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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Mavericks @ Suns 10:00 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Mavericks +6.5 (5*) Phoenix walked away with a 121-114 win in the opening game of this series on Monday and barely covered as a 5.5-point favorite. However, I like the way Dallas didn’t quit in that contest despite being down by 17 on the road heading into the 4th quarter. Speaking of not quitting, Dallas is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a loss and won by 12.7 points per game. The Mavericks are also 13-2 SU in their previous 15 following a loss and that’s worth noting considering they’re a sizable 6.0-point underdog tonight. Phoenix outrebounded Dallas in Game 1 by a wide margin of 51-36. Nevertheless, Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS this season after being -15 or worse on the boards during its previous game. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Bucks @ Celtics 7:05 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Celtics -4.5 (10*) The Celtics are coming off an embarrassing 101-89 loss in Game 1. There was a lot of rarities that occurred for that to happen which are highly improbable to occur again in Game 2. It was just the 5th time that Boston had scored 95 points or less since 12/10/21. The good news for Celtics backers is their team has gone 4-0 SU&ATS since that time immediately after scoring 95 or less and won by an average of 15.3 points per contest. Despite that low scoring output, Boston still was a respectable 18-50 (36%) on their 3-point shot attempts. Unfortunately, they went a horrendous 10-34 from inside the 3-point line. That’s an extremely rare occurrence for an NBA team to not only make just 10 two-point field goal attempts in a game, but also nearly doubling that output from 3-point territory, and especially so for a quality group like the Celtics. Lastly, the Celtics shot a miserable 33.3% from the field overall. Boston has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season following a contest in which they shot less than 40% and outscored those opponents by an average of 15.2 points per game. Conversely, since the start of last season, Milwaukee is 0-4 SU&ATS after holding their opponent to 35% or worse shooting in their previous contest, and they were outscored by an average of 11.5 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-01-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4 | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Boston 1:00 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Boston -4.0 (5*) You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 5-10 ATS as an underdog this season. Furthermore, since the 2020 playoffs, Milwaukee is an uninspiring 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS during an opening game of a series. The Celtics are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Milwaukee. Boston has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 9 games. The Celtics are 5-0 SU in their last 5 and 8-1 SU during its previous 9. That includes covering 7 of their last 8. Since the 2019 NBA Playoffs, whenever there was a total of 209.0 or greater in Boston’s opening game of a playoff series, the Celtics were 4-1 SU&ATS while allowing a mere 92.6 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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04-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) The Timberwolves are down 3-2 in this series and on the brink of elimination. So playing at home with a high degree of urgency and desperation will provide them with an emotional edge in this contest. Additionally, it’s not like the Memphis Grizzlies have recent experience in closing out a playoff series and doing so on the road is a difficult chore regardless of having been there or not. Besides the fact, that you can make a solid case that Minnesota could’ve won this series in 5 games. They blew a 26-point lead at home in Game 3 and led by 10 heading into the 4th quarter in Game 5 before losing on a last second bucket by Ja Morant. The Timberwolves did cover in Game 5 as a 6-point underdog. Minnesota is 17-6 SU at home this season following an ATS cover and outscored those 23 opponents by an average of 9.5 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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04-26-22 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 109-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Memphis 7:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Minnesota +6.0 (10*) After blowing a 26-point lead in Game 3 and losing 104-95, Minnesota bounced back with an impressive 119-118 win in Game 4. It was impressive in the sense that it was a huge emotional blow when collapsing in Game 3 and the Timberwolves were unshaken in their Game 4 performance. Minnesota also has the confidence in knowing that can win at Memphis like they did 130-117 in Game 1. Furthermore, Minnesota has played the #2 seed Memphis Grizzlies on even terms this season while splitting the 8 head-to-head matchups. This game will be much closer than many are predicting, and I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Minnesota win straight up. However, I won’t get greed and will gladly take the points. Give me Minnesota plus |
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04-24-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | Top | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix @ New Orleans 9:30 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (10*) This is the game that the Devin Booker being out of the lineup will cost Phoenix. They were able to escape with a 3-point win in Game 3 of Friday night. However, the Pelicans didn’t quit after being down 11 at the half and battled back to take a 4th quarter lead before succumbing to a late Phoenix surged sparked by Chris Paul. The Pelicans have gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 following a loss during its previous game. Conversely, Phoenix is 0-4 SU during their last 4 immediately following a win. The Pelicans have shot an impressive 48.5% from the field and made 40.2% of its 3-point shot attempts throughout the first 3 games of this series. Give me New Orleans plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-22-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +3 | 111-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Bulls 8:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Bulls +3.0 (5*) For starters, Chicago is an outstanding 27-14 SU and 25-16 (61%) ATS at home this season. That in itself lays a foundation for betting value on the home underdog in this matchup. Furthermore, Chicago is 47-37 (.560) in all games this season. Milwaukee is a poor 14-26 ATS versus teams with a winning record and that includes 4-14 ATS when facing opponents with a win percentage of .510 to .600, and they were outscored by an average of 3.7 points per game. Any NBA Playoff home underdog with a win percentage of .522 or better that’s playing in a Conference Quarterfinal series that’s tied at 1-1, and they’re coming off an away underdog of 7.5-points or greater SU win, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-0 ATS since 1995. Those home underdogs also won 5 of those 7 contests straight up. Give me the Bulls plus the points. |
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04-21-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +2 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Memphis @ Minnesota 7:30 ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Minnesota +2.0 (5*) The Memphis Grizzlies have enjoyed an excellent season that earned them the #2 Western Conference see. However, they’re not your typical #2 seed because of their combination of youth and limited NBA Playoff experience. This is a tough spot for them to come away with a win considering they’re playing on the road for a first time. Additionally, the Grizzlies are 0-5 SU during its previous 5 road games versus teams with a winning record. Conversely, Minnesota has gone 13-1 SU in their last 14 conference home games with their only loss coming to the #1 seed Phoenix Suns. Give me Minnesota. |
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04-20-22 | Nets v. Celtics -3 | Top | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Brooklyn @ Boston 7:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -3.0 (10*) The Nets have shot the ball extremely well over their last 3 games. Nevertheless, Boston has been red-hot offensively for a more extended period. Boston has shot 49% or better in 10 of their last 13 games. The Celtics have also scored 115 points or more in 11 of its previous 13 contests. Throughout their last 5, Boston has converted on a scalding hot 42.9% of their 3-point shots and that includes averaging 18 makes per game. Additionally, during regular season action, Boston was #1 in scoring defense (104.5 PPG), #1 in field goal percentage defense (43.4%), and #1 in 3-point percentage defense (33.9%). Â Give me Boston minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Suns | 125-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
New Orleans @ Phoenix 10:00 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: New Orleans +9.5 (5*) New Orleans dropped Game 1 of this series 110-99. Nonetheless, the Pelicans have been a resilient bunch throughout the final stretch of regular season action while going 6-1 SU&ATS in their last 7 following a loss. Conversely, Phoenix is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a win and lost by an average of 6.3 points per game. Moreover, they were a double-digit favorite in 2 of those 3 contests. Phoenix has also gone a poor 13-24 ATS this season following a game in which they allowed 105 points or fewer, and that includes 1-9 ATSÂ in their last 10. Give me New Orleans plus the points. |
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04-19-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 96-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Memphis 8;30 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Memphis -6.5 (5*) The Grizzlies have lost 2 straight heading into today’s game. Memphis has lost 3 straight games only twice this season with the last occurrence happening just short of 4 months ago. As a matter of fact, Memphis has gone 6-2 SU&ATS this season immediately following 2 consecutive losses and includes 3-0 SU&ATS during its previous 3. Memphis also an outstanding 30-12 SU and 27-15 ATS (64%) at home this season. With that being said, I look them to bounce back with a decisive win and cover in Game 2 of this series. Memphis is coming off a terrible 130-117 home loss as a 6.5-point favorite in Game 1. That defeat dropped their season record to 56-27 (.675). Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 5.5 or greater that’s coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they allowed 99 points or more, and they possess a season win percentage of .647 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 14-3 ATS (82.3%) since 2012. |
