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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State OVER 63 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Clemson/OSU. A couple of 13-0 teams collide in the Fiesta Bowl and the winner will be headed to the Championship Game. It's going to go one of two ways obviously, either a low-scoring defensive battle, or a high-scoring shootout. And in my opinion, obviously it's going to be the latter. Both teams rank among the best of the best in the country on both sides of the ball, but I've been most impressed by each team's offense. Note that Clemson has averaged 54.2 PPG over its last six games. Note that Ohio State is the No. 1 ranked offensive team in the nation by averaging 48.7 PPG. Key Trends: - The Tigers have interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of their last four after two straight covers as the favorite. - The Buckeyes have seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of their last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 56.5 and 63. The verdict: They say defense wins championships, and while that may be true, to reach the championship game, I expect these two teams to open up the playbook and push the pace from the opening kickoff, until the final whistle; play the over! |
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12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force OVER 68 | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER WSU/Air Force. Yes the Cougars stumbled in their final game of the year vs. Washington, managing just 13 points in the setback, but I think that Anthony Gordon and this "Air Raid" offense take out their frustrations on the Falcons today. Gordon had 5,228 passing yards with 45 TDs and just 16 INTs. Air Force's defense is ranked better than its offense (20th and 40th respectively). The Falcons are the No. 1 ranked rushing offense in the nation with 292.5 YPG. WSU has a weak defensive front and I expect the Cougars to be "on their heels" from start to finish. Key Trends: - WSU has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a two weeks or longer break. - Air Force has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as the favorite. The verdict: With WSU throwing the ball to the cows come home and with Air Force exploiting this weak Cougars' defense, look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later! |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 220 | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGERS is on the UNDER Blazers/Jazz. Two teams hungry for a victory collide in this one and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe this one will fall well below the posted number. Portland comes to town rested after its four game win streak was snapped inexplicably by the New Orleans Pelicans. The Jazz though are in the exact same boat, as their five-game win skein came to a crashing halt with a blowout loss to the Heat in their last outing. From an overall "situational" stand point, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this year when the total is greater than or equal to 220. - Utah has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a run and gun "shootout." Play the under! |
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12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 47 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -104 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH is on the OVER Packers/Vikings. Green Bay travels to Minnesota in a pivotal matchup on Monday night. The Packers can wrap up the division tonight with a victory. The Vikings though have earned a playoff spot already with the 49ers' victory over the Rams, but they still have a shot at earning the division crown as well. As long as they win tonight. These teams feature two dynamic QB's and when the dust does finally settle at the end of this one, I think they'll have "stolen the show." Note that Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has a sharp 24:2 TD:INT, while Vikings' pivot Kirk Cousins has a 25:5 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last seven after completing a two-game home stand (including both such instances this season.) - Minnesota has seen the total soar over in four of five already this year vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: The Vikes play with revenge here. Cousins plays with a chip on his shoulder as he's 0-8 on Monday Night games in his career. The first game of this series went "under" the number, but the numbers and the overall situation each team finds itself in coming into this contest all point to the "over" as the savvy call tonight! |
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12-23-19 | Capitals v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Caps/Bruins. Two Eastern Conference heavyweights go head to head here and in my opinion, this one has "goaltenders battle" written ALL over it! For Washington it's Braden Holtby in net and he backs a defense which is ranked seventh in the league in goals allowed per game on the road. The home side counters with veteran Tuukka Rask, who anchors a defense which is ranked fourth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - The Bruins have seen the total go under the number in 11 of their last 14 after three straight losses in OT or the shootout. - Washington has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six home games following a home win by two goals or more. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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12-23-19 | Marshall v. Central Florida OVER 60 | Top | 25-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BONANZA is on the OVER Marshall/UCF. I'm expecting a complete shootout from start to finish between the 8-4 Marshall Thundering Herd and the 9-3 UCF Golden Knights this afternoon. Note these two teams had a similar opponent this year, as Marshall lost 42-17 to Cincinnati and the Knights fell 27-24 to the Bearcats. The Herd average 24.8 PPG and I think they're going to have to open things up here to keep pace with the high-flying Knights, who average 43 PPG. Key Trends: - Marshall has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 as an underdog (including in two of three this season.) - UCF has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when the total falls between 56.5 and 63 points (including in three of four this season.) The verdict: I think these defensive units take a back seat to these capable offenses; play the over! |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears OVER 44 | Top | 26-3 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* SLAUGHTER-FEST is on the OVER Chiefs/Bears. Kansas City has clinched the division, but home field advantage in the playoffs is still up for grabs. The Bears are now out of playoff contention though and are just playing for pride and to play "spoiler" here. Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky though will be plenty motivated here to try and finish out the season on a high note after struggling to start it. The Chiefs though will be looking to deliver the knock out blow on the National stage, note that they come in averaging the fourth most points in the NFL at 28.1 per contest. Key Trends: - Kansas City has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year as a road favorite of seven points or less. - Chicago has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after having won two out of its last three games SU. The verdict: I believe Mahomes and Trubisky will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State UNDER 49.5 | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on the UNDER WSU/Boise State. These are two mediocre offenses and two very good defenses going head to head. When you add it all up, I think this number is too high. Washington beat Washington State 31-13 in its regular season finale. Note though that Huskies' QB Jacob Eason had just two TD passes over his last three games. Boise State is led by Jaylon Henderson, who became the starter in mid November and who finished with 1,032 yards and 11 TD's. But as stated off the top, it's been each team's defense which has been its strength, with the Broncos allowing only 20.6 PPG and leading the MWC with 37 sacks, while the Huskies concede 20.4 PPG, most recently holding the Cougars air raid offense to 308 yards. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 13 off a win by ten points or more over a conference rival. - Boise State has seen the total dip below the posted number in its last four games when the line in the contest is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: Look for these defensive units to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots OVER 37.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Bills/Patriots. Buffalo plays with revenge here after falling at home to the Patriots earlier in the season. The Bills though come in off a big win over the Steelers and they now have ten victories in a season for the first time in two decades. Early on it was Buffalo's stifiling defense which "stole the show," but over the last month it's also been the improved play from QB Josh Allen and the offense. With nothing to lose today, I look for Buffalo to open up the playbook. The Patriots are 11-3, but many have doubts about the play of QB Tom Brady. New England's defense has shown some cracks in the armor of late and I believe it'll be pushed here by this hungry visiting side. Brady plays with a chip on his shoulder as well today as he tries to guide his team to two more victories and a final 13-3 record. Key Trends: - Buffalo has seen the total go over in six of its last eight after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. - NE has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season after covering as a double digit favorite. The verdict: The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stats, does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one in my opinion! |
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12-20-19 | Penguins v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Pens/Oilers. Pittsburgh's won three straight, while Edmonton has gone just 1-5 in its last six. The visitors are out to keep the momenutm rolling and the home side is desperate to get off the schneid. The Pens average 3.29 GPG and they allow 2.65. The Oilers are averaging 2.89 GPG and they're conceding 3.00. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh has seen the total go under the number in 11 of 17 non-conference games already this season. - Edmonton has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last five after scoring one goals or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I think the Oilers are going to have another hard-time finding the back of the net tonight. I'm wary of laying the price on the road favorite, but considering all of the above situational and trend based factors, I absoultely feel that the "under" is the savvy call in this situation! |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Habs/Flames. Montreal is 5-4-1 in its last ten and it enters off a big win. The Flames are 7-2-1 in their last ten. Montreal's Carey Price has been much better this season than last, but the biggest difference in my opinion in the "up tick" in play for the Habs has been on the offensive end this year, currently ranked eighth in the away from friendly confines. Calgary's recent turnaround has come on the defensive end, as the team is still only ranked 20th in the league on the offensive end. That said, clearly the team has looked a lot better during its recent winning streak and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas again here. Key Trends: - Montreal has seen the total go over in four of its last five after a win by two goals or more. - Calgary has seen the total soar over the number in four of its last five home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: I exepct a wide-open, faster paced contest between these two hungry non-conference opponents; play the over! |
