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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-12-13 | Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
Rangers vs. Mariners UNDER 7
Yu Darvish and Hisashi Iwakuma have squared off many times before in Japan, and history tells us these two will bring their best stuff when they face each other. The two are good friends off the field, but they are fierce competitors on the diamond. In their five meetings against one another in Japan, both of them had an ERA of less than 2. While Darvish was a star right away in the United States, it took some time for Iwakuma to come into his own. Those who have followed him closely of late can see that Iwakuma absolutely is becoming a very good starting pitcher for Seattle. Darvish nearly pitched a PERFECT GAME earlier this year, and he seems to be much better than he was last season. The Mariners offense isn |
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04-12-13 | Detroit: M Scherzer v. Oakland: B Colon OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Detroit & Oakland over 7.5
The Oakland Athletics host the Detroit Tigers on Friday in game one of a three-game set. The Athletics are coming off an 8-1 win over the Angels, while the Tigers beat the Blues Jays on Thursday, 11-1. Both teams are enjoying brilliant offensive runs at the moment. The Tigers scored 24 runs in their three-game series win over the Blue Jays, and scored eight runs in each of their first two games in their previous series with the Yankees, good for an average of 6.7 runs per game over their last six contests. The team |
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04-11-13 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Play on LA Angels & Oakland over 8
Write-up coming shortly. |
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04-11-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
Orioles vs. Red Sox Over 9.5
The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox will both be starting arguably their worst starting pitcher in tonight |
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04-10-13 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
LA Angels & Oakland over 8.5
The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim host the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday in game two of their three-game series. Oakland took the first game in the series on Tuesday, 9-5. Oakland |
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04-07-13 | Miami Marlins v. New York Mets OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Marlins vs. Mets Over 8
Jose Fernandez will make his Major League debut for the Marlins in this one. Fernandez is only 20 years old and he was slated to pitch in AA this season, but the Marlins stunned everyone by naming him to their starting rotation. While Fernandez has excellent stuff, it |
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04-06-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | 6-3 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Cardinals vs. Giants Under 7
Ryan Vogelsong has been one of the best stories in baseball during the last two seasons. Vogelsong was released from the Pirates in 2006, and everyone had given up on him, but they Giants gave him another chance in 2011. Oddsmakers underrated him and put high totals on his games for the last two seasons. While Vogelsong has been good everywhere the last two years, he has been especially dominant at home. Vogelsong has an ERA under 3 on the Giants |
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04-05-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | 13-4 | Win | 104 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Royals vs. Phillies Over 8.5
The Kansas City Royals and Philadelphia Phillies meet today in what is the home opener for Philadelphia. Both teams will start pitchers who have some major question marks. Wade Davis and Kyle Kendrick start for the respective teams in this one. Davis was let go by Tampa Bay last year because they didn |
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04-03-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Atlanta & Philadelphia over 7
The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday. Atlanta won the first game of this series on Monday, 7-5. Roy Halladay has been the model of consistency among starting pitchers in Major League Baseball over the past decade, but he |
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04-02-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 6.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
Giants vs. Dodgers Over 6.5
The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers are bitter rivals and the Dodgers picked up a 4-0 win over them on Opening Day Monday. Clayton Kershaw pitched a shutout in what was an absolute masterpiece of a game from him. Madison Bumgarner and Hyun-Jin Ryu will start in this game. Ryu is making his much anticipated debut for the Dodgers here. The hype is huge around him, but many who are close to him believe that he will be at his best later in the season for the Dodgers. He will likely take some time to get used to Major League hitters and his new environment. The oddsmakers have put a total of 6.5 on this game, which is awfully low. Ryu has good stuff, but he has yet to prove himself against big league hitters. Bumgarner is a very good pitchers, but several guys in this Dodgers lineup have decent numbers against him. These two teams generally play close games, and with a total of 6.5 we can automatically win if the score hits 3-3 at any time. Both of these teams have upgraded their lineups in the offseason, so I expect slightly higher scoring games between them this year compared to last season. Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 7* Play on Giants vs. Dodgers over 6.5 |
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10-17-12 | San Francisco Giants v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7 | 1-3 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
Giants & Cardinals OVER 7
The NLCS shifts to St. Louis for Game 3 on Wednesday. The Cardinals will send 16-game winner Kyle Lohse to the mound, while San Francisco will counter with Matt Cain. The total is set at just 7 despite each of the first two games in the series playing over the number. The over is 5-2 the last seven times these teams have met. Kyle Lohse didn |
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10-10-12 | Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
Orioles/Yankees under 8.5
As the playoffs progress, the stakes get even higher and totals will generally come down. The Yankees offense isn |
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09-26-12 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto/Baltimore over 8.5
Carlos Villanueva has pitched well this year, but it seems like he has hit a wall over his last few starts. Villanueva has never started this many games before, and I think it is catching up to him. He has a 7.04 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Orioles have always had his number in the past. In fact, Baltimore has scored 10 runs on him in his two starts against the team this year. Toronto |
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09-18-12 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | 7-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Red Sox & Rays UNDER 8
The Tampa Bay Rays are quickly sliding out of postseason contention and it's their offense that has been letting them down. The Rays are batting a pathetic .225 as a team at home this season, and things have gotten worse recently, where they're batting only .215 in their past 7 games. The Red Sox aren't fairing much better right now. 6 of their last 7 games have stayed under the posted total and they're averaging just 3.4 runs per game in that span. Both of these teams have been strong under plays this season. Boston is 41-30 to the under on the road this season while the Rays are 46-23 to the under at home. Jeremy Hellickson takes the mound for Tampa tonight and he's seen only 2 of this 13 home starts go over the total this season. Expect a low scoring game here. Play the under. 7* Play on Red Sox & Rays UNDER 8 -120 |
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09-05-12 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Braves/Rockies over 8 -115
While the Braves |
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09-02-12 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Los Angeles/Seattle under 7
Jared Weaver has had a few bad starts lately, but I think he |
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08-26-12 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Under 8.5
The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds play the rubber game of a very important three-game series Sunday afternoon in Cincinnati. The Cardinals are trying to keep touch in the division. Adam Wainwright has been absolutely dealing of late for the Cardinals. Wainwright has allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of his last six starts. He has pitched well in his career against the Reds. The Reds lineup is still pretty good, but they certainly aren |
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08-22-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Pirates/Padres over 7.5
James McDonald was terrific through the first few months of the year, but it seems like he has hit a wall of late. McDonald has historically been better in the first half of the season, so maybe he is just getting worn out. McDonald has given up at least 4 runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. San Diego |
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08-21-12 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 | 2-5 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Cubs/Brewers over 9
The Chicago Cubs offense has heated up of late. Chicago has scored 5 runs of more in 4 of their last 8 games. Marco Estrada will pitch for the Brewers, and Estrada has a very mediocre 4.52 ERA this season. He isn |
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08-13-12 | Washington: G Gonzalez v. San Francisco: Vogelsong UNDER 6.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Nationals/Giants under 6.5
Gio Gonzalez and Ryan Vogelsong have been two of the most consistent starting pitchers in the National League this season. Gonzalez is 14-6 with a 3.32 ERA, while Vogelsong leads the National League with a 2.27 ERA. Vogelsong continues to fly under the radar despite being an amazingly consistent pitcher. The oddsmakers seem to believe that he simply can |
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08-11-12 | St Louis: Westbrook v. Philadelphia: C Lee UNDER 8 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Cardinals/Phillies under 8
The Philadelphia Phillies have waved the white flag at this point. Getting rid of Pence and Victorino was a sign that this is a team that is going into rebuilding mode this year. They have underperformed in a big way, and bettors have profited by going against them this season. Cliff Lee has been much better than his record indicates. St. Louis doesn |
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08-09-12 | Washington: Zimmermann v. Houston: L Harrell UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Nationals/Astros under 7.5
Washington |
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07-29-12 | Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds/Rockies over 10.5
Mat Latos left his last start after five innings with a minor ankle injury. It |
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07-27-12 | Pittsburgh: J Karstens v. Houston: J Lyles UNDER 8.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Pirates/Astros Under 8.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to play terrific baseball. Pittsburgh is 56-42 on the season. The Pirates haven |
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07-24-12 | Boston: C Buchholz v. Texas: M Perez OVER 10.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Red Sox/Rangers over 10.5
Clay Buchholz has struggled all season. Buchholz has a 5.19 ERA this year. Texas is a very difficult place to pitch, and he has an ERA over 6 in two career starts at Texas. The Rangers offense is the deepest in baseball, and they average 5.27 runs per game against right-handed pitching. Boston |
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07-21-12 | San Francisco: M Cain v. Philadelphia: C Hamels UNDER 7 | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Giants/Phillies under 7
Matt Cain and Cole Hamels are two of baseball |
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07-17-12 | Chicago White Sox v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
White Sox/Red Sox over 9.5
Jon Lester hasn |
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07-04-12 | San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Padres/Diamondbacks under 9
Ian Kennedy is coming off a 21-4 season where he would have won the CY Young award if it weren't for Clayton Kershaw's awesome year. Kennedy has been shaky this year, but the Padres inept offense should help him a lot here. Jason Marquis has been solid since coming over to the Padres. Chase Field isn't much of a hitters park when the roof is closed. Kennedy is very capable of completely shutting down the Padres, which makes this high of a number look appealing for an under. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. 6* Play Nailed the White Sox play on Tuesday. 3-0 last 30 days. Just returned from a NICE vacation! Back in the saddle. Ready to make some summer money with winning MLB picks. We make every attempt to always have plays up 3-4 hours before a game! Picks can and will be released every day including holidays and weekends! |
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04-17-12 | Chicago Cubs v. MIA MARLINS UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Two good pitchers take the mound in what is now deemed a pitcher's park in Miami when the Marlins host the Cubs on Tuesday.