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04-19-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | 105-115 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Miami 7:30 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Atlanta +7.5 (5*) Atlanta is coming off a poor performance in Game 1 while losing 115-91. However, the Hawks are 9-1 SU in their last 10 following a loss and includes 6-0 SU during its previous 6. Additionally, Atlanta was held below 40% shooting for a first time in 18 games. Conversely, Miami held an opponent to less than 40% shooting for the first time in 18 games. It’s highly unlikely for that to occur again today which improves the underdog Hawks chance of covering exponentially. Furthermore, since 2/6, Atlanta has gone 3-0 SU&ATS following a game in which they scored fewer than 100 points. Give me Atlanta plus the points. |
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04-18-22 | Nuggets +7 v. Warriors | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Denver @ Golden State 10:00 ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Denver +7.0 (5*) Golden State looked like a serious world champion contender their series opening 123-107 win. That very well be the case. However, I truly believe that public betting patterns on today’s matchup which heavily favor the Warriors on both tickets and money wagered is an overreaction. Counting their regular season finale, Denver enters today on a 2-game losing streak. Nonetheless, since 11/29/2021, the Nuggets ate 5-1 SU following 2 consecutive losses and that includes 3-0 SU during away games. Give me Denver plus the points. |
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04-18-22 | Jazz v. Mavs +5.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah @ Dallas 5:30 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (5*) Dallas will once again be without star point-guard Luke Doncic and the line has been adjusted accordingly. They’re hopeful that Doncic will be able to return in this series at some point. Dallas can ill afford to go back Utah down 2-0 in the series after suffering a 99-93 loss in Game 1, and I fully expect them to play with a high degree of desperation tonight. Dallas has gone 12-2 SU in their last 14 following a loss. The Mavericks are also 11-3 ATS this season following a game in which they scored 95 points or fewer and outscored their opponents by an average of 9.9 points per contest. Give me Dallas plus the points. |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Philadelphia 7:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Toronto +7.5 (5*) Toronto is coming off a 131-111 loss in the series opener on Saturday. However, this has been a resilient Raptors team. Toronto is an impressive 7-1 SU on the road this season immediately following a loss by 15 points or more. The Raptors also lost their regular season finale. Nevertheless, they’re 7-1 SU in their last 8 this season following 2 consecutive losses. Toronto is also 16-15 SU as a road underdog this season and bettors that risked $100 per game on them made a sizable net profit of $1050. Conversely, the 76ers have gone an uninspiring 9-10 SU at home this season immediately following an ATS cover. Give me Toronto plus the points. |
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04-16-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Denver @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Golden State -6.5 (10*) Stephen Curry will return to the lineup for the first time since 3/16. The Warriors went 1-6 SU in their first 7 games without Curry following his injury. However, they’ve rebounded to win their final 5 regular season games and by a decisive margin of 143.2 points per contest. The Warriors have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Denver while winning by 15.3 points per game. Furthermore, since the 2015 NBA Playoffs, Golden State is an unscathed 7-0 SU&ATS in 1st round contests in which they were a favorite of 6.0 to 9.0 and won by a massive average of 22.7 points per game. Give me Golden State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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04-15-22 | Hawks v. Cavs +2.5 | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Cleveland +2.5 (5*) Atlanta has unequivocally been the better team than Cleveland throughout the final stretch of regular season action. However, I just don’t trust Atlanta on the road and especially as a favorite versus a team with a winning record. Specifically speaking, Atlanta has gone a dismal 0-9 SU&ATS in their last 9 away when facing a team with a winning record. That hardly bodes well for a road favorite in a high stakes game like this one. Additionally, Atlanta is 16-25 SU and 14-27 ATS on the road this season. So, their road struggles go beyond only teams with a winning record. Although Cleveland is coming off a 115-108 loss at Brooklyn this past Tuesday. I was impressed by them not quitting after falling behind by 22 in the 3rd quarter and battling back to make it a competitive game in the final minutes. Give me Cleveland plus the small number. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Spurs @ Pelicans (Keuchel) 9:30 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Pelicans -5.0 (5*) This line makes no sense to me. San Antonio opened as a 5.0-point road underdog despite taking 3 of 4 versus New Orleans this season. Despite over 60% of tickets and better than 70% of the money being wagered on the Spurs at this present time, the number has moved to 5.5 at some books. The oddsmakers and sportsbooks are begging you to take the underdog in this matchup. However, I’m not taking the bait. If it looks to me good to be too good to be true when it comes to sports betting, more times than not it is. Give me the Pelicans minus the points. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers v. Wolves -2.5 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Minnesota 9:30 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Minnesota -2.5 (5*) The Clippers were the hotter team in this matchup during the final stretch of regular season action. Afterall, they enter the postseason a 5-game win streak. However, 4 of those 5 games were played at home. The Clippers went 2-6 SU&ATS in their last 8 on the road. The last time these teams met, the Clippers sustained a 122-104 home loss in a game they were a 3.0-point favorite. The Clippers are an abysmal 1-11 SU&ATS this season when playing with revenge stemming from a home favorite SU loss and were outscored by 8.6 points per contest. Conversely, Minnesota has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their previous 7 as a home favorite of 5.5 or less and won by an average of 13.7 points per contest. Give me Minnesota minus the points. |
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04-08-22 | Bucks v. Pistons +5.5 | 131-101 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (5*) Milwaukee is coming off last night’s huge home win over Boston as it pertains to playoff seeding. They won that contest 127-121 but failed to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. The Bucks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season, teams coming off a home SU win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and they’re playing their 3rd game in 4 days, resulted in those teams going an awful 14-36 SU (28%). Conversely, unlike Milwaukee, Detroit will be well rested and playing in only their 2nd game in 5 days. The Pistons have gone an outstanding 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games while winning 10 of those contests straight. Detroit is also an extremely profitable 5-0 ATS in their last 5 and 11-1 ATS during their previous 12 as an underdog of 8.5 or less. For a team that’s been realistically out of playoff contention for a few months the Pistons have competed hard down the final stretch of regular season action. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
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04-05-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -5.5 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Utah 9:10 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Utah -5.5 (5*) I like this Memphis Grizzlies team a lot. However, the Grizzlies are locked into the #2 seed in the Western Conference. They can’t catch #1 seed Phoenix and no other team can catch them as well. As a result, they’re not going to take any unnecessary risks with star point-guard Ja Morant who is currently out with a knee injury. The Memphis coaching staff has also been monitoring the minutes of key players to keep them fresh for the upcoming playoffs. Utah has yet to secure one of the top 6 seeds in the Western Conference which would enable them from have to participate in the play-in tournament which is a win or go home 1-game format. Utah has lost 6 of their last 7 games but all those losses came on the road. The Jazz have gone 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS during its previous 13 at home which includes 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 8.0 or less. Give me Utah minus the points. |
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04-05-22 | Hawks v. Raptors -3.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Toronto -3.5 (5*) Despite being a playoff team for a 2nd consecutive season, Atlanta hasn’t been good in regular season away games during that stretch. As a matter of fact, dating back to last season, the Hawks are a poor 15-28 SU and 13-30 ATS in their last 43 regular season away games. Furthermore, Atlanta is an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 road games this season when facing a team with a winning record (Toronto 45-33). The Hawks are also a money draining 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5-points. Toronto is coming off a home loss to a red-hot Miami Heat team. Nonetheless, the Raptors are still a sparkling 11-3 SU and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games. Additionally, Toronto is 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 following a loss and won by 11.0 points per game. Give me Toronto minus the points. |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Toronto -2.5 (5*) Toronto has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0 or less and won by a substantial average of 18.7 points per game. Minnesota is averaging 15 made 3-point shots per game this season. Conversely, Toronto is 9-1 SU&ATS this season versus opponents that are making 14 or more 3-point shots per contest. The Raptors are a stellar 9-2 SU in their last 11 and includes 3 consecutive home wins. Give me Toronto minus the points. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -5 | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: Boston -5.0 (5*) Miami is coming off a convincing 123-100 home win over a hapless Sacramento Kings team. That win snapped an 0-4 SU&ATS losing streak. It also ended a money draining 0-7 ATS funk by the Heat. Boston is coming off a 115-112 overtime loss at Toronto. It was a game effort by the Celtics considering they were missing their 2 top scorers Jaylen Brown (23.4 PPG) and Jayson Tatum (27.1 PPG). Both players are listed as probable for today’s game. Despite that loss, Boston is a red-hot 25-5 SU and 19-9-2 ATS throughout its previous 30 games. The Celtics are also 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 18.6 points per game. Give me Boston minus the points. |
