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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-02-24 | Knicks +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 118-115 | Win | 100 | 38 h 22 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the New York Knicks plus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. The Knicks were upset in Game 5, as the 76ers won, 112-106, in overtime. New York's lead in the 7-game series is now narrowed to 3-games-to-2. We'll take the Knicks to bounce back in Game 6, as teams up 3-games-to-2 in the first round of the NBA playoffs have generally closed things out in Game 6, as they've won the game, straight-up, 63.8% of the time over the last 34 seasons. And if they were playing on the road in Game 6, and off an upset defeat at home in Game 5, then they've covered the spread 80% of the time. New York is 9-2 ATS this season off an upset loss. And it is also 12-2 ATS in the NBA playoffs following an upset defeat, if the spread in the current game was less than 6 points. Finally, Philly is a poor 0-11 ATS vs. .560 (or better) foes, if Philly was off an upset win. Grab the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-24 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 213 | Top | 98-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Milwaukee Bucks/Indiana Pacers game. The Bucks have been without star Giannis Antetokounmpo for each of the first five games, and it's unclear if he will suit up tonight. As a result, the Bucks have been installed as a big underdog in this Game 6. And Milwaukee is 33-22 Under the total its last 55 as an underdog. Meanwhile, after scoring 125, 121 and 126 points in winning Games 2, 3 and 4, the Pacers managed just 92 in a 23-point defeat in Game 5. And that game went under the total of 218 by 11 points. Milwaukee is now 12-4 UNDER in its last 16 'elimination games,' and I look for another low-scoring game on Thursday, as the Bucks will once again have their proverbial back against the wall. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-01-24 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | Top | 123-93 | Win | 100 | 68 h 54 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Dallas was a no-show early in Game 4, as it fell behind by 31 points, 55-24, midway through the 2nd quarter. Amazingly, the Mavericks fought back to take a short-lived, 105-104 lead. But Los Angeles ended the game on a 12-6 run to win, 116-111. The Clippers have been installed as a home underdog for the pivotal Game 5. We'll go against L.A., as home underdogs of 4 points or less (or PK) have covered just 31.8% since 1991 off an upset road Playoffs win. Even better: over the last 16 seasons, the Mavs have covered 64% as road favorites off an upset home defeat. Take Dallas minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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05-01-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 200 | Top | 84-118 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat to go Under the total. Three of the four games in this series have gone under the total, including Game 3, which went under by 18 points, and Game 4, which went under by 14.5 points. This Game 5, of course, is an Elimination Game for the Heat. And NBA Playoff Elimination Games, with O/U lines of 206 or less, have gone under the total 55.1% since 1990. Additionally, the Heat have gone under 18 of their last 27 Elimination games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-30-24 | Magic v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 42 m | Show |
On Tuesday, in Game 5, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando. The Magic have been terrific this season at home, as they've gone 31-12 straight-up, and 30-13 ATS -- covering the spread by an average of 5.44 ppg. So, it was not a surprise that they swept Games 3 + 4 to level the series at 2-games-apiece. But Orlando's not been a great team away from home, as it's failed to cover the spread by an average of 2.09 ppg. And it's lost its last six road games ATS. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 8-1 ATS its last nine when playing with revenge from losses in the two previous meetings vs. an opponent. And it's 34-19 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points in the Playoffs. Take the Cavs in Game 5. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 41 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Nuggets were upset in Game 4, 119-108, and now lead 3-games-to-1 in the 7-game series. We'll take Denver to bounce back in Game 5, as it is 16-1 ATS its last 17 off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss, if it wasn't favored by 8.5 (or more) points in its current game. Even better: the Lakers are a horrid 14-41-2 ATS on the road when playing an opponent they upset in the prior meeting. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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04-29-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans +4.5 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 12 m | Show |
On Monday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. New Orleans has its back against the wall, as it's down 3-games-to-none in the series. We'll fade the Thunder, as they're 4-20 ATS in the Playoffs following back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits, including 0-10 ATS when favored by more than 2 points. And the Pelicans are 85-52 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they fell by 15+ points in their previous game. Grab the points with New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Minnesota Timberwolves. I played on the Suns in Game 3, and they were blown out by double-digits for the 3rd straight game, 126-109. I'll take Phoenix in this Game 4, as it has gone 121-87-5 ATS off back to back losses, when it's owned a winning record. Additionally, .500 (or better) NBA teams have cashed 63% over the last 17 seasons after three straight double-digit losses, if they weren't getting more than 3 points in the current game. It's true that NBA teams down 3-games-to-none have never come back to win a 7-game playoff series. But Home Underdogs off a SU/ATS loss, and down 3-games-to-none have been profitable since 1991 in Game 4. And home teams off 3 SU/ATS losses to start a series have gone 22-14-2 ATS in Game 4. Take Phoenix. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-24 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 | Top | 116-111 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Under in the Los Angeles Clippers/Dallas Mavericks game. We cashed our NBA Total of the Month Friday on the Under in Game 3 between these teams, and we'll come right back with the Under in this Game 4. All three games in this series have been low-scoring. Game 1 went under by 14.5 points; Game 2 went under by 27 points; and Game 3 went under by 23 points. I will ride the wave of unders, and look for another low-scoring game. Additionally, Dallas has now gone under in 16 of its last 20 home games, and nine of its last 11 home playoff games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-27-24 | Celtics -8 v. Heat | Top | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 62 h 38 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Miami Heat. The Celts suffered one of the biggest upset losses in the Playoffs since 1991 when they fell, 111-101, to the Heat, on Wednesday, as a 14-point home favorite. The good news for Joe Mazzulla's crew is that NBA teams have cashed 88% in the playoffs the past 21 seasons following an upset loss as a favorite of 12+ points. We'll take Boston to bounce back in Game 3, as it is 21-4 its last 25 road playoff games, if it failed to cover the spread by more than 7 in its previous game, and didn't lead in the series. And it's also 10-0 ATS when favored by 4+ points off a double-digit home loss, if its foe covered by 9+ points in its previous game. Take the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday. I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season. |