Josh Johnson hasn't pitched great so far but look for a sharp effort from him - and all of the Marlins - as they try to win back some fans in Ozzie Guillen's return following a five-game suspension. Ryan Dempster takes the mound for the Cubs and he throws well against Miami. He's 3-0 with a 1.89 ERA in six starts against the Marlins. Seven of the last 12 meetings in this series have gone under and Tuesday should be another low scoring affair. Take the under. 6* play. |
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04-12-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. LOS DODGERS OVER 7 | 2-3 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Betting an over in a Pittsburgh Pirates games might seem a bit crazy since they've only scored a total of nine runs this season, but there's a good chance they "break out" on Thursday.
They'll be facing Chris Capuano of the Los Angeles Dodgers and of all the teams Capuano has faced, the Pirates have had the most success against him. Capuano is 4-7 with a 6.09 ERA against them in 15 starts. Capuano didn't look good in his Dodgers debut last week, lasting just 4.2 innings while giving up four runs and five walks. The Dodgers will face Jeff Karstens, who doesn't have a good track record against them. Karstens is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA against the Dodgers in four starts. Take the over. 7* play. |
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08-13-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 7 | 2-11 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Opposing batters have had a tough time getting good wood on the pitching of Ricky Romero when he's been at home this season and that will likely be the case again as the light-hitting Los Angeles Angels visit.
Opposing hitters are batting just .204 against Romero at the Rogers Centre and he's been especially sharp over his last three starts overall. In that span, he's pitched at least eight innings (24.1 in total) while allowing just nine hits and seven walks (0.66 WHIP) while allowing just three earned runs. He has a career ERA of 3.76 against the Angels. Jered Weaver has fared well against the Jays too, posting a 2.68 ERA in his career against. Opposing batters hit just .195 against him on the road as he has a WHIP of 0.89 when away. He's been outstanding over his last 10 starts, lasting 76.1 innings in those outings while posting a WHIP of 0.93 and giving up just 10 runs in total. This should be a pitcher's duel; bet the under. 8* play. |
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08-06-11 | Oakland A's v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 8-0 | Push | 0 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Brandon McCarthy and Alex Cobb have both been pitching fairly well for their respective teams, so we'll be looking at an under between the Oakland Athletics and the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
McCarthy has an ERA of 3.89 over the last month while posting a WHIP of 1.19 in that span. He has a career ERA of 3.70 against Tampa Bay Meanwhile, Cobb is 3-0 with a 3.70 ERA since the All-Star Break. He's posted a WHIP of 1.05 over his last three starts. The under is 16-5 when the Rays are a home favorite of -125 to -150 and 35-17 when they play at home. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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08-03-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Two pitchers that have struggled to keep runs off the board will square off on Wednesday as the Boston Red Sox host the Cleveland Indians.
Carlos Carrasco will take the mound for Cleveland, and he posted an ERA of 9.13 in July. His WHIP has skyrocketed as it reached 2.11 in July after posting a pristine 0.88 in June. He's faced the Red Sox just once but compiled a 8.11 ERA with a 3.00 WHIP in that start. Tim Wakefield has a career ERA of 4.73 against the Indians but he has an ERA of 5.29 at home this season. He posted an ERA of 6.23 in July and hasn't allowed less than three earned runs in any of his last seven starts. The over is 15-4 when Boston is at home as a favorite of -150 to -175 and 8-3 when at home with a total of 10 to 10.5. The over is also 4-1 when the Indians are on the road with a total of 10 to 10.5. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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08-03-11 | Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Doug Fister will make his debut for the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday and he could get a rude welcome from the Texas Rangers.
Fister played for Seattle in the AL West, so Texas will be familiar with him. He has a career ERA of 4.78 against them. Both Nelson Cruz and David Murphy have career OPS' above 1.23 against him. He's allowed 12 earned runs in his last three starts (5.35 ERA). Matt Harrison has a hideous track record against the Tigers as he's 0-3 with an ERA of 7.84 and a WHIP of 2.23. The over is 11-6 when the Tigers are at home with a total of 9 to 9.5 and it's 4-1 when they are at home as an underdog of +100 to +125. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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07-27-11 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Neither Aaron Cook or Hiroki Kuroda has been pitching lights out, yet the Rockies and Dodgers are faced with a low total of 7.5.
Kiroda has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 18.1 innings pitched. He has a career ERA of 6.37 with a WHIP of 1.61 against the Rockies. That's his highest ERA against any one NL opponent. He'll take on Cook, who is 1-2 with a 7.66 ERA on the road this season. Opposing batters are hitting .379 against him on the road and he's posted a WHIP of 1.99. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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07-26-11 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland A's OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
6.5 is a low total and considering that David Price hasn't been untouchable of late, it might be too low for tonight.
Price has given up a slew of home runs recently and very few of his starts have gone under 6.5 runs recently. He's allowed six home runs in his last four starts, posting an ERA of 4.81 over that span and a WHIP of 1.24. His road ERA of 4.08 shows that he hasn't been as sharp away as he has been at home. Only one of his last six starts has produced less than 6.5 runs. He'll take on Brandon McCarthy, who has an ERA of 4.70 this month. A key to this over could be the umpire Joe West, who has been behind the plate for 14 overs and just seven unders. Also, the Rays bullpen has been brutal of late, going 0-4 with a 5.51 ERA over their last 11 games. Bet the over. 7* play. |
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07-26-11 | Houston Astros v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros and St. Louis Cardinals combined for 15 runs on Monday night and we'll be looking for another high-scoring affair on Tuesday.