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03-28-22 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Hornets | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Denver @ Charlotte 7:10 ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Denver -3.5 (5*) Charlotte is coming off a huge win at Brooklyn on Sunday with respect to Eastern Conference postseason implications. However, the Hornets are an abysmal 1-12 SU this season when playing with no rest and were outscored by a massive 17.9 points per game. Additionally, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th in 10 days. Denver has gone an outstanding 7-1 SU in their last 8 away games. The Nuggets have been extremely efficient offensively during its last 8 games. During that stretch, they averaged 118.3 points scored per game and shot 51.3% from the field. The current total in this contest is 233.5. Denver is 11-3 ATS this season in away games with a total of 220.0 or greater and outscored the opposition by an average of 9.5 points per contest. Give me Denver minus the points. |
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03-23-22 | Suns v. Wolves +1.5 | 125-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Minnesota +1.5 (5*) Minnesota is coming off Monday’s 2-point loss at Dallas but were able to get inside the number as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Timberwolves 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Additionally, the current total in this game is 238.0. Minnesota has gone a superb 11-0 SU&ATS at home this season whenever there was a total of 230.0 or greater and they won by a decisive margin of 17.6 points per game. Give me Minnesota plus the small number. |
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03-23-22 | Jazz +5 v. Celtics | 97-125 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Utah @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Utah +5.0 (5*) Utah is coming off a 114-106 loss at Brooklyn in their previous game. Nevertheless, the Jazz are 6-0 SU in their last 6 immediately following a loss. Utah hasn’t lost 2 straight games since 1/30. The Celtics are the hottest team in the NBA right now. However, they’re 0-4 SU&ATS in the last 4 versus Utah. Give me Utah plus the points. |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Detroit +5.0 (5*) Atlanta will be playing with no rest after last night’s 6-point win at Madison Square Garden. However, the Hawks have gone a terrible 1-9 ATS this season following a win by 6-points or fewer. The Hawks are also a dismal 2-10 SU this season following a road win. Detroit has gone a mediocre 7-8 SU in their last 15 games but they’re an extremely profitable 13-2 ATS in those contests. You may be surprised to know that Detroit is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus Atlanta. Give me Detroit plus the points. |
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03-22-22 | Clippers +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Clippers @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Clippers +7.0 (10*) Denver has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home and all those losses came by double-digit margins. The Clippers have made a respectable 36.5% of their 3-point shot attempts this season. That’s significant as it pertains to this matchup considering Denver is 1-8 ATS at home this season versus opponents possessing a 36% or better 3-point shot conversion rate and they were outscored by an average of 7.0 points per game. The Clippers have gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. However, they haven’t lost 4-games in a row all season long. As a matter of fact, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS this season following 3 consecutive losses and with an average victory margin of 8.7 points per game. Los Angeles has played Denver 3 times this season with all those contests be decided by 3-points or less and the Clippers were 3-0 ATS. Give me the Clippers plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-22-22 | Hawks v. Knicks +1.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Hawks @ Knicks 7:30 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Knicks +1.5 (5*) New York has Atlanta’s number this season having gone 3-0 SU&ATS versus the Hawks with an average victory margin of 10.7 points per game.  Since the start of last season, New York has gone an extremely profitable 35-14 ATS (71%) when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Conversely, Atlanta has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 road games when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and were outscored by 8.5 points per contest. Give me New York plus the small number. |
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03-21-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Dallas 8:40 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (10*) Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and is coming off losses in each of the previous 2. Conversely, this will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a red-hot 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 and 4-0 SU&ATS during its previous 4 games. Throughout their last 5 contests, Minnesota has scored a lofty 126.8 points per game, shot 48.3% from the field, made 41.1% of its 3-point attempts, and went 88.1% at the free throw line. Give me Minnesota plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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03-14-22 | Bucks v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 117-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Utah 10:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Utah +1.5 (10*) You may be surprised to know that Milwaukee has gone a dismal 4-11 SU&ATS this season when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. The Bucks defensive play has left much to be desired of late as they’ve allowed 117.2 points per game while allowing their opponents to shoot 49.5% and convert on 38.5% of its 3-point shot attempts. Utah has won 9 consecutive home games and that in itself gives the underdog Jazz ample betting value. Utah has outscored their opponents by an average of 6.4 points per game this season. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Milwaukee is a bankroll draining 11-27 ATS on the road when facing opponents with a +4.0 or greater point per game differential on the season. Utah won at Milwaukee 107-95 in late October. Give me Utah plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
New Orleans vs. Memphis 7:30 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Memphis -6.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 138-130 loss to Denver which ended a 4-game win streak. Conversely, Memphis is coming off an embarrassing 123-122 loss at Houston in a game they closed as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. However, the Grizzlies are 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a favorite of 2.0 or more following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 15.4 points per game. Memphis is also a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS this season following a road loss by 10 or more and won by an average of 12.1 points per game. Give me Memphis minus the points. |
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02-28-22 | Wolves v. Cavs +3.5 | Top | 127-122 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Cleveland +3.5 (10*) Cleveland has won 8 straight home games, so they possess plenty of betting value as an underdog in this contest. Furthermore, they allowed less than 100 points in each of their previous 7 at home. Conversely, Minnesota has lost 7 consecutive away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Timberwolves have been dominated on the glass in their last 5 by an average of 9 rebound per game. Give me Cleveland plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-25-22 | Mavs v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Dallas @ Utah 9:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Utah -5.5 (10*) Utah has gone 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home versus Dallas. The Jazz are also 6-0 SU&ATS in their previous 6 at home and won by an average of 18.5 points per game. During that 6-game home win streak, Utah has held opponents to 99.2 points per game. Since the start of last season, Utah has gone 16-4 (80%) ATS in the month of February and outscored their opponents by 13.8 points per contest. Give me Utah minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-25-22 | 76ers v. Wolves +2.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Minnesota +2.5 (5*) This will be the highly anticipated debut of James Harden for the Philadelphia 76ers. As a result, the public has been pounding the 76ers in this matchup. However, this isn’t a Minnesota team that’s just going to lay down and will be highly motivate. The Timberwolves have gone an extremely profitable 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 home games. That includes last night’s 119-114 home win over a very good Memphis Grizzlies (41-20) squad who currently holds down the #3 seed behind only Phoenix and Golden State in the Western Conference standings. The lack of rest won’t be as much a factor as usual considering Minnesota recently had plenty of time off due to the all-star break. Give me Minnesota plus the points. |
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02-24-22 | Warriors v. Blazers +10 | 132-95 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Portland 10:00 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Portland +10.0 (5*) Golden State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games and all were as a favorite. Additionally, the Warriors return from the all-star break having lost 4 of their last 5 straight up. Conversely, Portland is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games and they were an underdog on each occasion. The last 2 of those wins occurred against defending world champion Milwaukee and versus a Memphis team who entered that contest winners of 6 straight and 9 of their last 10. Give me Portland plus the points. |
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02-08-22 | Bucks v. Lakers +3.5 | 131-116 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ LA Lakers 10:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: LA Lakers +3.5 (5*) This will be the 3rd road game in 4 days for Milwaukee and they were dominant in each of the first 2. However, they’ll be facing a Lakers team playing on 2 days rest with star players Lebron James and Anthony Davis listed as probable. Despite Milwaukee clearly being the better team in this matchup, this is an advantageous betting situation for the home underdog Lakers. Give me the LA Lakers plus the points. |
