks/Blues (8:05 EST). St. Louis’ offense finally showed up in this series and scored the 6-3 win over the Sharks in Game 4. The Blues won Game 1, 2-1 in OT, before San Jose then took Game’s 3 and 4 by shutting out St. Louis entirely. I think these teams return to the status quo tonight though and expect this total to sneak under the number once the final horn sounds. San Jose committed an uncharacteristic 19 giveaways in Game 4: “That's not our game," Sharks’ forward Tommy Wingels said after the loss, referring to his team’s uncharacteristic mistakes. "We play three games (in this series) one way and one game the wrong way, it's easy to look at and see which one works and which one doesn't." San Jose will face a St. Louis team without the services of captain David Backes, which I think will turn the already defensive minded Blues even more so tonight. This series has been as much about the men between the pipes as it has about anything else after three of the first four games have gone under the number and suffice it to say, I’m expecting another “duel” in Game 5. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-22-16 | Lightning v. Penguins UNDER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the under Lightning/Penguins. This series is all knotted up at two apiece as it heads back to Pittsburgh for Game 5. The Lightning were in danger of going down 3-1, but jumped out to a 4-0 lead in Game 4, before then holding on for the eventual 5-4 victory in regulation. TB controlled Game 4 through the first two periods, but then lost energy and allowed the Pens back into it late. If the Lightning have any chance at stealing Game 5, they’ll have to duplicate what they did over the first two periods of Game 4, but make sure to keep up the intensity over the entire contest. There’s no need to hit the panic button if you’re a Pittsburgh fan either, after coughing up the four goals, rookie goaltender Matt Murray would finally settle down, he’s now 9-4 with a 2.33 GAA in the postseason (and note that he’s 4-2 with an even better 2.28 GAA at home). The bottom line is I have a hard time seeing the Lightning duplicating their big Game 4 offensive outburst and think all signs instead point to a classic goaltenders battle this evening. I’ll also point out that Tampa Bay has seen the total go under the number in 17 of 31 this season after scoring four goals or more, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go under in nine of 16 this year after allowing four goals or more. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-18-16 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the under Penguins/Lightning (8:05 EST). I took the under in Game 1 and got the victory, but received a “push” in my Game 2’s prediction on the over. With a shift in venue, I’m expecting the home side to once again clamp down defensively after falling in Game 2. Pittsburgh bounced back nicely last time out, generating a lot more pressure in front of the net, but the bottom line is that the Lightning accomplished what they wanted in earning the split in Pittsburgh. Despite the setback, TB has still won four of the last five with the Penguins. It’s also won five of its last six in front of the home town crowd. Whether starting goaltender Ben Bishop is between the pipes or not, I’m expecting a much more suffocating performance from the Lightning’s defense in Game 3. And despite their Game 2 victory, note that the Penguins have scored just four times in this series with 76 shots on net. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six when tied in a playoff series, while Tampa has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine in the same position. Play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-17-16 | Sharks v. Blues OVER 5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the over Sharks/Blues (8:05 EST). I played the under in Game 1 as I thought each team would come out a bit flat-footed in the opener. All signs point to these two pushing the pace of Game 2 from the outset though, which I think will reult in a higher-scoring over. The pressure is now on San Jose to respond, a 2-0 hole will be difficult to climb out of, so we can fully expect the Sharks to have the foot on the gas from the opening face-off. Heading into the conference finals, San Jose was converting on a whopping 30.9 percent of its power play chances, the best mark of all the playoff teams. The Sharks had tallied 16 goals in their final four contests vs. the Predators, which they dispatched in seven tough games, eventually destroying Nashville 5-0 in the finale. San Jose definitely had a “hang-over” in Game 1 of the conference finals though as it would fail to find the back of the net with three power play chances. It’s interesting to note that the Sharks are 0-5 in series after winning the previous series in seven games. Brian Elliot has been awesome between the pipes for St. Louis, but the Blues are also deep offensively, in 15 playoff games, three players boast 13 points, while three others have contributed at least ten. I’ll point out that St. Louis has already seen the total go over the number in all three games it’s played this postseason when leading in a playoff series, while San Jose has seen the total eclipse the number in nine of 14 this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous game. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-16-16 | Lightning v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the over Lightning/Penguins (8:00 EST). I played the under in Game 1, but with Tampa goaltender Ben Bishop injured and almost assuredly sitting out with injury tonight and with the Penguins hungry to even up the series before heading south for Game 3, everything points to a higher-scoring shootout in Game 2. Bishop hasn’t been completely ruled out as of writing, but if he does play, he won’t be at 100% obviously. Backup Andrei Vasilevskiy would stop 25 of the 26 shots he faced after coming into the game mid way through the first period for the injured Bishop, but I think he’ll have a more difficult time in Game 2 in his first official start of the postseason. The Pens will be looking to get pressure on net throughout, but note that they did generate 35 shots in the Game 1 loss. The home side will be sticking with rookie goaltender Matt Murray for Game 2, but there’s no question he looked shaky in the opener, allowing three goals on 20 shots. Finally I’ll point out that Tampa has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of ten this year after playing to three or more consecutive unders, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go over in 12 of 21 when playing with two days of rest. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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05-15-16 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 104 | 57 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* Western Conference Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the under Sharks/Blues (8:00 EST). A couple of Western Conference heavy weights get ready to battle in the Conference Finals and I think we’ll see a hard-fought, but lower-scoring Game 1. Rest invariably leads to rust and while each team will have cherished the couple of days off between series, I think they’ll come out a bit flat-footed to open this game, setting the stage for a classic goaltenders battle. St. Louis turns to 31-year old Brian Elliot, while San Jose is backed by Martin Jones. Both have been superb to this point and there’s no reason not too think that they won’t both be big story lines in this series once it’s all said and done. Note that San Jose has seen the total go under the number in ten of 19 this year when playing with two days rest, while St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in five of six this season when playing with three or more days rest. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-13-16 | Lightning v. Penguins UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 36 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the under Lightning/Penguins (8:05 EST). Tampa Bay swept all three games of the regular season series between the teams and while eight of the last nine between them have gone over the total, I believe there will be a small “feeling out” period in Game 1 and expect this to result in a lower-scoring under. The Lightning are now on the verge of returning to the Stanley Cup Finals for a second straight year after taking care of the Red Wings and Islanders in five games each. Amazingly the team has gotten the job done without leading scorer Steven Stamkos to this point, who actually could return as early as this evening. Bolts’ goaltender Ben Bishop has been a strong point for the team all year, he’s 8-2 with a tiny 1.89 GAA so far in the playoffs. If the Lightning have had one weak point this postseason, it’s been their power play, which has convered on just 16.3 percent of its chances (note though that Tampa Bay has more than made up for it though by allowing just 11.6 percent of their opponents man advantage situations). Pittsburgh was the hottest team down the stretch and has two competent goaltenders to draw upon in this series. Rookie Matt Murray is 7-2 with a 2.05 GAA in the postseason, while Marc Andre Fleury has won a Stanley Cup and owns a 2.65 GAA in the playoffs lifetime. Like the Lightning, the Pens finished in the upper 10 percent in the league in almost every defensive category. I’ll point out that Tampa Bay has seen the total go under the number in five of seven this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go under in 27 of 41 in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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05-09-16 | Sharks v. Predators OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the over Sharks/Predators (9:05 EST). So far home ice has played a big part in this series, with each team taking care of business in its own barn. San Jose is on the cusp of returning to the conference finals and has to be feeling pretty confident that it can get the job done tonight, despite losing Games 3 and 4, this is a team which knows how to get the job done on the road, going 31-11-3 away from friendly confines thus far. San Jose has so far averaged 2.9 GPG in the playoffs. Nashville has its back against the wall and will look to continue its strong play in front of the home town crowd. The Predators have averaged 2.7 goals in the postseason so far. I’ll point out that San Jose has seen the total go over the number in 16 of 27 this year following a victory by two goals or more, while Nashville has seen the total go over the number in four of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. I’m expecting a relentless assault from the home side and for this total to sneak over the number as it comes down the stretch. Good luck…Larry |