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04-27-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 106-85 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 9 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC blew out the Pelicans, 124-92, on Wednesday to take a 2-games-to-none lead in this first round series. Unfortunately for the Thunder, #1 seeds have covered just 35% in the Playoffs since 1991 following a win by 32+ points. Even worse: The Thunder are a horrid 3-20 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if they won their previous game by double-digits. Finally, the Pelicans are a super 72-41-1 ATS as a home dog (or PK) vs. .600 (or better) foes, including 20-5 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. Don't miss my hockey and football winners, including my UFL Football Underdog of the Month on Saturday. I've cashed 63% in Spring football the last 3 years, including 100% this season. |
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04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns -3.5 | Top | 126-109 | Loss | -115 | 66 h 22 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves. On Tuesday, Devin Booker & Co. were blown out, 105-93, by the T-Wolves, and are now down 2-games-to-none in the series. We'll fade Minnesota at Phoenix in Game 3, as it is a wallet-lightening 16-39 ATS on the road in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams, if it was playing a foe it defeated by more than 8 points in the prior meeting. Even worse for the T-Wolves: they are a woeful 1-19 ATS on the road vs. .500 (or better) teams, if the T-Wolves covered the spread by more than 8 points in their previous game, and weren't getting double-digits. The Suns are 6-0 ATS their last six off back to back losses, and we'll take them minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-24 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 | Top | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 64 h 48 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Dallas Mavericks/Los Angeles Clippers game. The first game of this series went under the total of 220.5 by 14.5 points. Likewise, Game 2 sailed under the total of 216 by a whopping 27 points. Understandably, the oddsmakers have further lowered the total for Game 3, but they haven't gone far enough. So, we'll step in and take this game to go under the total once again, as games with O/U lines between 205 and 230 have gone under the total 62% since 1990 if the two teams met in their prior game, which went under the total by more than 24 points. Additionally, the Mavs have gone under in 15 of their last 19 home games, and eight of their last 10 home playoff games. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 62 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks won game three, 104-101, with the help of some favorable officiating, to take a 2-games-to-none lead in the 1st round series. We'll take Philly to bounce back, as it's 22-5 ATS off back to back defeats, if it wasn't favored by 8+ points in the current game (including 5-0 ATS in division games, and 15-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win). Take the 76ers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-24 | Cavs v. Magic -1 | Top | 83-121 | Win | 100 | 62 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The #5-seeded Magic have fallen behind the #4-seeded Cavaliers, 2-games-to-none. We'll take the Magic in Game 3 as 5-seeds have gone 27-13-1 ATS vs. 4-seeds when down at least two games in a Playoff series. Additionally, the Magic have been the best point spread team this season, with a 51-32-1 ATS record, including 27-11 ATS as a favorite, and 13-3-1 ATS off back to back losses. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 42 h 3 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clips pulled the upset in Game 1, with a 109-97 win. We'll take Dallas to bounce back in Game 2, as it is 160-105-6 ATS off a loss, when matched up against an opponent off a win (including 24-9 ATS as a road favorite). Even better: the Clippers are a wallet-crushing 5-25 ATS in the Playoffs following a SU/ATS win, if the line in the current game was 6 points or less (including 1-15 ATS off a home win). Finally, L.A. is a poor 78-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that have a .589 (or better) win percentage. Take the Mavericks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-24 | Suns +3 v. Wolves | Top | 93-105 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Minnesota. We played on the T-Wolves in Game 1, and they rewarded us with a 120-95 blowout victory. But off that big win -- which also snapped a nine-game ATS losing streak to the Suns -- we'll happily grab the points with Frank Vogel's men. Phoenix is 28-18 ATS on the road off a 25-point (or worse) defeat, while Minnesota is a miserable 9-19-2 ATS at home off a 25-point (or greater) win. And NBA road teams off 1st Round road losses by more than 21 points have covered 84.2% since 1991, provided they weren't off back to back losses to their opponent. Grab the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-24 | Pacers v. Bucks +1.5 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo this evening, and have been installed as a home underdog in this opening game of their 7-game series vs. the Pacers. Admittedly, the Bucks have stumbled to a 3-8 SU/ATS record to end their season, including back to back losses at OKC and Orlando on the final weekend. But Milwaukee is an awesome 29-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back losses. And Indiana is a dismal 5-26-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-20-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. These two teams met here, at Target Center, last Sunday, in the final regular season game. And the Suns walloped the T-Wolves, 125-106. Still, Minnesota finished 56-26 (including 30-11 SU at home), and earned the #3 seed in the Western conference. I like the T-Wolves to bounce back in this Game 1, as .600 (or better) teams have gone 20-4 ATS at home in the NBA playoffs following a home loss, provided they owned a better record than their opponent. Even better: the Timberwolves are 18-0 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated the T-Wolves in Minnesota in the previous meeting. Take the Timberwolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. Don't miss my big football winner, as I'm featuring my UFL Non-Division Game of the Month on Saturday. I've cashed 62.1% in spring football the last 3 years, so pick it up right now. |