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12-18-19 | Oilers v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the under Oilers/Blues. Edmonton is just 3-6-1 in its last ten. The Blues come in having won three straight. Edmonton averages only 2.79 GPG on the road, while ranked fourth in the NHL in goal allowed while on the road. The Blues rank 17th at home in goals per game average, while ranked ninth in goals allowed per game at home. Key Trends: - Edmonton has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine road games in which the total is set at either 5.5 or 6. - St. Louis has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 12 home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Look for these goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play on the under! |
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12-16-19 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Avs/Blues. The Blues are 10-4-3 at home and they've won two straight. The Avs are 8-1-1 in their last ten. Colorado has the No. 2 ranked offense on the road. The Blues are only ranked 18th on offense at home, but that unit has started to come together of late and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - St. Louis has seen the total soar over the posted number in three of its last four home games where the total is six or higher. The verdict: Both teams push the pace and this one flies over sooner, rather than later! |
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12-15-19 | Wild v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Wild/Hawks. Both teams come in off games just last night and because of that, I believe each will play more of a defensive style of play in the second game of the back to back scenario. Minnesota skated away with a 4-1 win in Philadelphia, while Chicago lost 4-3 in St. Louis, falling apart late and letting the defending champs come from behind. Minnesota though only averages 2.60 GPG on the road this season. The Hawks only average 2.82 GPG at home. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 20 after three straight home games. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 21 of its last 29 home games when the total is set at 5.5. The verdict: Two tired teams which have troubles scoring collide on Sunday night and in my opinion, the savvy wager is on the under! |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers OVER 40 | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL is on the OVER Bears/Packers. Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide in the frigid confines of Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written all over it. The Packers have been stalling of late, but they still have a chance for the No. 1 seed in the NFC at 10-3. The Bears though are 7-6 and they need to win this one to keep pace for a wildcard spot. Chicago though has won three in a row now, including probably its most impressive performance of the year in last week's 31-24 win over Dallas. More than anything, it's QB Mitchell Trubisky who has finally started to perform at a much higher level (244 passing yards and three TD's.) Packers' QB Aaron Rodgers has 23 TD's and only two INT's this season. Key Trends: - Green Bay has seen the total go over in 11 of its last 14 off a home victory. - The Packers have seen the total go over in eight of their last 12 as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: Despite the conditions, I think it'll be these two competent QB's which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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12-14-19 | Fresno State v. Cal Poly OVER 134.5 | Top | 62-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Fresno State/Cal Poly. These are two teams hungry for a win. Fresno State is 2-7 and Cal Poly is 2-8. The Bulldogs come in off a tight 69-63 loss to Cal on Wednesay, led by 21 points from New Williams. For the season the Bulldogs average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.2. The Mustangs broke a five-game slide with a 70-66 win over Sienna last time out and I think that first year coach John Smith's team can build off that performance at home. Key Trends: - Fresno State has seen the total go over the number in all three games it's played in this year as a favorite. - Cal Poly has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 16 as a home dog. The verdict: This one has the feel of a wide open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced "chess match." Play the over! |
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12-14-19 | Army v. Navy OVER 40 | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy. Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak. Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2. Key Trends: - Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest. - Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over! |
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12-13-19 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Devils/Avs. I think these teams easily combine to go over the number here this evening. New Jersey is desperate for a win here after six straight losses. The Avs have won seven of their last eight, so they'll have to be careful not to look past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. Jersey' netminder Mackenzie Blackwood is just 8-9-4 this season with a 3.00 GAA and the Devils are 30th in the league in GAA with 3.57. The Avs' defense hasn't been particularly sharp, but its offense has. Especially at home. Key Trends: - The Devils have already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after scoring one goal or less in their previous contest. - The Avs have seen the total go over in six of their last eight non-conference games. The verdict: I expect a wide open, high-scoring shootout at the Pepsi Center tonight; play the over! |
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12-10-19 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 105 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the under Leafs/Canucks. Toronto's already been through a lot of drama this year with the firing of their head coach and a rocky peformance from night to night. The Leafs continue a difficult West Coast road trip tonight in Vancouver, followed by upcoming contests in Calgary and Edmonton. Before a road win over St. Louis, the Leafs had lost two straight, scoring one goal in each of the setbacks. Frederick Anderson is 14-7 with a 2.54 GAA this year. Vancouver comes in off a wild back and for 6-5 OT win over the Sabres, but I expect a much more subdued pace in this one. No. 1 netminder Jacob Markstrom is expected in net and he's 8-7-3 with a 2.70 GAA this season. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of ten non-conference games. - Vancouver has seen the total go under in six of its last ten non-conference contests. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring goaltenders battle; play the under! |
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12-09-19 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. Oklahoma City comes in off a 108-96 win at Portland just last night, so I think it'll predictably struggle to put up much of a fight in this difficult road venue and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Would anyone blame the Thunder for having a letdown here either after winning four of five? The Jazz have taken a step back on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they're still conceding only 106 PPG on average. Utah got back on track after a three-game slide with a win over the Grizzlies last time. With three whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the Jazz to come out and lock down on the defensive side. Key Trends: - The Thunder have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Jazz have seen the total go under in all three games vs. division opponents already this year. The verdict: The numbers and the overall situation all point to the "under" as the savvy call here in my opinion! |
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12-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Jackets/Capitals. Columbus had difficulty in its opening game of its four game road trip, falling 4-1 in Florida and frankly I think this inconsistent CBJ's offense will struggle to find the back of the net in the Nation's Capital as well. Washington is fresh off a hard-fought 3-2 win over Anaheim and I think a similar final combined score is in the cards for this one. Key Trends: - CBJ No. 1 goalie Joonas Korpisalo enters Monday with a 2.85 GAA and 0.90 save percentage in 22 games. - Washington netminder Braden Holtby has a 2.78 GAA and 0.91 save percentage. - The Jackets only average 2.42 GPG on the road. The veridct: I think every puck is contested and in a contest like that and when also taking into account the rest of the above factors, I think this one stays well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 48 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 131 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Hawks/Rams. What's the first thing you think about when you look at these two teams? Clearly it has to start with each side's QB. LA turns to Jared Goff, who took the Rams to the Super Bowl last year and who will need to have a big day if his team is to win here. The Hawks turn to Russell Wilson, who has won a Super Bowl and is one of the favorites to win the MVP this season. Each team has an underrated defense though. The Rams allow 245 passing yards per game and 104 rushing. The Hawks allow 281 passing yards and 99 rushing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Seattle has interestingly seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing on Monday Night Football. - LA has seen the total go under in its last five games in revenging a loss where an opponent scored 28 or more points. The verdict: This is a big game for both teams. If Seattle wins, it clinches the division. The Rams HAVE to win to stay alive. I think each team tries to control the tempo of this one and put an added emphasis on ball control. These styles of contests invariably lead to lower-scoring games and that's exactly what I expect here; play the under! |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Ravens/Bills under. The Ravens have won eight in a row behind the great play of QB Lamar Jackson and a steadily improving defense. The Bills are also putting together an exceptional season, behind a stellar defense and an improving offense. There are many story lines to this contest, but I think that in the end, this one will fall below the posted number. Key Trends: - The Ravens rank fifth in the league in points allowed with just 18.2. - Buffalo has given up just 38 points over its last three games. The verdict: Both teams depend on the run to score, with Baltimore ranked No. 1 and Buffalo ranked No. 5. Five of these team's last seven in the series have fallen under the number and everything points to another low-scoring battle on Sunday; play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Suns/Rockets. These teams play little defense and each gets out and pushes the pace. That said, I still believe this number is too high. The Suns come in off a high-scoring OT win over the Pelicans in New Orleans, but they're still only 2-3 in their last five. After the marathon last time out, I think Phoenix takes a predictable step back here. The Rockets' James Harden is averaging 38.7 PPG this year. Russell Westbrook is coming off a triple double in a victory at Toronto. After the big win over the defending champs on the road, this does also potentially set up as a bit of a trap. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seeen the total go under in four of five thi syear when the total is greater than or equal to 230. - Houston has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 in the same position. The verdict: Addmitedly, these two teams are trash on defense. But I think the situation that each finds itself in coming into this one will help in contributing it to finally being a bit more of a defensive battle; play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis UNDER 57.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 102 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Cincinnati/Memphis UNDER. The 10-2 Bearcats meet the 11-1 Tigers for the AAC Championship and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a "chess match" than a "shootout." Note that the Tigers actually defeated the Bearcats 34-24 in these team's respective regular season finales. The victory earned Memphis the right to host this game. Bearcats' starting QB Desmond Ridder was held back in that loss because of an injured shoulder and if he does get the call today, one has to wonder about his health/form obviously? His backup Ben Bryant struggled for 229 passing yards and two INT's, while also getting sacked five times. Look for the Bearcats to once again run the offense through RB Michael Warren II. Memphis' QB Brady White has 3,307 passing yards this season with 32 TD's and eight INT's. But with the visitors looking to control the clock while they have the ball, I think today's re-match definitely sets up as much more of a defensive affair. Key Trends: - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 15 as an underdog. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 31 points or more in five straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah OVER 45.5 | Top | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Oregon/Utah. How will Justin Herbert and the Ducks upset the defensive minded Utes in the Pac 12 Championship Game? Definitely not by playing it safe and hoping for Tyler Huntley and company to make the first mistake. That'd be a recipie for disaster for Oregon. Instead, with the underdog airing it out from start to finish, I'm expecting a faster-paced affair overall and I ultimately believe this will then lead to a high-scoring "shootout" once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Ducks have seen the total go over the number in three of their last four vs. schools with winning records. - The Utes have seen the total soar over in four of its last five after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Faster paced = more points in my opinion. This number is low, play the over! |
