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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-10-12 | Detroit Tigers -104 v. Oakland A's | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
The Detroit starter Scherzer was brilliant in his last 9 starts of the regular season posting a stellar 1.50 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Oakland starter Griffin has had a great rookie season but has hit the wall down the stretch. In his last 4 starts Griffin posted a large 9.45 ERA and 2.55 WHIP. In his one start versus Detroit this season on 9/8/2012 Griffin allowed 5 earned runs, 8 hits, including 3 home runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work. Oakland's magic ride ends tonight.
Any playoff favorite or underdog of 125 or less in Game 4 of a series in which they are ahead 2-1 is 31-12 (72%) since 1997. Play on the Detroit Tigers. |
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10-10-12 | San Francisco Giants v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
The San Francisco starter Barry Zito doesn't have great career numbers versus the Reds but he's been very good against them in 2 starts this season posting an excellent 1.50 ERA. The Cincinnati starter Mike Leake has been brilliant in his last 3 starts versus the Giants posting a microscopic 0.77 ERA.The Reds have gone over the total in just 6 of their last 32 games overall. The home plate umpire today is Dan Iasogna who has seen just 12 of his 33 games go over the total when he's behind the plate. That number improves to 13 of 19 under for Iasogna this season when the total is 8.5 or less. In the last 3 seasons 60.2% of Iasogna's games behind the plate have gone under the total. Play on this game to go under the total.
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10-10-12 | St. Louis Cardinals +101 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 8-0 | Win | 101 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
The St. Louis starter Chris Carpenter may n have many starts this season due to sitting out the majority of the season recovering from an injury, but his postseason resume speaks for itself. During the Cardinals magical postseason run in 2011 Carpenter was 5-1 in his team starts with a stellar 3.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Cardinals are an outstanding 42-18 on the road the last 2 seasons after winning 3 of their last 4 games.
The Washington starter Edwin Jackson has electric stuff but hasn't been able to shake off the inconsistency issue throughout his career. In his last 6 starts of the regular season Jackson posted a monster 8.74 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Jackson is just 9-20 in his team starts over the last 2 seasons when pitching on 5 or 6 days rest. Play against any National League home favorite or underdog of 125 or less that has a starting pitcher with an ERA of between 3.70-4.20 on the season, and their bullpen allowed 6 or more earned runs in the previous game. By playing against the home favorite in this exact situation you would be 36-12 (75%) since the start of the 1997 season. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals. |
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10-09-12 | Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's -131 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
If there's one thing we know for certain is to never doubt that Oakland can overcome any deficit in a game and can defy the odds as in a situation such as this. After all this is a team that came from 4.0 games down with 5 to play to win the AL West on the final day of the regular season.
The A's go with the young southpaw Brett Anderson who was out the majority of the season with an injury. However, since his return he's been very good in 6 starts posting a 2.57 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. The A's have gone 49-30 at home this season and 62-41 versus right-handed starters. Oakland is also a very profitable 23-7 this season as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Tigers are a dismal 6-24 following an off day over the last 3 seasons. Today's starting hurler for Detroit is Annibal Sanchez who is a dismal 1-8 in his team starts this season following an outing in which he allowed 1 earned run or less. The Tigers are just 7-15 on the road this season versus southpaw starters. Any American League home favorite of -110 or more that has a team on base percentage of .310 or less on the season, and they're facing a starting pitcher who allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his previous 2 starts is 72-25 (74.2%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Oakland As. |
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10-09-12 | San Francisco Giants +135 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 2-1 | Win | 135 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
Things came a little too easy for the Reds in the first two games of this series. The general public as a result has come to the conclusion this series will be over sooner than later and have proceeded to jump on the Reds bandwagon. The Giants didn't get top this point to go out without a fight.