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02-04-22 | Hawks v. Raptors -3 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Toronto -3.0 (10*) I’m sure that public bettors will be enticed to take Atlanta after watching them defeat Phoenix 124-116 last night in a game they closed as a 3.0-point underdog. Toronto also played last night, and they defeated Chicago 127-120 at home. Here’s the thing, Toronto is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS this season when playing with no rest, and Atlanta is 3-6 SU&ATS in that role. Toronto enters today on a 4-0 SU&ATS run in their last 4. The Raptors currently have a season record of 27-23. Conversely, Atlanta is a poor 9-17 SU this season when facing an opponent with a winning record. Since the start of last season, the Hawks are a dismal 1-6 SU on the road following a home underdog SU win. Give me Toronto minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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02-02-22 | Hornets +6.5 v. Celtics | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Charlotte +6.5 (5*) Charlotte will be facing a Boston team today with a season record of 27-25 (.519). The Hornets are 9-0 ATS this season when facing opponents with a win percentage of .510 to .600 and they won 7 of those contests straight up. The Hornets have gone 4-1 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. Conversely, Boston has allowed 97 and 92 points in their last 2 games. Since the start of last season, the Celtics have gone an abysmal 2-13 SU following 2 consecutive games in which they allowed 105 points or less. Lastly, Charlotte will be playing in its 2nd game in 5 days while Boston will be playing their 4th in 6 days. Rest advantage lies with the Hornets. Bet Charlotte plus the points. |
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01-28-22 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +4.5 | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: New Orleans +4.5 (5*) Denver has gone just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 with all as a favorite and includes 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.0 or greater. During that span, the Nuggets allowed 116.8 points per game while opponents shot a combined 50.3% from the floor. Despite their uninspiring 11-11 home record, New Orleans has gone a profitable 14-8 ATS (63.6%) in those contests. As a matter of fact, the Pelicans are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home with an average win margin of 9.8 points per game. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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01-20-22 | Suns v. Mavs +3 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Dallas 7:30 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Dallas +3.0 (10*) Phoenix is unequivocally the class of the Western Conference. However, tonight will be a finale of a 5-game in 10-day road trip for the Suns in which they’ve already gone 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS. The point being, it’s already been a successful trip for Phoenix and they’re vulnerable to a flat spot this evening The Dallas Mavericks are on a red-hot 10-1 SU run and that includes a current 4-game win streak in which they allowed 102 points or fewer on each occasion. They have also won 6 consecutive home games. This will be the Mavericks 4th straight game played at home. These teams last met on 11/19/21, and Phoenix walked away with a 112-104 home win. Dallas has gone an unscathed 7-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Bet Dallas plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-17-22 | Raptors +3.5 v. Heat | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Miami 7:40 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Toronto +3.5 (5*) Miami will be playing their 3rd home games in 4 days. Miami is a solid 13-5 at home this season and that includes 7-1 in their last 8. The Heat will be facing a Toronto team that will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Yet, they come up as just a small favorite versus an opponent that they are 4.5 games ahead of in the Eastern Conference standings. You would think that the Heat are an obvious pick at home tonight versus Toronto, right? Nevertheless, it’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the perceived better team at home and especially when laying such a small number. By the way, Toronto has won 7 of its last 9 games overall. The Raptors are also an extremely profitable 8-2 ATS this season as a conference road underdog of 7.0 or less, and they won 7 of those 10 away games straight up. |
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01-12-22 | Heat v. Hawks -2.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Miam is playing the finale of a 6-game road swing. The Heat are coming off an extremely impressive 123-100 win at Phoenix in their previous game. It would be hard to imagine they can match that emotional intensity tonight versus an opponent that’s been struggling mightily. I’m call for this to be a flat spot for Miami. Atlanta will be playing with 2 days rest following an unsuccessful 2-4 road trip. They dropped their last 2 on that trip. However, Atlanta is 5-1 SU&ATS in their last 6 immediately following 2 consecutive losses. Bet Atlanta minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Philadelphia 7:10 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Philadelphia -5.0 (5*) The 76ers enter today on a 7-game win streak while also covering its last 5. The average line in their last 5 games was -4.8 and the 76ers outscored those opponents by 15.4 points per contest. Philadelphia has won their last 16 games played against Charlotte. The 76ers allowed 100 and 91 points in their last 2 games. Charlotte is currently averaging a lofty 115.2 points scored per game this season. Any NBA home favorite (Philadelphia) that allowed 100 points or less in each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Charlotte) that’s averaging 114.0 points or more scored per game, resulted in those home favorites going 23-4 ATS throughout the previous 5 season. The average line in those 27 contests was 5.4 and the home favorite outscored their opponents by 12.7 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points. |
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01-12-22 | Celtics v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Boston @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Indiana +2.5 (5*) Boston has lost their last 6 road games. The Celtics allowed 98 and 75 points in their last 2 games. Since the start of last season, Boston is an abysmal 1-11 SU after allowing 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games and were outscored by 8.9 points per contest. Indiana is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games, but they covered 5 of its previous 6. Bet Indiana plus the points. |
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01-04-22 | Kings +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Kings @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Kings +6.5 (10*) The Lakers are coming off home wins in their last 2 outings which halted a 1-6 SU&ATS losing run. However, since the start of last season, the Lakers are an abysmal 1-12 ATS following home wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 4.1 points per contest. Furthermore, since the start of the last season, the Lakers are a money-draining 3-12 ATS during division home games. Sacramento enters today having gone a more than respectable 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. The most recent of which was Sunday’s 2-point win over Miami. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Kings are an extremely profitable 14-3 ATS on the road following a win by 6 points or fewer. Bet the Kings plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-16-21 | Knicks v. Rockets +5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
New York @ Houston 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Houston +5.0 (5*) Yes, Houston is coming off a horrendous performance last night in Cleveland in which they suffered a 124-89 blowout loss to the Cavaliers. I’m also aware of the fact that this will be the Rockets 5th game in 7 days. However, they’re an underdog and on a home floor in which they’ve won 7 of their last 8. Furthermore, they’ll be facing a Knick to that’s lost 7 of their previous 8 and that includes going 0-4 SU&ATS during its last 4 contests. During their current 4-game losing streak, New York has only averaged 95.5 points scored per game and lost by 11.7 points per contest. Bet Houston plus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +2.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Denver @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) Denver will be playing their 5th of a 7-game in 13-day road trip. The Nuggets have arguably been one of the league’s biggest disappointments this season based on their current 11-12 record. As a matter of fact, Denver has gone a dismal 2-8 SU&ATS in their last 10 games. The Nuggets are 0-3 SU&ATS as a road favorite this season. New Orleans is coming off a 118-109 loss at Houston on Sunday. However, the Pelicans are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss in their previous game and won by a decisive 20.0 points per contest. Bet New Orleans plus the points. |
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12-08-21 | Knicks v. Pacers -5 | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
New York @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) New York is coming off last night’s win at San Antonio and that’s the good news. The bad news is they’ve not won 2 consecutive games since 10/30. The Knicks are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a win. The Knicks lost at Indiana 111-98 on 11/3. Indiana snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 116-110 home win over Washington on Monday. Despite going a poor 3-8 in their last 11 games, the oddsmakers still feel that Indiana is still worthy of being a sizable favorite in this matchup. The sportsbooks aren’t that generous. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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12-06-21 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Heat | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Miami 7:40 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Memphis +4.5 (5*) Miami has lost 3 of its last 4 which includes going 0-2 SU&ATS at home. Key injuries have played a significant role during that mini slump. Jimmy Butler (tailbone) remains questionable for tonight and Bam Adebayo (thumb) will be out for an indefinite amount of time. Memphis suffered a setback when they lost start point guard Ja Morant (24.1 PPG/5.6 RPG/6.8 APG) to a knee injury early in a game against Atlanta on 11/25. However, even without Morant, the Grizzlies have managed to go 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games while holding opponents to an average of 90.3 points scored per contest and a combined 35.1% shooting. Bet on Memphis plus the points. |