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12-04-19 | Blues v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Blues/Pens. The Blues come to Pittsburgh off a 4-0 win at Chicago and they're now 18-5-6 on the season. Note that St. Louis has been exceptional on the road thus far, going 10-1-3. St. Louis netminder Jordan Binnington is 13-4-4 with a 2.26 GAA this season and he's 2-0-0 with a 1.99 GAA lifetime vs. the Pens. Pittsburgh has lost two straight, falling 5-2 to these very Blues in St. Louis, before a 5-2 defeat at Columbus. Clearly the revenge minded home side will be doublding down on the defensive end this evening after back-to-back beatdown losses. Goaltender Matt Murray is now 9-5-4 on the year with a 2.84 GAA. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in eight of 12 already this season vs. clubs with winning records. - Pittsburgh has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last ten non-conference games. The verdict: I'm banking on a slower-paced goaltenders battle between these two non-conference opponents; play the under! |
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12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Suns/Hornets. From both situational and trend based stand points, I think this sets up great for a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Suns are dire need of a victory here as they've lost three straight. The Hornets had won two in a row before falling 137-96 to the Bucks on Monday. Charlotte shot just 36% vs. Milwaukee. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in five of its last six as a home dog. The verdict: Two teams hungry for a victory battle tooth and nail and this one stays WELL under the number once the final horn sounds! |
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12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals OVER 47 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Rams/Cardinals. The Rams are coming off a terrible blowout loss at home to the Ravens. Baltimore has been playing incredibly tough defense of late though and I think that Jared Goff and company can rebound here vs. the porous Cardinals' defense. Arizona has lost four straight, but it comes out of its bye week and with nothing to lose (except another game), I look for Kyler Murray and company open up the playbook as they look to deal their divisional opponent another blow. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. Key Trends: - The Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of their last five following a home loss. - The Cards have seen the total go over the number in four of five at home already. The verdict: A repeat performance to the Super Bowl is now out of the question for St. Louis, but Goff is playing for his career and pride for the rest of the season. The Cards are rested and focussed and in my opinion when taking into account all of the above information, everything does indeed point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! |
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11-30-19 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 69.5 | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 79 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* play on the UNDER Oklahoma/OK State. The Cowboys have only beaten the Sooners twice since 2010. Oklahoma has won ten of 11 games so far. Overall Oklahoma averages 45.3 PPG, led by Jalen Hurts, while allowing only 25.5 PPG. OKS has won eight of 11 games. The Cowboys average 35 PPG and they concede 26.5, led by Hawaii transfer Dru Brown, who makes his second start of the season in placed of the injured Spencer Sanders. Key Trends: - Oklahoma has already seen the total go under in three of four this season when the total is set between 63.5 and 70. - OKS has seen the total stay under in both games that it's played as an underdog this year already. The verdict: I think these under-rated defensive units become the mian story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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11-30-19 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 96-137 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is the UNDER Hornets/Bucks. Charlotte only averages 105.7 PPG this year as it looks to find an identity after guard Kemba Walker left. Note that the Hornets have failed to score over 102 points in three of their last five. Devonte' Graham has been a bright spot by averaging 13.3 PPG. The Bucks average a league-leading 119.4 PPG, but note that forward Khris Middleton is expected to sit this one. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in four of five off an upset win as an underdog. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in interestingly its last five games after back-to-back no ATS cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is a tad high; play the under! |
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11-29-19 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 48 | Top | 30-39 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PLAY is on the UNDER VT/UVA. Both teams enter enter this rivarly game at 8-3. Each enters on a three game win streak as well. VT has won this matchup 15 times in a row, including a higher-scoring 34-31 win in last year's matchup. I think the overall situation that each finds itself in, coming into this contest will see a much more defensive affair this time around. This is a big game, as the winner take the ACC Coastal Division crown and will be in the ACC Championship game. VT's defense though is on top form, having posted back-to-back shutouts, including 28-0 over Pittsburgh last weekend. Tech QB Hendon Hooker has 1,134 passing yards, ten TD's and no INT's, along with 262 rushing yards and four rushing TD's. UVA beat Liberty 55-27 last weekend, but it was the first time since 2005 that the Cavs have eclipsed the 50 points plateau. Key Trends: - Virginia Tech has seen the total go under the number in its last three after three straight victories over conference rivals. - UVA has seen the total go under in four of its last five as a home dog. The verdict: While these teams have played to many high-scoring games in the past vs. each other, the overall situation and numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call this year; play the under! |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys OVER 45 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the over Bills/Cowboys. This is a big game for both teams. Buffalo has been riding its red hot defensive play all year, as the Bills concede just 288.6 YPG, behind only the 49ers and Patriots. But of late it's been the more confident play of QB Josh Allen which has stuck out to me; Allen now has 2,360 yards passing with 15 TD's and eight INT's. Dallas is coming off a heart-breaking loss to the Patriots and at 6-5, this has essentially become a must win game. The Cowboys clearly can't sit back and hope that Buffalo makes the first mistake. I absolutely think this one sets up as a high-scoring game, rather than a defensive war. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 as a favorite. - The Cowboys have seen the total soar over in interestingly six of their last seven after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think Rosen can match pace with Dak Prescott and the home side this afternoon. In what I expect to be a faster-paced game, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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11-27-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Pistons/Hornets. The Pistons beat the Magic last time out, allowing a season-low 88 points. Orlando was in a bad spot there though with a recent injury to star player Nikola Vucevic. Charlotte won't be resting on its laurels here though as it looks to break a five-game slide. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here as well afer a 109-106 loss to Charlotte at home at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go over in four of five this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - Charlotte has seen the total go over nine of its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the overall situation finally points to more of a "shootout" between these two clubs which normally struggle to put points on the board; play the over! |
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11-25-19 | Ravens v. Rams UNDER 47 | Top | 45-6 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Ravens/Rams. The Ravens are in the midst of a five-game win streak and they come to the West Coast with an 8-2 record. A prime-time game on the West Coast after such an extended run of stellar play could be viewed by some as a classic "trap" game. The Rams have won three of their last five, most recently holding on for a 17-7 win over the Bears. Clearly the last thing these Rams can do is get into a "shootout" with Lamar Jackson and company. With the home side trying to limit mistakes and control the ball on offense, all signs point to a lower-scoring under in my opinion. Key Trends: - Baltimore has seen the total go under the number in interestingly ten of its last 14 after allowing 14 points or less in its previous contest. - LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four at home already this season. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring UNDER once it's all said and done! |
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11-23-19 | Kansas State v. Texas Tech OVER 55 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT OF THE NIGHT is on the K-State/Texas Tech OVER. K-State is 6-4. The Wildcats have beaten heavyweights Oklahoma and Mississippi State, but lost to Texas and West Virginia. Texas Tech is 4-6 and it needs to win out to become eligible. K-State though will look to stop the two-game slide this week vs. an atrocious Red Raiders' defense. The Wildcats have a balanced attack with Skylar Thompson under center, so far he has a 10:3 TD/INT ratio, while the run game produces 192.9 YPG. Texas Tech QB Jeff Duffey has only played in six games and he already has 2,100 passing yards and 14:3 TD:INT. Overall the Red Raiders put up 470.2 YPG on offense ranked 17th in the country. Defensively though TT allows 480 yards per game, including 309.8 per game through the air. Key Trends: - The over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders last seven conference contests. - The over is 9-3-1 in TT's last 13 at home. The verdict: I look for a faster-paced, wide open shootout between these two hungry schools; play the over! |