San Francisco is 21-8 on the road the last 2 seasons after suffering 2 or more losses in a row. The Giants are also a very profitable 8-1 on the road this season following a game they scored 1 run or less. The Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong enters the postseason in excellent form posting a microscopic 0.53 ERA in his last 3 regular season starts. The Reds Homer Bailey is just 6-11 in his home team starts in 2012 with a lofty 5.16 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Any road underdog of +150 or less that's revenging 2 straight losses in which they scored 2 runs or less in each game, they have a winning percentage of between .540-.620, and they're facing an opponent with a winning percentage of better than .500 is 40-18 (69%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the San Francisco Giants. |
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10-08-12 | Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 111 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
The Cardinals bats have seemed to really come alive versus top notch starting pitchers this season. St. Louis has gone over the total in 19 of their 27 games this season versus National League starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.00 or better with an average combined total runs of 9.6 runs per game. In his one start versus Washington this season Jaime Garcia hasn't been effective allowing 6 earned runs in in 5 1/3 innings.
Washington has literally stepped up to the plate versus good pitching staffs this season, going over the total in 45 of their 72 games versus teams allowing 4.3 or less runs per game. The Washington starter Jordan Zimmerman has struggled mightily in 5 career starts since 2009 versus the Cardinals posting a large 9.12 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. His last 4 starts versus St. Louis have all gone over the total. In spite of the opening game going under the total 6 of the 8 meetings between these two clubs in 2012 have surpassed the total. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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10-07-12 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles +157 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
In spite of his19-6 career record versus Baltimore C.C. Sabathia hasn't been real good in 3 starts versus the Orioles this season. In those 3 starts he went 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA while allowing 4 home runs in 18 1/3 innings.The Baltimore starter Jason Hammel has been solid in 20 starts this year for the Orioles posting a stellar 3.43 ERA.
Any home team that has a starting pitcher that allows an average of 0.5 or less home runs per start, versus an opponent that averages 1.5 or more home runs per game, and has a starting pitcher working on 5 or 6 days rest is 76-37 (67.3%) since the start of the 1997 season. Any home team that averages 1.25 or more home runs per games, and they're facing a starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 1.00 or less over his last 10 starts is 63-33 (65.6%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Baltimore Orioles. |
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10-06-12 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Francisco Giants -117 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Even though I don't think the numbers support us having the edge as it applies to tonight's starting pitchers other intangible factors far outweigh that issue. The Giants are a very profitable 50-24 in their last 74 home games with Matt Cain as their starter. San Francisco finished the season by winning 9 of their last 11 at home, and won 12 of their last 15 overall as a favorite. Johnny Cueto has the reputation of occasionally losing his composure on the mound, and with the pressure in addition to the enormity of the situation look for that aspect to enter into play at some point. The Giants will also display a high degree of urgency with the first game of the series being at home and with the last 3 on the road.
Any home favorite of -110 or more that's hitting .290 or better as a team over their last 20 games versus a starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.50 or less on the season is 56-19 (76.7%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the San Francisco Giants. |
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10-05-12 | Baltimore Orioles v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
The Baltimore starter Joe Saunders has posted a stellar 2.74 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over his last 6 starts. Just 1 of those 6 starts went over the total. In 14 road starts this season Saunders was very good in posting a 2.66 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Saunders hasn't walked a batter over his last 3 starts totaling 21 2/3 innings.
The Texas starter Yu Darvish is in very good form over his last 6 starts posting a 1.85 ERA, a .080 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Any team playing in October with a total of 8.5 to 10.0 that has an on base percentage of .300 or less over their last 15 games has seen 57 of those 78 games (73.1%) go under the total since 1997. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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09-18-12 | San Diego Padres +135 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
One can't help to be impressed by this young Padre team that has really turned things around after a horrible 1st half of the season. San Diego is 19-6 over their last 25 games including winning 6 of the last 7 and 9 of the last 11. The Padres bats have been alive hitting .304 as a team over the last 7 games. The San Diego starter Stultz has been brilliant in going 4-0 in his last 4 starts with an excellent 1.48 ERA. The Arizona starter Kennedy has struggled in his last 2 starts versus San Diego this season going 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA. The Padres have won all 6 of their games played at Arizona this season. Play on the San Diego Padres.
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09-18-12 | Atlanta Braves v. Miami Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Both of these starting pitchers enter tonight in very bad form. The Atlanta starter Maholm has posted a huge 10.03 ERA and 2.40 WHIP over his last 4 starts. The Miami starter Eovaldi has posted a lofty 7.58 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over his last 5 starts while allowing 5 home runs in just 19.0 innings. The Marlins have gone under the total just 3 times over their last 14 games. Miami has also gone over the total in 29 of their 41 home games the last 2 seasons versus a left-handed starting pitcher. The Braves have gone over the total in 24 of their 36 games over the last 3 seasons following a game they left 3 or less men on base. Play on over the total.