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05-03-16 | Lightning v. Islanders OVER 5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is the over Lightning/Islanders (7:05 EST). The Lightning have not won in regulation in their last nine road games vs. the Islanders, going 1-7-1. New York managed the split in Tampa Bay and will be eager to return to its own barn, where it won two of three from the Panthers in the first round. One player to keep your eyes on for New York today is John Tavares, who has 11 points in the postseason, but who came up short on Saturday for just the second time. The Lightning will also be looking to reverse their road fortunes in this series and have to be feeling pretty good about their chances after outshooting the Islanders 67-42 in the first two games. Tampa Bay though has been playing a bit reckless, it’s given up a number of stupid penalties, which the Isles have taken advantage of, going 2 for 9 on the power play in this series. I’ll point out that the Lightning have seen the total go over the number in eight of 14 this year after playing three consecutive home games, while New York has seen the total go over in 12 of 20 this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest. Everything points to a more wide-open affair like Game 1, play on the over. Good luck…Larry |
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04-29-16 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is the under Blues/Stars. The Stars would hold on for a 5-4 win in Game 6 at Minneosta to take its first round sereis 4-2 last Sunday. The Blues advanced by beating the defending Stanley Cup champion Blackhawks in seven games. These teams played against each other five times in the regular season and the Blues would go 4-1. Two of those wins came in OT and a third was decided in a shootout (note that each team also posted a 3-0 victory). These teams have already shown a penchant to playing each other extremely tight this season and there’s no reason not to think that Game 1 of this second round series won’t follow suit. These teams both have great goaltending, the Stars’ Antti Niemi had a pedestrian 3.36 GAA and .877 save percent in two games vs. the Wild, while Kari Lehtonen had a 2.27 GAA and .911 save percentage in four games vs. Minnesota. St. Louis would use two goaltenders as well through the regular season, but went exclusively with Brian Elliot to open the playoffss, a great move as he’d make at least 30 saves in six games vs. the Hawks. One major injury to keep in mind for Dallas is All-Star center Tyler Seguin, who still isn’t skating after missing the last ten regular-season games, while playing only Game 2 vs. the Wild due to a Achilles tendon cut by a skate back in mid March. I’ll point out that St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in four of five this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Dallas has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 18 in the same position. I think the stage is set for a slower-paced affair, which I expect to lead to a lower-scoring under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-08-16 | Blue Jackets v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
My 8* O/U PERFECT STORM is the under Jackets/Sabres (7:05 EST). Buffalo is looking to sweep this season series and to also win a season-high fourth straight in the process. Neither of thes clubs will be in the postseason, but these players will still be competing as they look to impress the coaching staff and to try and solidify their spots on the club next season. Buffalo is most recently coming off a 3-1 win over New Jersey on Tuesday, rookie Jack Eichel scored his 24th goal and assisted on Ryan O’Reilly’s 21st. Columbus lost its first eight games of the year, but has also shown some progress of late, it comes to town off a 5-1 win over Toronto on Wednesday. Brandon Dubinsky scored twice, while Brandon Saad added a goal and an assist. I think it’s important to point out that Columbus has seen the total go under the number in six of ten this year after playing to three consecutive overs, while Buffalo has seen the total go under in nine of 16 when playing with two days of rest. Everything points to a lower-scoring battle, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-04-16 | Kings v. Canucks UNDER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the under Kings/Canucks (10:05 EST). With just a couple of games left, the Kings are still trying to wrap up the Pacific Division title and home-ice advantage throughout the playoffs. LA though has lost five of its last seven, including four straight on the road. LA hasn’t won a division