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11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming OVER 50.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Colorado State/Wyoming. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Spurs/76ers UNDER. What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it different for every sport? I use a number of different handicapping methodolgies when making my selections, but I think the overall "situation" that each of these teams finds itself in coming into this contest is going to lead to more of a defensive affair. The Spurs have lost seven straight and they'll be doing everything they can to try and get off the schneid. Clearly getting into a "shootout" with the home side is NOT what Greg Popovich and company will want though. San Antonio is thin after LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan, so instead the visitors will have to control the pace of this one throughout. And for the 76ers, they have the Heat coming to town tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. This is a "trap game" for the home side and I do think it'll get caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - SA has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 off a win vs. a division rival. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a wide open "shootout." Play the under! |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the OVER Pelicans/Suns. New Orleans is finally starting to find its footing after having to start the campaign with Zion Williamson. New Orleans comes in off an upset win at home over Portland and I like it to keep the foot on the gas here as it looks to take advantage of a suddenly struggling Suns side which has dropped three of five. Brandon Ingram has been playing strong offensively for the Pelicans, as he averages a team-best 25.4 PPG. Note though that NO's still allows an atrocious 118.9 PPG on average. The Suns' once rosey start to the 2018/19 campaign is gone. Phoenix will be leaning heavily on guard Devin Booker to help them break the slide here; so far Booker leads the nightly charge with 25.4 PPG. Key Trends: - NO's has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a road underdog. - Phoenix has seen the total soar over in six of its last seven home games. The verdict: This one has wide open "shootout" written all over it; play the over! |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -117 | 37 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Colts/Texans. I expect a shootout. The Colts are coming off a convincing win at home over the Jaguars and they have Jacoby Brissett back under center. True RB Marlon Mack is out, but fortunately the Colts still have capable RB's in Nyheim Hines, Jordan Wilkins, and Jonathan Williams. Indianapolis' defense has been stout of late, but I think the unit will definitely get tested here on the short week and vs. a Texans team which was embarrassed 41-7 last week by Baltimore. Yes Houston hasn't looked the same since losing JJ Watt to injury, but this has essentially become a "must win" for DeShaun Watson and company. The Texans also play with "in season revenge" after falling by 7 in Indy earlier in the campaign. Key Trends: - The Colts have seen the total go over in three of their last four after a home win by ten or more points. - The Texans have seen the total soar over in eight of their last ten vs. clubs with winning records. The verdict: Both teams are 6-4. To say this is a crucial matchup would be an understatement. I think the offenses "steal the show" on Thursday night; play the over! |
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11-21-19 | NC State v. Georgia Tech OVER 49 | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER NC State/Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech is coming off a terrible 45-0 road shutout loss at Virginia Tech and it's now just 2-8 on the year. Tech is only averaging 16.5 PPG this year, but it'll do its best to play the role of spoiler here, as 4-6 NC State has to win out for eligibility. This is it for the Wolfpack, who limp in having lost four straight. Both teams struggle offensively, but I think we'll have a shootout on our hands once it's all said and done tonight. Key Trends: - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight after a loss by ten points or more vs. a conference rival. - GT has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The verdict: I think the home side opens up the playbook here to try and pull off the upset. And with the Wolfpack also laying everything on the line to keep their playoff hopes alive, I look for this one to indeed sneak above the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 222 | Top | 114-95 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Warriors/Grizzlies. The Warriors have lost seven straight, most recently a 108-100 loss to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Grizz have been better than expected this year, but they come in off a terrible 131-114 home loss to Denver. There's nothing positive to say about Golden State, as all of its star players are injured. The Warriors are terrible on both ends of the court, but especially on the offensive side. Memphis has also struggled defensively this year, but the hungry Grizz clearly catch a break here facing this terrible Warriors' offense. Key Trends: - Memphis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 24 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: With each side doubling down defensively, expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-17-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Sabres/Hawks. I think this is a great situational play. Buffalo broke a five-game slide last night with a 4-2 win at home over Ottawa, while Chicago beat the Predators 7-2. With both teams coming off high-scoring victories just last night, I believe that from a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair. Each will be tired, and neither will want to make the first mistake. Key Trends: - Blackhawks had 14 shots on net yesterday and scored 7 goals. They were outshot 41-14 and won 7-2. The verdict: I base my selections on many different things. I feel that being flexible with my approach works best. This total is high considering the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this contest; play the under! |
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11-17-19 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 40.5 | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Bills/Dolphins. Miami has won two in a row and it'll now look to build and to try and give the Bills a second straight loss in a row. For Buffalo, it's blazing start to the season is going to be in the rear view mirror if it can't start putting some production on the board. When these teams met earlier in the year though, it was Buffalo that laid the hammer down in the 31-21 victory and I believe a similar final combined score is on deck here as well. Key Trends: - The Bills have seen the total go over the number in six of their last eight after a loss by six points or less. - The Fish have seen the total soar over in nine of their last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: Buffalo's pissed about its last second loss in Cleveland last weekend and knows it has to get out and push the pace here. The Dolphins are riding high after a two-game win streak and Ryan Fitzpatrick and company won't be backing down either. This one could go OVER by half time! |
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11-16-19 | Arizona v. Oregon UNDER 68.5 | Top | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Arizona/Oregon. Arizona is 4-5 and it's running out of time to qualify for a berth. The magic number is of course six and winning on the road vs. the 8-1 Ducks likely isn't going to happen. Clearly though the only way that the Wildcats could pull off a monumental upset in this one would be to try and control the pace of this game. And that means keeping the ball out of Oregon's hands as much as possible. Arizona needs two more victories. After this its Utah and Arizona State. The Ducks are led by QB Justin Herbert, who has a 24:2 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in three of four already this year after playing a game at home. - Oregon has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. The verdict: Neither team plays great defensively, but I think the overall situation each finds itself coming in, combined with the above trends, do indeed make the "under" as the correct call here! |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Spurs/Magic. The Magic did much better than everyone expected last year and Orlando had high hopes coming into this season. But the Magic haven't looked good to open the 2019/20 campaign. That said, Orlando enters off its best performance of the year in pulling away for a 112-97 win over the 76ers. Nikola Vucevic posted a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds. The Spurs come in off back-to-back terrible efforts, allowing 135 points in a loss to Boston, before then falling 129-114 to the Wolves. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 27 points, five rebounds, and a couple of blocks. Key Quote: Spurs' coach Gregg Popovich clearly frustrated by his team's lack of defensive effort of late and said this after his team's last loss: "They executed, they were unselfish, and they made 3s. They had a lot of guys that played well, and they were aggressive. From our end, I think we were very challenged defensively, another poor outing." The verdict: I think both teams double down on the defensive end and I look for this competitive match to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Hawks/Knights. Chicago has won three of its last five, including a 5-4 win over the Leafs three nights ago. With two whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the hungry Hawks to keep the good on the gas here. Vegas on the other hand has lost three of its last five, including three straight. The Knights have also had two nights off to prepare for this one. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 25 when playing on two days rest. - Las Vegas has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 when playing on two days rest. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends are both pointing to the "over" as the savvy call in this one in my opinion! |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ROAST is on the UNDER Raptors/Lakers. The Lakers face a stretch of "easy" competition after the Raptors tonight. Toronto comes to town with star Kyle Lowry injured as well. After this LA faces the Suns in Phoenix, followed by home games vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta. The Lakers aren't even at full health, but clearly the biggest difference from last year's team to this seasons is the tough defensive play. LA's defense is being vastly under-rated here vs. this under-manned Raptors side in my opinion. Toronto's road ahead is MUCH more difficult. After this they're vs. the Clippers in the same arena, followed by contests in Portland and Dallas. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - LA has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 16 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Toronto is also without the services of big man Serge Ibaka due to injury. I have a hard time seeing the visitors adjusting and I believe they're going to get shutdown; play the under! |
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11-10-19 | Oilers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 104 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is the Oilers/Ducks over. At 5.5, I think the "over" offers great value here. In this day and age, 5.5 is a very low total in the NHL. Both teams have winning records and each will be pushing the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Edmonton averages 2.83 GPG, while conceding 2.50. - Oilers power play is second best in the league with 27.5 percent. - Anaheim averages 2.65 GPG and it allows 2.53. The verdict: Both teams have been better than average defensively and very average offensively. That said, I believe the conditions are now finally right for a high-scoring affair and I'll take full advantage of this low-number; play the over! |