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09-18-12 | Milwaukee Brewers -120 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
The Milwaukee starter Gallardo is a perfect 9-0 in his last 9 team starts. In addition Gallardo is 12-1 in his career team starts versus Pittsburgh with a stellar 2.55 ERA. The Brewers have dominated the Pirates over the last 3 seasons going 33-12 versus their division rival. Milwaukee enters tonight having won 20 of their last 26 overall.
The Pirates have folded like a tent over the last 4 weeks going 7-18 in their last 25 games. To make matters worse the Pirates played last night in a game that was delayed by rain, didn't start until 10:42 PM ET, and ended at 1:28 AM ET. Contrarily the Brewers had a day off yesterday. The Pirates starter Burnett is 0-5 in his last 5 team starts. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers. |
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09-11-12 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Twins enter tonight having scored 58 runs over their last 9 games. The Royals have gone under the total just once in their last 9 games while averaging over 5 runs per game during that time span. Both of these starting pitchers tonight Will Smith and Scott Diamond enter in bad form off their last 3 starts. In 2 starts versus the Twins this season Smith has posted a large 8.43 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. Play on this game to go over the total.
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09-11-12 | New York Yankees -120 v. Boston Red Sox | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
The Yankees are starting to show small signs of coming out of their well publicized meltdown. New York has scored 37 runs over the last 5 games. The Yankees have also won 6 of their last 7 at Fenway. The Yankees starter Hideki Kuroda has been a rock after a shaky first month of the season. The Yankees are a very profitable 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite of -150 or less.
The Red Sox have fallen on the worst of times having lost 10 of their last 11 and 23 of their last 31. They have the look of a club that has just mailed it in. Boston is a miserable 3-11 this season following an off day and a money draining 13-31 in 2012 as an underdog. The Red Sox bats have gone totally silent hitting just .211 as a team over their last 7 games, and they've scored 3 runs or less in 9 of their last 11 games. John Lester is just 4-11 in his team starts at home this season and is in bad form in his last 3 starts overall. In his last 4 starts versus the Yankees Lester has a very lofty 7.65 ERA and 1.65 WHIP. He will be facing a Yankees team that's a sizzling 66-37 versus left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the New York Yankees. |
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08-31-12 | San Diego: C Richard v. Colorado: A White -109 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The San Diego starting pitcher Clayton Richard is 0-4 in his career starts at Colorado with a whopping 10.71 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Richard is 8-22 in his team starts at night the last 2 seasons. The Padres will be facing a hot Colorado bullpen and that's not good news considering they are a dismal 44-73 the last 2 seasons versus teams with a bullpen WHIP of less than 1.25 on the year.
The Colorado starter Alex White is in decent form over his last 6 starts posting a respectable 3.55 ERA while the Rockies have taken 5 of those last 6 games. In spite of the Padres winning 8 of their last 9 the Rockies have quietly gone about their business winning 8 of the last 11. Any home favorite of -150 or less whose hitters draw 3 or less walks per game and have 12 or more hits in each of their last 3 games is 34-7 (82.9%) since the start of the 1997 season. Play on the Colorado Rockies. |
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08-29-12 | Seattle Mariners +101 v. Minnesota Twins | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
Seattle @ Minnesota 8:10 ET
Play On: Seattle +101 To say that these are two teams headed in the opposite direction is an understatement. Seattle is 10-3 in its last 13 while the Twins have lost 16 of their last 19 games. The Minnesota starter Deduno heads into tonight in bad form off his last 4 starts posting a very lofty 6.55 ERA and 1.95 WHIP. The Mariners are 15-1 since game 82 this season versus opponents with a winning percentage of between .380 and .460. The Seattle starter has had just 1 bad start over his last 9 outings while the Mariners won 7 of those 9 games. In 2 starts versus the Twins this season Vargas has posted a very good 2.08 ERA. The Twins are 4-19 this season versus starting pitchers who average 6.5 or more innings per start. Play on the Seattle Mariners. |
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08-28-12 | Cincinnati Reds -109 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Arizona 8:40 ET
Play On: Cincinnati -109 The Cincinnati starter Johnny Cueto is a perfect 5-0 in his career team starts versus Arizona with an excellent 1.45 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Cueto enters tonight in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a stellar 1.71 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. The Reds are a red-hot 34-14 in their last 48 games overall, and are an outstanding 24-4 in their last 28 games 2 of a series. The Reds have won 10 of 12 at Arizona over the last 3 seasons. The Arizona starter Wade Miley has been terrific all season. However Miley will be facing a Reds team that's 25-15 versus southpaw starters including 11-3 in their last 14 in that role. Arizona's bats have been relatively silent over the last 8 games. Play on the Cincinnati Reds. |