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12-02-21 | Bulls v. Knicks +2 | 119-115 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Chicago @ New York 7:40 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: New York +2.0 (5*) The Knicks are 0-2 versus Chicago this season. However, both losses occurred on the road and came by only a combined 7 points. Furthermore, the Knicks are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home versus Chicago and won by an average of 11.0 points per game. The Knicks also find themselves as a small home underdog in this matchup. That’s worth noting since they’re 20-3 (87%) ATS since the start of last season at home whenever their point-spread was between +3.0 to -3.0. New York is coming off Tuesday’s 112-110 loss at Brooklyn. The Knicks are 4-0 SU in their last 4 following a loss in their previous game. Bet New York plus the small number. |
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11-29-21 | Hornets +5.5 v. Bulls | 119-133 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Charlotte +5.5 (5*) The Bulls are arguably the most improved team in the NBA based on early returns. However, they’ve been in a mini funk after going 1-3 SU&ATS in their last 4. Conversely, Charlotte is playing outstanding basketball of late which is evidenced by an 8-2 SU&ATS run in their previous 10 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Charlotte averaged 119.2 points scored per game, converted on an impressive 39.6% of their 3-points attempts, and had an excellent 27:11 assist to turnover ratio. Bet Charlotte plus the points. |
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11-24-21 | Heat v. Wolves +1 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Minnesota +1.0 (5*) Miami will be playing with no rest following last night’s 100-92 win at Detroit. The Heat will be facing a red-hot Minnesota team that’s gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 and won by a massive margin of 23.0 points per game. The Timberwolves have allowed less than 100 points in each of its previous 5 and held those opponents to a mere 38.6% shooting including 23.0% from 3-point land. Bet on Minnesota. |
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11-24-21 | Lakers v. Pacers -5 | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Indiana 7:10 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) The Lakers are coming off last night’s 106-100 loss at Madison Square Garden. Los Angeles has now lost 4 of its last 5 games while playing some matador style defense along the way. The Lakers will be facing a Pacers team that’s 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. Indiana is coming off back-to-back blowout wins of 111-4 over New Orleans and 109-77 at Chicago. Indiana has allowed 97 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 games. Bet Indiana minus the points. |
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11-19-21 | Pacers +1.5 v. Hornets | 118-121 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Charlotte 7:10 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: Indiana +1.5 (5*) This line makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. We have an Indiana team that’s just 2-8 on the road this season and is coming off back-to-back road losses in which they scored 89 and 84 points. The Pacers will be facing a Charlotte team which has gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 while holding those opponents to a mere 98.3 points per game. Yet, the oddsmakers put forth a point-spread that indicates they see this as an evenly matched game. This is where I revert to my contrarian approach. The sportsbooks are begging you take Charlotte, so I’m betting on Indiana. |
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11-17-21 | Kings +2 v. Wolves | 97-107 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ Minnesota 8:10 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Sacramento +2.0 (5*) Minnesota has lost 9 of their last 11 and that includes 6 consecutive home defeats. The Timberwolves have scored less than 100 points in 6 of their 13 games this season which makes it awfully tough to win. Sacramento has gone a respectable 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS in road games this season. As a matter of fact, the Kings are coming off Monday’s 129-107 blowout win at Detroit. Bet Sacramento plus the small number. |
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11-17-21 | Wizards +1 v. Hornets | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Washington @ Charlotte 7:10 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Washington +1.0 (5*) Charlotte is coming off home underdog straight up wins in their last 2 games against Golden State and New York. Those victories improved their season record to 8-7 (.533). Washington enters today on a 5-game win streak with an average victory margin of 10.2 points per game. The Wizards allowed 100 points or fewer in all 5 of those win while holding those opponents to 38.7% shooting. Any NBA road team that’s facing an opponent coming off home underdog SU wins in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in those road teams going 23-3 SU (88.5%) since 1996. Bet on Washington. |
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11-12-21 | Bulls +5.5 v. Warriors | 93-119 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Chicago +5.5 (5*) Golden State enters this contest riding high after going 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 with a dominating average victory margin of 19.0 points per game. However, the upstart Bulls are by no means a pushover. They’re 8-3 SU&ATS this season overall and 3-1 SU&ATS in road games. As a matter of fact, the Bulls are 8-1 SU&ATS this season against all teams not named Philadelphia. Bet Chicago plus the points. |
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11-12-21 | Hawks v. Nuggets -4 | 96-105 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Denver 8:40 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Denver -4.0 (5*) Atlanta enters this contest reeling after going 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 while being outscored by 11.4 points per game. The Hawks are a dismal 1-7 SU & 0-8 ATS on the road this season and has been outscored by an average of 10.1 points per game. Dating back to last season’s playoffs, the Hawks are an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS during their previous 7 games as a road underdog and lost by an average of 16.0 points per contest. That includes 0-5 SU&ATS this season (-12.2 PPG). Denver is on a current 3-game win streak and has been magnificent defensively at home. The Nuggets have allowed fewer than 100 points in all 6 of their home games this season. Specifically speaking, Denver allowed 93.0 points and just 80 field goal attempts at home this season. Bet Denver minus the points. |
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11-12-21 | Kings v. Thunder +5 | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ Oklahoma City 8:10 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Oklahoma City +5.0 (5*) After opening the season 1-6, Oklahoma City has rebounded to win 3 straight also covered 4 in a row. Throughout their previous 4 contests, Oklahoma City has allowed 99.3 points per game and held opponent to a mere 38.9% shooting. The Thunder has also gone 5-0 ATS and 3-2 SU in their last 5 as an underdog of 11.0 or less. Bet on Oklahoma City plus the points. |
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11-10-21 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | 88-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Boston 7:40 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Toronto +2.0 (5*) This line jumped right off the page at me. After all, we have a Raptors team which is coming off home losses in their last 2 games played. On the other hand, Boston is coming off a 3-game road trip in which they went 2-1. The Celtics also enter tonight on 3 days of rest. Nonetheless, the Celtics are only a short favorite in this matchup. After further examination, there are early season trends for both teams that can’t be ignored when handicapping this game. Toronto has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS on the road thus far and had a decisive victory margin of 13.3 points per game. One of those road wins came at Boston on 10/22 when the Raptors crushed Boston 115-83 and did so as a sizable 7.0-point underdog. Conversely, Boston is 0-3 SU&ATS at home this season and all 3 defeats came as a favorite. Bet Toronto plus the points. |
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11-10-21 | Wizards -3 v. Cavs | 97-94 | Push | 0 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Washington @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Washington -3.0 (5*) Cleveland has been one the biggest early season surprises. They are off to a 7-4 start and that includes going 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those wins coming by 3 points or fewer. Yet they find themselves as a home underdog. It’s just never that easy when it comes to NBA betting. I am taking the contrarian approach to this matchup and side with a road favorite who enters today with a more than respectable 7-3 record of their own. Bet Washington minus the small number. |
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11-09-21 | Bucks v. 76ers +5.5 | 118-109 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia 7:35 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Philadelphia +5.5 (5*) Milwaukee will once again be without star guard Khris Middleton and starting center Brook Lopez. The Bucks have gone a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 games. The 76ers will be without 4 players tonight due to COVID protocols and that includes star center Joel Embiid. Things didn’t work out well when being shorthanded last night as they suffered a home 103-96 loss to New York. That defeat ended a 6-game win streak. Despite that loss, Philadelphia is still an outstanding 69-12 in their last 81 regular season home games. That includes 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS when there’s a point-spread of 8.0 or less. The 76ers are also 6-0 SU in their last 6 at home when playing with nor rest and coming off a loss, and they outscored those opponents by 16.4 points per contest. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points. |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons +5 | 109-98 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Philadelphia @ Detroit 7:10 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Detroit +5.0 (5*) Philadelphia will be playing with no rest following a 4-game homestand that saw them go 4-0 and conclude with last night’s 103-98 win over Chicago. The 76ers covered in each of the previous 3. Ironically enough, the homestand began with a 110-102 win over Detroit and it was their lone non-cover while coming up short as a 10.5-point favorite. The 76ers enter today with a stellar 6-2 (.750) record. Detroit will look to rebound after an embarrassing last 2 games in which they lost at Brooklyn 117-91 and to Milwaukee 117-89. Those 2 losses dropped Detroit to a dismal 1-6 (.143) start to the season. The team statistical data in this matchup points to another Detroit blowout loss and that certainly has swayed public betting patterns to overwhelmingly side with Philadelphia. Any NBA home team (Detroit) with a point-spread of 9.0 or less that’s coming off a loss by 7 points or more, and their season win percentage is .250 or worse, versus an opponent (Philadelphia) who’s coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 contests, and they possess a win percentage of between .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going an extremely profitable 16-1 ATS (94.1%) since the start of the 2012-2013 NBA season. Those home teams also won 11 of those 17 contests straight up and their average point-spread was +5.5. Bet Detroit plus the points. |
