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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-20-17 | Rangers +134 v. Tigers | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rangers RH A.J. Griffin (4-0, 3.15 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Justin Verlander (3-3, 4.47) Texas enters this game in red hot form , as is evident by having won 10 straight games. Meanwhile, Motown, remains inconsistent for the most part losing 7 of their L/12 and are fade material today, vs a currently explosive Texas offense that has scored 64 runs during the above mentioned span ( 6.4 rpg). Today with two viable hurlers on the hill, with Griffin going for the Rangers and Verlander throwing for the Tigers, it will come down to which offense has more gas in the proverbial tank, and that of course is Texas. Note: Griffin just threw a brilliant four-hit shutout at San Diego in his previous outing and has not allowed a run in two of his last four starts. Rangers starter GRIFFIN is 16-3 against the money line in night games season. GRIFFIN is 12-4 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 .Rangers are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 5-0 in Griffins last 5 road starts.Tigers are 6-13 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Rangers are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. Tigers are 2-5 in Verlanders last 7 starts vs. Rangers. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-20-17 | Yankees -119 v. Rays | 5-9 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (5-2, 5.80 ERA) vs. Rays RH Matt Andriese (3-1, 3.18) The NY Yankees continue to produce offensively on a consistent basis, averaging 5.8 rpg this season entering Friday action, and their bullpen (2.31 ERA on the road) has supported some decent starting pitching. With the ace of the Yanks staff on board today, I expect he Yankees have the edge, vs their hosts the Rays today. Yes , I know the Yanks big Japanese righty has struggled in his last game against the Astros,and lost his opening day assignment to the Rays, but the big guy has shown resiliency and the ability to bounce back in the past and nothing will change in this spot. As far as Rays starter Andriese goes, I expect he is getting a little ragged of late, and despite of some quality starts, has shown a propensity to have his pitch count rise of late after issuing 12 walks the past four outings - five more than he allowed in the season’s first four appearance. To me this signifies, a pitcher on the verge of imploding. TB has been playing decent ball of late, but have not dealt with success well of late going, just 13-32 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games dating back to last season. TANAKA when he starts has seen his team go 15-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season. MLB teams with a money line of -100 to -150 Yankees - team with a good SLG (.440 or better) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 36-8 dating back 20 seasons, for a very profitable 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-17 | Indians +127 v. Astros | 5-3 | Win | 127 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (3-4, 6.92 ERA) vs. Astros RH Charlie Morton (5-2, 3.97) Bauer has been inconsistet so far this season, but is a capable hurler, and off a quality start, and best of all as far as we are concerned tonight he has owned the Astro's in the past as is evident by a 6-0 record along with a 2.61 ERA in six career starts against them. I know the Indians pitchers have not faired well of late, but in a pressure situation Bauer Im betting will respond. Indians are 5-0 in Bauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Meanwhile, the Astros starter Cahrlie Morton, still remains in the middle of my pitcher power rankings despite of a viable record this season, and far from a solid favorite in this spot. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. American League West.ndians are 14-6 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Astros are 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League Central. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.CLEVELAND is 28-8 against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-17 | Angels +138 v. Mets | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (2-2, 4.34 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (2-1, 4.07) Nolasco the Halos starter today has paired together back-to-back quality starts in his last two outings but was held out of the decision in both tilts. Meanwhile, the NY Mets, DeGrom is looking powerful vs strikeout numbers but has not polished off a win in his record column in his L/2 starts. With the Mets losing 7 in a row, and the Angels super star Mike Trout, ripping the cover off the ball of late , homering in 5 of his L/6 games, things don't look to get much better DeGrom and company tonight. Note: The Mets have allowed a whopping 7.4 rpg during their current skid. Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 3-13 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Mets - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a winning record are just 37-60 dating back 20 seasons for a go against long term conversion rate of 62% for underdog bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-17 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-2, 5.04 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Daniel Norris (2-2, 4.34) Texas Rangers starter Martinez has been a sub par performer of late allowing a total of 11 runs - 10 earned - and 17 hits in 11 1/3 innings over his previous two starts. .Meanwhile, the Tigers starter Norris is having issues of his own, and struggling to work very deep into games due to control issues and walked at least two batters in each of his first seven starts.Norris started just once in his career vs Texas and was blasted for six runs - two earned - and five hits in 1 2/3 innings of ugly work. Motowns bullpen owns a 5.5 ERA and cannot be relied on for solid work. The Rangers have been on fire winning 9 games in a row while averaging 6.6 runs, and another big time output must be expected here tonight in Motown.Essentially the Rangers could eclipse this number on their own. Over is 12-3-1 in Rangers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-4-1 in Rangers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 10-3 in Rangers last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-4-1 in Norris' last 14 starts overall. Texas Rangers Manager BANISTER is 23-12 OVER L/35 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-17 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jeremy Hellickson (4-1, 3.71 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Trevor Williams (2-2, 6.41) In three May starts Hellickson has struggled to make it past 6 innings, and another tough outing is a high probability event, as his numbers are spiraling in the opposite direction of his record .In the opening month, he was 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA. This month, he has given up 12 earned runs on 19 hits, including seven homers, in 13 2/3 innings over three starts. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.04 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, his Pirates pitching opponent Williams, despite of a decent outing in his last trip to the hill, still is a yung pitcher trying to figure things out on the MLB, as was evident by his his previous turn, when he was smashed around for eight runs - six earned - in three innings vs the Dodgers on May 8. The Phillies D, and pitching remain near the bottom of my MLB power rankings, and with Pittsburghs bats starting to come to life as is evident, by 26 runs in their L/4 games, I will not be surprised if the Pirates come close to eclipsing this number all by themselves. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season, with a combined average of 9.5 rpg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 20-6 OVER in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored.PITTSBURGH is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start with a combined average score of 11.9 rpg going on the board. MLB Road teams like the Phillies - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 31-9 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-18-17 | White Sox v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Dylan Covey (0-3, 7.98 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Sam Gaviglio (0-0, 4.50) |
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05-18-17 | Phillies v. Rangers OVER 10 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Nick Pivetta (0-2, 6.14 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (1-5, 3.89)
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05-17-17 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 9 | 11-7 | Win | 110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Michael Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) vs. Royals LH Jason Vargas (5-1, 1.01) KC starting hurler today Jason Vargas has the best ERA in the majors, 1.01, after seven starts.However, the Kansas City Royals southpaw, , has had a ugly history against the Yankees is evident by his 0-5 record along with a 6.53 ERA in eight starts and one relief appearance. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) will be facing the Royals for the first time this season. He has a 3-5 record with a 3.88 ERA in eight starts against Kansas City, allowing 45 hits and 22 earned runs in 51 innings. He is 2-2 with a 4.56 ERA in four starts at Kauffman Stadium.PINEDA is 8-0 OVER L/8 when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg getting scored. Despite of this being a decent pitching matchup Im betting on this combined score eclipsing the number. NY YANKEES are 11-2 OVER L/13 when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average o 13.6 rpg getting scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Royals - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL is 55-16 over dating back 5 seasons, for a 78% conversion rate.MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Yankees - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 35-10 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-17-17 | Yankees -132 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Michael Pineda (3-2, 3.27 ERA) vs. Royals LH Jason Vargas (5-1, 1.01) KC starting hurler today Jason Vargas has the best ERA in the majors, 1.01, after seven starts.However, the Kansas City Royals southpaw, , has had a ugly history against the Yankees is evident by his 0-5 record along with a 6.53 ERA in eight starts and one relief appearance. With the Yankees showing no signs of slowing down offensively to this point in the season, as is evident by bringing 25 runs across the plate in their L/3 games, they once again look like solid bets vs a inconsistent KC team. NY YANKEES are 10-1 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.KANSAS CITY is 7-16 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-17-17 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (1-1, 6.15 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (4-1, 2.54) |