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08-27-12 | St Louis: K Lohse -116 v. Pittsburgh: A Burnett | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
It should tell you something when the Pirates are deemed to be the home underdog tonight in spite of the fact that they're 11-1 at home this season with A.J. Burnett as their starter. The problem for Pittsburgh besides losing 5 of their last 6 is Burnett enters tonight in bad form off his last 3 starts with a large 6.75 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. In Burnett's last start this season versus the Cardinals on May 2nd he allowed 12 earned runs and 12 hits in just 2 2/3 innings.
The Cardinals have the look of a team that's going to be very tough down the stretch. St. Louis has won 5 of their last 6 games while averaging 7.0 runs per game during that span. The St. Louis starter Kyle Lohse is in great form off his last 4 starts posting an excellent 1.01 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. Lohse is 11-1 in his team starts this season versus opponents that are hitting .250 or less on the season. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals. |
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08-26-12 | St. Louis Cardinals -138 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Adam Wainwright is finally rounding into the form in which he displayed in 2010. After missing all of last season due to injury Wainwright has taken some time to regain his groove in 2012. Recent performances have told me that he's finally overcome his injury as he's posted a brilliant 1.16 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Wainwright is an extremely profitable 23-6 in his career road team starts when the total is either 8.0 or 8.5. The Cincinnati starter Homer Bailey is in shaky form off his last 5 starts posting a large 6.92 ERA and 1.92 WHIP. It was around this same time last year that the Cardinals began to make their move. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals.
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08-25-12 | San Diego Padres +165 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 9-3 | Win | 165 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
The Padres enter tonight having won their last 5 games in a row and are hitting a robust .311 as a team over their last 7. San Diego has won all 4 of their games played at Arizona so far this season. The San Diego starter Clayton Richard is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts versus Arizona with a stellar 2.00 ERA. Richard is also in very good form off his last 4 starts posting a 1.78 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. The Arizona starter Ian Kennedy is in shaky form off his last 3 starts posting a lofty 5.06 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. Play on the San Diego Padres.
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08-24-12 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds -123 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -123 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
St. Louis @ Cincinnati 7:10 ET
Play On: Cincinnati -135 The Cincinnati starter Mat Latos has been in great form over his last 4 starts posting a microscopic 0.92 ERA. Latos has been money at home this season going 11-3 in his team starts with a very good 3.14 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The Reds are an outstanding 41-22 at home this season including 23-8 in their last 31. The St. Louis starter Lance Lynn enters tonight in shaky form posting a lofty 6.46 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Any home favorite of between -125 and -175 that has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less on the season, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher who allows an average of 5.5 hits or less per game is 173-69 (71.5%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Cincinnati Reds. |
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08-23-12 | Atlanta Braves v. San Francisco Giants +102 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
Atlanta @ San Francisco 10:10 ET
Play On: San Francisco +100 The Braves come off a huge series versus division leader and rival Washington and then are asked to travel cross country with no rest to face a very good Giants team. The Giants come off a road series but a face a much easier travel itinerary after facing in state rival Los Angeles. If the Braves have one flaw that's quite apparent it's when they face southpaw pitching. The mostly left-hand hitting lineup is just 21-25 versus southpaw starters this season. The Atlanta starter Tommy Hanson enters tonight in very shaky form posting a large 6.57 ERA and 1.96 WHIP over his last 5 starts. The Giants starter Barry Zito has been far from sharp of late but he's had great success in his career versus Atlanta. Zito is 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus Atlanta with an excellent 0.96 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Play on the San Francisco Giants. |
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08-22-12 | Los Angeles Angels v. Boston Red Sox +120 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
In spite of their loss yesterday the Red Sox are 15-4 versus the Angels over the last 3 seasons. The Red Sox starter Clay Buchholz has been terrific versus the Angels in his last 3 starts going 3-0 with an excellent 1.30 ERA. Buchholz has been red-hot of late going 5-1 in his last 6 team starts with a stellar 1.53 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Buchholz is 13-3 in his team starts at night this season while posting a very good 3.29 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.