title since 1990 and comes in off a 3-2 home loss to Dallas on Saturday. The Kings have scored two goals or fewer in six of their last eight. Vancouver was outscored 28-8 over an 0-8-1 slide, but looked a lot beter defensively in a 4-2 win over the Sharks on Thursday and a 3-2 victory at Anaheim the following night: "I think we just have to stick together as a team and play our hearts out the last couple games," said Canucks’ goalie Jacob Markstrom. "We have nothing to lose." Note though that Vancouver has scored just six goals over a five-game home slide and it likely isn’t going to get any easier in having to face the Kings’ Jonathan Quick, who has had the Canucks number of late, going 9-3-1 with a tiny 1.07 GAA to go along with a .959 save percentage over his last 13 in the series. Everything points to a tightly contested affair today, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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04-02-16 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes OVER 5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Jackets/Hurricanes (7:05 EST). Carolina has played well since the trade deadline and still has a mathematical shot at making the postseason. With just four games remaining, the Hurricanes sit five points back of the Flyers for the second wild card spot in the East. Carolina comes in off a 4-3 win over the Rangers on Friday and it has gotten inspired play by some of its rookies, keep your eyes on 23-year old center Patrick Brown, who scored his first NHL goal in the opening period vs. the Rangers, before then assisting on Jeff Skinners’ tying marker later in the third. With a victory today, Carolina will reach the 20-win mark on home ice for the firs time since 2011. What I’m getting at, is that the stakes really couldn’t be higher for the home side, who I’m expecting to push the pace of this one from the opening face-off until the final horn. Columbus is playing out the tail end of a miserable season, the Blue Jackets opened with eight-straight losses and come into this one having lost four straight and eight of their last ten. Columbus though is still playing hard, most recently falling 4-3 to the Islanders on Friday. Brandon Dubinsky, Brandon Saad and Boone Jenner all scored. I think it’s important to note that Columbus has seen the total go over in ten of 15 this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Carolina has seen the total sail above the number in six of nine this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous game. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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04-01-16 | Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* Goin’ Over Total is the over Blackhawks/Jets (8:05 EST). Chicago has won three straight over Winnipeg, but to secure a fourth, it’ll have to do it without the services of top defenseman Duncan Keith, who high-sticked Minnesota’s Charlie Coyle during Tuesday’s 4-1 setback. The Blackhawks have now given up 3.1 GPG during a 3-5-1 stretch. A date in Winnipeg is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track though as Chicago has won five of the last six in the series and is 8-1-0 in its last nine at Winnipeg. The Jets are playing out the tail end of a miserable season and come in off a 2-1 loss to Ottawa on Wednesday. One bright spot for Winnipeg has been the play of Mark Scheifele, who has three goals and four assists during a five-game point streak. I think it’s important to note that Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of 14 road games where the total in the contest is set at five or less this season, while Winnipeg has seen the total go over the number in seven off 11 after three or more consecutive losses. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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03-30-16 | Senators v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Non-Conference Super Total is the under Sens/Jets (7:35 EST). Both of these team’s had decent starts to the 2015/16 campaign, but then quickly started to fade. With nothing on the line for either tonight, I’m expecting these two disinterested clubs to go through the motions and for this one to fall below the posted number once the final horn sounds. The Jets are coming off a 3-2 OT loss in Philadelphia, which has the team in danger of its fifth losing streak of at least three games dating to mid February. Sens goaltender Andrew Hammond was in net the last time the Sens played in Winnipeg on March 4th, 2015 and he’d go on to make 35 saves in the 3-1 win. The home side will be countering with Ondrej Pavelec, who has had difficulty with the Senators in the past, but who has posted a tiny 1.30 GAA over a 2-0-1 stretch. I think it’s important to note that Ottawa has seen the total go under the number in four of six this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Winnipeg has seen the total go under in 20 of 33 when trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Everything that I see when I look at this game points to a hard-fought, lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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