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04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Los Angeles Lakers. These two teams will be playing for the 2nd time in three days, as the Lakers blew out the Pels, 124-108, as a 1.5-point road underdog, on Sunday. We'll take New Orleans to avenge that 16-point loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 12-6 ATS in the Play-In Tournament, including 9-3 ATS if they lost the prior meeting by double-digits. Even better: NBA home teams that lost their regular season-ending game by 8+ points have gone 50-11 SU and 39-22 ATS in the Playoffs, including 9-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points. The Pelicans have gone 23-14 ATS this season off a point spread loss, while the Lakers are a woeful 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine (and 8-23 ATS their last 31) off a win, when playing a foe off an upset defeat. Take New Orleans on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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04-14-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 124-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles. The Pels lost, 139-122, as a 2-point road favorite to the Lakers in the previous meeting. We'll lay the points today, as the Lakers are a poor 27-52-1 ATS when playing a foe it upset in the season's prior meeting. Take New Orleans. |
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04-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -19.5 | Top | 86-135 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. We played on Oklahoma City on Friday night vs. Milwaukee, and will come right back with the Thunder today. OKC has won four straight games, and needs to win today to lock down the #1 seed in the West (though there's a remote possibility OKC would not be seeded #1 if it and Minnesota wins, and Denver loses). OKC is 51-30 ATS at home its last 81, including 11-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Take the Thunder. |
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04-14-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1 | Top | 125-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun nine days ago, and Phoenix bested Minnesota, 97-87. We'll lay the points with Minnesota today, as it's 26-15 ATS when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 6-20 ATS as an underdog vs. .466 (or better) foes. Take the T-Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. Nikola Jokic has been upgraded to 'probable,' and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver. The Nuggets were shocked, 121-120, on Friday by San Antonio. And Denver was favored by 11 points in that game. We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back today, as defending champs have gone 62-37 ATS on the road when favored off a SU loss, if they were rested, and playing an opponent off an ATS win. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Nets v. 76ers -15.5 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Sixers enter today's game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak. And they've covered nine straight games, overall. We won't step in front of this freight train today, as NBA teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 when they've covered nine (or more) games in a row. Even better: the Sixers play with double-revenge, and they're 42-20 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't getting 7+ points. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Wizards v. Celtics -9 | Top | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington. Boston blew out Charlotte here, at home, on Friday, 131-98. We'll lay the points with the Celtics today, as they are 79-44-2 ATS off a 20-point home win. Take Boston. |
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04-14-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -12.5 | Top | 120-110 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from a 118-111 loss last month to Charlotte. We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing their final home game of the season. Take Cleveland. |
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04-14-24 | Bucks v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Milwaukee. Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play today, so the Bucks will be a road underdog. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, it's a poor 14-38 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Take the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-24 | Pelicans v. Warriors -4 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans. When these two teams last met, the Pelicans destroyed Golden State, 141-105, as a 2.5-point home underdog. We'll take Golden State to avenge that 36-point defeat, as it's 28-11-1 ATS at home vs. an unrested opponent off a SU win. And it's also 46-24-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-24 | Bucks v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Thunder, Nuggets and Timberwolves are currently locked in a tight battle for the top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently the #3 seed, so this is a must-win game. Likewise, the Bucks can fall from the #2 seed to the #4 seed if they drop their last two games, so they're incentivized to win. Unfortunately, Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently sidelined with a calf injury, and Damian Lillard is also unlikely to play tonight. So, the Bucks have been installed as a huge underdog at Oklahoma City. That doesn't bode well for Doc Rivers' crew, as Milwaukee is 14-37 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Even worse: the Thunder play tonight with revenge from a 25-point loss at Milwaukee last month. And OKC is 54-30 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an Eastern Conference foe, provided such foe won its previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-24 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Last night, the Suns were buried early by the Clippers, as they trailed 53-16 midway through the 2nd quarter, and 66-33 at the half. That brought back memories of another Phoenix no-show when it lost at home (as a 6.5-point favorite) in Game 7 of the 2022 playoffs to Dallas, 123-90 -- a game which it trailed, 57-27 at the half. If there's a silver lining for the Suns, it is that they will have a chance to redeem themselves tonight (which they didn't have in that Game 7 loss). Phoenix is 44-11 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a win percentage > .400, if Phoenix wasn't getting 5+ points. And the Suns are also 63-34 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from a home upset defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets, T-Wolves, and Thunder are locked in a tight battle for the #1 seed in the Western Conference, so this game will go a long way toward determining the seeds in this year's Playoffs. The Nuggets lost here, at home, to Minnesota, 111-98, last month, so the Nuggs will play with revenge from that 13-point defeat. And the T-Wolves are a terrible 35-68 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams when their opponent was playing with revenge from a loss by more than 8 points. Take Denver. |