The Angels starter Jered Weaver is 0-3 in his last 3 versus the Red Sox posting a lofty 5.50 ERA in the process. Weaver comes off his worst start of the season by far allowing 9 earned runs in just 3.0 innings at the hands of Tampa Bay. Any home favorite or underdog of 125 or less that has a starting pitcher who averages 6.5 or more inning per start, and that starting pitcher has a WHIP of 1.00 or less in his last 5 starts is 72-37 (66.1%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Boston Red Sox. |
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08-21-12 | San Francisco: T Lincecum v. Los Angeles: J Blanton OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
The Giants starter Tim Lincecum has seen just 1 of his 11 road starts this season go under the total while posting a large 7.50 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in the process. As has been for much of the season Lincecum enters tonight in shaky form off his last 3 starts posting a 4.24 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Lincecum has seen 6 of his 8 career starts at Dodgers Stadium go over the total. In spite of yesterday's low scoring affair that featured two very good starting pitchers this season the Giants have gone over the total in 8 of their last 9 overall. The Giants have gone over the total in 66.7% of their road games this season.
The Dodgers starter Joe Blanton has seen his last 3 starts go over the total while displaying terrible form posting a very lofty 8.22 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP. The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their last 9 games. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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08-21-12 | Atlanta: P Maholm +135 v. Washington: Strasburg | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
As dominant as Steven Strasburg can be he's struggled in 2 starts versus the Braves this season going 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. The Atlanta starter Paul Maholm has been absolutely lights out over his last 9 starts posting an excellent 1.21 ERA in those outings. The Braves are a very profitable 49-27 versus right-handed starters this season. The Braves are a very good 12-4 the last 3 seasons versus starting pitchers with a win percentage of .700 or better.
Any road underdog of +150 or less that has a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.00 or less over his last 5 starts, they're hitting .255 or less on the season, and they're facing an opponent with a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less on the season is 33-21 (61.1%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Atlanta Braves. |
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08-20-12 | Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals -133 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
As good as Tim Hudson has been for the Braves over the last month he's struggled in 2 starts versus the Nationals this season. In those 2 starts versus the division leader Hudson has posted a large 8.52 ERA. The Braves are hitting a paltry .223 as a team over their last 7 games. Atlanta is a dismal 2-13 this season in games played on Mondays.
The Washington starter Ryan Zimmerman is 8-2 in his last 10 team starts with an excellent 1.63 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on any National League home team with a starting pitcher that has an ERA of 2.70 or less on the season, versus an underdog or favorite of 125 or less that's hitting .255 or less as a team on the season, and they have a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less. The home team is 68-21 (76.4%) since the start of the 1997 season in this exact situation. Play on the Washington Nationals. |
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08-20-12 | Baltimore: M Gonzalez +160 v. Texas: R Dempster | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
The Baltimore starter Miguel Gonzalez is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with an excellent 1.29 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. The Orioles have won 11 of their last 15 overall, and have been a very good road team this season going 34-26.
The Texas starter Ryan Dempster is in bad form off his last 5 starts posting a very lofty 7.06 ERA while allowing a whopping 8 home runs in just 29 1/3 innings. Dempster is a miserable 2-9 in his team starts as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Baltimore Orioles. |
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08-19-12 | Tampa Bay Rays +130 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 8-3 | Win | 130 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
The Rays are a red-hot 10-2 in their last 12 games overall. The Rays starter Matt Moore has been red-hot over his last 4 starts posting a a microscopic 0.73 ERA. Moore is 2-0 versus the Angels this season with a terrific 1.50 ERA. The Rays have won 8 of the 9 meetings between these clubs this season and 12 of the 15 over the last 3 seasons played at Los Angeles.