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05-16-17 | A's v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (5-2, 2.21 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Chase De Jong (0-3, 7.85) Oakland starter Triggs despite of a good run this season, is just 0-1 with a 14.85 ERA in two career appearances against Seattle, including an 11-1 loss April 23. Triggs lasted just 4 2/3 innings in that tilt, while allowing six runs on five hits with two walks and four strikeouts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Seattle Mariners, rookie Chase De Jong owns a ugly (0-3, 7.85 ERA) and looks like cannon fodder vs a improving Athletics offense.De Jong was torched for six runs and seven hits over five innings while losing to the Toronto Blue Jays in his last turn. SEATTLE is 20-8 OVER L/28 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average of 10 rpg. SEATTLE is 19-8 OVER in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10.4rpg getting scored.Over is 7-1 in Athletics last 8 road games.Over is 11-3 in Athletics last 14 overall.Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 home games.Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the As - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less are 33-11 L/44 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rte for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-16-17 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-2, 5.77 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jason Hammel (1-4, 5.97) NY Yankees southpaw hurler CC Sabathia (2-2, 5.77 ERA) will start for the Yankees and Right-hander Jason Hammel (1-4, 5.97 ERA) will get the turn for the Royals.Hammel is 1-2 with a 5.05 ERA in four home starts but where hes been horrendous is the third inning on, Hammel has an 8.71 ERA, surrendering 20 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings while opponents bat .363 against him. Meanwhile, Sabathia started fast this season, recording a 2-0 mark with a 1.47 ERA in his first three starts. The 36-year-old since than is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA allowing 22 earned runs on 30 hits, including five home runs, over 20 2/3 innings of sub stardard. The Yankees offense is averaging 5.7 rpg this season vs righties and Im betting on more of the same production today. Meanwhile, despite of the Royals bats not producing at a consistent level this season, they have shown some pop of late with 12 and 14 hits in their L/2 games, and with momentum on their sides against a struggling thrower should do more than enough damage today to get us over this Totals number. NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER L/11 vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. KANSAS CITY in their L/12 games against the money line in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons have seen an average of 9.5 rpg go on the board. NY YANKEES are 11-1 OVER L/11 when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Over is 6-0 in Sabathias last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 9-3 in Royals last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 17-6 in Royals last 23 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-16-17 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 13-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Orioles LH Wade Miley (1-1, 2.45 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-3, 3.89) Miley is 0-0 with a 7.50 ERA in one career appearance against Detroit, while Boyd has never faced Baltimore. Miley the Orioles starter for this tilt is having problems working deep in games and issued a total of 15 walks in 17 2/3 innings over his last four outings, and in his current form will aid to Detroits run production here in this tilt. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Boyd has been sub par of late as is evident by back-to-back losses to Cleveland and Arizona in his last two trips to the hill while allowing a total of seven runs - six earned - and 13 hits in 13 2/3 innings. Im expecting the hit an inning average to help buoy the Orioles ability to score a few more runs than linesmakers expect .Over is 7-1 in Mileys last 8 road starts. Over is 35-16-1 in Tigers last 52 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 7-0-1 in Boyds last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 22-8-1 in Tigers last 31 games following an off day. Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.DETROIT is 12-4 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board.MILEY in his last 11 starts in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored . DETROITs offense when in a slump is 15-4 OVER after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span dating back to last season, with themselves and their opponents averaging 10.6 rpg, ( Motown has averaged 5 runs per game ) Baltimore has averaged 4.9 rpg on the road this season, while Detroit has averaged 4.8 rpg at home. Both the Tigers and Orioles bullpens have been sub par, with Baltimore's pen recording a 5.35 road ERA and the Tigers recording a 5.94 ERA overall. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-15-17 | Brewers +111 v. Padres | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Chase Anderson (2-0, 2.97 ERA) vs. Padres RH Luis Perdomo (0-0, 4.13) |
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05-14-17 | Tigers v. Angels +120 | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Justin Verlander (3-2, 4.25 ERA) vs. Angels RH Alex Meyer (1-1, 7.62) Verlander the Tigers starter has shown inconsistencies so far this season, and just 2-4 with a 5.98 ERA in seven trips to the hill at Angel Stadium in his career and his team has lost his L/4 road starts here. Verlander owns a ugly 7.59 ERA in road games this season and the Tigers are just 0-4 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. I know the Angels, bats are in a bit of a funk at the moment, but in this league , slumps and explosive bursts are common place, and they Halos must not underestimated. Tigers are 8-24 in the last 32 meetings. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-14-17 | Dodgers v. Rockies +118 | 6-9 | Win | 118 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Julio Urias (0-0, 1.06 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (5-1, 2.86) In four starts at Coors Field, Senzatela the Rockies starter here today vs the Dodgers is 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA.The Rockies are 6-1 this year in games started by Senzatela, who has allowed 36 hits and 11 walks in 44 innings with 24 strikeouts and has limited opponents to a .228 average. Rockies are 4-0 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. National League West.Meanwhile, Dodgers starter, Urias has seen his team lost 4 of his L 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Rockies.Rockies are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter. With that said, I like the value associated with backing the Rockies in this spot play. MLB Road teams - average hitting team like the Dodgers (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less -NL, with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 17-49 for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-14-17 | Twins +148 v. Indians | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Twins LH Hector Santiago (4-1, 2.76 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2-4, 7.36) Cleveland offense is currently struggling and I'm betting on more problems today vs Twins starter Santiago who is unbeaten in his last five starts.Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, his Indians pitching opponent,Bauer has allowed at least four runs in five of his six starts this season, and is fade maerial at the moment in his current form.Bauer, is just 2-5 with a 5.09 ERA in 12 career starts against Minnesota. Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Minnesota Twins on moneyline1 unit reg selection |
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05-14-17 | Braves +105 v. Marlins | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Braves RH R.A. Dickey (3-2, 4.29 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Justin Nicolino (2016: 3-6, 4.99) Dickey in good form right now and has had success against Miami in his career, going 10-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 15 career appearances and once again looks like a vable pitcher to back here vs a Marlins team that has lost 5 games in a row . Meanwhile, the Marlins call on Nicolino who has been brought up from Triple-A New Orleans to start the series finale.Nicolino went 2-6 with a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts last season. Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 0-5 in Nicolinos last 5 home starts.Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 home games.Braves are 5-2 L/7 meetings and 41-17 in the last 58 meetings in Miami. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-13-17 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Sonny Gray (0-1, 4.22 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-2, 5.18) |
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05-13-17 | Reds +124 v. Giants | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Reds RH Lisalverto Bonilla (0-0, 7.20 ERA) vs. Giants LH Matt Moore (1-4, 6.52) The Reds a have new guy in the rotation (Bonilla) a young man they think highly of, despite of his small sample size current numbers. Reading some exerts of scouting reports , its become obvious they have high hopes for this kid, and might actually end up being a diamond in the rough. Cincinnati starting pitchers are 6-1 with a 2.85 ERA over the last nine games and the bullpen owns a 1.88 ERA in 57.3 inning sof road work this season.. SF has averaged just 3.1 rpg vs righty hurlers this season via a ugly .219 team BA. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Moore from the Giants, has for the most part struggled all season long, as is evident by his record and overall ERA and WHIP. Monday against the Mets as he allowed three runs in 5 1/3 innings while throwing 108 pitches and once again looks like fade material, despite of some good recent numbers at AT&T Park. The Reds have done their best work against lefty starters scoring 5.3 rpg.Giants are 0-5 in Moores last 5 starts. Yesterday, The Giants some how pulled out an extra inning win vs the Reds, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11 L/12 against the money line after a win this season. The Reds meanwhile are 7-2 L/9 overall and must be respected here on a value line vs a team and ballpark they have recently played well in as is evident by going 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in San Francisco SAN FRANCISCO is 5-15 L/20 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CINCINNATI is 8-1 L/9 against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game this season.SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 against the money line vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season and is 4-16 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season MLB Road teams like the Reds - a good team (54% to 62%) playing a lower tier team team (.380 or less), in May games are 38-19 dating back 5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-12-17 | Mets v. Brewers OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Harvey RH ( NY Mets) vs RH Garza ( Milwaukee) The Brewers enter this game against the NY Mets averaging 5.6 rpg at home this season and considering the way Harvey has pitched for the Mets ( 8.10 ERA in his L/3) Im betting on the Brewers bats doing some damage again . Meanwhile, the NY Mets are averaging 5.4 rpg overall this season vs right handers like Garza, but even more explosive 6.7 rpg on the road. Considering both bullpens are below average according to my current rankings and overall upward scoring trends, Im betting on this tilt eclipsing the number. GARZA is 13-4 OVER L/17 vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board. METS are 13-1 OVER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. with a combined average of 12.1 rpg going on the board and are are 13-2 OVER L/15 vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season, with a combined average of 11.2 rpg getting scored.NY METS are 18-3 OVER in night games this season with an average of 10.2 rpg clikcing in.NY METS are 9-0 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with an average of 13.1 rpg going on the scoreboard. NY Mets manager Collins , is 31-13 OVER L/44 in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 - NY Mets - lower tier hitting team (AVG .250 oor less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less ) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 34-8 to the OVER dating back 20 seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-11-17 | Reds v. Giants OVER 8 | 3-2 | Loss | -111 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
In taking three games from the Giants last week, Cincinnati scored 31 runs in 3 games , and Im betting they do more damage here again today. Blachs Cincinnati's starter has pitched decently at times this season, but according to Statcast, when he faced the Reds last Saturday in Cincinnati, he gave up three barrels, seven balls hit at least 100 mph and six with a 1.000-plus expected slugging, over only three innings. Note: the Reds have averaged 5.8 rpg this season vs soutpaws like Blach Meanwhile, Cincinnati's Arroyo despite of pitching in good form last time out, is still not at the top of his game according to my pitcher power rankings and could easily get blasted here in ATT Park as he owns a bloated 11.25 ERA on the road his season and a 6.53 ERA overall. Note: Giants first baseman Brandon Belt is batting .438 (7-for-16) with two home runs vs Arroyo. Twelve of the L/15 meetings in this series have gone over the total including 5 of the L/6 in SF. CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season with a combined average of 10.8 rpg going on the board. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like the Giants - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season are 40-17 OVER for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-10-17 | Red Sox +115 v. Brewers | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Kyle Kendrick (0-1, 13.50 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Chase Anderson (2-0, 2.86) Looking at todays pitching matchup gives us an impression of a Brewers team that has an advantage, but BoSox starting hurler Kendricks with revenge on board for a previous loss in this series, Im betting will be primed to rebound.