Jake Westbrook has had plenty of problems starting at home this season, going 2-2 with a 6.94 ERA in nine starts at home this season and he hasn't even made it past the fifth at home in his last two outings at Busch Stadium. Three key Astros hitters in Brett Wallace, Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence are a combined 25-for-51 against him. Brett Myers will take to the bump for the Astros, but he's been so-so this season. Matt Holliday, Skip Schumaker and Albert Pujols have all hit better than .340 against him for their careers. Bet the over. 8* play. |
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07-25-11 | Houston Astros v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ has been shelled left, right and center, and we'll expect more of that on Monday as he faces a team he has a back track record against.
Happ has given up exactly five earned runs in each of his last five starts and he's been a mess on the road this season. When pitching away, he has an ERA of 7.62 with a BAA .309 and a WHIP of 1.80. He has a career ERA of 5.82. Kyle McLellan has been struggling as well as he's given up 17 earned runs in his last 24 innings pitched. 5 of the last 8 meetings have gone over the number. Bet the over. 8* play. |
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07-23-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers played to a 12-2 result on Friday and we'll look for a similar high-scoring affair on Saturday.
With the weather expected to be in the neighborhood of 84 degrees, the pitchers will expect to see their defense get tested as the balls sail much further. Matt Harrison has been touched up by the Blue Jays, posting an ERA of 15.43 and a WHIP of 3.14 for his career. Both starts have gone over. Meanwhile, Carlos Villanueva hasn't started against the Rangers recently, but he is coming off a rough outing himself when he coughed up five earned runs to the New York Yankees last Sunday. The over is 4-0 after the Jays gave up 10 or more in the previous game and 14-9 against lefties. For the Rangers, the is 11-4 when at home as a favorite of -150 to -175 and 7-3 when the total is 10 to 10.5. Four of the last five meetings in Texas has gone over. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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07-20-11 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Two lefties will be on the mound as John Danks and the Chicago White Sox take on Bruce Chen and the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday.
We'll be eyeing the under for a number of reasons. Danks has a career ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.20 when facing the Royals. The under is 5-3 in those starts. Danks has given up just three earned runs in his last 23.2 innings pitched (1.16 ERA) and he doesn't usually get much support from the White Sox. They have averaged 2.7 runs per game over his last 12 starts. Bruce Chen has also pitched well against the White Sox, posting an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.19 for his career against them. He's done well at home with a 3.52 ERA, .275 BAA and a 1.39 WHIP. Four of the last six meetings have gone under and the under is 29-14 when the White Sox face a team with a losing record. 10* play. |
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07-19-11 | Washington Nationals v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Jordan Zimmerman and J.A. Happ will be on the mound for their respective squads on Tuesday as the Houston Astros host the Washington Nationals.
Zimmerman has been excellent all season long and he's allowed just eight earned runs in his last eight starts (1.33 ERA). He's been sharp on the road in particular where he has a 2.18 ERA, a .222 BAA and a 0.98 WHIP. He'll take on J.A. Happ, who hasn't been nearly as good but has at least pitched better at home than on the road. Happ's numbers show an ERA of 4.45 at home (compared to 7.62 on the road), a BAA of .247 (compared to .309 away) and a WHIP of 1.43 (compared to 1.80 on the road). He has a career ERA of 1.62 and a WHIP of 1.26 against the Nats. Another key should be the fact that the under is 17-6 when the Nats face a lefty this season. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-17-11 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves will meet up on Sunday with two quality starters on the mound.
The Nats will send Tom Gorzelanny to the bump and while his road ERA (4.89) is higher than his home ERA (3.16), opposing batters are actually hitting worse against him on the road (.235) than at home (.272). In his career against Atlanta, Gorzelanny has an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.29. He'll take on Jair Jurrjens, who has been a Cy Young candidate this season. Jurrjens has a home ERA of 1.78 with a WHIP of 0.98. Opposing batters are hitting just .205 against him at home. He has a career ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.30 against the Nats. Bet the under. 9* play. |
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07-16-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 104 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Indians will face the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday in what should be a high-scoring affair.
Carlos Carrasco will start for the Indians and he's faded since a good start to the season. He's given up 11 earned runs in his last two starts (seven innings pitched) and he can't seem to stop the long ball anymore. After giving up just four home runs in his first 79 innings pitched, he's coughed up six in his last 22 innings pitched. He'll take on Alfredo Simon of the Orioles, who has also been shelled recently. Simon has allowed eight earned runs in his last nine innings pitched. Four of the last five meetings have gone over. The over is 5-1 in the last six that the Indians face a team with a losing record while it's 7-2 in the last nine when the Orioles face a team with a winning record. Bet the over. 9* play. |
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07-15-11 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Justin Verlander has been very sharp for the Detroit Tigers this season and he'll get the second half started for them as he takes the mound on Friday.
He's 8-1 with a 0.75 ERA over his last nine starts overall and he's been pretty strong against the Chicago White Sox. He's notched wins in each of their last seven matchups while posting an ERA of 2.06. He'll take on Gavin Floyd, who is 5-1 with a 3.51 ERA in 14 career starts against the Tigers. Floyd pitches much better on the road than at home, posting a 3.60 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP when away. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-10-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks and St. Louis Cardinals will meet up on Sunday, with Zach Duke and Jaime Garcia taking the mound.
Garcia has been stellar pitching at home this season, posting an ERA of 0.97, a WHIP of 0.84 and opposing batters are hitting just .167 against him at Busch Stadium. That's a stark contrast to the 5.67 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and .326 batters are hitting against him on the road. His career ERA against Arizona is 1.80. For the Diamondbacks, they'll put Duke on the mound. He has in fact pitched much better away from home than at it, posting an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.50 when away. He has a career ERA of 3.86 against the Cardinals. Six of the last nine meetings in this series in St. Louis have gone, and the two games on Friday and Saturday went over. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-09-11 | Minnesota Twins v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Two lefties will be on the mound as the Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox matchup on Saturday afternoon.
The White Sox will put Mark Buehrle on the mound, who has been very sharp at home this season. On the road, his ERA is at 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.37. At home, his ERA drops to 2.83 and his WHIP is at 1.22. He has a career ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.33 against the Twins. Duensing will be on the mound for the Twins and he's coming off a complete game shutout in his latest start. He has a road ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.35. For his career, his ERA against the White Sox is a crisp 2.66. The under has cashed in four of the last five meetings, and given that both teams are struggling at the plate, bet this one to stay under as well. 8* play. |
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07-08-11 | Colorado Rockies v. Washington Nationals UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
John Lannan has pitched particularly well at home this season, and he'll be on the mound again as the Colorado Rockies visit the Washington Nationals.
Opposing batters are hitting just .224 against him as he's posted an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.12. That's compared to an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.66 on the road. For Jason Hammel, his splits are opposite as he's pitched better away from Coors Field than at it. His road ERA is 3.48 and his road WHIP is 1.30 compared to 4.92 and 1.48 at home. He has a career ERA of 3.71 against the Nats with a WHIP of 1.20. Three of his four starts have gone under. The under is 9-15 when the Rockies face a lefty this season. Bet the under. 9* play. |
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07-07-11 | New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 6.5 | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Two stellar pitchers will be on the mound for the New York Mets and Los Angeles Dodgers, but both have struggled a bit recently.
Clayton Kershaw takes to the bump for the Dodgers, and he's coming off an outing where he gave up six earned runs in six innings pitched. Since June 1st, he's allowed 21 earned runs in 42.2 innings pitched (4.48 ERA). He'll take on Dillon Gee, who has also been roughed up quite a bit recently. After allowing just 21 earned runs through his first 66 innings pitched (2.86 ERA), he has coughed up 11 earned runs in his last 17 innings pitched (5.82 ERA). It's simply too low of a total for two pitchers that have been laboring a bit recently. Bet the over. 6* play. |
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07-06-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | 5-13 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers will send their sensational rookie Alexi Ogando to the mound to face the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday.