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10-29-21 | Clippers +3 v. Blazers | 92-111 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Portland 10:10 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: LA Clippers +3.0 (5*) The Clippers are off to a disappointing 1-3 start to the season. However, their last win came this past Monday over Portland by a lopsided score 116-86. Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, the Clippers are now 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS versus Portland. That’s a trend which is hard to ignore considering they are an underdog tonight. The Clippers will also look to rebound from an embarrassing 97-79 loss to Cleveland as a 8.5-point home favorite in their previous game. Any NBA away team with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s coming off a home favorite SU loss by 10 points or more and they failed to cover by 18.0 or more, resulted in those away teams going 16-1 SU&ATS over the past 4 seasons. Bet the Clippers plus the points. |
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10-28-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Bulls | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
New York @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: New York +1.5 (10*) The Bulls have started the season 4-0 SU&ATS and looked outstanding in doing so. Yet, they find themselves as just a tiny favorite against a 3-1 Knicks team. When examining the Bulls resume thus far, they have posted wins over Toronto (2-3), New Orleans (1-4), and Detroit (0-3) 2 times. Those opponents currently have a combined 3-10 (.231) season record. I had the Knicks as a Top Play wager in their previous game within this same point-spread parameter, and they easily covered in a 14-point win over Philadelphia. Since 1/18/2021, New York has gone an extremely profitable 20-3 SU and 20-2-1 ATS in regular season games in which their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5, and if their opponent is coming off a win, they improved to 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS. The numbers don’t lie, and liars don’t figure. Bet on New York on any point-spread of +2.5 to -2.5 over Chicago for a Top Play wager. |
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10-27-21 | Pacers v. Raptors +1 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Indiana @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Toronto +1.0 (5*) Since the start of last season, Indiana has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in conference road games when their point-spread was +2.5 to -2.5 and they lost by an average of 6.4 points per contest. This will be the 3rd road game of the season for Indiana and they’re 0-2 SU&ATS in the first 2 with both coming as a favorite. Indiana likes to play a high tempo offensive game and as a result they’ve allowed 119 points or more in 3 of their 4 games. Toronto is coming off home underdog ATS losses in each of their last 2 contests which dropped their season record to 1-3. However, since the start of the 1996-1997 NBA season, home teams that are playing in their first 6 games and are coming off home underdog ATS losses in each of their previous 2 outings, resulted in those home teams going 6-0 ATS and 5-1 SU. Granted it’s not a huge sample size and can surely be deemed as rare occurrences. Nonetheless, it’s impactful and usually prompts public betting to side with the road teams when it indeed arises. My experience leads me to believe that will indeed be the case again in this matchup. Going against the public is rarely a bad thing to do. By the way, the Raptors have gone 11-0 in their last 11 true home games versus Indiana. Bet on Toronto. |
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10-22-21 | Suns +1 v. Lakers | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ LA Lakers 10:10 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Phoenix +1.0 (5*) The Lakers are coming off a 121-114 home loss to Golden State in their season opener in a game they closed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Any Game 2 NBA home team with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s coming off a home favorite SU loss in their season opener, resulted in those home teams going a dismal 0-10 SU&ATS since 2002. They lost those contests by an average of 14.8 points per game. Bet on Phoenix. |
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10-22-21 | Jazz v. Kings +6.5 | 110-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Utah @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Sacramento +6.5 (5*) The Jazz will be feeling their oats after a home blowout 107-86 win over a terrible Oklahoma City team. They covered that game as a 13.5-point favorite which is an extremely high number for a season opener and speaks to how bad the oddsmakers think the Thunder is. Now Utah goes on the road to face a Sacramento team who they went 3-0 SU&ATS last season and won by 31.7 points per contest. You can forgive the Jazz for being a bit overconfident going into this contest. However, Sacramento is coming off a terrific performance in their season opening 124-121 win at Portland as a 6.5-point underdog. Any Game 2 favorite of 2.5 or greater that opened the season as a favorite of -10.0 or greater, versus an opponent off a straight up underdog win, resulted in those favorites going 0-6 ATS and 1-5 SU. Bet Sacramento plus the points. |
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10-22-21 | Raptors +6.5 v. Celtics | 115-83 | Win | 101 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Boston 7:35 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Toronto +6.5 (5*) Boston is coming off a grueling 138-134 double overtime loss at New York in their season opener on Wednesday. Toronto looked terrible in their home opener on Wednesday in falling to Washington 98-83 in a game they shot a miserable 30.9% and committed 19 turnovers. NBA road underdogs coming off a game in which there was a combined 190 or fewer points scored, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a game in which there was a combined 235 or more points scored, resulted in those road underdogs going 28-6 ATS (82.3%) throughout the previous 5 season. The average point-spread in those 34 contests was 5.8 and the underdogs won straight up 16 times. Bet on Toronto plus the points. |
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10-21-21 | Mavs v. Hawks -2.5 | 87-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Atlanta 7:40 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Atlanta carries a ton of momentum into this season after last year’s surprisingly successful campaign. The Hawks ascended as last season progressed and that was especially apparent at home. The Hawks went 19-2 SU in their final 21 regular season home games. That includes winning their last 11 regular season home games in which they covered 10 of those contests. Any NBA Game 1 home team (Atlanta) that won 50 or more games a season ago, and they’re facing an opponent (Dallas) also playing in their season opener and who won 50 games or less the season before, and has won 27 or more of its past 82 away games, resulted in those home teams going a terrific 48-3 SU (94.1%) since 1995. Considering the small number we are being asked to cover, this powerful NBA straight up betting angle takes on added significance. Bet Atlanta minus the small number. |
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07-20-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | 98-105 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Suns @ Bucks 9:05 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Suns +5.0 (5*) The Suns have lost 3 straight games for just the 2nd time all season. The only other time that occurred they bounced back with a 21-point win over Golden State in their following game. I’m not suggesting that type of victory margin, but I firmly believe they will turn in an outstanding performance tonight. Besides, nobody says we need to win straight up to cash considering the generous number we’re receiving. However, I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see Phoenix to force a deciding Game 7 at home. Any NBA Playoff away underdog that’s playing in Game 6 of the season, and they’re coming off a home favorite of -5.0 or less straight up loss, versus an opponent that’s a #3 seed or higher, resulted in those away underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 1997. The average line was 4.2, and those away underdogs also won 7 of those 9 games straight up. Bet on the Suns plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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07-14-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | Top | 103-109 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Suns @ Bucks 9:05 PM ET Play On: Suns +5.0 (10*) I cashed in with Milwaukee in the last game of these NBA Finals after they crushed Phoenix 120-100. However, I am banking on Phoenix being the resilient team they has shown to be for the past 5 plus months. Since 1/28/2021, Phoenix has gone 15-3 following a loss in their previous game. The Suns are also 13-1 SU&ATS in their last 14 this season following a non-division game in which they allowed 120 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix is 10-0 SU&ATS during their previous 10 games this season following a non-division loss in which they allowed 100 points or more and won by an average of 13.6 points per contest. Bet on the Suns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks -4.5 | 100-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Suns @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Bucks -4.5 (5*) Milwaukee is coming off away underdog ATS losses in each of the first 2 games of this series. Those defeats dropped their overall season record to 58-33 (.637). The Bucks will have urgency and desperation on their side in trying to avoid an insurmountable 3-0 series deficit in which no team has ever overcome in NBA postseason history. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of 4.0 or more that playing in Game 3 of a series that’s coming off away underdog ATS losses in each of the first 2 games, and they possess a win percentage of between .605 and .705, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 straight up and 12-1-1 ATS since 1992. Those home teams won those contests by an average of 14.6 points per game. |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5 v. Suns | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET Play On: Bucks +5.0 (10*) Milwaukee lost the opening game of these 2021 NBA Finals on Tuesday by a score of 118-105 and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since losing Game 2 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series against Brooklyn, The Bucks have won 4 straight following a loss and won by an average of 15.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, Milwaukee is 9-1 in their last 10 overall following a loss. Any NBA Finals Game 2 away underdog of 8.0 or less that’s coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 8.0-points or less, and they’re facing either a #1 or #2 seed, resulted in those away underdogs going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1994. The average line in those contests was 5.2. Bet on the Bucks plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET Play On: Suns -5.5 (10*) Since losing Game 3 of their 1st round series versus the Lakers, Phoenix has gone 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS to reach the NBA Finals for a first time since 1993. Milwaukee secured their sport in the NBA Finals with an Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 win at Atlanta as a 3.5-point underdog. Despite that win, the Bucks are just 2-5 SU&ATS as a road underdog this season. Milwaukee is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 series openers The Bucks will enter the NBA Finals with a win percentage of just .651. Any NBA Finals Game 1 home favorite of 8.0 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .728 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2005, and the average margin of victory came by a decisive 13.1 points per game. Phoenix is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their opening games of a playoff series during these 2021 NBA Playoffs. The Suns have also played terrific defense throughout this year’s postseason while holding opponents to just 101.9 points scored per game. Bet on the Suns minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -3 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Milwaukee 8:35 PM ET Play On: Milwaukee -3.0 (10*) The line has been adjusted accordingly due to the absence of Milwaukee star Giannis Antetkounmpo (28.1 PPG/11.0 RPG). However, the Bucks have enough talent to survive in the short term without him. Milwaukee is 32-11 at home this season which includes 6-1 in the playoffs. The Bucks will be out to atone for a Game 4 loss by 22 points as a sizable 9.0-point favorite. Any NBA Playoffs Game 5 home team that’s coming off exactly 1 loss, and has a win percentage of .627 or better, resulted in those home teams going 50-9 (84.7%) since the 1999 postseason. The straight up results take on added significance due to the low number we are being asked to cover. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 88-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Bucks @ Hawks 8:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bucks -6.5 (10*) The Bucks won Game 3 at Atlanta by a score of 113-102 and covered as a 5.0-point favorite. That seemed like a sizable number to cover as a road favorite versus an opponent that entered that contest having gone 22-5 straight up in their previous 27 at home. However, Atlanta has now dropped 3 of their last 4 at home and they find themselves as an even larger home underdog than they were in Game 3. Additionally, the status of star point-guard Trae Young is questionable for Game 4 after he tweaked a previously injured angle during 4th quarter action. It’s no fluke that Milwaukee finished the game by outscoring Atlanta 25-7 and that dominating run coincided with Trae Young reinjuring his ankle. Remember, we are talking about a player (Young) that has averaged 29.8 points and 9.5 assists per game during these 2021 NBA Playoffs. Even if he does play tonight, it’s not a stretch to believe he will be far less than 100%. During the past 2 games of this series both won by Milwaukee, the Bucks shot better than 51% on each occasion, and were +28 on the boards which included amassing a combined 31 offensive rebounds. Any NBA Playoffs away favorite of 6.0 or greater (Bucks) that’s coming off a win by 21 or less has gone 18-1 ATS (94.7%) and 19-0 SU since 2013. Those away favorites won by an average of 16.2 points per game. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Suns @ Clippers 9:05 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: Clippers +1.0 (5*) The Clippers have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home during these 2021 NBA Playoffs and won by a decisive average of 16.2 points per game. Speaking of perfect, the Clippers are 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 at home versus Phoenix with an average victory margin of 21.2 points per game. During the first 2 rounds of the playoffs, Los Angeles is 2-0 SU&ATS in Game 4 of those series and outscored those opponents (Dallas, Utah) by 19.5 points per contest. Bet on the Clippers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Hawks @ Bucks 8:35 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Bucks -7.5 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a 116-113 home loss as an 8.0-point favorite in the series opener on Wednesday. The Bucks are 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of -5.5 or more following a straight up loss as a favorite of -6.5 or more in their previous game, and they won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. That loss dropped the Bucks season win percentage to .642 while Atlanta sits at .600 heading into today. Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 7.5 or greater (Bucks) that’s coming off a home favorite of 5.5 or more straight up loss in Game 1, and they possess a win percentage of .639 or better, versus an opponent (Hawks) with a winning percentage of .648 or worse, resulted in the Game 2 home favorites going 18-2 ATS (90%) since 1994. Those home favorites also held their opponents to less than 100 points in 18 of those 20 games. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-20-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Philadelphia -7.0 (10*) Philadelphia is coming off a 104-99 Game 6 win at Atlanta to stave off elimination a force a deciding Game 7. Now they return home where they’ve gone an outstanding 68-14 straight up in their last 82 games and that includes 49-30-3 ATS (62%). Additionally, if they were facing an opponent coming off a SU&ATS loss the 76ers improved to 30-5 SU and 25-8 ATS (75.8). Any NBA Playoff Game 7 home favorite of 4.5 or greater (76ers) who’s coming off a game in which they allowed 118 points or fewer, and they (76ers) have won 57 or more of its last 82 at home, versus an opponent (Hawks) with a win percentage of .613 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 15-1 ATS since 2002. If those contests took place after Round 1 of the playoffs had been completed, then the home teams improve to a perfect 7-0 ATS and they won by an average of 15.7 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns -3.5 | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Phoenix 3:35 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Phoenix -3.5 (5*) The Clippers will be playing on 1 day of rest following the completion of 4-3 series win over #1 seed Utah. The Clippers exerted a ton of physical and emotional energy after overcoming a massive 22-point deficit to eventually win by 11. Now they must face the #2 seed Suns on the road who have been off since last Saturday’s 125-118 win at Denver which accomplished a 4-game sweep over the Nuggets. Phoenix has gone 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS this season as a favorite versus a team with a win percentage of .600 to .750.Unfortunately, the Suns veteran point-guard Chris Paul has been ruled out of the opening game of this series due to COVID protocols. That is certainly a huge loss, but it’s already factored into the line. Phoenix has enough quality depth to get by in the short term without Paul. Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-18-21 | 76ers -3 v. Hawks | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
76ers @ Hawks 7:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: 76ers -3.0 (5*) Everything points to an Atlanta win and cover tonight. The Hawks are 22-3 SU and 20-5 ATS during their last 25 home games. They have overcome 18 and 26-point deficits to win the last 2 games which have catapulted them to a 3-2 series lead. Yet, they find themselves as a home underdog in Game 6. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting, especially so if it looks to good to be true. NBA Playoffs betting history shows that away favorites in Game 6 of a series have been extremely successful during the past 11 seasons. Any NBA Playoffs Game 6 road favorite of 2.0 or more has gone 18-2-1 ATS since the 2010 postseason. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS if the away favorite is coming off a loss, and with an average victory margin of 21.2 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia for a 5* wager. |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -7 | 119-111 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Jazz 10:00 PM ET Game# 582-583 Play On: Jazz -7.0 (5*) The Clippers will be without the services of start Kawhi Leonard tonight who has been sidelined by a knee injury. As soon as the sportsbooks received that news, they immediately adjusted the line from Utah -2.5 to -7.0 and rightfully so. If not for Leonard’s gigantic performances in Games 6 and 7 of the Dallas series, the Clippers would be in the early stages of their offseason. The Jazz have displayed an extremely strong home court this season by going 35-6 SU and 26-14-1 ATS in Salt Lake. Utah will look to rebound from back-to-back losses in Philadelphia which evened the series at 2-2. Any NBA Playoffs #1 or #2 seed (Utah) Game 5 home favorite of 2.5 to 8.0-points, and they’re coming off away underdog ATS losses in Games 3 and 4, and their Game 4 defeat came by 8 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 12-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory came by 18.4 points per game. Bet on the Jazz minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | 109-106 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Hawks @ 76ers 7:30 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: 76ers -7.0 (5*) The 76ers missed a golden opportunity to take a stranglehold of this series in Game 4 when they blew an 18-point 2nd half lead and lost 103-100 which evened the series is at 2-2. However, Philadelphia is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite of 10.5 or less following a loss, and they won those contests by 16.8 points per game. As a matter of fact, during the previous 2 seasons the 76ers have been arguably the best home team in the NBA. Throughout that time span, the 76ers are 62-10 straight up and 42-26-4 ATS when playing at home. Conversely, Atlanta is 0-6 SU&ATS since the 3rd week of March as an underdog of 3.5 or greater and they lost by a lopsided margin of 20.4 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets +2.5 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Nets 8:30 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Nets +2.5 (10*) With the expected absences of Nets stars James Harden and Kyrie Irvin, this line has been adjusted accordingly. Here’s the thing with Brooklyn, they’ve played a good portion of this season with at least 1 of their superstars unavailable. So this is nothing new for the Nets and role players who are expected to step up. Brooklyn has gone 17-0 straight up in their last 17 conference home games and they won by a decisive average of 14.3 points per contest. The Nets are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home during this postseason and beat those opponents by an average of 15.7 points per game. This will be another chapter in the story of the Bucks choking in the playoffs. Specifically speaking, if Milwaukee doesn’t win tonight with the Nets being shorthanded, then how can we expect them to realistically win this series. This answer is they won’t today’s game or this series. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Jazz @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Utah +5.0 (10*) The Western Conference’s top seed Utah is coming off Saturday’s humbling 132-106 road loss to the #4 seed Clippers. However, the Jazz still lead this series 2-1 and I look for them to rebound with a strong effort tonight. Additionally, Utah has gone 12-1 straight up in their previous 13 after allowing 120 points or more during its last game. Considering the Jazz are an underdog, that’s an in-season team trend I just can’t ignore. The Clippers are coming off a 4-3 series win over Dallas during opening round action and lost 3 home games while doing so. Any NBA Playoffs #1 seed that’s a conference road underdog of 5.5 or less who’s coming off a loss by 11 to 26 points in their previous contest, and they have a season win percentage of .755 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-1 ATS (92.3%) since 2002. Those underdogs were also 9-4 straight up in those contests. Bet on Utah for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
76ers @ Hawks 7:30 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (5*) The Hawks are coming off a 127-111 home loss in Game 2 and now trail the 76ers 2-1 in this series. However, Atlanta is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS during its last 10 at home after playing their previous game at home. Additionally, despite their Game 3 home loss, Atlanta is 13-1 in their last 14 and 21-3 during its previous 24 home games. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 0-5 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 4.0 or less and they went over the total in their previous game. They loss those 5 contests by an average of 9.2 points per game. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
 Bucks @ Nets 3:30 PM ET Play On: Bucks +2.0 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a narrow 86-83 win in Game 3 but failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Bucks season win percentage to .645 and dropped Brooklyn to .666. This sets up a terrific NBA betting angle which fits perfectly into Game 4 of this Eastern Conference semifinal series. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that scored 113 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) that’s coming off a road loss but still covered as an underdog, and they scored 111 points or fewer in that previous contest, resulted in those NBA home teams going 59-5 (92.2%) straight up since the 1993-1994 season began. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it back the home underdog in this contest. By the way, those home teams also went 46-14-4 ATS during those 64 games regardless of what the point-spread was. Bet on the Bucks plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Utah @ LA Clippers 8:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: LA Clippers -4.5 (10*) The Clippers are coming off a 117-111 loss at Utah to put them in a 2-0 series hole. However, NBA Playoffs betting history indicates that home favorites down 2-0 in a series have been extremely profitable over the past 29 years when cast into the precise situation displayed below. Any home favorite of 3.0 to 8.5 in Game 3 of a playoff series that’s down 2-0, and their loss in Game 2 came by 6-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 38-14 ATS (73.1%) since the 1992 postseason began. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-11-21 | Suns +2 v. Nuggets | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (5*) The loss of starting guard Jamal Murray has shown up in this series already. The Nuggets wer able to get by without Murray in their opening round series against Portland. However, that can be attributed to Portland being an average to below average defensive team. On the other hand, the Phoenix Suns are allowing 98.5 points per game in these 2021 NBA Playoffs. That includes holding opponents to 98 points or fewer in 4 of their 8 postseason contests. Conversely, Denver is allowing an alarmingly high 120.2 points per game during postseason action while also allowing opponents (Portland, Phoenix) to shoot 48.4% and make an extremely high 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Atlanta +1.5 (10*) The Atlanta Hawks are 13-0 in their last 13 home games. Yet, the Hawks find themselves as a small home underdog in today’s Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Semifinal series. It must be noted, since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Atlanta is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS when playing at home versus Philadelphia. That includes a 112-94 blowout win in their only home game versus Philadelphia this season. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 63-9 at home. However, they’re an uninspiring 29-40 on the road during that identical time frame. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Nets @ Bucks 7:35 ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bucks -3.5 (10*) After losing and failing to cover each of the first 2 games of this series, the Bucks will be extremely desperate tonight for a win, and I for one believe they will be up to the task. Furthermore, they will be out to atone for a humiliating 125-86 loss in Game 2 at Brooklyn this past Monday. It’s worth noting, since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Milwaukee is 5-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or less following a game in which they scored fewer than 100 points, and their average margin of victory was by a decisive 14.6 points per contest. This will be a spot where Brooklyn will miss the absence of star point guard James Harden not being available due to injury. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of 3.0 to 6.5 that’s playing in a Game 3 and is down 2-0 in the series, resulted in those home favorites going 22-7 (76%) ATS since 2004. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-08-21 | Clippers +3 v. Jazz | Top | 109-112 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Utah 10:05 PM ET Play On: LA Clippers +3.0 (10*) The Clippers showed resilience in overcoming a 3-2 series deficit against Dallas in opening round action. As a matter of fact, the Clippers went 3-0 SU&ATS on the road during that Western Conference Quarterfinal series. The Clippers faced a tougher opponent in Dallas than Utah faced against an extremely young Memphis team. That will pay dividends for the Clippers at least early in this series. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns -4.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
Denver @ Phoenix 10: 05 PM ET Play On: Phoenix -4.5 (5*) These teams both overcame series deficits during opening round action to advance. However, the Suns have gone a dominating 16-2 straight up over their last 18 home games while also going a profitable 12-6 ATS in doing so. Additionally, Phoenix defeated the defending world champion Lakers in 6 games and held them to 100 or fewer points scored on 4 of those occasions including 92 or less 3 times. Denver enters this series with a season win percentage of .653 while Phoenix is currently at .705. The Suns are coming off an opening series clinching 113-100 win over the Lakers. This sets up an NBA Playoffs super betting angle which is displayed below. Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, any Round 2 opening game home favorite of 4.0 to 11.5-points (Phoenix), and they have a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent (Denver) with a win percentage of .662 or worse, resulted in the home favorites going 25-3 ATS (89.9%). Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +3 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 1:05 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (5*) There is no analysis today due to time restrictions. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Play On: Milwaukee +4.0 (10*) There will be no analysis today due to time restrictions. |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Suns @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Suns +2.5 (5*) Even if Anthony Davis is cleared to play tonight, he won’t be anywhere close to 100%. The Suns are coming off 2 wins over the Lakers in which they held them to point totals of 92 and 85. As a matter of fact, Phoenix has held the Lakers to 92 points or fewer in 3 of the first 5 games of this series. Los Angeles shot a miserable 34.5%% at Phoenix in Game 5 during its 115-85 blowout defeat. NBA Playoffs betting history shows that Game 6 road teams coming off lopsided home wins more times than not prevail. This is also a Suns time that’s shooting an impressive 48.8% for the season Any NBA team that has an offensive field goal percentage of 48.0 or better on the season, versus an opponent that shot 35% or worse in the previous game, resulted in those teams going 56-12 (82.5%) straight up since 1996. This straight up angle contains additional value since it backs the underdog in this matchup Bet on the Suns plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | 110-126 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Utah 9:35 PM ET Play On: Memphis +9.5 (5*) It’s tough to close out a series and the young Grizzlies will keep this game much closer than many would think. The public will overwhelmingly back Utah as a large chalk tonight but I am going the opposite way and with utmost confidence in doing so. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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