Play on the Boston Red Sox on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-10-17 | Padres v. Rangers -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Yu Darvish (3-2, 2.76 ERA) goes to hill for the Rangers against the Padres this Wednesday night. Darvish has pitched well against the National League as is evident by a 7-2 mark and a 2.09 ERA and once again looks like a viable hurler to back in this spot vs a Padres team is averaging 3.7 rpg via a lowly .220 BA. Meanwhile the Padres counter with Luis Perdomo (0-0, 4.03) who is backed by a bulpen wih a 5.07 ERA. Im betting he gets rocked today vs a Rangers offense that will use the momentum of yestedays explosive output here to ignite their attack again. Texas crushed the Padres yesterday by a 11-0 count, and I am expecting another lopsided win by the Rangers again tonight. Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 Rangers - with a rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games against opponent after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings and are 53-5 SU dating back 20 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 15-49 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last few seasons losing SU by an average of 2 rpg. Play on the Texas Rangers on the RUNLINE -1.5 to win |
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05-09-17 | Angels v. A's -124 | 7-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Angels RH Alex Meyer (0-1, 9.39 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (3-3, 4.64) Oakland enters into this game , playing decently and winning 3 straight games, while, their opponents today the LA Angels, are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, having lost 5 of their L/6 and are also expected to be without DL Mike Trout tonight The Angels, starting hurler Alex Meyer does not give much credence to a quick turnaround tonight for the Halos, as he is bad form and owns a ugly 9.39 ERA in his last couple of trips to the hill, along with a equally ugly 2.216 WHIP. Meanwhile, Cotton, the Athletics starter is 3-3 with a 4.64 ERA this season,but has looked good of late, and owns a 2-1 record along with stable 3.96 ERA in his L/3 starts . The right hander, very much looks like a solid option, behind a solid bullpen with a 3.78 ERA. LA ANGELS are 2-14 L/16 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season. Road teams Angels - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less are 7-37 L/44 for a go against 84% conversion rate on the moneyline. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-08-17 | Yankees v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (4-1, 4.46 ERA) vs. Reds RH Rookie Davis (1-1, 7.36) |
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05-07-17 | Yankees +121 v. Cubs | 5-4 | Win | 121 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (2-2, 3.86 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (1-1, 3.67) Severino the NYY starter tonight has shown flashes of brilliance this season, and looked over powering at times, compiling 27 strikeouts in 3 starts prior to a bad outing last time out. He has been especially tough on left-handed batters, who are hitting just .179 against him. Considering the Cubs are hitting just .248 vs righties, this season Severino must not be underestimated. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Cubs Lester despite of alot of success here at Wrigley Field over the past two seasons, going 11-2 with a 1.71 ERA in 18 starts, has still shown signs of being in a slump. as is evident by issuing a season-high five walks last time out , while allowing a home run for the third consecutive start., and a 6.61 ERA during that span. It must be noted that the Yankees own a .294 team batting average vs southpaws, scoring an average of 6.7 rpg. I don't know what it is with the defending World Series champs, ie hangover from last years successes etc, or are currently just slumping. No matter what the situation is, the Yankees come into this game, having taken the first two games of this series,and are looking surprisingly solid early this season, and are very confident with momentum on their sides, making them look like viable underdogs in this spot. One last thing, I know Lester at home , has seen his team win a row of game vs winning teams, but that was when both him and his team were playing incredible baseball. Thats not the situation at this time. Also , all good and bad runs must come to end, and with this kind of value attached to the moneyline, its worth betting on the hotter team. NY YANKEES are 11-0 L/11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons.NY YANKEES are 7-0 against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season.NY YANKEES are 12-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 42-15 in their last 57 vs. National League Central.Yankees are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and 5-1 L/6 meetings in Chicago. Road team is 8-0 in umpire Wests last 8 games behind home plate vs. Chicago. Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-07-17 | Diamondbacks +115 v. Rockies | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (3-1, 4.19 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (2-4, 5.40) Colorados starter Chatwood (2-4, 5.40 ERA) lost 6-2 Tuesday at San Diego and has now lost his L/2 starts and owns a ugly 7.72 ERA in his L/3 starts, and faces a DBacks team that is averaging 5.3 rpg vs righty hurlers. Chatwood is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.88 ERA at home this season. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Arizona DBacks Walker (3-1, 4.19) is averaging 10.22 strikeouts per nine innings, up from 7.97 last year and very much looks like a viable pitcher to back here in the launching pad known as Coors field. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Walkers last 4 starts.CHATWOOD is 0-7 L/7 against the money line at home when the total is 11 to 11.5.Rockies are 1-5 in Chatwoods last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Diamondbacks are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play on Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-07-17 | Brewers v. Pirates -128 | 6-2 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Zach Davies (2-2, 6.07 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Tyler Glasnow (1-1, 6.97) Davies the Brewers starter has been inconsistent so far this season, but has had big problems, vs the Pirates in the recent past , as is evident by a 0-2 record in 3 career starts in this series along with a hugley bloated 13.06 ERA. Meanwhile, Glasnow the Pirates starter, picked up his first career win after allowing three runs and four hits in six innings at Cincinnati on Tuesday. The young man looked pretty good, and I'm betting the confidence should carry over into this game. Pirates are 4-0 in Glasnows last 4 starts.The Brewers entered the series with the third-most runs (148) in the National League but they have been limited to one in the last 19 innings over the first two games and look to be slumping and reverting back to the mean average of what my power rankings suggest is their true hitting/offensive value. Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.Pirates are 72-33 in their last 105 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates manager HURDLE is 14-0 in his career against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse in all games.MILWAUKEE is 2-18 L/20 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start dating back to last season. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-07-17 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-1, 3.23 ERA) vs. Braves RH R.A. Dickey (3-2, 3.94) We have a Atlanta knuckleballer in Dickey whos signature pitch is not effective so far this season, and I'm expecting that when teams figure this out, the flood gates will open .That could easily happen today vs a St.Louis team, that has scored 10 runs in the first game of this series and followed it up with 5 runs yesterday. Meanwhile, Wacha the Cards starter has been pitching decently lately, but its not like he is invincible, and Im betting on the Braves doing enough damage to help this total get eclipsed. Note: Cards bullpen owns a bloated 5.14 road ERA this season. WACHA is 11-0 OVER L/11 in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game getting an average of 6.4 rpg in support, with the total combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored. WACHA is 16-4 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last few seasons.ATLANTA is 13-2 OVER L/15 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season wit a combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored.ST LOUIS is 9-1 OVER after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board.Over is 13-2-1 in Wachas last 16 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 27-9-1 in Wachas last 37 starts overall.Over is 22-5 in Braves last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Braves - team with a terrible SLG (.390 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season-NL are 39-8 to the OVER in the L/21 seasons for a impressive 83% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-06-17 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-11 | Win | 105 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2016: 0-2, 5.93 ERA) vs. Mets RH Robert Gsellman (1-2, 6.75) |
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05-06-17 | Blue Jays v. Rays -112 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (1-1, 2.43 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (1-1, 3.50) Estrada the Blue Jays starter has had four straight strong trips to the hill since a loss at Tampa Bay. The Jays righty hurler, has been in very good form, but he has not faired well against the Rays in the past with his team losing his L/5 starts against them including this years lone appearance. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Odorizzi limited Miami to two runs (one earned) on a pair of hits over five innings Monday and looks like a viable starter to back in this spot.He gave up two runs on two hits over six innings to beat the Blue Jays on April 9, improving to 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 career games vs a Jays offense that averages just 3.6 rpg vs righty starters this season via .231 BA. Blue Jays are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.Blue Jays are 1-6 in Estradas last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Blue Jays are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 0-5 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. Rays. mlb Home teams like the Rays - excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher like Estrada- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts are positive outcome teams/bets converting at 60% of the time dating back 20 seasons. Also MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like TB - struggling hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are actually good bets cashing 32-L/38 times for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-05-17 | Giants v. Reds OVER 9 | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Giants RH Matt Cain (2-0, 2.30 ERA) vs. Reds RH Bronson Arroyo (2-2, 7.20) The Giants offense has been asleep at the proverbial wheel early on this campaign, but tonight is a good opportunity to activate their attack. San Francisco totaled 16 runs in three games in Cincinnati last season and Im betting on a decent output in game 1 vs 40 year old Bronson Arroyo the Reds starter (7.20 ERA). Over is 12-3-1 in Arroyos last 16 starts overall.Meanwhule, SF despite of sending their best hurler of late to the hill, Matt Cain, will still I am betting give up enough runs to send this tilt floating above the number. Cain has just been average on the road, as is evident by a 3.97 EA allowing including 3 HRs in two starts. Note: Over is 6-1-2 in Cains last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game (which happened last time out). Over is 3-0-1 in Arroyos last 4 starts vs. Giants.Over is 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts vs. Reds. Cincinnati has gone over in 10 of their L/12 games. Cincinnati/SF have gone over in 10 their L/12 meetings including 5 of their L/6 in Ohio. Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Giants - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 39-10 to the over for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CINCINNATI is 14-5 OVER L/19 vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored and is 12-1 OVER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better with a combined average of 11.6 rpg getting scored.SAN FRANCISCO is 14-2 OVER L/16 in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse, with a combined average of 10.6 rpg.Over is 22-8-2 in Cains last 32 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 8-3-1 in Giants last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-3-2 in Cains last 14 road starts.Over is 7-2-1 in Arroyos last 10 home starts. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-05-17 | Red Sox v. Twins OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodríguez (1-1, 2.70 ERA) vs. Twins RH Phil Hughes (4-1, 5.06) The Twins will start right-hander Phil Hughes (4-1, 5.06 ERA) on Friday. He'll will go against southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 2.70). Rodriguez has been hot and has allowed one run over 12 innings in his past two starts, and is in top form , but is just 6-9 with a slightly bloated 5.36 ERA against the Red Sox in 26 career games (17 starts). Tonight I wont be surprised of the Red sox sometimes explosive offense lets loose with a big output, and almost single handed fashion eclipse this number all by themselves and for Minnesota to do more damage than expected vs Rodriguez. Over is 8-3 in Rodriguezs last 11 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Hughes' last 6 home starts. MINNESOTA is 21-5 OVER L/26 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) and is 47-15 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, Minnesota has gone over in 6 straight games. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Twins - starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, like Rodriguez are 34-8 over for a 81% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.Over is 42-10-2 in Twins last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-05-17 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8 | 0-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jimmy Nelson (1-2, 5.34 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-2, 6.26) Nelson the Brewers starter has had three straight bad outings, and has allowed 16 runs in 15 2/3 innings of lowly work. I know the Pirates offense has struggled to find a spark this season, ranking in the bottom third of the majors in runs scored, batting average, slugging percentage and hits., but should do enough damage today vs a hittable starting pitcher.Meanwhile, the Pirates starter, Kuhl, Compared to last season, owns a walk rate that is concerning and has jumped from 6.6 percent to 11.1 percent. The key difference seems to be that in three-ball counts, Kuhl's zone rate has dropped from 61.3 percent to 47.1 percent and his strike rate from 78.5 percent to 64.7 percent. That added inventory of throws almost always will result in more base runners which many times leads to runs, and that is what I am betting on tonight. The Pirates thrower in two home starts owns a bloated 14.84 ERA. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like the Pirates - lower tier defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season, playing on Fridays are 36-6 to the over for a 86% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/6 games against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, with a combined average of 9.6 rpg.NELSON starts are 11-2 OVER L/13 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse with an average of 11 rpg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 14-3 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-04-17 | A's v. Twins OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
When you first look at this pitching matchup today, and look at the both hurlers data , and of course the opening total, you may-be inclined to look at an under wager , but the linesmakers are more accurate in their assumptions than a causal glance would indicate, by a casual bettor, because of the array of info they have on their sides. In the As last 8 games they have allowed 7 or more runs in 5 of those tilts. Meanwhile, Minnesota, has scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their L/5 and have gone over in 4 straight and have also allowed an average of 5.7 rpg over a 7 game span. With Oakland doing their best offensive work against lefties like Hector Santiago averaging 4.1 rpg, I’m expecting them to do some more damage here. Meanwhile the Twins, average 4.9 rpg vs righty starters like Graverman. ( The As bullpen also owns a bloated 5.68 ERA in road games and when if called upon should provide us with runs –as we push for THIS TOTAL being eclipsed)
MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Athletics/Twins - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 52-16 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons, for a 77% conversion rate. MINNESOTA is 31-18 OVER L/48 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board MINNESOTA is 17-3 OVER L/20 vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 11.2 rpg going on the board. MINNESOTA is 24-8 OVER L/32 as a favorite of -110 or higher with a combined average of 11.1 rpg getting scored. MINNESOTA is 47-18 OVER after 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 10.6 rpg getting scored.