Ogando has pitched very well at home this season, posting an ERA of 2.38, a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents are batting just .220 against him at the Ballpark in Arlington. Some people seem to think that June was his worst month but overall, it was really just one bad outing (six earned runs in 1.2 innings pitched). That outing came at Yankee Stadium, so nerves may have come into play for the rookie. Outside of that, he's allowed just eight earned runs in his last 30.1 innings pitched (2.39 ERA). The Orioles have a tough time scoring runs when they are not at home. At home, they average 4.2 runs per game compared to 3.9 on the road. The biggest difference is their OPS, which is 40 points lower on the road (.704). Jeremy Guthrie will take the mound for Baltimore, who has a 3.41 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP when on the road. For his career, he's 3-1 against the Rangers with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. The under is 6-2 in his outings against Texas. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-05-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6 | 0-1 | Win | 104 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Two of the best pitchers in all of baseball will take the mound on Tuesday, so we'll be looking at the under.
Justin Verlander has been on absolute fire over the last month, and there's little reason to believe it won't continue against the Angels. Verlander has given up just five earned runs in his last seven starts, which have lasted a total of 56.2 innings (0.81 ERA). He has won each of those starts and he's posted a WHIP of 0.73 in that spell. He'll take on Dan Haren, who has been stellar at home this season. Opposing batters are hitting just .178 against Haren this season when he's at home and his WHIP there is 0.84 (compared to 1.17 on the road). He doesn't get much run support as he's received just 10 runs of help in his last five home starts (four of those starts, the Angels scored exactly one run). Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-05-11 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Scott Baker and James Shields will take the mound on Tuesday as the Minnesota Twins host the Tampa Bay Rays.
Baker has pitched well at home this season, posting an ERA of 2.21, a WHIP of 1.07 and opposing batters hit .224 against him. For his career, he has an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 0.96 against the Rays. The under is 5-0 in his starts against Tampa Bay. The Rays will counter with Shields, who has pitched well on the road this season. He has a WHIP of 0.98 on the road and opposing batters hit just .200 against him. He's given up just five earned runs in his last four starts. Six of the last eight meetings between the teams have gone under. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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07-04-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Toronto Blue Jays will once again face John Lackey (and the Boston Red Sox again will face Brendan Morrow) as the two AL East rivals square off on the fourth of July.
Lackey has been thrashed all season long - particularly at Fenway Park. At home, he has an ERA of 7.88 while opponents bat .302 against him while posting a WHIP of 1.69. He's faced the Jays twice this season and has allowed 13 earned runs in 12.2 innings of work. He has an ERA of 8.83 in his last six starts against Toronto. The over is 11-6 in games where Lackey has faced the Jays. Meanwhile, the Jays will counter with Morrow, who has an ugly track record against Boston. Morrow has an ERA of 12.38 and an astronomical WHIP of 2.50 against the Red Sox for his career. The over is 4-0 in each of the four games he's pitched against the Red Sox. The over is 15-9 in day games for Boston and 5-0 when they are a home favorite of -125 to -150. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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07-02-11 | Kansas City Royals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Kansas City Royals bullpen was taken for a ride on Friday night and they should be fairly fatigued for Saturday when they have to face the Colorado Rockies again.
The Royals bullpen had to fill in for three innings last night and they gave up four runs, four hits and three walks. Kyle Davis will take the mound for the Royals, and he is 0-3 with a 8.00 ERA against the Rockies for his career. In Colorado, he has an ERA of 18.47 in two career starts there. The prospects of him lasting long in the game don't look so hot. The Rockies will counter with Greg Reynolds, who is a Triple-A callup. He's allowed four earned runs in the 4.2 innings pitched he's thrown at home this season. He's nothing special, and the Royals should be able to contribute a couple of runs to the total. Bet the over. 7* play. |
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07-01-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 9 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
The Battle of Ohio will begin on Friday night as the Cleveland Indians take on the Cincinnati Reds.
The Indians will send Justin Masterson to the mound, who can't seem to get any run support from the Indians. The Indians have scored a total of 12 runs in his last eight outings. Masterson pitches well on the road, though, posting an ERA of 2.54 and posting a WHIP of 1.40 on the road. He'll face Bronson Arroyo, who contrarily pitches better at home. Arroyo's road ERA is 5.72 but that drops down to 4.53 when he's pitching at home. His home WHIP is a respectable 1.24 and opposing batters hit just .261 against him. Both teams tend to trend under in interleague play. Combined, the under is 19-10 when these play interleague contests. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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06-30-11 | Florida Marlins v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
The Florida Marlins are happy that the month of June is coming to an end after their worst month in franchise history.
On Thursday, they'll put Chris Volstad on the mound, who has pitched well recently. Aside from a calamitous eight-run outing against the Philadelphia Phillies, Volstad had an ERA of 2.98 in his other 27.1 innings pitched (four starts) in June. He's allowed just three earned runs and posted a WHIP of 1.14 over his last two starts. He seems comfortable in interleague play, going 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA over his last three interleague road starts. Meanwhile, Trevor Cahill is back on track for the A's. He has an ERA of 1.15 with 13 strikeouts in his last two starts (15.2 innings pitched). He allowed a total of two earned runs in his last three interleague starts. Opposing batters are hitting just .217 against him in day starts this season. Both teams tend to trend under in interleague games. Combined, the under is 19-4 in interleague contest. Bet the under. 7* play. |
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06-29-11 | Chicago White Sox v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9 | 3-2 | Win | 109 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox will send the most successful interleague pitcher in Major League Baseball to the mound on Wednesday when they face the Colorado Rockies.
Mark Buehrle is 24-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 38 interleague starts, and is the winningest pitcher in interleague play. In his last 10 interleague starts, he's 10-0 with a 1.88 ERA. He's 5-2 with a 2.88 ERA in his last nine starts overall. Meanwhile, Ubaldo Jimenez will start for the Rockies, and he's pitched much better of late. June has been his best month as he's 3-2 with a 2.43 ERA and that's directly related to him being able to curtail his walks. In April, his walks per nine innings were at 3.94, in May it climbed to 6.05 but in June, that number has dropped to 1.90. As long as he keeps batters from getting freebies, he'll look more like the 19-game winner from last season. Bet the under. 7* play. |
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06-27-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
The Cleveland Indians have been struggling in interleague play - particularly the games played in National League stadiums - and they'll have another one on the schedule tonight.
Shin-Soo Choo is out with injury and with the game being played in an NL park, Travis Hafner will be on the bench as well. Following the Indians this season, their lineup has not been nearly as strong when Hafner is out. Overall, they have scored 11 runs in their last five games. It might be even tougher against Ian Kennedy, who has been on fire of late. In his last nine starts, he's 7-1 with a 2.16 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .215 against him when he pitches at home. Meanwhile, the Indians will send Mitch Talbot to the mound, who has pitched better away than at home. Opposing batters are hitting .379 against him when he's at home and just .264 when he's on the road. He doesn't receive much run support when he pitches, getting a total of five runs in his last four starts. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-26-11 | Colorado Rockies v. New York Yankees OVER 10 | 4-6 | Push | 0 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
The New York Yankees and Colorado Rockies have two potent batting lineups, which should be looking forward to the pitching matchups.