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04-10-24 | Raptors v. Nets -9.5 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors were blown out last night, 140-123, by the Indiana Pacers. That was Toronto's final home game of the season, and they'll conclude their schedule with three road games starting with tonight's tilt at Brooklyn. The Nets will play tonight's game with 2 days' of rest, and this will be their final home game. They'll be looking to redeem themselves from a 30-point home loss to Sacramento on Sunday, and I think they'll get it. Indeed, since 1990, NBA favorites of -9 (or more) points have covered 78% in their final home game of the season, if they were off a loss by 9+ points, and their opponent was unrested. Take Brooklyn. |
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04-09-24 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. This is the first of two back-to-back meetings between these Pacific division rivals. When these teams last met, the Clippers blew out Phoenix, 138-111, as a 5.5-point home favorite. We'll take the Suns to avenge that defeat, as the Clippers are a woeful 76-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .589 (or better) win percentage. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-24 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Spurs lost a heart-breaker to the 76ers on Sunday, 133-126, in double-overtime. And that defeat snapped the Spurs' 6-game ATS win streak. We'll take San Antonio to bounce back off that loss, and snap its 14-game losing streak to Memphis.  San Antonio is 59-41-2 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite, while Memphis has covered just five of 20 as a home dog vs. a double-revenge-minded foe. Lay the points with the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-24 | Celtics v. Bucks +2 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Boston Celtics. The Bucks have shockingly lost their last four games -- all as a favorite -- and are now just one game ahead of the Orlando Magic for the #2 seed. Tonight, the Bucks will welcome the top-seeded Celtics. When these two teams last met here, in Milwaukee, the Bucks dealt the Celts their worst defeat of the season, 135-102. Milwaukee is 91-50 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses. Take the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-24 | Wolves +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves + the points over the Lakers. Minnesota plays this game with revenge from an 11-point loss here, in L.A., last month. Los Angeles is a poor 77-117 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes. Take the Timberwolves. |
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04-07-24 | Jazz +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry won't play tonight, and the Warriors are laying double-digits to Utah. We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are a poor 11-19 ATS as a home favorite this season. And Utah also falls into several of my best systems, with records of 119-44, 86-54, and 179-102 ATS that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Take the Jazz as a big underdog. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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04-07-24 | Bulls v. Magic -7 | Top | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Magic suffered a brutal loss to the Charlotte Hornets, as they fell, 124-115, at Charlotte as a 12-point road favorite, on Friday. Still, the Magic are the league's best point spread team this season, with a 49-27-1 ATS record, including 25-9 ATS as a favorite. We'll take the Magic to bounce back this evening. Lay the points. |
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs -5 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Golden State. Both of these teams played Thursday night. The Warriors blew out Houston, 133-110, at the Toyota Center, while Dallas won here, at home, vs. Atlanta, 109-95. This is a rematch of a game played Tuesday in San Francisco. We played on Golden State in its 104-100 triumph over Dallas, but will fade the Warriors on the road tonight. The Warriors have covered just 7 of 27 road games vs. revenge-minded foes when Golden State was installed as an underdog, and off a SU/ATS win. Meanwhile, the Mavs are 46-27 ATS their last 73 games when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS when the Mavs were off a win by 12+ points. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-03-24 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -13 | Top | 111-101 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Bucks were favored by 13 points last night, yet lost outright to the woeful Washington Wizards, 117-113. That dropped Milwaukee's lead over Cleveland to 1.5 games in the race for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee's last five games will be against top-level NBA clubs, so it needs to take care of business tonight (and Friday) vs. two bottom-tier teams (Grizzlies, Raptors). Over the last 34 seasons, home favorites have covered 71% if they lost outright as a double-digit favorite the previous day, and were matched up against a foe off a win. With Memphis, indeed, off a 110-108 victory over the Pistons, we'll fade Memphis, and lay the points with Milwaukee on Wednesday. |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors -1 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Dallas. The Mavs are on an 11-1 SU/ATS win streak, but we'll fade them here, at Golden State. The Warriors play with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to Dallas. And Dallas is a dreadful 27-54 ATS off a win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage. Additionally, the Warriors are 66-32 ATS at home when not laying 9+ points, if they were matched up against a .400 (or better) foe. Take the Warriors to blow out Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Lakers v. Raptors +12.5 | Top | 128-111 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Raptors have managed just one win in their last 16 games, while covering just three times. But I like Toronto getting double-digits at home tonight vs. a Lakers team playing the first of back-to-back games. The Lakers are a soft 18-40 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS win, including 3-12 ATS on the road. And they're 36-64-2 ATS when laying double-digits. Meanwhile, the Raptors fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 229-138-8 ATS, which plays on certain teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Take the Raptors + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-24 | Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Chicago Bulls. Chicago upset Minnesota, 109-101, as a 9-point road underdog last night. Off that upset win, we'll fade Chicago, as it's a horrid 7-27-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset road win as an underdog of more than 5 points. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-24 | Blazers +16.5 v. Magic | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Blazers were blown out by 60 points, 142-82, in their most recent game. And that was just the 7th time a team has lost by 60+ points over the past 34 seasons. Teams off huge blowout losses > 40 points tend to play much better their next game, and have gone 113-87-3 ATS, including 61-37-2 ATS on the road. Take Portland + the points. |