Over is 5-1 in Athletics last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall. Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 12-4-5 in Twins last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 20-7-1 in Twins last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 36-14-1 in Twins last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 34-15-2 in Twins last 51 during game 3 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Twins last 18 Thursday games.Over is 24-11-2 in Twins last 37 vs. American League West.Over is 6-1-1 in Gibsons last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-1-1 in Gibsons last 8 home starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Gibsons last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 12-3-2 in Gibsons last 17 starts overall.Over is 10-3-2 in Gibsons last 15 starts on grass.Over is 3-1-1 in Gibsons last 5 starts with 5 days of rest..Over is 3-1-1 in Gibsons last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Minnesota. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-03-17 | Diamondbacks +122 v. Nationals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (2-1, 3.56 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (3-0, 1.62) Ray, the DBacks starter today is 2-1 with a stable 3.56 ERA in five starts this year and has allowed just 24 hits in 30 1/3 innings with 39 strikeouts and 17 walks and is a viable pitcher to back in this spot today. I know that the Nationals starter Gonzalez has also pitched well in his first five starts this year, going 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA, but from a pitching standpoint he is backed by a struggling Washington bullpen, that went three innings Tuesday in a 6-3 loss to Arizona, and is less than dependable. Former closer Blake Treinen allowed three runs and one hit in two innings in yesterday’s loss, and now owns a ugly 8.25 ERA with Joe Blanton also in bad form has registered a super inflated 9.82 ERA. It must also be noted that despite of Gonzalez’s lofty numbers this season so far , last year he was just 11-11 with a 4.57 ERA in 32 starts and is rated towards the middle of pitcher rankings. Considering Arizona is doing their best offense work against southpaws this season averaging 4.9 rpg and Washington bats struggling against lefties with a .242 BA, I feel confident in recommending we back the underdog visitors to cash again today. WASHINGTON is 13-18 L/31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters.ARIZONA is 7-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Manager LOVULLO of Arizona is 11-5 L/16 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. Nationals are 3-12 in Gonzalezs last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-02-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Alec Asher (1-0, 2.16 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-2, 1.19) · Baltimore’s starter Asher, who is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA in three appearances, this season and the ace of the Red Sox pitching staff Sale owns a 1-2 record along with a miniscule 1.19 ERA , but is receiving very little run support. Asher was 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA in five starts with the Philadelphia Phillies last season. Both these pitchers I am betting provide us with a solid starting pitching matchup. SALE in his L/21 May starts has seen a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. SALE is 26-11 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season in his career, with a combined average of 6.2 rpg getting scored.BOSTON is 13-3 UNDER L/16 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined 7.2 rpg getting scored. Under is 25-9-1 in Orioles last 35 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0-1 in Red Sox last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings. · Only 2 of Bostons last 9 games have eclipsed the total and I'm betting they will be involved in another fairly low scoring affair tonight in Fenway. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Red Sox - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 35-7 UNDER L/41 times for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-02-17 | Diamondbacks +126 v. Nationals | 6-3 | Win | 126 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (3-1, 3.94 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (3-0, 3.64) Tiguan Walker the DBacks starter today is 2-0 in his L/3 starts along with a stable, 3.37 ERA and must not be underestimated as a viable pitcher to back here against a top tier opponent. Arizona is also averaging 5.4 rpg vs righty starters this season, like the Nationals Roarke.Washington’s usually stable bullpen owns a bloated, 5.70 ERA on the season, so their not as solid as many pundits might believe.. Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. ARIZONA is 10-5 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. ARIZONA is 12-5 L/17 against the money line in road games against NL East opponents dating back to last season. Washington is off a victory last time out, but it is interesting to note that , they are just barely above .500 team in this situation as they are 29-28 against the money line in home games after a win. With that said, there is value here with the Dbacks on the MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are 13-34 during the L/5 seasons Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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05-01-17 | Indians v. Tigers +131 | 1-7 | Win | 131 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (2-2, 6.26 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Daniel Norris (1-2, 4.71) Monday Cleveland sends right-hander Trevor Bauer (2-2, 6.26 ERA) to the hill in the opener of a four-game series against the Tigers at Comerica Park. Bauer has had mucho problems dealing with Detroit in the recent past, losing his only decision to the Tigers this year and just 4-4 with a ugly looking 7.24 ERA against the Tigers.Note: The Tigers are hammering righty hurlers this season averaging 5.7 rpg. Indians are 1-6 in Bauers last 7 starts vs. Tigers. Meanwhile, Cleveland has yet to beat Norris in four career starts , he is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and once again looks like a viable starting thrower to back as he faces a Indians team struggling against southpaw hurlers averaging just 3.2 rpg on via lowly .199 BA . Tigers are 6-1 in Norris' last 7 starts vs. American League Central. DETROIT is 27-9 against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more, which happened yesterday in a 7-3 win vs the White Sox. Tigers are 23-8 in their last 31 during game 1 of a series.
Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-30-17 | Cubs +103 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (2-1, 4.50 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (1-1, 3.12) The World Series Champs look like solid wagers tonights according to my own projections, which take into account the pitching matchups(starters/bullpens) and cross reference batting orders opp numbers. Chicago has averaged 6.8 rpg vs southpaws like Rodriguez, while Boston has scored an average of just 3.9 rpg vs righties like Hendricks. There is enough value , for me to recommend we pull the trigger on the Cubbies. Cubs are 7-0 in Hendricks' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Cubs are 20-7 in Hendricks' last 27 starts.Red Sox are 2-8 in Rodriguezs last 10 home starts.Red Sox are 1-6 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.Cubs are 8-0 in Hendricks' last 8 road starts. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-30-17 | White Sox +100 v. Tigers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
• Jordan Zimmerman the Tigers starter today vs the White Sox has given up five runs in each of his last three starts , and very much looks like fade material, and owns a 8.10 ERA at home this season . Unlike Zimmermann, White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez has been in top form during this campaign so far. He's 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA, including a over powering effort against Kansas City on Monday allowing just one earned run and 2 hits in 8 innings work. He has a 2.54 ERA over his last 17 starts dating back to last season |
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04-29-17 | Mariners v. Indians OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (1-2, 4.84 ERA) vs. Indians RH Danny Salazar (1-2, 4.37) Seattle got a 19-9 hammering by Detroit on Tuesday, and have a tendency of taking part in some crazy games, because of a viable batting order, and inconsistent pitching staff. The Mariners offense remains viable, and have outscored the opposition 13-2 over the last three contests. Today I don’t think their pitching staff, will hold up, but their offense will be, in a game that will end up being fairly high scoring according to my own projections.