Ivan Nova has pitched well on the road this season but has struggled at home. Five of the six home runs he's allowed this season have come at Yankee Stadium and opposing batters hit 61 points better off him at Yankee Stadium (.291) than on the road (.230). His WHIP is significantly worse at home (1.64) than on the road (1.23), which means the Rockies should get plenty of base runners on today. In three day games started, opposing hitters are clubbing .329 against him. On the flip side, the Yankees will face Juan Nicasio, who has struggled since his original start this season. In his first start of the season, he went seven innings while giving up six hits and just one unearned run. In his next four starts, he's allowed 15 earned in 21.2 innings pitched (6.40 ERA) while posting a WHIP of 1.60. He's given up four home runs in his last three starts. The over is 18-6 when the Rockies play day games and 8-4 when the Yankees are a home favorite of -150 to -175. Bet the over. 8* play. |
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06-26-11 | Minnesota Twins v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
The Minnesota Twins bats have struggled on their current road trip (just six runs in their last four games) but they could get a spark on Sunday.
The Twins will face Chris Narveson, who allows a batting average of .266 when he's pitching at home. Narveson has struggled this month, giving up four earned runs in three of his four starts and outside of that one good start against St. Louis, Narveson has allowed 23 earned runs in his last 24.2 innings pitched (8.55 ERA, 1.78 WHIP). He'll face Carl Pavano, who has much preferred to pitch at home than on the road this season. At home, he's 3-1 with a 2.64 ERA, a WHIP of 1.20 and opposing batters hit just .250. On the road, opposing batters hit .301 against him, he has a WHIP of 1.40 and an ERA of 5.12. He's had a hard time with home runs, allowing just one at home in 44.1 innings pitched but giving up seven in 58.1 innings pitched on the road. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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06-25-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox injuries have caught up with them a little bit as they have lost three straight. The biggest culprit has been their hitting, which has gone completely cold.
The Red Sox have scored just six runs in their last three games. They might find it a challenge again on Saturday as Jeff Karstens takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates. He has pitched surprisingly well this season, particularly at home, where he has a 1.85 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP and opposing batters have hit just .222 against him. Tim Wakefield has an ERA of 3.51 on the road this season with a WHIP of 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting just .204 against him. He started his career with Pittsburgh and should be fired up to face them again - 18 years after they let him go. In his only other start against them, he pitched seven scoreless innings. The under is 8-3 when the Red Sox are a road favorite of -125 to -150, and it's 31-16 for Pirates in night games. Bet the under. 9* play. |
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06-25-11 | Washington Nationals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
The Chicago White Sox don't do a great job of supporting John Danks, but he'll be on the mound for them on Saturday.
The White Sox have scored three runs per game in his last eight starts, which should help the cause for the under. At home this season, Danks has an ERA of 3.10 and opposing batters are hitting just .240 against him. That's a stark contrast to the .322 their batting against him on the road. His WHIP is at 1.26 at home. The under is 16-6 when the Nationals face a lefty. Bet the under. 6* play. |
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06-24-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Two lefties will take the mound as the Boston Red Sox visit PNC Park to face the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Combined, the under is 25-17 when these two teams face lefthanded pitching. Jon Lester has been among the best pitchers in baseball this season and he's been even stronger on the road. Lester is 6-0 on the road with a 3.12 ERA. Batters are hitting just .200 against him while his WHIP is a sparkling 1.10. He's never faced the Pirates, which should increase the challenge for them. The Pirates will counter with Paul Maholm, who has pitched like an All-Star this year. Although he gave up four runs in his most recent start, those are the only four runs he's allowed in his last 34 innings pitched (1.06 ERA). At home this season, he's allowed more than two earned runs in a start just once (three) while a cumulative ERA of 2.14, a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents hit just .200 against him. The under is 7-1 when the Red Sox are off a day off and it's 30-16 for the Pirates in night games. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-22-11 | Seattle Mariners v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Two lefties will take to the mound in the Seattle Mariners-Washington Nationals matchup on Wednesday, which should help the cause for the under.
Combined, the under is 25-12 when both teams face lefties this season. The Nats will put John Lannan on the mound, who has been very steady at home. He has an ERA of 1.84 with a 1.23 WHIP at home while opposing batters are hitting just .232 against him. He's been steady as a rock recently, allowing just four earned runs in his last 33.1 innings pitched while posting a WHIP of 1.12 in that span. The Mariners will put Erik Bedard on the hill, who has also pitched great recently. He's allowed more than two earned runs just once over his last nine starts while posting an ERA of 1.70 and a WHIP of 0.91 in that span. Bet the under in this contest. 10* play. |
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06-21-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 9.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks will continue their interleague series with the Kansas City Royals on Tuesday with Joe Saunders on the mound.
Saunders has been up-and-down this season, but his splits are much better on the road. At home, opponents are hitting .322 against him. On the road, that number drops to .243. His WHIP also drops from 1.66 to 1.28. In his career against Kansas City, he's compiled a 2.57 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP. The under is 4-1 in those starts. He'll take on Luke Hochevar, who has posted back-to-back quality starts. At home, opponents are batting .245 against him and his WHIP is a respectable 1.25. The under is 5-1 when the Diamondbacks are on the road with a total of 9 to 9.5. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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06-19-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
The San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics tend to play low-scoring affairs, and we'll aim for that on Sunday.
Matt Cain has pitched very well in his career against Oakland, posting a career ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 1.01 in eight career starts. The under is 5-2. Meanwhile, the A's will send Trevor Cahill to the mound, who has made three career starts against San Francisco. In those three starts, Cahill has compiled an ERA of 1.37 with a WHIP of 0.76. The under is 3-0. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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06-18-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers and Colorado Rockies accounted for 19 runs on Friday night, and we'll look for more of the same on Saturday.
Phil Coke will pitch for the Tigers and while his ERA looks good, that can sometimes be a misleading number. Batters are hitting .266 against him on the road and his WHIP is 1.40, which isn't fantastic. He has a strikeout-to-walk ration of 18-14 on the road, which means he's not fooling many people with his pitches. The Rockies will send Ubaldo Jimenez to the mound, who has struggled mightily this year. He probably won't be thrilled to see the Tigers, who he has a career ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.73. Both of his starts against them have gone over. The Tigers had to rely on their bullpen for five innings last night while the Rockies called up theirs for 2.2. Fatigue could be a factor if neither of these starters can go deep in today's contest. The over is 21-7 when the Tigers are playing against a team with a losing record and 23-10 when on the road. Meanwhile, it's 22-14 for the Rockies at Coors Field. Bet the over. 8* play. |
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06-16-11 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Washington Nationals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
We've got an interesting split between the two pitchers on the mound for this contest between the St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals.
John Lannan has pitched significantly better at home this season than away. His ERA at home is 1.73 compared to 5.23 on the road. At home, his WHIP is 1.24 and he's allowed just one home run in 37 IP. On the road, his WHIP is 1.56 and he's allowed six home runs in 43 IP. Lannan has a career ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.22 against the Cardinals, while the under is 5-1 in those starts. Kyle Lohse will take to the bump for the Cardinals, and he has a career WHIP of 1.20 against the Nationals. This season, he's 5-1 on the road with of 0.99. Opposing batters are hitting just .224 against him and he's allowed just one home run in 47.1 innings pitched on the road. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-15-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Houston Astros on Wednesday in an NL Central matchup.
The Pirates will send Charlie Morton to the mound, who has pitched well on the road this year. Morton is 4-1 with a 2.90 ERA on the road this season. He's arguably the Pirates best pitcher this season. Meanwhile, the light-hitting Astros will send J.A. Happ to the mound, who has an excellent track record against Pittsburgh. He's compiled a career ERA of 2.18 with a WHIP of 1.15 against them in five starts. At home this season, Happ has a 3.64 ERA with a WHIP of 1.21. Opposing batters are hitting just .213 against him at home compared to .289 on the road. The under is 11-6 when the Pirates face a lefty this season The under has connected in 10 of the last 16 meetings in Houston. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-14-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will square off on Tuesday and it's interesting to note that the Red Sox play plenty of unders after a day off. So far this season, the under is 6-1 after a day off.