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04-01-24 | Grizzlies +3.5 v. Pistons | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit defeated Washington, 96-87, on Friday. We'll fade the Pistons tonight, as they're a wallet-breaking 4-23 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points. Even worse: the Pistons are 6-21-1 ATS their last 28 vs. Memphis, including 0-12 ATS when Detroit was not getting more than 4 points. Here, of course, the Pistons are a favorite. Take Memphis + the points. |
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03-31-24 | Thunder v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Knicks were an 8.5-point favorite on Friday night vs. San Antonio, but lost in overtime, 130-126, despite 61 points from Jalen Brunson. We'll take New York to bounce back at home off that upset defeat, as it's 19-3 ATS when not laying 4.5 (or more) points, if it lost its previous game as a favorite of more than 8 points. Even better: the Knicks are 14-1 ATS their last 14 (and 30-10 ATS their last 40) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and favored by less than 10 points. With the Knicks, indeed, playing with revenge from a 129-120 setback in Oklahoma City, we'll lay the short number with New York this evening. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-30-24 | Bucks -4 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Milwaukee dropped its second straight game, with a 7-point road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. We'll take the Bucks to bounce back in Atlanta, as the Bucks are a staggering 90-48-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS their last 12 when they didn't own a losing record, and their foe was off back to back wins. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | Suns -2 v. Thunder | Top | 103-128 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won the two previous meetings against Phoenix this season. Unfortunately, OKC is a horrid 0-9 ATS when playing a double-revenge-minded foe that it defeated twice this season. Lay the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | 76ers v. Cavs -8 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Philadelphia. The Cavaliers were upset by the Charlotte Hornets, 118-111, as a 9-point favorite in their previous game. We'll take the Cavs to bounce back, as NBA teams have gone 114-81-3 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were favored by more than 8 points in that defeat. Take the Cavaliers. |
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03-29-24 | Lakers v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 90-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. These two teams met in the inaugural In-season Tournament's championship game. Los Angeles won that match-up, and the teams' 2nd meeting of the season -- five days ago -- as well. So, the Pacers will play this game with double-revenge from those two losses. We'll fade the Lakers, who have won their last 5 games, and covered their last three, as they're 103-140 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, the Pacers are 157-93-10 ATS when playing with revenge, if they were rested, and off a SU loss, while their opponent was off a SU win. Take Indiana minus the points. |
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03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Three nights ago, the Hawks upset Boston here, at home, 120-118, as an 11-point home underdog. We'll take the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as road favorites have gone 42-19-2 ATS when laying 8.5 (or more) points against the same foe they played in their previous game. Even better: NBA favorites of more than 9 points have gone 59-40-2 ATS if they were playing with revenge against an opponent which upset it in its previous game, including 17-3 ATS if its opponent was playing without rest. And Atlanta is, indeed, unrested, as it played last night vs. Portland. Take Boston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | Clippers -6 v. 76ers | Top | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Philadelphia. These two teams played last weekend, and the Sixers upset the Clippers, 121-107, as a 9.5-point road underdog. We'll take Los Angeles to avenge that home upset defeat, as it's covered 65.2% the past 34 seasons as a road favorite, if it owned a W/L percentage > .600 and was playing with revenge from a home loss. The Clippers are also 77-47 ATS in the regular season as a favorite of 3+ points when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-24 | 76ers v. Kings -9 | Top | 96-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Philadelphia. The Sixers upset the LA Clippers last night, 121-107, as 9-point underdog. They've once again been installed as a big dog, and we'll fade them today at Sacramento, as they're a soft 26-43 ATS as road underdogs of more than 4 points vs. winning foes (including 1-9 ATS if playing without rest). Additionally, the Sixers fall into a negative 75-155 ATS system of mine which fades certain unrested teams off SU wins. Lay the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Pelicans v. Pistons +12 | Top | 114-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans went into Miami on Friday night, and blew out the Heat, 111-88, as a 3-point road underdog. But off that huge upset win, we'll fade the Pelicans in the Motor City this afternoon. New Orleans is 1-15 ATS off a double-digit road win, and 20-42 ATS away from home off an upset win by 10+ points. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Raptors +6 v. Wizards | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Washington Wizards. We played on the Wizards two nights ago, as an 11-point home dog vs. Sacramento, and were rewarded with a 109-102 upset win. That triumph snapped Washington's 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. But tonight, it's the Raptors who will be looking to get back into the win column. Toronto has now lost its last 9 games, and has failed to cover the spread in their last five. But this losing streak has triggered a 242-153-6 ATS system of mine, as well as a 154-95-6 ATS system. The Wizards are a woeful 26-45-1 ATS as a favorite of 6 (or more) points. And favorites (or PK'em teams) off upset wins as a home dog of +9 (or more) points, have covered just 29.4% since 1990 vs. foes off SU/ATS losses. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Sacramento. The Kings blew out Toronto last night, 123-89, while the Wizards had Wednesday off. Washington lost their first two games of this four-game home stand. But leading scorer, Kyle Kuzma (22.4 ppg) missed those two games. He's been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's game. And that's all we need to fade the Kings tonight, as they're 18-41-1 ATS off a win, if they were an unrested road favorite in their current game (including 1-6 ATS as a double-digit favorite). Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-24 | Clippers -11 v. Blazers | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. This is the first of two back-to-back games between these teams, here in Portland. The Clippers come into this game off a blowout loss to the Atlanta Hawks, while the Blazers also lost their previous game, 110-107, at Chicago. We'll take Los Angeles minus the points tonight, as it's 38-20 ATS as a favorite away from home, if it was off a SU loss in its previous game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Celtics suffered their worst loss of the season, 135-102, at the hands of the Bucks in January. We'll take Boston to avenge that defeat, as it's won and covered six straight games, including a 119-94 blowout of Detroit on Monday. Boston is a super 79-41-2 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win. And Milwaukee is a dismal 17-46 ATS as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points, including 1-17 ATS vs. foes off a win by 12+ points. Take the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-24 | Nuggets -7.5 v. Wolves | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. This Northwest Division rivalry has been dominated by the road team, which has gone 49-18 ATS, including a virtually-perfect 14-1 ATS when it was off a SU loss, and the home team was off a win. With Denver in off a 2-point loss to Dallas, and Minny off a 10-point victory last night at Utah, we'll lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Miami. The Heat are playing back to back road games after winning on a buzzer-beating, three-point shot by Bam Adebayo last night, in Detroit. The Sixers had Sunday off, and will play tonight's game with revenge from an upset home loss to Miami, on Valentine's Day. We'll take Philly, as it is 46-22 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-24 | Nuggets v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks +the points over the Denver Nuggets. Luka Doncic has been upgraded to probable, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Mavericks. Denver is a dreadful 5-21-2 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins by more than 10 points. And it's also 13-34-1 ATS away from home when favored off a 9-point (or greater) win. Grab the points with the Mavericks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-24 | Clippers v. Pelicans -7 | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers blew out Chicago last night, while the Pels lost their previous game, 116-95, on Wednesday vs. Cleveland. We'll fade L.A. tonight, as it's 1-11 ATS when it was unrested, and off a SU win, and playing a rested foe off a SU loss. Additionally, the Pelicans fall into an 84-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams off blowout losses. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -9.5 | Top | 119-126 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. The Mavericks routed the Thunder, 146-111, when these two teams met last month in Dallas. Since that blowout win, the Mavs have gone 8-5 SU/ATS, including 4-0 SU/ATS their last four. We'll lay the points tonight with OKC, as it's covered 70.4% at home since 2013 when playing with revenge, and favored against a foe off a SU win, provided that foe didn't fail to cover the spread in its previous game. Additionally, .625 (or better) teams have cashed 72% as favorites the past 24 seasons when playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat. Lay the points with the Thunder. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | Clippers -6.5 v. Bulls | Top | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Chicago. We played on the Bulls last night, and got the $$$ in their upset win over Atlanta. We'll fade Chicago, and lay the points with the Clippers, who enter this game off 2 home losses, including an upset loss to Minnesota on Tuesday. But the Clippers are 17-8 ATS off back to back losses at home, including 9-3 ATS on the road, and 4-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset win. Meanwhile, Chicago is 15-30 ATS vs. foes off back to back home losses, and 6-23 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off an upset loss. Take the Clippers. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-24 | Lakers +1 v. Kings | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over Sacramento. We played on the Kings last night vs. Milwaukee, and were rewarded with a 129-94 blowout win. Tonight, we'll switch gears, and go against the Kings, who are 9-22 ATS off a win by more than 23 points, including 0-5 ATS in division games. Moreover, the Lakers play this game with revenge from 2 home losses to the Kings. And LA is 64-42 ATS on the road with revenge, when not getting 2+ points. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-24 | Bulls +4 v. Pacers | Top | 132-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Indiana. The Pacers pulled off an upset last night in Oklahoma City, with a 121-111 triumph over the Thunder. And that followed a 111-97 win at Orlando in a Pk'em game. Off those two wins, we will fade the Pacers, who have covered just 36% the last 34 years as a favorite off back to back wins as an underdog (or PK). Additionally, the Bulls are off back to back SU/ATS losses. However, Indy is 22-44 ATS when not getting 8+ points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Grab the points with Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings +2.5 | Top | 94-129 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks defeated the Clippers by 7 points on Sunday, while Sacramento was upset by Houston, as a 6.5-point home favorite. We'll take the Kings to bounce back off that upset loss, as they're 24-6 ATS at home, when priced from -5.5 to +4 points, vs. non-conference foes off a straight-up win (including 12-0 ATS vs. .571 (or better) foes). Take Sacramento plus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -6 | Top | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these division rivals. Philly upset New York, 79-73, as a 7-point road underdog over the weekend. We'll take New York in this rematch, as NBA teams have gone 11-1 ATS their last 12 (and 31-14 ATS their last 45) off a game where they scored less than 74 points, and failed to cover the spread by more than eight points (including 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge). Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-24 | Pacers +2 v. Magic | Top | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Pacers lost at home to Minnesota, 113-111, on Thursday. We'll take Indy to rebound off that loss and pull a mild upset at Orlando. Indiana is 135-99 ATS off an upset home loss, and 10-2 ATS this season off a home defeat. Take the Pacers. |
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03-10-24 | Rockets v. Kings -6.5 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Houston. Sacramento came back in the final minute to narrowly defeat San Antonio, 131-129, as a double-digit favorite. The Rockets also won their previous game -- 123-107 at Portland -- and come into this game off 5 ATS wins. We'll fade Houston today, and lay the points with Sacramento, which will look to avenge a 25-point blowout loss to the Rockets earlier this season. Sacramento has covered 19 of 29 this season off an ATS loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-24 | Bucks -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Bucks have lost their last two games. We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back against the Clippers, as Milwaukee is 89-48 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses. Lay the points. |