Seattle has averaged 5.2 rpg vs righty hurlers this season. Meanwhile, Cleveland has also done their best work against righties, averaging 5.8 rpg and go against a bullpen with a bloated 6.53 ERA and a starting pitcher Gollardo who has seen his team go 10-2 over against a team like Cleveland whose hitters strike out 7 or more times a game , with a combined average of 12.1 rpg getting scored. · CLEVELAND is 11-2 OVER in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last couple of seasons with an average of 12.1 rpg going on the board and is 15-4 OVER in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less with a combined average of 11.5 rpg getting scored. Over is 5-1 in Salazars last 6 home starts.Over is 9-3-1 in Salazars last 13 starts overall. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection P |
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04-29-17 | Mets +1.5 v. Nationals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-2, 5.40 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 2.89) Zack Wheeler after sitting out the last two seasons with Tommy John surgery, is finally starting to round into form , and looked good last time out while logging 110 pitches. That is impressive , and Im betting he shocks some people here today with the life he has in his arm. Meanwhile, the Nationals Strasburg, despite of being a big time hurler and in good form, enters this game of paternity leave, and may not be 100% into this game , mentally and also a little rusty after being off since April 20th. Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.NY METS are 23-9 against the money line in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals. Yesterday the Mets looked hot and took out the Nationals 7-5 and still have some payback left on board for a 3 game sweep they suffered at home to Washington earlier this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Washington - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just 13-33 L/44 opportunities for a go against positive conversion rate for 72% for bettors. Also Home teams like the Nationals - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) are just 19-43 for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. There is value here taking the runline +1.5 with the Mets Play on the NY Mets on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-28-17 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (1-2, 8.05) Dodgers right-hander Kenta Maeda, owns a bloated 8.05 ERA as he struggles with his mechancics and could easily get lit up tonight vs a Phillies team, that is red hot and on a 6 game win streak. I know the Dodgers have been struggling a little of late on olffense but have still average 5.2 rpg at home this season, and are more than capable of rebounding. PHILADELPHIA is 26-9 OVER L/35 in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.1 rpg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 road games.Over is 9-4 in Phillies last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 15-4-2 in Phillies last 21 vs. National League West.Over is 10-1 in Maedas last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Maedas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-1 in Maedas last 9 home starts.Over is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings. MLB Road teams - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in April games are 53-28 to the over. |
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04-28-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (2-1, 3.32 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (2-0, 3.42) My own projections set this game total closer to 8.14 rpg, than the 9s being posted by the linesmakers. These estimates are based in a large group of variables, and not only the starting pitchers. With that said, I'm betting their value with an under wager. COLORADO is 24-11 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. Colorado’s Manager BLACK is 74-44 UNDER vs. teams like the DBacks outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in his career with an average of 7.6 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-28-17 | Cubs -112 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
RH Jake Arrieta (3-0, 3.65 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-1, 4.60)
Boston bats are struggling at the moment and have scored just 13 runs over the past seven games, including three shutouts over that span and once again look to be in trouble vs a top tier pitcher in Arrietta. Meanwhile, Pomeranz the Red Sox starter has recorded just one quality start in his first three outings of the season, and that came in his season debut, and Im betting is in trouble again vs the defending world series champions offense tonight. Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Red Sox - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are just 24-54 for a go against conversion rate of 69% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-28-17 | Orioles +110 v. Yankees | 11-14 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (1-2, 7.50 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-1, 2.70) The Orioles enter this game winning despite a .236 team batting average and a .297 on-base percentage and must not be underestimated vs a Yankees team in an emotional letdown spot after defeating the Red Sox Ace Chris Sale last night in a 3-0 decision. It must also be noted, that Yankees starter Sabathia, despite of decent numbers early this season, looked out of rhythm last time out, as the veteran hurler comes off his worst start of the season when, he allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings in a 6-3 loss at Pittsburgh on April 21 . I know the Orioles starter Gausman has struggled so far this season but has been consistent for a while dating back to last season, as is evident by a 8-6 record with a 3.10 ERA in his last 15 starts . Gausman is also backed by a viable bullpen with a solid 2.81 ERA on the season. Last year On Aug. 28, Gausman allowed seven hits and struck nine in seven innings of a 5-0 victory vs the Yankees. Than on Oct. 2, he helped the Orioles clinch the second American League wild-card spot by allowing two runs and eight hits in 7 1/3 innings of a 5-2 win.Gausman is 6-3 with a 2.24 ERA in 18 appearances (12 starts) against the Yankees. He is 3-2 with a 2.38 ERA in nine appearances (six starts) in NY. BALTIMORE is 11-3 against the money line in night games this season . MLB Road underdogs like the Orioles with a money line of +100 or higher - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games have been value based bets cashing at a 46-33 clip on the moneyline. · Orioles are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Yankees are 2-6 in Sabathias last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Orioles are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts vs. Yankees. Yankees are 2-8 in Sabathias last 10 starts vs. Orioles. Play on Baltimore to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection
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04-27-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
Jared Weaver (R) vs Tijuan Walker (R) |
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04-27-17 | Yankees +166 v. Red Sox | 3-0 | Win | 166 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-1, 0.91) Chris Sale the ace of the Red Sox and the Yankees ace hurler Tanaka go head to head tonight in a premier pitching matchup in Fenway Park. We all know about Sales dominance so far this season, but it must be noted that the Yankees batting order has done their best work against southpaws this season averaging 7.2 rpg and must not be underestimated on a value line , especially with Tanaka on the hill. Also in expected low scoring games, Tanaka has done well, as is evident by a 24-7 team record against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last couple of seasons. TANAKA is 15-3 L/18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last couple of seasons. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-26-17 | Dodgers v. Giants +105 | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (3-1, 5.25) Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) the Dodgers starter tonight has never beaten the Giants, going 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA in six appearances, including two starts, and I am betting nothing changes tonight. Meanwhile, SF will trot veteran starter Cueto (3-1, 5.25 ERA) this Wednesday. The righty hasn't lost a home game since last Aug. 30, a stretch of nine starts. With that said I am recommending we take the Giants tonight. Dodgers are 0-5 in Woods last 5 starts.Giants are 16-3 in Cuetos last 19 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Dodgers are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in San Francisco. WOOD is 1-7 L/8 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season in his career. CUETO teams are 10-0 (in his starts against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game dating back to last season, with the average margin of victory coming by 2.5 rpg.CUETO is 17-3 L/20 against the money line in the first half of the seasons.LA DODGERS are 9-21 L/30 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. Play on the SF Giants to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-26-17 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 3.29 ERA) vs. Giants RH Johnny Cueto (3-1, 5.25) Alex Wood the Dodgers starter today is 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA in six career games (two starts) against San Francisco and I'm betting he gets lit up again tonight. Yes, even against some minor league incumbents because of injuries. I will not be surprised if this total is eclipsed by what the Giants put on the board. CUETO is 13-4 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game.Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 7-3 in Giants last 10 during game 3 of a series.Over is 5-0-1 in Cuetos last 6 home starts.Over is 5-0 in Cuetos last 5 starts vs. National League West. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-26-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-1, 4.05 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (1-2, 5.32) |
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04-26-17 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Marlins LH Wei-Yin Chen (2-0, 3.94 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (0-2, 7.20) |
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04-26-17 | Astros v. Indians -105 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr (2-0, 3.38 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (1-2, 6.35) The Astros are in a groove. They have won 10 of their last 12 games, but all good things must eventually come to end. With that said, the Astros are a fade list for tonight, against the Indians startng hurler, Bauer who was 2-0 along with a 3.75 ERA last season against the Stros, and in five career starts against the Astros, he is 5-0 with a 1.97 ERA. Tonight look for the red hot Jose Rameriz Ramirez who is batting a league-leading .520 (13-for-25) at home to be one of the key catalysts behind a Tribe win. The Indians have done some of their best offensive work this season vs righty starters like MCCullers (10.39 ERA on the road) averaging 5.9 rpg. Astros are 4-12 in McCullers Jr.s last 16 road starts.Indians are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-25-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Padres LH Clayton Richard (2-2, 3.04 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (1-3, 3.27) The Diamondbacks have equaled the best home start in team history at 9-2, and they're explosive offense leads the majors with 112 runs. I'm betting their current high octane energy and momentum will genrate the tone to this tilt. Corbin Arizona's starting hurler is 13-3 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 12.6 combined runs going on the scoreboard. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER in home games in night games this season, with a combined average of 13.6 runs getting scored.Over is 7-0 in Corbins last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.SAN DIEGO is 20-8 OVER + vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game, with a combined average 9.6 rpg getting scored.Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 5-1 in Richards last 6 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Arizona. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Padres - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are a bankroll expanding 35-10 to the over for a 78% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-25-17 | Twins -115 v. Rangers | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Twins RH Ervin Santana (3-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Andrew Cashner (0-1, 2.38) The Twins and Rangers face off in the middle game of the series Tuesday night at Globe Life Park. The Twins found a way to win yesterday and Im betting they turn the trick again tonight behind the ace of their staff , Right-hander Ervin Santana who owns a 3-0 record along with a miniscule 0.64 ERA on the season. Santana is backed by a bullpen with a 1.85 ERA on the road this season. Considering the Rangers are batting just .211 early on in their campaign, fading them is an easy decision for me. Meanwhile the Rangers hurler , Cashner has a bad start and good start so far this season , but his team has given him very little support as is evident by having scored just once in his two starts this sesaon. Tonight this will once again be an issue, behind a struggling offense. Twins are 4-0 in Santanas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Twins are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.wins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (0-3, 5.87 ERA) vs. Giants RH Matt Cain (1-0, 3.31) Ryu the Dodgers starter his struggled out of the gate this season and has already given up six home runs over 15 1/3 innings of lower tier work. Meanwhile, San Francisco's rotation has recorded a 5-11 record with a major league-worst 5.02 ERA and once again look vulnerable vs a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 4-0 in Cains last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.CAIN is 17-6 OVER L/23 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg. Dodgers batters are pummeling righty hurlers averaging 5.6 rpg this season. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Blue Jays v. Angels -129 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Blue Jays LH Francisco Liriano (1-1, 5.11 ERA) vs. Angels RH Jesse Chavez (1-3, 5.00) I feel like Toronto's starter Liriano's best days are behind him, and I wont be surprised by a steady decline in his work going forward. Yes, off course there will be flashes of brilliance but his consistency is what I am questioning. With that said, and according to my own cross reference match-up pitcher vs hitters power rankings, he is at a disadvantage tonight in the land of the Angels.Liriano has struggled against the Angels in his career, going 2-6 with a 6.20 ERA in 10 starts and a relief appearance and nothing changes tonight. The Jays won last time out for just their 5th time in 18 games , but it must be noted that the Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series and are 0-7 in their last 7 games following a win and are also 0-8 in their last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Reds v. Brewers -102 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Reds LH Amir Garrett (2-1, 1.83 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Matt Garza (2016: 6-8, 4.51) Garrett the Reds starter is a fine young pitcher and athlete, and early on in his first mlb season, has looked good. However, as teams generate better scouting reports on him and batters adjust to his stuff, I'm betting he may not be as consistent, especially against a team like the Brewers that does its best work vs southpaws. Brewers are 15-5 in their last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter. MILWAUKEE is 25-14 L/39 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Reds are 17-42 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 4-1 in Garza's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 7.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rays RH Chris Archer (2-0, 3.20 ERA) VS. Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (1-0, 5.51) Archer struggled last time out, allowing four runs on seven hits in just five innings of work in a no-decision against Detroit. Archer, went 1-2 with a 4.62 ERA in four starts versus Baltimore and I estimate that the Orioles will do enough damage against him here tonight to help us eclipse the number. It must also be noted that the Rays bulpen has registed a 6.35 ERA in road games this season. Meanwhile, Jimenez the Orioles starter, did have a quality outing last time out, but prior to that had allowed 10 runs on 15 hits (three homers) over 8 2/3 innings in his first two starts of the season. Im beting he remains vulnerable vs the Rays bats, that have been very consistent of late. Over is 3-0-1 in Jimenezs last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Archers last 5 starts overall. Over is 21-7-1 in Archers last 29 road starts.ARCHER is 11-3 OVER L/14 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 with a combined average of 10.2 rpg going on the board. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Brett Anderson (1-0, 4.40 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (1-1, 2.60) Cubs starter ANDERSON for this tilt looked vulnerable last time out, getting hammered for six runs and eight hits in 3 2/3 innings Tuesday against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Khule the Pirates starting thrower despite of a fast start this current campaign, does not matchup well vs the Cubs batting order, and went 0-2 with a 10.45 ERA in three starts against the Cubs as a rookie last season. Considering the Pirates did well vs the Cubs in their first meetings of the season winning and sweep a 3 game set and scoring 18 runs in the three victories, I feel that a repeat type of of offensive performance is not out of the question. Meanwhile, Im also betting on the revenge minded Cubbies coming out here and showing little mercy in a all out offensive onslaught vs a inconsistent pithing staff and bullpen with a 5.24 ERA is a high probability occurrence. Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 overall.Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 home games.Over is 6-1 in Kuhls last 7 home starts.Over is 33-16-2 in Pirates last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh. MLB Road teams like the Cubs- triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent, a top tier team (54% to 62%) playing a lower tier team (38% to 46%) are 51-21 dating back 20 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for this trends betting backers. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 7 | 6-3 | Win | 112 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (2-1, 1.37 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-1, 5.52) I wont be surprised if Washington all by themselves help eclipse this Total. Zack Wheeler gave up eight runs and 10 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his first two starts of the season after missing two years due to Tommy John surgery. He pitched well last time out vs a inconsistent Philies offense, but against this explosive Nationals Im betting on a different story unfolding. Note:WHEELER is 8-0 OVER L/8 in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing and is 2-6 with a 5.09 ERA in eight career starts against the Nationals.Meanwhile, I know the Mets ave been struggling but I'm also betting that they do just enough damage against Scherzer to help us get over this totals number. Over is 10-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. National League East. Over is 3-0-2 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Wheelers last 5 starts vs. Nationals. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less like the Nationals - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in April games are 38-16 OVER for a 71% conversion rate for betting backers. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Mariners v. A's -121 | 11-1 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Yovani Gallardo (0-2, 6.19 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Andrew Triggs (3-0, 0.00) Gollardo the Mariners starter has struggled for the most part this season and is just 0-5 with a 5.29 ERA in six career starts against the Athletics and looks like fde material here today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the A's Triggs has a career 1.93 ERA in 14 games (six starts) at home and has not allowed a run in 17 1/3 innings this season . Oakland starters have allowed two runs or fewer in eight of the last 11 contests and look to be an under rated commodity to this point in the season. Oakland has won 5 straight games, and today I recommend we ride their momentum. Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Mariners are 3-16 in their last 19 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.Mariners are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. Play on Oakland As to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Blue Jays v. Angels UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (1-2, 4.05 ERA) vs. Angels RH Daniel Wright (0-0, 6.75) Toronto is batting .213 vs right handed pitchers this season averaging 3 rpg, while, the Angels are averaging 3.6 pg vs righties, via .237 BA. Both bullpens have proved capable this season, and todays starting pitchers have some value for extended innings according to my own power rankings. TORONTO is 28-14 UNDER vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better with a combined average of 7.8 rpg going on the soreboard.TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER in road games in April games dating back to last season. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (0-3, 6.16 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (1-1, 4.91) This wager is based on math rather than the current form of both these staring hurlers. Colorados Coors field has reputation as launching pad, so lines-makers playing to public perceptions usually shade in a way that gives under bettors some value. With a slight edge today according to my own numbers I'm betting on this score not eclipsing the total. Under is 13-2-2 in Samardzijas last 17 starts overall.Under is 7-2-2 in Samardzijas last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2-1 in Samardzijas last 8 road starts.Under is 12-4 in Rockies last 16 overall.Under is 11-3 in Rockies last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
Indians RH Danny Salazar (1-1, 3.57 ERA) vs. White Sox LH Derek Holland (1-2, 2.16) Cleveland starter Salazar has been over powering with his stuff early this season and registered some big strikeout numbers in all three of his starts. Note:Chicago has four hitters with a batting average of .214 or worse - three under .200 - in the top five spots, and my projections have them struggling today. Meanwhile, the Pale Hose starter Holland pitched 6 scoreless innings in his first meeting against the Tribe back in April and 6-1 with a 2.35 ERA in 10 career starts against the Indians. With that said, I expect both these hurlers to go deep into this game today, and give us quality innings, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the number. Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games.Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games.Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-3 in White Sox last 14 overall.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER 1unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Red Sox v. Orioles -112 | 6-2 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 4.76 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (1-1, 7.23) Bostons offense is struggling and were shutout yesterday and Im betting things won't get much beer today vs a Baltimore side that has won 6 of their L/7 home games this season. Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 9-1 in Gausmans last 10 home starts. Play on the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Braves v. Phillies +100 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 4.26 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Zach Eflin (0-0, 3.60) The Phillies are hitting .297 with runners in scoring position in their past 14 games and rode Maikel Franco’s bases-loaded 10th-inning single to a 4-3 victory Saturday and look to be in good form. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter owns a bloated 6.00 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Phillies, allowing four homers in 10 2/3 innings and will once again I am betting be on the wrong side of the final score this Sunday .Braves are 6-13 in Foltynewiczs last 19 road starts.Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-7 | Win | 104 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
Cubs RH John Lackey (1-2, 4.00 ERA) vs. Reds RH Bronson Arroyo (1-2, 8.40) Lackey is not in great from early this season, and is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA in six outings at Great American Ball Park. Meanwhile, Arroyo the Reds veteran Starter is on his last days in this league at 40 years old, and while capable is still far from dependable, and could easily get crushed by the Cubs explosive offense. With that said, I'm betting on this combined score to eclipse the total . Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.Over is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 road starts.Over is 5-0-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. ver is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 starts vs. Reds.Over is 38-15-3 in the last 56 meetings in Cincinnati.Over is 6-1 in home plate umpire Eddings' last 7 games behind home plate Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Marlins v. Padres OVER 8 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Dan Straily (1-1, 4.61 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jered Weaver (0-1, 4.24) Straily was pulled after 5 1/3 hitless innings in his last outing against the New York Mets as he struggled with his control and issued five walks. Im expecting the streaky hurler will have more problems again today. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Weaver, from the Padres continues to serve up HR blast on a regular basis as is evident by allowing five homers in just 17 innings of average at best work. My own daa base programs suggest these starting hurlers will help the other teams score 4 runs or more in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. Over is 20-8-4 in Marlins last 32 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 13-6-4 in Marlins last 23 road games.Over is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Padres last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SAN DIEGO is 17-6 OVER L/23 in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better with a combined average of 10.4 rpg.SAN DIEGO in the L/18 games against the money line in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse, with a combined average of 8.7 rpg. STRAILY is 14-3 OVER L/17 when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last couple of seasons. MIAMI is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games with an average of 10.7 rpg getting scored. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 OVER L/29 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last couple of seasons, by a combined average score of 10 rpg getting scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | 3-12 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Giants LH Matt Moore (1-2, 4.26 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (2-0, 2.37) Colorados Coors field is known as a proverbial launching pad. It is a stadium that has a reputation for hig scoring events. However, at this time of year, their are still some chilly prevailing winds and temps that can get whipped up of the rocky mountain frontier, and effect scoring outputs. With that said, and , considering the pitching matchup, and expected batting orders, I have come to the conclusion of a lower scoring game than the lines-makers might expect. Under is 7-1 in Giants last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 22-7-2 in Giants last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 12-3 in Rockies last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Rockies last 10 vs. National League West.SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 UNDER L/15 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better with a combined average of 4.8 rpg going on the scoreboard.MOORE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 as an underdog of +100 or higher dating back to last season. teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Rockies - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games are 98-48 under over 20 year span , for a 67% conversion rate for backers of this league wide trend. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Braves LH Jaime Garcia (0-1, 4.67) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.75) Southpaw thrower Jamie Garcia (0-1, 4.67 ERA) gets the start for the Braves against right-hander Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.75) of the Phillies.Throughout his career, Garcia has 10 games (eight starts) against the Phillies despite of a 3-4 W/L record owns a 2.82 ERA along with 42 strikeouts in 51 innings pitched. The 2.82 ERA is the best mark Garcia has against opponents which he's pitched at least 50 innings against.Meanwhile, the Phillies starting hurler Eickhoff has faced the Braves six times ( 6 starts) and has recorded a 2-1 record in 35 innings of top tier work as is evident by a 1.54 ERA with 24 strikeouts against seven walks in those games. Tonight, I expect those trends to continue. Note: Philadelphia is averaging just 2 rpg via a ugly .185 BA vs lefty starts this season. EICKHOFF is 16-6 UNDER L/22 in night games. Under is 6-2-1 in Eickhoffs last 9 starts vs. National League East.Under is 12-2 in Eickhoffs last 14 starts during game 2 of a series. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Tigers v. Twins +107 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-1, 3.77 ERA) vs. Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (0-1, 4.05) The Tigers are struggling having lost 4 straight, as their pitching staff continues with inconsistencies as is evident by allowing 27 runs during their skid. (The Tigers starting hurler Boyd has pitched well in his last two starts, but the Twins, have faired well against southpaws of late winning 5 of their L/6 vs unorthodox starting throwers, and must not be underestimated here in their own back yards. It must also be noted that the Tigers bullpen own a ugly 7.98 ERA in road games this season. Meanwhile, the Tigers are hitting just .187 vs lefties this season, like the Twins hurler Mejia. Twins are 40-19 in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Tigers are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 2 of a series. All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Twins - lower tier AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) vs a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 32-13 L/45 for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Tigers LH Matthew Boyd (2-1, 3.77 ERA) vs. Twins LH Adalberto Mejia (0-1, 4.05) Detroit has allowed 27 runs during a current 4 game losing streak, including yesterdays 6-3 loss here in Minnesota to open this series. The Tigers own the worst run differential in the league at -24, which correlates with the Twins 13-3 OVER L/16 record vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season, with the average combined score of 11 rpg going on the board. MINNESOTA is also 25-10 OVER L/35 vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse with a combined average 10.7 rpg going on the scoreboard. DETROIT is struggling offensively but is 16-6 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span , with the combined average score of 10.3 rpg getting scored.MINNESOTA is 31-12 OVER L/33 after 4 or more consecutive home games. My own cross reference pitcher/batter and matchup stats suggest a fairly high scoring game . Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-21-17 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +127 | 5-13 | Win | 127 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Alex Wood (1-0, 1.00 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (2-1, 3.94) Arizona's starting hurler Walker took out the Dodgers on Sunday, when he struck out seven while allowing one run and four hits over five innings. Im betting on him turning the trick again here this Friday night vs a LAD side that has lost 4 of 6 road games this season, while, managing just five runs in their four road losses,. Dodgers are 0-4 in Woods last 4 road starts. Dodgers are 0-5 in Woods last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.WOOD is 3-12 L/15 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game dating back to last season.LA DODGERS are 5-22 L/27 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive home games dating back over the last few seasons. Diamondbacks have won four of their last six home games against the Dodgers. Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 14-3 in their last 17 home games. Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like Arizona - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, well rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 3 games are 34-14 on the moneyline for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-21-17 | Yankees v. Pirates OVER 8 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.47 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Tyler Glasnow (0-1, 12.15) Pittsburgh right-hander Tyler Glasnow (0-1, 12.15 ERA) is struggling mightily, and with the way the Yankees have been hitting (5.1 RPG) I will not be surprised, if he gets clobbered again. Also , the Pirates, bullpen has been less than viable, as is evident by a 6.29 ERA at home. My own data suggests, that the Yanks should put at least 5.5 runs on the board, and the Pirates 3.5 runs, vs Sabathia and bullpen which gives us value to the over. PITTSBURGH is 15-3 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season with an average of 10.4 rpg getting scored and is 22-8 OVER L/30 in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, and is 21-8 L/29 OVER in home games vs. a team with a strong bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.PITTSBURGH is 14-4 OVER L/18 as a home underdog of +100 or higher and is 12-2 OVER L/14 in home games after scoring 1 run or less in game which happened last time out. Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-2 in Sabathias last 9 interleague starts.Over is 21-7 in Pirates last 28 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Over is 11-4-1 in Pirates last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1-1 in Pirates last 11 interleague home games. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-20-17 | Mariners -142 v. A's | 6-9 | Loss | -142 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Mariners LH James Paxton (2-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Cesar Valdez (NR)
Paxton a over powering fastball demon is 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA in three career starts against the Athletics and looks to have the advantage today, as he is currently in top form, after not allowing a run in first three starts. Meanwhile, Oakland's starter hurler Valdez is making just his third major-league start since June 10, 2010 when he was a member of the Arizona Diamondbacks. The righty thrower is just 1-2 along with a bloated 7.65 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in nine appearances (two starts) during the 2010 run!The Mariners won 12 of their past 13 games in Oakland and look to be solid favs here afer winning 5 of their L/6 overall. Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 9-24 in their last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter.OAKLAND is 12-26 L/32 against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last few seasons.OAKLAND is 2-11 L/13 against the money line in home games after a win by 6 runs or more which happened yesterday in a 9-1 win vs Texas. Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline 1unit reg selection |
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04-20-17 | Nationals v. Braves +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
The Braves will have Matt Kemp in the lineup today which will boost their expectations going forward. The veteran slugger after being on the disabled list is welcome site to an offense with upside potential. Today against the Nationals starter Strasburg, a pitcher who has had problems in the past at Turner Field , Im betting on the Braves, to surprise as underdogs. Meanwhile, Im betting on Braves knuckleballer Dickey, giving the Nationals ussually potent but fastball orientated batting order problems. I know the Braves have had a big edge over the Braves the last few seasons , and got clobbered 14-4 yesterday, but it must be noted, ATLANTA is 12-1 L/13 against the money line off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival. *Nationals bullpen owns a ugly 7.63 ERA on the road this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Diamondbacks -117 v. Padres | 0-1 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 4.32 ERA) vs. Padres RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-2, 7.80) The Arizona Diamondbacks are a team on the rise and look for their fourth straight victory Wednesday as they continue their three-game away series against their the host that San Diego Padres, a side that have struggled and lost five in a row. The DBacks starting hurler Greinke a former Cy Young award winner has owned the San Diego Padres in his career, going 8-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 16 career starts including a 4-1 record record along with a stingy 1.90 ERA in 10 starts at Petco Park. With that said Look for and bet on the DBacks team that is operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum compared to the Fathers, to deliver the dough in this spot. Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinkes last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (1-2, 8.59 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (2-1, 2.53) Kershaw has recorded 22 strikeouts against just one walk over his first three outings while limiting batters to a .179 average. Scoring against this top tier hurler is never an easy proposition and I expect after losing for the first time to the Rockies in his first meeting will be primed to perform. Meanwhile, the Dodgers bats are struggling as they have lost three straight games, and despite of Rockies starting hurlers high ERA so far this season thanks to allowing (4 HRs in 14 1/3 innings of work), is more than capable of rebounding, as was evident, when Anderson made his major league debut in June of last season and in 114 1/3 innings allowed an average of just 0.94 home runs per nine innings. Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League West.Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 20-9 in Dodgers last 29 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-0-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. When Kershaw starts his team 15-3 UNDER vs. struggling baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined score of 5.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. Colorados bullpen owns a 2.77 ERA on the season. LA despite of trying many remedies still struggles against southpaws as is evident by a .238 BA and just 3.2 rpg. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 4-5 | Win | 112 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (0-2, 9.00 ERA) vs. Mets RH Robert Gsellman (0-1, 9.28)
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04-19-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (1-1, 7.56 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH Francisco Liriano (0-1, 9.00) Porcello and Lariano are two veteran hurlers who are starting a little slowly, but I'm betting they will get together in short order. Porcello had thrown at least six innings in 20 straight regular-season games, but got knocked around last time out, but I expect he will be keyed on rebounding here, vs a struggling Blue Jays side with a 2-11 record. Note: Under is 4-1 in Porcellos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Larinao the Jays stater had a solid outing last time out, against Baltimore and should be primed to perform again in this spot.Under is 5-0 in Lirianos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 during game 2 of a series.Under is 20-9-2 in Red Sox last 31 overall.Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.TORONTO is 24-8 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg going on the board. Toronto has averaged only 2.5 rpg vs righty starters this season. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Tigers +109 v. Rays | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (1-0, 2.25 ERA) vs. Rays RH Matt Andriese (0-0, 4.50) AL rookie of the year Micheal Fulmer the Tigers starting hurler today has owned Tampa Bays batting order as is evident by the Rays .128 batting average against him in his two starts last season. ( The young thrower struck out out 21 and allowed one run over 14 innings of top tier work). He shown some brilliance so far this season, and is a name that gets thrown around with respect on consistent basis around MLB pundit circles. Meanwhile, a pitcher I have ranked in the lower part of my pitcher power rankings Andriese has made five appearances (one start) against Detroit in his career, recording a 1-1 hashtag along with a bloated 5.73 ERA, and looks to be an d sub par form again this season. With TB slumping losing 6 of their L/7 ( all on the road) Im betting not even a return home will help their cause. Tigers are 22-5 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series.Rays are 3-12 in Andrieses last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rays are 0-4 in Andrieses last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Rays are 1-5 in Andrieses last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay and 5 straight in TB. FULMER is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. FULMER is 10-1 L/11 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last couple of seasons and is 8-1 L/9 against the money line against AL East opponents over the last couple of seasons. TAMPA BAY is 13-28 L/41 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last few seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-17-17 | Pirates +125 v. Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (1-1, 2.25 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23) The Cardinals,enter this game looking horrendous, as they take the National League's worst record back to Busch Stadium for the opener of a three-game series tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates, ranking 27th in fielding percentage and average almost an error per game.The Cards are a ugly minus-12, as the in-cohesive fumble handed D, has handed their pitching staff 12 runs, or just over a run per game. Meanwhile, the Pirates come into St.Louis off a weekend sweep of the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field, and once again look like solid bets on value line vs a struggling Cardinals team with a solid pitcher on the mound Monday night, right-hander Ivan Nova (1-1, 2.25 ERA). Note on starter: Lance Lynn (0-1, 5.23 ERA) starting hurler for the Cardinals. He looked in-cohesive coming off an 8-3 loss Tuesday night in Washington. ( The Pirates are hitting .276 and averaging 4.9 rpg vs right handed pitchers this season) Cards bullpen owns a ugly 7.34 ERA this season. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ( against the money line vs. an NL team like the Cards with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. ST LOUIS is 2-9 L/11 against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive road games. MLB Home teams like the Cardinals - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 35-13 dating back over 20 seasons, for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Cardinals +145 v. Yankees | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-2, 7.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Michael Pineda (1-1, 3.97) Wainwright has never faced the Yankees but has had success against several of their hitters in the past, as Starlin Castro, Chase Headley, Chris Carter and Matt Holliday are a combined 14-for-68 with no home runs against him. With NY struggling in the clutch going 1-for-30 with runners in scoring position over the last three games, and lucky to get a win yesterday, despite of striking out 17 times, leaving 12 men on base and going 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position. With that said, I'm betting Wainright has a chance at deent start after starting his season slowly. I know the Yankees are perfect so far at home this season, but all good things must evetually come to an end. Yankees are 4-10 in Pinedas last 14 starts during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 3-9 in Pinedas last 12 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearanceCardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Cardinals are 44-18 in Wainwrights last 62 starts during game 3 of a series. Cardinals are 9-4 in Wainwrights last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record. ST LOUIS is 11-4 L/15 against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent dating back to last season and are 15-4 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games dating back to last season.WAINWRIGHT is 30-10 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career.PINEDA is 9-16 L/25 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Mets v. Marlins +108 | 2-4 | Win | 108 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Mets RH Matt Harvey (2-0, 2.92 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (1-1, 7.56) Just looking casually at these two pitcher early season stats, and following the consensus that the Mets are a team on the rise, you maybe blinded by the fact that the Mets hitters are operating badly in the clutch and averaging just .237 vs righty throwers . The blinders also might be on when considering the Mets have also lost 2 straight, and that Straily the Marlins starter is a decent pitcher and in the above average category in my current pitcher categories/power rankings. Straily recovered from a rough first outing to beat Atlanta on Tuesday, striking out five while allowing two runs on just three hits in five innings in a 8-4 win last time out and is now ready to perform here today with confidence on his side behind a offense that is averaging 5.2 rpg vs righties this season.. It must also be noted that MLB teams like the Marlin s - National League team with a good starting pitcher whose ERA was 3.70 to 4.20 last season, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games is a bankroll expanding 47-16 L/63 opportunities dating back over a 20 season sample size for a 75% conversion rate. STRAILY is 11-4 L/15 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse and s 10-1 L/11 against the money line in day games and is 9-1 L/10 starts against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125. There is enough value here for me to recommend we back the Miami Marlins on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -108 | 11-4 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (1-1, 2.70 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (0-2, 5.40) Happ, the Jays starter today is rounding into top form slowly but surely, and should now be ready for a top tier performance in this tilt vs Baltimore. Happ a 20 game winner last season was 11-2 at home and 2-0 versus the O's in 2016. Meanwhile, Bundy the Orioles starter will make his second, appearance of the season this Sunday vs the Jays. I expect the Jays top tier group of hitters in their second time around to be much harder on the righty then they were the first time they met when they scored just 1 run against him in his first start of the season. Orioles are 8-17 in their last 25 during game 4 of a series.Blue Jays are 8-0 in Happs last 8 Sunday starts.Blue Jays are 15-2 in Happs last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 5-1 in Happs last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.HAPP is 14-3 ( against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. This from a league wide long term MLB data base: Home teams like the Jays - cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 516-331 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Toronto - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings, a struggled offense team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games are a bankroll expanding 70-20 for a massive 78% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays 1 unit reg selection( late update ) |
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04-15-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -155 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (1-1, 1.80 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (1-1, 6.30) |
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04-14-17 | Astros -125 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (1-0, 0.64 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (2-0, 2.08) Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel has been intop form to start out his campaign. He is just the the fourth pitcher in major-league history - and first since Nolan Ryan in 1979 - to give up fewer than three hits while working at least seven innings in each of his first two games of a season. ( Astros are 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. American League West.) Astros batters are averaging just .202 BA this season vs southpaw hurlers . Meanwhile, Oakland starter Gravermans is also in good form, but is still in the mid range of my over pitcher power rankings.Astros are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter and averaging .293 BA and 5 RPG. Athletics are 0-4 in Gravemans last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. OAKLAND is 3-19 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better like the Astros own.OAKLAND is 4-15 L/19 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 . MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the As - after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 15-39 for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-13-17 | White Sox +173 v. Indians | 10-4 | Win | 173 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (0-1, 11.57) I know the White Sox offense is struggling , but their pitching and bullpen have been brilliant making them upset possibilites here in this spot. Entering yesterdays play The Pale Hose Bull pen own s a 1.33 ERA on the season allowing just 3 ERS in 21 + innings of work. With that said, Cleveland is also struggling on offense averaging just .216 BA as a team and have scored 2 or less runs in 3 straight games entering yesterdays action. ( The White Sox won 2-1 yesterday, which was Cleveland 4th loss in 5 games)) Im betting Miguel Gonzalez the Indians starter will cause some headaches for the struggling Indians bats. Meanwhile, Tomlin Cleveland starter struggled in his opening assignment, and could provide the White Sox batters with a opening to produce more runs here, something I expect will be the case. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss. GONZALEZ team is 7-0 in his career against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 including a perfect 5-0 on the road under the same moneyline peremiters. His team has also won 4 of his 5 career starts vs the Indians. CLEVELAND is 7-14 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-13-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs -120 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (0-1, 3.86 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Brett Anderson (0-0, 1.59) The Dodgers enter this game having struggled against LHP pitching losing 9 of their L/10 vs southpaws dating back to last season and have failed in 17 of their 22 vs lefties. In four games this season vs unorthodox hurlers the Dodgers are batting just .238 and even the inconsistent Anderson will have an edge here. Note: LA DODGERS are 7-22 L/29 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 Meanwhile, the CHICAGO CUBS are 16-3 L/19 against the money line in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better like the Dodgers own and are 21-3 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. Also from a league wide data base : MLB home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top tier team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 35-9 cashing at a 80% clip for betting backers. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-12-17 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Kyle Freeland, a young southpaw , gave up one run and four hits in six innings, with six strikeouts, and came away with the victory in the Rockies' 2-1 win in his last start, and Im betting will give the Padres batters some problems in this spot . Freeland is backed by a bullpen that has been fairly solid this seaon, as is evident by a 2.64 ERA. Note the Padres have averaged 3.2 rpg this season behind a ugly .212 BA and have averaged 2.8 rpg in 6 road games with a .206 BA, including scoring just 2 rpg in 3 games vs left handers. Meanwhile, the Rockies will face a minor leaguer in LEE, who could pose problems for them , as he is a unfimiliar opponent. This above mentioned set of combinations will make for what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair than the linesmkaers expect. SAN DIEGO is 17-6 UNDER L/23 in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse dating back to last season with a combined 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. COLORADO is 30-14 UNDER L/44 vs. slower speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game with an average of 9.4 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -124 | 4-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LHP Robbie Ray (0-0, 4.76 ERA) vs. Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (0-1, 10.13) Arizona has started their season on fire, but hit a brick wall yesterday vs their hosts the SF Giants in a 4-1 loss. Im betting things don't get better today behind their starting hurler Ray who has seen his team lose 15 of this L/17 against the money line vs. struggling power teams like SF - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last couple of seasons. Meanwhile, the Giants starting hurler Samardzija pitched some of his best ball last season, vs Arizona going 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in three appearences. Diamondbacks are 2-7 in Rays last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.Diamondbacks are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. MLB teams like Arizona - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games, which has just happened are 9-30 L/39 on the moneyline spanning 5 seasons for a go against a 77% conversion rate for bettors . Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Cole Hamels (0-0, 4.50 ERA) vs. Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (0-1, 8.44) Cole Hamels had a very average start to his season, but this top caliber pitcher Im betting returns with a much better performance this time around. Meanwhile, the Rangers thrower despite of a not so terrific first start, matches up well against this batting order, and is backed by a team with a top tier fielding defense and alot of range.Under is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 vs. American League West.Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 home starts.Under is 5-1-1 in Skaggs' last 7 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Braves RH Bartolo Colon (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Straily (0-1, 13.50) Thanks to Dan Strailys poor numbers and these teams having played some failry high scoring games this season, the total has been listed as a little over done. I now expect a lower scoring game here in this tilt. It must be noted that the Under is 4-1-2 in Marlins last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.MIAMI is 31-14 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last few seasons with na average of 7.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Brewers v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Wily Peralta (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (0-1, 3.86) Happ owns a 6.13 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) against Milwaukee and Im betting gets roughed up again. Over is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Brewers RH starter Wily Peralta has seen the Over go 8-0 in his last 8 interleague starts.Over is 7-2 in Blue Jays last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 interleague road games.Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. My projections have this game eclipsing the beatable total. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-11-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -112 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (1-0, 1.29 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (2016: 11-12, 3.32) Neither of these pitchers inspires bettors, but here at home at Fenway when looking at pitcher vs batter situations and strengths the home team has the edge. Red Sox are 22-8 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Mets -139 v. Phillies | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Mets RH Jacob deGrom (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (0-1, 2.70) DeGrom has gone 4-0 in seven career starts vs the Phillies, with his team winning all those starts including a one-hit shutout on July 17 at Philadelphia last season. I'm betting despite of elbow surgery the hurler continues his dominance in this series vs the Phillies. It must be noted that the Mets smashed 34 home runs in 19 games against the Phillies in 2016 - their highest total versus any one opponent and will be primed to explode again here against a suspect bullpen. Phillies are 2-8 in Eickhoffs last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. .DEGROM team is 22-7 L/29 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26 L/35 against the money line after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base. Mets are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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