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11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys OVER 48 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Vikes/Boys. I think this is a great "situational spot bet" on the total. These two teams absolutely dominate in stopping the run, so as such I'm fully expecting this to be a "shootout" at the OK Corral on Sunday night! The Vikes enter off a 26-23 loss to Kansas City and they can't afford to take the foot off the gas obviously. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins was a bright spot in defeat, going for three TD's and 222 passing yards. The Cowboys are rolling right now though and there's no reason not to think that they can't keep the momentum trending in that direction. In last week's 37-18 win over the Giants, Dallas' QB Dak Prescott had three TD's. Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in its last two after two or more straight losses vs. the spread. - Dallas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 12 home games as the favorite. The verdict: With each offense focussed on airing it out, I do indeed expect this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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11-09-19 | CS-Fullerton v. Stanford OVER 139 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Cal State/Stanford. The three-point line in College Basketball was moved back at the start of the season. Has this truly effected totals early? Also note that the shot clock has been reduced to just 20 seconds on offensive rebounds, which is supposed to hurry the game up. Cal State Fullerton lost in a poor showing to BYU in its opener, so there's no question it'll be pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn here. The Cardinal enter off a victory over Montana to start their season. Cal State allowed BYU to shoot 49.1 percent from the field in its opener though, including 45.8 percent from range. Stanford is deep and I think its entire bench can produce today (note the Cardinal bench had 23 points in the season opening victory.) Key Trends: - Cal State has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten road games when the total is set between 135 and 140 points. - Stanford has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six home games when the total falls between 135 and 140 points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a "shootout" is in the cards; play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Nevada v. San Diego State OVER 38.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -114 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/SDSU. SDSU is 7-1 and it comes in with plenty of momentum after having won four straight. Nevada won't be rolling over here though at 5-4 as it tries to pull off the upset and gain eligibility at the same time. Nevada beat New Mexico 21-10 last weekend, with Carson Strong going for 305 yards and two TD's. Overall Nevada averages only 19.3 PPG though, while conceding an awful 34.6. Last year the Aztecs won this game 28-24 and I expect a similar high-scoring affair here. SDSU is also rested out of its bye week. Key Trends: - Nevada has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six after a home victory. - SDSU has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four as a home favorite in teh 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I look for this total to fly well over the number, perhaps even before half time. This number is much too low, play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL TOMAHAWK is on the UNDER Mavs/Grizz. Dallas lost outright at home to the Knicks last night and I think the offense will struggle to score here as well. If you can't score againt the Knicks, then who can you score on? The Mavs get really thin after Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and playing the second game of a back-to-back just doesn't bode well for the Mavericks already struggling offense. The Grizzlies don't have many offensive weapons either behind Ja Morant (Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 11 PPG.) If Memphis is going to pull off the slight upset here, it's going to because they clamped down and grinded it out. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go under in 57 of its last 90 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 31 vs. division opponents. The verdcit: I expect a lot of half court sets from the home side while its on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above information, I'm absolutely expecting a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair. Play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the UNDER Flyers/Leafs. Toronto started out on fire this year, but it enters this one sitting a 9-8. The Flyers were a mess to open the 2019/20 campaign, but they enter at 8-5-2 and off back-to-back victories over Carolina (4-1) and Montreal (3-2 in OT.) The Flyers have responded well defensively of late and I expect that trend to carry over here. Philly also plays with revenge here after falling to Toronto 4-3 last week. Key Trends: - The Flyers have seen the total go under the number in four of their last five in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto has seen the total dip below the posted number in The verdict: I love this under. Philly comes to town confident and it's playing a lot better defensively. Look for the visitors to slow this one down and for this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State UNDER 65 | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Washington/Oregon State. Washington is 5-4 and it's looking to snap a two-game slide. The Huskies come off consecutive losses to Oregon and Utah, so while the Beavers won't be afraid to open up the playbook, the Huskies clearly catch a break in the overall level of competition this weekend. I think the Huskies defense steps up here vs. Beavers' QB Jake Luton. Washington has already posted 20 sacks this year and the Beavers have conceded 16 thus far. Oregon State allows 176 rushing yards per game, so expect to see the visitors hand off to Salvon Ahmed early and often, to take off some of the pressure on QB Jacob Eason, who has been sacked 12 times this year, but who faces a Beavers unit which has produced 25 sacks this season. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in its last three as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - Oregon State has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: I don't think the Huskies take many risks here. Instead I look for the visiting side to try and control this contest as to limit the time the Beavers have the ball on offense. This number is high, play the under! |
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11-07-19 | Kings v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Kings/Sens. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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11-05-19 | Kent State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 33-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* MAC TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the UNDER Kent State/Toledo. Kent STate is 3-5 and in dire need of some victories if its going to go "Bowling." The Golden Flashes though have faced some incredibly tough competition this season in Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin. Kent State is led by QB Dustin Crum, who has ten TD's and one INT. Toledo though has a good pass defense, but a poor rush defense. That works well for Kent State, as it's run game is solid, led by the versatile dual-threat Crum. Toledo needs just one more win to become eligible and it did just enough to score a victory over EMU in OT last week. So far the Rockets have won five of seven games by six points or less. Toledo is also down to third string QB Eli Peters, who was an unremarkable nine of 18 for 138 yards last weekend. Key Trends: - Kent State has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six road games when the total is set between 56.5 and 63 points. - Toledo has seen the total go under in its last three off an extremely close win at home by 3 points or less. The verdict: Look for these two hungry teams to fight tooth and nail and for this total to fall "under" once it's all said and done! |
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11-04-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* total of the week is the UNDER Arizona/Edmonton. Arizona is coming off a 3-0 win over Colorado. The Oilers earned a 2-1 OT win over the Pens in their latest action. The goaltenders tonight are Antti Raanta for Arizona and Mike Smith for Edmonton and each has been exceptional of late. Key Trends: - Arizona has allowed just 28 goals this year, No. 1 in the Western conference. - Edmonton has already seen the total go under in seven of its last nine after a non-conference game. The verdict: Look for these two goaltenders to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries and play the under! |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 48 | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 60 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Cowboys/Giants. The Giants are 2-6, but Daniel Jones and the home side won't be rolling over this weekend after falling 31-26 to the Lions in their last game. Dallas destroyed the Eagles 37-10 in Week 7 and they've had their bye week off to prepare for this matchup. Key Trends: - The Giants have allowed 121 points so far this year. - Dallas has seen the total go over in its last two following its bye week. The verdict: In Week 1 the Cowboys crushed New York 35-17. Look for the home side to play with pride and to make Dallas work for this "W." When you take into account all of the above factors, I'm playing the over! |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Bucks/Wolves. I believe the Wolves struggle with their offense here without Karl Anthony Townes in the line-up, who is serving a three-game suspension for fighting. The Bucks are 4-2, while the Wolves are 4-1. When making my O/U picks (in all sports), for the most part I look at the overall "situation" that each team finds itself in coming into the contest. The Wolves won their first game without Townes, but the last thing they can do here is turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Bucks. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. clubs with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in interestingly 23 of its last 30 contests played in the month of November. Does this stat matter? Probably not...but it doesn't hurt! The verdict: I expect the home side to try and slow the pace of this one down and as such, I'm on the "under!" |
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11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders UNDER 51 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Lions/Raiders. Oakland is 3-4 and it's lost two straight. Oakland catches a break here though this weekend facing this "on again, off again" Lions offense. Detroit broke a three-game slide with a 31-26 win over the Giants. The Lions defense has been shaky the last few weeks as well, but the unit also catches a break facing this Raiders' offense which averages just 21 PPG (the Lions average 25.7). Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go under in its last two after playing a two-game home stand. - Oakland has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of its last 11 when the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. The verdict: The conditions, the situation and the trends/numbers are all point to the "under" as the correct call here in my opinion! |
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11-02-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina OVER 46.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the over UVA/UNC. This is a big game for both teams and because of that, I think this total will go over the number sooner, rather than never. The Cavs are 5-3 and hungry for that sixth victory so that they can become bowl eligible. The UNC Tar Heels are 4-4 and they're also looking for a couple more victories. Virginia averages 30 PPG and it concedes 20.8. UNC averages 27.5 PPG and it allows 25.8. Key Trends: - UVA has seen the total go over the number in six of its last eight as a road dog. - UNC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four off a victory vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UVA has won two straight in this series, including a 31-21 win last season. I expect an even higher-scoring affair here; play the over! |