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03-09-24 | Celtics -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. Boston comes into this game off back to back upset losses at Cleveland and at Denver. We played against Boston in its last game, but will lay the points with them here, in Phoenx. Boston is a sensational 16-2-1 ATS when favored by 2+ points off back to back upset defeats. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-24 | Magic v. Knicks -1.5 | Top | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Orlando. These two teams last met on Valentine's Day, and the Magic won, 118-100. That game kicked off an 8-1 record for Orlando, while New York has been in a free-fall, with a 4-7 record over its lat 11 games. Injuries, though, have played a large part in that. However, Jalen Brunson has just been upgraded to "probable" to play tonight vs. the Magic, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on New York. The Knicks and Magic are locked in a tight battle for playoff seeding, with Orlando up on the Knicks by a half-game. I like the Knicks to win this game, as they fall into 66-32 and 170-109 ATS systems of mine that play on certain revenge-minded favorites. Additionally, the Magic have won and covered their last 5 games, but now fall into a negative 79-100 ATS system based on that win streak. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-24 | Celtics v. Nuggets | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Boston Celtics. The Nuggets come into this game off an upset home loss to the Phoenix Suns. But the good news for Denver is that it's 129-69-5 ATS at home if it was rested, priced from +2.5 to -11, and lost its previous home game, straight-up. Take the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-24 | Kings v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 130-120 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Sacramento. The Kings upset the Lakers, 125-110, at Crypto.com Arena, in the previous meeting. We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it has cashed 61.8% since 1990 as a favorite when playing with revenge from an upset home loss to a division rival. Even better: the Lakers are 18-2 SU and 17-3 ATS at home vs. high-scoring foes that average 116+ points per game, including 6-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -4 | Top | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks have been installed as an underdog tonight against the Warriors, with Giannis Antetokounmpo listed as "questionable" to play. We'll fade Milwaukee, as it's a wallet-busting 1-26 SU and 2-25 ATS as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points when it owned a win percentage of .650 (or better). Meanwhile, the Warriors are a solid 65-29-3 ATS at home vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Warriors weren't favored by 9+ points, including 30-11 ATS off a point spread loss. Take Golden State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.. |
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03-03-24 | Clippers +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Clippers were blown out by Minnesota at home, 121-100, on February 12. We'll take LA to avenge that loss, as the T-Wolves are 33-66 ATS when playing a foe it defeated by more than 8 points earlier in the season, if both Minnesota and its opponent own .500 (or better) records. Take the Clippers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 124-114 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over Denver. The Lakers were swept out of the playoffs last season by Denver, 4 games to none. And LA has also dropped both meetings this season vs. Denver. I like LA to finally break through with a win against the Nuggets tonight, as it falls into a 175-89 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, the Nuggets are 3-11 ATS this season off 3+ wins, and they're 30-47 ATS their last 77 off 4+ wins. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-24 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 107-100 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over Portland. This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams. Portland blew out Memphis last night, 122-92. We'll take the revenge-minded Grizzlies, as favorites playing with revenge from a home loss by 30+ points in their previous game have covered 75% since 1990. Lay the points with Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-27-24 | Heat v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Miami Heat. Miami went into Sacramento last night, and pulled off their fourth straight upset win, with a 121-110 triumph over the Kings. They'll head north to Portland for this matchup against a reeling Blazers team on an 8-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak). We'll take Portland, as home underdogs have cashed 55% over the last 34 years when they were off 3 ATS losses, and their opponent was off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Blazers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-27-24 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 115-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Pelicans had last night off following back to back upset losses at home to Miami and Chicago, while New York narrowly downed the Pistons, 113-111, on Monday. We'll take the rested Pelicans, as they're 38-25 ATS as road favorites off an upset loss, including 10-2 ATS vs. unrested foes. Lay the points. |
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02-27-24 | Nets v. Magic -9.5 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Brooklyn. We played against the Magic on Sunday, and got the $$$ with Atlanta. Tonight, though, we'll back Orlando and fade an unrested Brooklyn team off a blowout win over Memphis last night. The Nets are a poor 17-28 ATS when getting more than 2 points from a revenge-minded foe. And the Magic are a super 37-20-1 ATS this season, including 15-5 ATS as a favorite. Lay the points. |
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02-25-24 | Spurs v. Jazz -6 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. The Jazz were upset here, at home, by Charlotte on Thursday, 115-107. We'll take Utah to bounce back off that loss, as it is 109-65 ATS as a rested favorite of -2 (or more) points off a SU home loss. Take the Jazz. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-24 | Magic v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Orlando Magic. The Magic come into State Farm Arena off 3 straight wins. We'll fade Orlando tonight, as Atlanta is a solid 142-93 ATS at home vs. foes off 3+ wins. Take the Hawks. |
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02-25-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington. From December 16 through February 10, the Cavs were the league's hottest teams, as they went 22-4 straight-up, and 18-8 ATS. But they've stumbled to a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS record over the past 2 weeks. We'll lay the points with Cleveland this evening, as Washington is 25-49-3 ATS at home vs. rested foes, including 1-8 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off an upset loss. Take Cleveland. |