They'll take on James Shields, who has a 2.36 ERA at home this season. The key for him has been home runs as he's given up nine in 49.1 innings pitched on the road compared to three in 45.1 innings pitched at home. The under is 11-6 in his starts against Boston. The Rays will face Tim Wakefield, who has a career ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.27 against them. He has pitched better on the road this year as opposing hitters bat .261 against him at home compared to .217 on the road. His road WHIP is much better (1.15 compared to 1.30). The key here is the Rays play plenty of unders at home, going 21-9 at the Trop. It's also 9-2 when at home as a favorite of -125 to -150. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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06-13-11 | New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are struggling to hit these days but a visit from Mike Pelfrey might do the trick.
Pelfrey has been roughed up on the road this season as opposing batters are hitting nearly 100 points better off of him when he's away from home (.233 at home, .331 away). His WHIP on the road is much worse as well as he at 1.73 when away and just 1.22 when at home. In his career against the Pirates, he's compiled an ERA of 5.28, a WHIP of 1.60 and the over has cashed in three times (3-1-1). He'll take on Paul Maholm, who also doesn't have a great track record against his opponents. Against the Mets, Maholm has a career ERA of 5.15 with a WHIP of 1.62. Maholm has pitched relatively well this season but two starts ago, he gave up seven runs and eight hits in just 5.2 innings of work against these very same Mets. The over is 6-2 when he starts against the Mets. The over is 8-0 this season when the Mets are a road underdog of +100 to +125. Bet the over. 7* play. |
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06-11-11 | Atlanta Braves v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | 6-3 | Win | 106 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Braves bats are hot right now and there is little reason to believe they won't keep it going against Jordan Lyles.
The 20-year-old rookie has made just two starts this season but he looked shaky in his most recent start. He coughed up four runs in four innings pitched to San Diego on June 5th. He'll take on Mike Minor. The last time he faced the Astros, he gave up four runs in six innings of work. His job might be a little tougher on Saturday with Hunter Pence expected to be back in the lineup. Houston bats for a higher average when at home (.267 compared to .255) and scores more runs per game when they are at Minute Maid Ballpark. That's part of why the over is 20-12 in home games for the Astros. Bet the over. 7* play. |
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06-11-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
The Boston Red Sox will send John Lackey to the mound on Saturday, and while he's coming off a decent start (5.2 IP, 3 ER), he's still been a very weak link for the Red Sox rotation all season long. He also hit three batters in that outing.
In his last four starts against Toronto, he's 0-3 with a 9.51 ERA. The Blue Jays bats have been a tad sluggish recently but facing Lackey could wake them up. The Red Sox, who's bats are cooking right now, will take on Brandon Morrow, who is 0-1 with a 4.13 ERA in his last four starts. The Red Sox enjoy seeing him as he's got a career ERA of 10.03 and a WHIP of 2.31 against Boston. The over is 3-0 in his starts against Boston. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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06-09-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Pittsburgh Pirates tend to play unders when they square off at PNC Park, so we'll look for another one on Thursday. Five of the last eight meetings in Pittsburgh have gone under.
Jeff Karstens will take the mound for Pittsburgh, and he's been strong this season at PNC Park. He has a WHIP of 1.02 and and an ERA of 2.21 when pitching at home, where batters hit just .231 against him. He didn't allow a run in his only start against Arizona. Josh Cpllmenter will take the mound for Arizona, and he's been steady all season long. Aside from one bad outing in Colorado, he's given up just four runs in 39 innings pitched. Pittsburgh has never seen him, so that might give him an edge. Bet the under in this one. 7* play. |
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06-08-11 | Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs starter Ryan Dempster has had trouble keeping his opponents inside the ballpark, and facing the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ballpark might not be what the doctor ordered.
Dempster has a whopping ERA of 6.32 and the big issue for him has been the long ball. Dempster gave up 25 home runs in 34 starts last season, which is an average of 0.75 per game. For his career, that average is at 0.77. But this year, Dempster has given up 13 home runs in 13 starts. He's coming off a rough outing in St. Louis where he gave up eight hits - two of which were home runs - and six earned runs in just 5.1 innings of work. On the road this year, he has an ERA of 8.79, a WHIP of 1.95 and opposing batters are hitting .333 against him. He'll take on Bronson Arroyo, who hasn't been so hot either. He's 2-4 with an ERA of 5.19 at home this season, while giving up nine home runs in 43.1 innings of work at home. The over is 22-9 in Reds home games and 17-7 in day games for them. Bet the over. 9* play. |
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06-07-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates are faced with a low total on Tuesday, but there is reason to believe the game will go over.
Kevin Correia, who has had a good season to date (8-4, 3.40 ERA), actually pitches significantly better away from home than at PNC Park. On the road, Correia is 7-1 with a 2.42 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .216 against him and he's posted a WHIP of 1.08. At home, Correia is 1-3, has an ERA of 5.47, opposing batters are hitting .324 and he's posted a WHIP of 1.49. Meanwhile, Daniel Hudson will take the mound for the Diamondbacks and his splits are similar. On the road, he's allowed at least three earned runs in four of his five starts. He's 2-3 away, with a 5.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.32 compared to 4-2 at home with a 3.56 ERA and a WHIP of 1.29. Both teams are hitting the ball relatively well these days. The Pirates have averaged 5.3 runs per game over their last nine with the over cashing six times while the Diamondbacks have averaged 5.6 over their last 10. Bet the over. 7* play. |
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06-06-11 | Seattle Mariners v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
John Danks continues to get pitiful run support from the Chicago White Sox, so we'll look for a low-scoring affair on Monday.
Danks has received 21 runs of support in his last nine starts (2.3 runs per game), which isn't much help. He's pitched well at home this season, though, holding opposing hitters to a .250 average while posting a WHIP of 1.41 (compared to 1.61 on the road). In his career against Seattle, he's posted a 3.47 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. The under is 6-3 in his starts. Meanwhile, the White Sox will get a look at Michael Pineda, who has been an All-Star caliber pitcher for Seattle. The rookie has a WHIP of 1.00 this season and an ERA of 2.30. On the road, batters are hitting just .193 against him and he's allowed just one home run in 31 innings of work compared to four home runs in 39.1 innings pitched at home. The under is 15-9 when the Mariners play a team with a winning record this season. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-03-11 | Oakland A's v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox have played mostly unders against lefties this season and they'll face another one on Friday night. On the season, the under is 10-5 when they face left handed starters.
Josh Outman will take to the mound for Oakland, and so far this season, he's allowed just three earned runs in 13 innings of work. He'll take on Clay Buchholz, who has been a much better pitcher at home than away this season. He's allowed just one home run at home compared to nine (in 38.2 innings pitched) away and opposing batters are hitting just .240 against him at home. He's allowed just six hits and no earned runs in his last two home outings while striking out 13 batters and walking just two. Bet the under. 9* play. |
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06-02-11 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Two studs will be on the mound on Thursday night as James Shields faces Felix Hernandez.
Shields didn't get the win in his last start despite giving up only three runs in seven innings of work. He has posted a sparkling ERA of 2.15 this season, which is among the best in the majors. Shields has pitched better on the road than at home, though. His ERA away sits at 1.88 with a WHIP of 0.87. At home, that WHIP is at 1.06 and the ERA is at 2.38. He has a career ERA of 2.80 against Seattle and the under is 8-1 in his starts against them. Meanwhile, Hernandez has a career ERA of 2.43 against the Rays but he's pitched even better recently. He's 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his last four starts at home. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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06-02-11 | Texas Rangers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians starter Carlos Carrasco has been pounded in his starts at home, and that's mostly because of the Indians park factor. Progressive Field leads the Majors in home run park factor at 2.138 and is the old park in all of baseball to rank over 2.0.