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11-01-19 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 127-110 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Warriors. The Spurs struggled to score points in their 103-97 setback at the Clippers just last night. The Warriors are now without star Steph Curry after he broke his hands in their last game. The Spurs will try to take advantage, but the home side is going to have to go through some adjustments here as it looks to find an identity. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match," with a lot of "half court sets" being run on the offensive end. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a road favorite of six points or less. - Golden State has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 21 as an underdog. The verdict: San Antonio is tired and Golden State is "shell shocked." For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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11-01-19 | Navy v. Connecticut OVER 54.5 | Top | 56-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEATDOWN is on Navy/UConn OVER. UConn broke a six-game losing streak with a 56-53 win over UMass and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas here as well as it looks to pull off bac-to-back victories. Navy is 6-1 after holding on for a 41-38 win over Tulane and it'll also be out for another victory here, feeling confident after having won six straight in this series. Navy QB Malcom Perry has 18 TD's already this year and last week the Midshipmen had 453 total yards of offense. Overall Navy averages 37.9 PPG and it allows 19.7. The Huskies had 539 yards of offense vs. the Minutemen last weekend. Key Trends: - The Huskies have allowed at least 35 points in four of their last six matchups. - The Midshipmen have four 40-point games this year, including in two of their last three. The verdict: The overall situation and the numbers both point to a "shootout" in my opinion; play the over! |
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11-01-19 | Flyers v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -103 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the Flyers/Devils under. I think goaltenders Carter Hart of the Flyers and Corey Schneider of the Devils will be the story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Carter already blanked the Devils at home earlier this month and he's been solid all year for the Flyers, who won't be lacking for motivation here as they come in having gone 0-2 in their three-game trip. New Jersey has lost two straight as well and it enters having posted the least amount of goals in the league so far with just 28. Key Trends: - Philly has already seen the total go under the number in all four games this year when playing with two days rest. - New Jersey has seen the total dip under in 30 of its last 46 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. The verdict: I think Hart steps up again here vs. this Devils side which has been consistently inconsistent on the offensive end of the ice. Look for Schneider to buckle down at home as well; this number is a tad high, play the under! |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under 49ers/Cards. Arizona enters off a tough loss against the Saints and it's now 3-4. San Francisco is 7-0 and it'll be trying to not get caught looking past the Cards to its big matchup vs. the Seahawks next weekend. Arizona had won three straight until last week's setback. Cards' rookie Kyler Murray though is going to now face the NFC's top defensive unit on a short week and I believe he'll struggle. The 49ers have been blowing teams out this year, but I also think that the short amount of time to prepare will be detrimental to the visitors offense as well. Key Trends: - San Fran has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 after playing a game at home (including in both such instances this year.) - Arizona has seen the total dip under in 19 of its last 30 vs. the conference. The verdict: Look for this divisional battle to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done! |
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10-31-19 | Flames v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 104 | 28 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is the OVER Flames/Preds. These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue. Calgary has lost two in a row and it's playing it's third straight on the road. The Predators are 8-3-1 and they enter having won four straight. Calgary was one of the highest scoring teams in the league last year, but this season it's so far only averaging 2.50 GPG. The Predators have outscored their competition 15-4 during their recent win streak and I think they keep the foot on the gas here as well. Key Trends: - Calgary has seen the total soar over in seven of its last nine road games after scoring one goals or less in two or more straight outings. - Nashville has seen the total go over the number in 12 of its last 18 after shutting out its previous opponent. The verdict: Calgary is desperate and is going to be forced to match the high-flying pace of the home side; this one has over written all over it! |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 57 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER WVU/Baylor. Baylor averages 38.9 PPG, which ranks it 12th in the country. The Bears have a balanced offense, which I believe will concentrate on the run today vs. a WVU team that's lost three straight, but which will also try to keep the Bears offense off the field of play today by controlling the ball while on offense. Baylor only allows 19.1 PPG and I think the Mountaineers have a difficult time mounting much of an offensive attack tonight (WVU is predictable and one-dimensional on offense with a run game which averages only 89 PPG.) Key Trends: - WVU has seen the total dip under in four of its last five following its bye week. - Baylor has seen the total dip under in five of its last six after scoring 37 points or more in its last game. The verdict: I expect more of a "chess match," than a "shootout;" play the under! |
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10-31-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 216.5 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Heat/Hawks. Despite the Hawks not having star Trae Young in the line-up, I think we'll see a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this particular matchup. The Hawks lost to Miami on Tuesday 112-97 and they'll be out for some immediate revenge. The Heat though will be looking to take advantage and to build on their 3-1 start to the season. Overall Miami is averaging 118 PPG, while conceding 110. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after scoring 105 points or more in four straight game. - Atlanta has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 61 of its last 100 following a SU loss. The verdict: I like Atlanta to push the pace from start to finish as it looks to avenge the loss to the Heat on Tuesday; play the over! |
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10-30-19 | Panthers v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Panthers/Avs. Both teams come in off high-scoring losses and because of that, I'm expecting a much more defensive mind-set from each of these teams. The Panthers lost 7-2 in Vancouver, while the Avs fell 5-2 at home to the Ducks. Panthers' netminder Sergei Bobrovsky is 4-2-3 with a 3.79 GAA this year, while Avs goalie Phillipp Grubauer is 6-1-1 with a 2.59 GAA. Key Trends: - Florida has seen the total go under in six of its last eight road games after allowing six or more goals in a loss in its previous outing. - Colorado has seen the total dip under in 32 of its last 52 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring UNDER in this one! |
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10-30-19 | Wolves v. 76ers UNDER 225 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Wolves/76ers. Minnesota is 3-0. Philadelphia is 3-0. Two teams enter with a perfect record, but only one will leave with that mark in tact. Whoever comes out on top, I think the competitive nature of this one will help in driving this total well under the posted number once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Wolves have seen the total go under in 11 of their last 17 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The 76ers have seen the total dip uner in 20 of their last 32 home games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Both teams are in the middle of the pack in scoring, but in the bottom half in three-point percentage. Expect this "war" to fall under at the end of the night! |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Nats/Astros. Justin Verlander has been terrible in the playoffs so far for the Astros, losing three of four. That included giving up four runs to the Nationals in his last start. Clearly the veteran has the tools and pedigree in place to turn things around and if not now, when? The Nationals are struggling at the plate over the last two games, so Verlander has a big opportunity to shine here. But Nationals' starter Stephen Strasburg also has a big opportunity here to help his team rebound. And Strasburg has been brilliant in the playoffs, winning four of his last five. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 15 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range. - Houston has seen the total dip below the number in 13 of its last 20 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: I believe the men on the mound will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-28-19 | Nuggets v. Kings OVER 218 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play on the OVER Nuggets/Kings. I think the 0-3 Kings push the pace from start to finish in this one. The Kings average 96 PPG and they concede 120. The Nuggets average 108 PPG and they allow 104. Key Trends: - Denver has seen total go over in 20 of its last 30 after a win by six points or more. - Sacramento has seen the total go over in nine of its last 13 after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I expect a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this one! |
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10-27-19 | Ducks v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the under Ducks/Knights. Anaheim comes in off an impressive 5-2 win in Colorado just last night, but I expect a more defensive affair in its second game of the back to back scenario. The Knights won't be taking anything for granted here either after they got blown out at home by the Avs in their last game. Anaheim comes in average only 2.27 GPG, while conceding only 2.18. The Knights are averaging only 2.92 GPG, while allowing 2.83. Key Trends: - The last five in this series have fallen under the number. The verdict: The overall situation and the recent history of lower-scoring affairs whenever these sides meet makes the under the correct call here! |
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10-27-19 | Browns v. Patriots OVER 45.5 | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -106 | 123 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Browns/Pats. This is a big game for the Browns. Not so much for the undefeated defending champs. The Patriots love beating up on the Browns whenever they can, but Cleveland is in dire need of a victory and it enters off its bye week. I simply can't see the Browns sitting back and looking for the Pats to make the first mistake. Cleveland has to be aggressive from start to finish in this one if it has any hopes of pulling of an upset. Both teams sport awesome defenses, but the overall situation in my opinion points more to a "shootout," than a "chess match." Key Trends: - The Browns have seen the total eclipse the posted number in their last three after having lost three of their last four games. - The Patriots have seen the total go over the number in six of their last nine as a home favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: Taking into account the situational and trend based factors above, I'm definitely on the over in this one! |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV OVER 46 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -107 | 105 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER SDSU/UNLV. SDSU is bowl eligible and 6-1 overall after beating San Jose State 27-17 last weekend. So far the Aztecs have been exceptional defensively, but I think the visitors unit will be tested here today. The Rebels lost to Boise State, but then bounced back with a win over Vanderbilt. Overall the Rebels average 25.4 PPG and they concede 36.1. Key Trends: - SDSU has in fact seen the total go over in interestingly four of its last five after a win of ten points or more over a conference rival. - UNLV has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight off a road loss. The verdict: UNLV will be airing it from start to finish and it's defense has been terrible. Look for the Owls to take some rare shots down field as well today. This number is a shade low, play the over! |