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02-23-24 | Cavs -3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 97-104 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Philadelphia. This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these clubs. Cleveland won the first meeting at Philly, 122-119, while the Sixers upset Cleveland, 123-121, on the road 11 days ago. Both of these teams were upset at home last night in their first game following the All-Star Break. Cleveland lost, 115-109, to the Orlando Magic, while the 76ers fell by 14 points, 110-96, to the New York Knicks. Tonight, the Cavaliers are favored at Philly, as Joel Embiid remains out following knee surgery. This season, without Embiid on the floor, the Sixers are a woeful 6-15. Even better for Cleveland: it's a solid 24-16 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and has cashed its last five when playing with revenge. Lay the points with the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-24 | Lakers v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the LA Lakers. Los Angeles won and covered its 2nd straight game last night with a 125-111 blowout of Detroit. We'll fade Los Angeles tonight, as it's 43-77 ATS in the regular season off back to back wins and covers, when matched up against a foe off a SU loss. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-24 | Kings v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 102-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Sacramento. The Nuggets were blown out, 112-95, by Milwaukee, on Monday. And that was their 2nd straight loss. We'll lay the points with the Nuggets, as defending champs are 61-34-1 ATS off back to back losses, if they lost their most recent game by 15+ points. Take Denver. |
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02-14-24 | Nets +13.5 v. Celtics | Top | 86-136 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Boston. The Nets lost at home last night, 118-110, to Boston. This rematch is in Boston. We'll take the Nets, as they're 54-32 ATS as a road underdog when playing with revenge from a home defeat. Take the Nets + the points. |
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02-14-24 | Hawks -6 v. Hornets | Top | 99-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte won its last two games -- each as a home underdog -- vs. Memphis and Indiana. We'll fade Charlotte tonight, as home underdogs have cashed just 36% since 1990 off back to back upset home wins where they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points in those two upset victories. Take Atlanta minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-24 | Wizards +14.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Dallas. The Mavericks have won 4 straight games (both SU and ATS), including an upset of Oklahoma City, 146-111, in their last game. Meanwhile, the Wizards are riding a 6-game losing streak. We'll fade Dallas off its upset win, as it's 0-8 ATS this season off an upset win. Even worse for the Mavs: they defeated Washington, 130-117, earlier this season. But Dallas is 15-32-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, while Washington is 97-63-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss. And Dallas is also a wallet-breaking 16-33-2 ATS as a home favorite, including 0-12-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points vs. Eastern conference foes. Finally, the Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. We'll grab the points with Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-24 | Kings v. Thunder -3 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Sacramento. The Kings won the first two meetings this season between these teams. But those two games were at home, in Sacramento. This afternoon's game is in Oklahoma City. We'll take the Thunder, as they've cashed 69% at home the last 34 seasons, if they owned a better record than their opponent, and were playing with double revenge in the regular season from two losses suffered earlier in the season. |
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02-10-24 | Pistons v. Clippers -16 | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Detroit. The Pistons have been on a roll, with 11 ATS wins in their last 13 games. The Clippers -- notwithstanding their home loss Wednesday to the Pelicans -- have also been playing well, with 21 ATS wins in their last 31. We'll take the Clips to bounce back off their loss, as they're 11-4 ATS at home off a SU home loss. And Detroit is 1-7 ATS on the road vs. a foe off a SU home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-24 | Nuggets v. Kings -1 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets won, 114-106, at the Lakers last night, as a 3-point favorite. We'll fade the Nuggets off that SU/ATS win, as they're 68-102-1 ATS on the road off an ATS win. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-24 | Warriors v. Pacers -6 | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on Indiana Pacers minus the points Golden State. Tyrese Haliburton has been upgraded to 'probable' and that's all I need to pull the trigger on Indiana. Golden State is a woeful 34-56-1 ATS on the road as an underdog of less than 9 points off back to back wins, including 8-17 ATS when playing without rest. With the Warriors in off victories over Brooklyn and Philly, we'll fade them as an unrested underdog at Indiana. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-07-24 | Raptors -6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 123-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte. Both teams enter tonight's game on losing streaks. The Raptors have dropped their last three, including a 138-100 loss at New Orleans, on Monday. Meanwhile, the Hornets are on an 8-game losing streak, and have been outscored by more than 10 ppg (the only NBA team with that poor of a scoring margin). The Hornets are an awful 16-32-1 ATS, and have failed to cover the point spread at home by an average of 5.3 ppg. The Raptors are 7-2 ATS their last nine meetings vs. Charlotte. And they're 134-89 ATS off back to back losses, including 62-37 ATS as a favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-04-24 | Pacers -9.5 v. Hornets | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets are on a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they will once again be without star LaMelo Ball. Charlotte is 15-31-1 ATS on the season. And it's 4-13 ATS as an underdog of more than 5 points vs. the Pacers, including 0-6 ATS if the Pacers were off a loss. Meanwhile, Indiana is a solid 37-22-1 ATS as a favorite when it had lost its three previous games, SU/ATS. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-03-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. Mavs | Top | 129-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Dallas. The Bucks have lost back-to-back games. We'll back Milwaukee tonight, as it's 86-47-3 ATS in the regular season off two (or more) losses. Lay the points with Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-03-24 | Nets +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 136-121 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia. The Nets lost earlier this year to Philly, 121-99. We'll take Brooklyn + the points, as it is 43-13-1 ATS on the road in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points earlier in the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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