Carrasco has given up 15 earned runs in 17.2 innings pitched at home, which puts his ERA 7.64 compared to 3.48 when he's away. Opposing batters hit .301 against him at Progressive Field. Carrasco has an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.20 for his career against Texas. Meanwhile, Dave Bush hasn't done great against the Indians either. He's posted a career ERA of 5.55 against Cleveland. The over is 17-8 at home for Cleveland. Bet the over in this contest. 8* play. |
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06-01-11 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
The Oakland A's have scored just three runs in their last two games, but a visit from A.J. Burnett might change that.
Burnett pitches better at home than he does away, with his road ERA over a full run worse on the road (4.70). His peripherals are much worse as well, such as WHIP (1.43) and opposing batting average (.247) as well. He'll take on Gio Gonzalez, who has been pounded by the Yankees in his career. He gave up 10 runs and 10 walks in 8.1 innings pitched while dropping both of his only home starts against them. The Yankees have scored 17 runs in their last three games and has cranked eight home runs in their last five versus Oakland. Bet the over. 9* play. |
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05-31-11 | Houston Astros v. Chicago Cubs UNDER 10.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
We're faced with a relatively high total in the Houston Astros-Chicago Cubs contest tonight and it might be a little too high considering how well Carlos Zambrano has fared against the Astros for his career.
Zambrano is 10-3 with a 2.41 ERA in his last 17 starts against Houston and 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA in his last seven starts at home. More importantly, their key batters really struggle against him. Hunter Pence and Jeff Keppinger have yet to hit a home run off of him and they are a combined 11-for-57 at the plate against him. The Astros will send Jordan Lyles to the mound, who will be making his Major League debut. It might help him out that the Cubs don't have a scouting report on him just yet. Bet the under. 7* play. |
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05-31-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Toronto Blue Jays bats are hot right now and they'll get a chance to pile up some more runs with the Cleveland Indians visiting on Tuesday.
The Jays will face Mitch Talbot of the Indians, who is coming off of a brutal start. In his latest outing, Talbot gave up eight earned runs in three innings of work against Boston. The Jays will send Brendan Morrow to the mound and he hasn't had much success against the Indians in his career. He has a career ERA of 4.77 against them and in his two starts, the over has cashed in both times. With the Jays hitting the cover off of it, bet the over tonight. 9* play. |
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05-30-11 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have been pounding left-handed pitching all season long and on Monday, they'll face another lefty. The over is 8-1 when they face a lefty this season.
They'll take on Chris Narveson, who is coming off one of his worst starts this year. Narveson only lasted 3.1 innings while giving up eight hits and six earned runs. Travis Wood will take the mound for the Reds and while the Brewers don't do so well when away, they might get a hand from Wood who prefers not to pitch at home. When away, Wood has a 4.25 ERA with a WHIP of 1.51. Opposing batters hit .265 against him on the road. But at home, Wood has an ERA of 6.35, a WHIP of 1.58 and opponents are batting .314 against him. That should help the Brewers cause. The over is 17-7 in Reds home games and 7-1 when they are favored from -100 to -125. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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05-29-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Angels and Minnesota Twins played to a 1-0 scoreline on Saturday night and we'll look for another under on Sunday with two good pitchers on the mound.
Dan Haren will take to the bump for the Angels and his 2.13 ERA is the fourth-lowest in the American League. He's on a seven-game winless streak, believe it or not, because the Angels don't give him much run support. They've scored just seven runs in his last seven starts. Carl Pavano will respond for the Twins and he's pitched far better at home than away this season. On the year, he's 0-4 with a 7.41 ERA on the road. Opposing hitters are batting .322 and he's allowed five home runs in 34 innings pitched. At home, Pavano is 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA and opposing batters are hitting just .245 against him and he's only allowed one home run (in 27.1 innings pitched). Bet the under. 7* play. |
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05-28-11 | Kansas City Royals v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers have their bats going once again now that Josh Hamilton is back in the lineup and they'll try to keep it going on Saturday.
They'll face Sean O'Sullivan, who has a WHIP of 1.51 and an ERA of 5.60 this season. The converted reliever has allowed 17 earned runs in his last three starts (16 innings pitched). He hasn't fared well against Texas either, posting an ERA of 5.63 in three career starts. Meanwhile, the Royals will face lefty Matt Harrison. The over is 8-4 when they face left-handed pitching this season. Harrison is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA against the Royals in four starts. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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05-25-11 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 111 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Trevor Cahill continues his great season and on Wednesday, he'll try to keep up his stellar track record against the Los Angeles Angels.
He has the second-best ERA in the American League and he's pitched particularly well against the Angeles recently. He's won his last three starts against the Angels while allowing just one earned run in 21 innings pitched. He's given up two runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts this year. Opponents are batting just .191 against him when he's away from home and his WHIP is better on the road (0.93) than it is at home (1.30). He'll face Ervin Santana, who is coming off a shutout performance and arguably his best outing of the season. While he's got an ERA of 4.18, he's 12-3 with a 1.99 ERA in 21 appearances versus the A's. The under is 16-9 when the A's are on the road and 13-8 when the Angels are at home. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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05-23-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Houston Astros UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Not that either of these teams are particularly strong at the plate to begin with, the Los Angeles Dodgers could be even more shorthanded if Andre Ethier can't play. He collided with the wall yesterday and was removed from the game.
Clayton Kershaw takes to the bump in his hometown state for the first time in over nearly years. Kershaw is 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA this month. The under is 3-0 for the Dodgers this season when they are a road favorite of -125 to -150. Meanwhile, Bud Norris has been much better pitching at home this season than away. He's 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA at home while keeping opposing batters to just .186. On the road, hitters are averaging .330 against him and he's 0-3 with a 6.55 ERA. The under is 21-10 in the last 31 games where the Dodgers are on the road with a total of seven or less. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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05-22-11 | Cincinnati Reds v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 102 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
We'll expect some runs at Progressive Field on Sunday afternoon as the Cincinnati Reds try to avoid getting swept by the Cleveland Indians.
Progressive Field has a park factor of 1.191, which actually makes it third-highest average in the American League. The Indians bat .274 at home while averaging 5.5 runs per game compared to .253 and 4.5 on the road. The over is 10-3 when the Indians are at home with a total of 8 to 8.5. They'll face Edinson Volquez on Sunday, who is coming off a good start but has been a train wreck this season. He's allowed eight home runs in 48.1 innings pitched. Against the Indians, he has a career ERA of 9.39 with a WHIP of 2.09. He'll take on Carlos Carrasco, who is at the back end of the Indians rotation. He has an ERA of 5.03 this season and has actually pitched much better away than at home. He has an ERA of 3.58 when away but it's 8.49 at home. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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05-21-11 | Chicago Cubs v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox bats are cooking, which is why we'll look for another over play in their second interleague game this season.
They will face Carlos Zambrano, who doesn't have a good history against the American League and the Red Sox. He is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA when he has a start in an American League ballpark. Meanwhile, the Red Sox will give the ball to Alfredo Aceves, who last made a start in 2009. He made two starts in Triple-A in April and finished up with a 5.63 ERA, so that's not exactly encouraging. The over is 4-1 in the Cubs last five and 3-1-1 in the Red Sox last five. Bet the over. 9* play. |
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05-20-11 | Houston Astros v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Two bad pitchers will take the mound on Friday night as the Houston Astros visit the Toronto Blue Jays.