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10-26-19 | Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 223 | Top | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Raptors/Bulls. The Bulls came from behind to knock off the Grizzlies 110-102 last night. Toronto had the lead for most of the game in Boston, but it then fell flat in a 112-106 setback. While still only the start of the season, I think each team comes in "gassed" after their respective decisions last night and because of that, I'm absolutely expecting much more of a defensive battle than what this large O/U line would suggest. This one sets up great for the under from a situational stand point. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 off a loss to a division rival. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 22 home games when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 220. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends both point to the under as the correct call in this one! |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 58 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Skins/Vikings. Washington isn't going to be playing in the postseason after its terrible start. It's looked better since firing Jay Gruden though, earning a win over the hapless Dolphins, before then going down to the wire in an extremely defensive affair, but eventual loss to the 49ers last weekend. On the short week, I think it'll be the Redskins' defensive unit which is once again the main story line for Washington this week (note that the Skins will be extra motivated defensively as well here facing ex teammate Kirk Cousins.) The Vikes are surging and should have no problem controlling this contest in all facets. And with upcoming tough road games in at KC and Dallas, there's no reason to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish either. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 18 following a loss. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in three of its last four after scoring 30 points or more in its last game. The verdict: This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the under! |
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10-24-19 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 68.5 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER SMU/Houston. The Mustangs are 7-0 and they trounced Temple 45-21 last time out. The Cougars are 3-4 and they're going to be hungry for a victory here as time is running out to become eligible. Houston's offense is simply not good enough to score many points here. The best strategy that the home side can employ here is to control the ball while on offense. Key Trends: - SMU has seen the total dip under the number in nine of its last 13 after playing a conference game. - Houston has seen the total go under the number in its last four off a no-cover where it won as the favorite. The verdict: The Cougars do come in off the 24-17 win over UConn and they definitely won't be going down without a fight today. I'm expecting a lower-scoring defensive war; play the under! |
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10-24-19 | Sharks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the OVER Sharks/Habs. Both teams had big expectations going into this season and while each has shown promise at times in the early going, neither can be overly happy at where they sit at the moment. The Sharks are 3-6 and the Habs are 4-5. San Jose's offensive numbers are skewed though after a very slow start (just 2.67 GPG scoring average overall, but SJ has scored 19 goals over its last five games. The Sharks though have been terrible defensively, allowing 3.56 GPG thus far. Montreal comes in off a 4-3 road loss in Minnesota, but they do have the fifth-best power-play unit overall. Key Trends: - Both teams have averaged nearly four goals per game over their past five games. - Both teams are in the bottom 15 in goals allowed. The verdict: Expect a wide open and explosive affair; play the over! |
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10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Nats/Astros. While yesterday's total blew past the posted number, I expect a much different result this time around in Game 2. I'm basing this pick primarily on the starting pitchers, but also a few key O/U trends that match up well in this position. Key Trends: - Stephen Strasburg of the Nationals went 18-6 with 3.32 ERA this year and he's 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in the post-season. - Justin Verlander of the Nationals went 21-6 with a 2.58 ERA this season and he's 1-2 with a 3.70 ERA in the playoffs (overall Verlander is 19-12 with a 2.57 ERA lifetime at Minutemaid Park.) The verdict: Additionally note that Washington has seen the total dip below the number in eight of its last 13 road games after scoring five or more runs in its previous contest. As mentioned off the top, while yesterday's game snuck over, this one has "duel" written all over it in my opinion! |
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10-21-19 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Jackets/Leafs. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 49 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 54 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is the under Eagles/Cowboys. They say defense wins championships. These teams are both filled with plenty of offensive talent, but it's going to be the one which gets the job done defensively today that wins this one in my opinion. It could not get any bigger for these 3-3 divisional foes. Neither will want to make a mistake here and I expect each to "control" the ball while on offense. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in its last three road games when the total is greater than or equal to 49. - Dallas has seen the total dip under the number in six of its last eight off a non-conference contest. The verdict: This one has defensive, low-scoring battle written all over it; play the under! |
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10-20-19 | Capitals v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Capitals/Blackhawks. Both teams come in on two-game win streaks. Washington is 5-2-2 and the Blackhawks are 2-2-1. Chicago has so far played the fewest games in the Western Confernece. The home side is led by Patrick Kane offensively, as he has five goals and two assists so far. Overall the Hawks are allowing and conceding three goals this season. So far Capitals' netminder Braden Holtby owns a 3.83 GAA this season, but he's been fortunate as his team has potted three or more goals in three straight games. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 53 of its last 89 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - Chicago has seen the total soar over in 36 of its last 56 non-conference games. The verdict: These offenses are firing on all cylinders and I look for that trend to carry over into a high-scoring affair here; play the over! |
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10-19-19 | Nevada v. Utah State OVER 58.5 | Top | 10-36 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nevada/Utah State. This is a big Mountain West Conference game. Nevada is 4-2 after a 41-38 shootout win over San Jose State, while Utah State is now 3-2 after a 42-6 loss to No. 2 LSU. Nevada was blown out by Hawaii two weeks ago, so it made a change at QB last weekend and the move paid immediate dividends with Malik Henry going for 352 yards and two TD's. Clearly Utah State will be looking to bounce back after last week's frustrating setback. Previous to that the Aggies had won three straight Key Trends: "We are coming off a bye week, so we've had a little more time to evaluate them,” said Utah State coach Gary Anderson. “They are a very tough-minded team, overall, that has dealt with some ups and downs, which this crazy game of football and this conference will give you. They have been resilient, they've been tough-minded and they've battled through everything that has come their way. They started a new quarterback last game and he did a nice job.” The verdict: Utah State averages 32 PPG and it has a dynamic QB in Jordan Love. Nevada's new QB Henry isn't afraid to air it out either. I look for this one to sneak over the number sooner, rather than later! |
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10-19-19 | Senators v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the under Senators/Coyotes. The Senators have only managed two goals over their last two games. Overall Ottawa is allowing 3.50 GPG anda averaging just 2.33. The Coyotes though have won two straight and they come in with a combined 1.83 GAA average. Key Trends: - Sens netminder Craig Anderson looked good in his last start despite the loss, allowing one goal on 34 shots in a 2-0 loss to the Wild. - Coyotes' goalie Darcy Kuemper is 3-2 with a 1.62 GAA, giving up five goals over his last three starts combined. The verdict: Expect a hard-fought, lower-scoring battle between these two competent starting goaltenders; play the under! |
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10-18-19 | Hurricanes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Canes/Ducks. Carolina is off a 5-2 loss at San Jose, but it enjoys four whole nights off after this game before a game in Columbus. The Ducks have a night off before a game vs. Calgary, which precedes a lengthy and difficult road trip. Key Trends: - The Hurricanes have an amazing record despite a terrible powerplay, at 17.8 percent. They make up for it on the other end with a penalty kill that hits at a 77.8 percent rate. - Canes' goaltender Petr Mrazek is 4-0 with a 1.94 GAA - Ducks' goalie Ben Gibson is 4-2-0 with a 1.85 GAA. The verdict: I expect these two streaking non-conference clubs to clamp down defensively and for these two hot goaltenders to be the main story line's in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern OVER 49 | Top | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Ohio State/Northwestern OVER. Will Northwestern be able to put up any points vs. an OSU defense that allows only 8.8 PPG on average? Ohio State is 6-0 and it'll be cautious here to not look past its opponent. The Buckeyes will indeed look to go up early and then maintain the rest of the way. The Wildcats though come out of their bye week with nothing to lose. NW needs to string wins together if it has any hopes of going bowling and it won't be holding anything back on the offense side of things as it tries to keep pace with its juggernaut opponent tonight. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a "shootout" in my opinion. Key Trends: - Ohio State has seen the total go over in five of its last six as a road favorite of 14.5 points or more. - NW has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five after having lost three of its last four games. The verdict: Ohio State is also the No. 2 ranked team in the nation as far as scoring. Look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 48.5 | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the under Chiefs/Broncos. Kansas City has dropped back to back home games, suddenly looking poor on both sides of the ball. The defense has been especially atrocious, but the unit catches a break here facing Joe Flacco and the Broncos' run first offense. Flacco has been better of Denver's last two games (both Broncos wins after starting the year 0-3), but it's been the Denver defense which has been the reason for the big turnaround. Mahomes is dealing with an injured ankle right now and he's getting little support from his run game, which is averaging only 87 YPG. KC has to establish the run in the thin air of Denver tonight to alleviate the pressure of Mahomes as well. This one has lower-scoring "under" written all over it in my opinion. Key Trends: - The Chiefs have seen the total dip under the number in six of their last seven after having lost two of their last three games. - The Broncos have seen the total dip under in three of their last four home games as an underdog of three points or less. The verdict: On the short week, I believe the defenses become the main story line in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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10-16-19 | Hurricanes v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Canes/Sharks. Carolina comes to The Shark Tank off a 2-0 win in LA just last night. San Jose hasn't played since a 3-1 win at home over Calgary. Petr Mrazek has been decent so far for Carolina and Sharks' netminder Martin Jones looked superb in the victory over the Flames, stopping 32 of 33 shots. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten after shutting out its opponent in its last game. - San Jose has seen the total dip under in 35 of its last 60 non-conference contests. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring goaltenders battle in this one; play the under! |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 54.5 | Top | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT is on the over South Alabama/Troy. South Alabama has faced some stiff competition in Nebraska and Memphis early, which is definitely a big reason why its just 1-5. Troy though has been terrible, especially defensively this year and I think it'll have its hands full with this hungry underdog and QB Cephus Johnson, who has shown signficiant strides with each outing. Both teams have had a week off to prepare as well. But as mentioned off the top, the Trojans secondary has been downright terrible, ranked 124th out out 130 FBS teams by conceding 10.22 yards per attempt. Key Trends: - South Alabama has interestingly seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off a cover where it lost as an underdog. - Troy has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six following its bye week. The verdict: With the Jaguars pushing the pace and airing it from start to finish and with the home side having to match pace, I look for this total to soar over sooner, rather than later; play the over! |
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10-15-19 | Flyers v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Flyers/Flames over. The Flyers are 2-0-1 to start the year, but they enter off a 3-2 shootout loss to the Canucks. Philadelphia enters avearging 3.33 GPG, while conceding only 1.67. Yes Philly' goalie Carter Hart has been exceptional thus far, but I think he'll have his hands full in this difficult non-conference road arena. The Flames will be looking to bounce back here, as back-to-back losses has them at 2-3-1 on the year. Whether its Cam Talbot or David Rittich in net, I feel they're going to also have their hands full with this improved Flyers team which is looking to keep the points streak alive with another victory here. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over the number in 32 of its last 52 following a non-conference game. - The Flames have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 11 of their last 17 after playing three consecutive road games. The verdict: When taking into account the situational factors and the above strong trends, I do indeed feel that this one will soar over sooner, rather than later; play the over! |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 35 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL MASSACRE is on the under Lions/Packers. Detroit is 2-1-1 and it's been its lights out defensive play which has been the difference for it so far this year. Lions' QB Matt Stafford and the offense has been acceptable, but clearly it's been Detroit's defense which has been the difference maker for the team in the early going. The Lions have already faced some eltie QB's this year, including Philip Rivers, Carson Wentz and Patrick Mahomes and they've for the most part shut down all three (including holding Mahomes to no TD's.) Green Bay's offense has been decent as well, but it's been the Packers' defense which has "stolen the show" as well this season. Key Trends: - WR Davantae Adams is out for the Packers. - Detroit has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after allowing 30 points or more in its last game. The verdict: I look for these top rated defenses to take over this one; this number is high, play the under! |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Cards/Nats. This is a pivotal game in this series. A win here for the Cards and they're right back in it. A victory for the Nationals means they have a strangle hold on it and the pressure is truly off. These are also two World class pitchers and I expect them to go deep into this one. Jack Flaherty (11-8, 2.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) held the Nats to one run over five innings in his only matchup against them. Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32) allowed three runs over 11 innings vs. the Card this season and overall vs. them he's 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA in eight career matchups. Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under the number in interestingly in 15 of its last 23 after allowing four runs or less in three straight games. - Washington has seen the total dip under in 50 of its last 90 following a victory. The verdict: The Cards' offense has been non-existent in this series and I don't see anything changing with the shift in venue; this one has "duel" written all over it. Play the under! |
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10-13-19 | Saints v. Jaguars UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 119 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Saints/Jags. This is a big contest and I believe it'll be the defensive units which become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries. Teddy Bridgewater has done a great job filling in for Drew Brees, winning three straight, but I think he'll have his hands full here in this difficult road venue. Garnder Minshew has also filled in admirably in a backups role for the Jags, winning two of his first four starts. Key Trends: - The Saints average and concede 23 PPG. - The Jags average 22 points and they allow 23. The verdict: I can't see the home side wanting to turn this one into a "shootout" with the high-flying Saints. Instead, I look for the home side to try and control this one and limit mistakes while on offense. This one has low-scoring "under" written all over it! |
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10-12-19 | Arkansas v. Kentucky OVER 53.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -108 | 102 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the over Arkansas/Kentucky. This is a big game for both of these 2-3 teams. Kentucky has had a week off to absorb three straight losses and it comes into this one focused and motivated to get off the schneid. Arkansas also enters off its bye week rested and ready to try and pull off an upset here. Led by Nick Starkel, the Razorbacks aren't going to be afraid to air this one out (Starkel so far has 1000 passing yards and 11 TD's.) Kentucky averages 23.4 PPG and it concedes 24.4. Something has got to give here. Key Trends: - Arkansas has interestingly seen the total go over the number in five of its last six off a cover where it lost SU as a dog. - Kentucky has seen the total soar over the number in seven of its last nine as a home favorite. The verdict: Both rested teams will push from start to finish and I expect that to translate into production on the offensive side of the ball; this number is low, play the over! |
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10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Nats/Cards. Anibal Sanchez toes the rubber for the visitors, while Mile Mikolas gets the nod for the home side. Each looked sharp in their respective starts in their NLDS opening duties, but I believe each will take a step back in the opener of the NLCS. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 3.34 ERA in eight career starts vs. St. Louis, while Mikolas is 2-2 with a 4.95 ERA in 26 career innings vs. Washington. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go over the number in 13 of its last 19 when playing with a day off. - St. Louis has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 24 as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. The verdict: Look for these two big hitting line-ups to chase these starters early and expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! |
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10-10-19 | Giants v. Patriots OVER 42.5 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 60 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Giant's Patriots. The Patriots' defense leads the league in almost every statistical category, but New England has yet to face a top tier offensive unit yet. And once again, it won't have to on Thursday night either, as New York comes to town off a listless 28-10 home loss to Minnesota. New York QB Daniel Jones has 760 yards passing with four TD's and three INT's. Jones and company had won two straight previous to that and clearly the rookie will be given the "green light" to try and pull off the upset today. The Giants defense has been decent to this point, but clearly this is a difficult task matching up against Tom Brady in peak form and on his own field. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last ten after scroing 14 points or less in its previous game. - New England has seen the total soar over in interestingly three of its last four off a road blowout win by 21 points or more. The verdict: So far the Pats have seen the O/U go 1-4 this year. The Giants have seen the O/U go 2-3, but with both "overs" occurring on the road. With nothing to lose, I believe the visitors push the pace from start to finish; play the over! |
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10-10-19 | Syracuse v. NC State OVER 57 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -107 | 60 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Syracuse/NC State. From both a "situational" stand point and also when looking at it from a trend based angle, I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout," rather than a low-scoring battle. Both teams are 3-2, but 0-1 in ACC play. Both teams also come out of their bye-weeks. The Orange offense is firing on all cylinders with QB Tommy DeVito, who already has 1,230 passing yards and 11 TD's (eight in his last two games.) The Orange defense has forced 12 turnovers, but it's still middle of the road. NC State is desperate as it turns to a new QB today in Bailey Hockman. The WolfPack have injuries on both sides of the ball, so the bye week could not have come at a better time for NC State. This is a big Conference game and I'm expecting a shootout on Prime Time. Key Trends: - Syracuse has seen the total eclipse the posted number in its last three as a road dog of seven points or less. - NC State has seen the total go over the number in six of eight this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I believe the stage is set for a sprint from start to finish; play the over! |
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10-10-19 | Rays v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 34 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL SUPER-BLOWOUT is on the under Rays/Astros. I think we have a classic "duel" on our hands here. Both starters enter on top form and I expect that to translate into a lower-scoring battle in this pivotal Game 5 ALDS contest. The visitors see Tyler Glasnow toe the slab, and he's 6-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP this year. Glasnow is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA with four walks and 11 K's over 9.1 innings spanning two career starts vs. the Astros. The home side counters with Gerrit Cole, who was 20-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.895 WHIP this year. He already beat the Rays in Game 2, going 7.2 innings of scoreless work. Cole is 21-4 with a 2.70 ERA with 48 walks and 330 K's over 33 career starts at Minute Maid Park. Key Trends: - Tampa has interestingly seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten when the total in the contest is set at seven or less. - Houston has seen the total go under in 14 of 21 when playing with double revenge after two straight losses vs. an opponent this season. The verdict: Expect these starting pitchers to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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