Aneury Rodriguez had been a mediocre reliever and was moved into the rotation. After one good outing, he has given up 10 earned runs in the last two starts in just 10 innings pitched. The Astros bullpen is brutal and they could really use a long start, but they won't get it from Rodriguez. Meanwhile, Jo Jo Reyes has just five wins in 41 outings with a 6.40 ERA. In four outings against the Astros, he has an ERA of 6.52 and a WHIP of 1.81. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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05-19-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
This is under play is mostly about Johnny Cueto and how he's pitched this season.
So far, Cueto hasn't allowed an earned run in 13.2 innings pitched while striking out nine batters and just walking three. He has an excellent track record against the Pittsburgh Pirates, posting an ERA of 2.62 for his career with a WHIP of 1.09. He's 7-0 with a 1.74 ERA against Pittsburgh in his last seven starts against them. James McDonald is coming off a rough outing but prior to that, he had gone through a stretch where he went 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three starts. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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05-18-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Two studs will be on the mound as Matt Cain and the San Francisco Giants take on Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Kershaw is out of his mind right now, posting an ERA of 1.31 in three starts this month. In his latest outing, he struck out a season-high 11 batters in a 4-3 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday. In seven starts against the Giants, Kershaw is 3-1 with a 1.09 ERA. He's allowed two runs or fewer in six of the starts. Cain will take the mound for the Giants and he hasn't received much run support. The Giants won 3-2 in his latest start but he had previously only picked up five runs of support in his other four starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.30 ERA in the last four starts and a 1.67 ERA in his last seven starts in Los Angeles. The under is 8-3 when the Giants face a lefty this season. Bet the under. 9* play. |
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05-18-11 | Houston Astros v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals will face the worst team in the National League Central on Wednesday. They'll send Kyle Lohse to the mound, who has pitched well this year to face Bud Norris.
Lohse has allowed more than two earned runs in a start just twice in his eight outings. Over his last five home starts, he has an ERA of 0.68. Since coming to St. Louis, he has an ERA of 2.55 against the Astros. Meanwhile, Norris has more success against the Cardinals than any other team in the majors. He has just 17 career wins to his name (in 45 starts) but he's 5-1 against St. Louis with a 1.97 ERA against the Cards. For his career, he's 4-0 with a 1.73 ERA at Busch Stadium. Bet the under. 10* play. |
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05-17-11 | Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 7.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds will square off on Tuesday night with Matt Garza and Edinson Volquez on the mound.
Volquez hasn't been the same since returning from surgery and he's really struggled this season. He hasn't pitched beyond the sixth inning at all this year and he's lost three of his last four starts. His ERA on the year is 5.74 and the concern here has to be his strikeout-to-walk ratio. He's struck out just six batters in his last two starts while walking nine. His WHIP is 2.00 over those two starts. He's been much worse at home where he has a 6.44 ERA (compared to 4.79 away) and has allowed six home runs in 21.2 innings pitched (compared to one home run in 20.2 innings pitched away. Matt Garza hasn't been exactly what the Cubs thought they'd be getting when they signed him in the offseason. He has an ERA of 4.17 overall and it climbs to 5.95 on the road. In his career against Cincinnati, he has an ERA of 7.90. The over is 16-6 in home games for the Reds and 11-4 when at home with a total of 8 to 8.5. Bet the over. 9* play. |
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05-16-11 | Texas Rangers v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Edwin Jackson has a so-so pitching line for the season (3-4, 4.29 ERA) but a closer look at the numbers indicates he's been far more reliable at home.
On the season, he has an ERA of 5.76 on the road and batters hit .316 against him. At home, those numbers drop to 2.18 and .221. Meanwhile, Colby Lewis has been the opposite as his home ERA sits at 5.40 and batters are hitting .261 against him. At home, his strikeout-to-walk ratio is just 10-10 but it hops up to 21-3 when on the road. The under is 10-5 in home games for the White Sox this season. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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05-15-11 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies OVER 8.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies have been knocking the cover off the ball in the first two games of this series and there is little reason to believe that won't be the case again.
So far this series, the two teams have combined to score 35 runs. Considering the two starting pitchers on the mound for Sunday's game have an ERA of around five, there should be more fireworks. Mat Latos has a career ERA of 5.40 against the Rockies while Colorado's Jason Hammel sits at 4.99. The ball tends to fly out of the park a lot more in day games at Coors Field as the over is 11-1 in day games this season. The two bullpens have had to pitch plenty through the first two games of the series, which could amplify the problems if either starter can't last. The bullpens have combined to pitch 15 innings through the first two games. Bet the over. 8* play. |
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05-15-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels have been playing some nip-tuck type games and with two good pitchers on the mound, we'll look for more of the same.
The Rangers bats have been relatively quiet without Josh Hamilton and Nelson Cruz in the lineup, and now they could be without centerfielder Julio Borbon. They have averaged 3.8 runs per game over their last seven. The Angels have scored just 11 in their last four games. Ervin Santana doesn't have a great history in Texas but the Rangers will be missing a few key bats. The Angels will face C.J. Wilson, who has pitched better at home than away this year. At Rangers Ballpark, he's allowed opponents to bat .240 compared to .262 away. The under is 4-2 in his six starts against Texas. Five of the last six meetings in this series have stayed under. Bet the under. 8* play. |
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05-13-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Yovani Gallardo has been a tad erratic for the Milwaukee Brewers this season but after a stellar outing in his last start, he might start to get into rhythm.
For his career, he's pitched great against the Pirates. He has a career ERA of 1.00 and WHIP of 1.13 against them while his team's records are 9-1 when he starts against Pittsburgh. He hasn't allowed an earned run against Pittsburgh in his last 17 innings pitched while striking out 19 batters in that span. The under is 7-3 in his 10 starts against them. James McDonald has pitched very well of late and he's been a bit underrated. McDonald has gone 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three starts. Bet the under in this one. 9* play. |
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05-11-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 104 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays will play Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night.
The Red Sox will send John Lackey to the mound, who has been absolutely hammered this season He has an ERA of 7.16 and while it looked like he sort of got things on track a few starts ago, he was shelled for eight runs and 10 hits in his latest start against the Los Angeles Angels. He was booed off the field and his confidence is pretty much at a low point. The concern for Lackey is he isn't making batters miss anymore. They are batting .317 against him and his 5.0 strikeouts per nine innings is the lowest of his career. Against the Jays, Lackey is just 4-5 with a 4.58 ERA for his career. What's worse is that he's 1-2 with a 8.61 ERA against the Jays since joining Boston. The Red Sox bullpen is drained right now and they could really use a long outing from a starter. The bullpen has pitched at least four innings in six of the last seven games. It doesn't look like they'll get help on Tuesday. The Jays will counter with Jesse Litsch, who is an up-and-down starter. He has an ERA of 4.11 against the Red Sox for his career. Bet the over. 10* play. |
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05-10-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox will try to climb up to .500 on Tuesday and they'll look to ace Jon Lester to do so.
Lester has dominated the Jays in his career and he is pitching particularly well right now. He has an ERA of 1.33 over his last four outings while going at least six innings each time. Against Toronto, his career ERA is 3.13 with a WHIP of 1.21 while going 8-4. The Jays aren't hitting very well right now and that should only help Lester's cause. They have lost seven of nine, and have been outscored 24-7 in their last four games. They are batting just .215 as a team this month. Kyle Drabek has never faced the Red Sox, so that might give him an edge since they haven't seen his stuff. He's also pitching at home, which he hasn't done much of this year, but opponents are batting just .176 against him at home versus .300 when away. We saw similar splits from last year's sample as well, so he's prone to pitch better at the Rogers Centre. Bet the under. 6* play. |
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