The Angels have now dropped 6 of their last 8 games and have been headed in the wrong direction for a couple of weeks now. The Angels starter Zach Greinke has hit the wall since coming over in a trade from Milwaukee at the deadline. In his last 3 starts Greinke is in bad form with a 6.63 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-19-12 | Miami Marlins -122 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
The Miami starter Josh Johnson is a perfect 4-0 in his career starts versus Colorado with an excellent 1.26 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. In his last 5 starts overall Johnson has been in terrific form posting a stellar 1.63 ERA and 0.83 WHIP.
The Colorado starter Pomeranz is 1-5 in his last 6 team starts with a very lofty 7.82 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Pomeranz is a dismal 0-7 in his team starts this season as a favorite or underdog of 125 or less. The Rockies are a miserable 11-28 over the last 2 seasons as a home underdog. Colorado is an awful 10-27 in day games in 2012. Play on the Miami Marlins. |
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08-18-12 | Boston: J Lester v. New York (A): D Phelps -121 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -121 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
Boston @ NY Yankees 4:05 ET
Play On: NY Yankees -121 The young Yankees starter David Phelps enters today in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a stellar 1.93 ERA. The Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 and 8 of the last 10. The Yankees are also a very profitable 60-32 in the last 2 seasons versus southpaw starters. The Boston starter John Lester has been rocked in his last 3 starts versus New York posting a monster 11.08 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Lester is in terrible form off his last 7 starts overall with a lofty 7.88 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. The Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been the biggest bust in MLB bar none this season. Play on the New York Yankees. |
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08-17-12 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Milwaukee Brewers -151 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
The Brewers starter Yavoni Gallardo has owned the Phillies in 3 career starts posting an excellent 1.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Gallardo also enters tonight in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a 2.08 ERA. Gallardo is an outstanding 15-1 in his team starts over the last 2 seasons versus National League opponents that have an on base percentage of .315 or less on the season. The Brewers are an extremely profitable 48-14 in their last 62 home games versus teams with a losing record.
The Philadelphia starter Vance Worley enters tonight in bad form off his last 5 starts posting a 5.60 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Worley has been shaky in 2 career starts versus the Brewers with a 1.67 WHIP. Philadelphia is a dismal 13-28 this season versus a starting pitcher who averages 5 or more strikeouts per game. The Phillies are hitting a paltry .210 as a team over their last 7 games. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers. |
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08-16-12 | Tampa Bay: D Price -117 v. LA Anaheim: D Haren | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay ace David Price has been on fire in his last 9 starts posting an excellent 1.68 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Price is an outstanding 17-4 in his last 21 team starts as a road favorite of -150 or less. The Rays have defeated the Angels in 8 of their last 9 meetings. In spite of being a victim to a perfect game yesterday by Felix Hernandez Tampa has still won 8 of their last 10, 11 of their last 15, and 13 of their last 17.
The Angels starter Dan Haren is on the opposite side of the spectrum over his last 9 starts posting a lofty 6.52 ERA, a 1.59 WHIP, and allowed 13 home runs in just 48 1/3 innings. Haren is a dismal 3-10 in his last 13 team starts when pitching on 4 days rest. Even with last night's win the Halos are just 5-9 in their last 14. Any favorite or underdog of 125 or less that's hitting .260 or less as a team on the season with a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more strikeouts per start, and is facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of between 4.20-4.70 is 71-40 (64%) since the start of the 1997 season. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays. |
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08-16-12 | Boston: C Buchholz -127 v. Baltimore: C Tillman | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
The Boston starter Clay Buchholz has been outstanding in his last 5 starts posting an excellent 1.15 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. Buchholz is 12-3 in his team starts at night this season and 27-11 in the last 2 seasons versus a team with a winning record. Buchholz is also a very profitable 33-9 in his last 42 team starts following a quality start in his last appearance.
The Baltimore starter Chris Tillman has posted a lofty 5.50 ERA and allowed 4 home runs in just 18.0 innings over his last 3 starts. Tillman is a dismal 5-15 in his last 20 team starts when pitching on 4 days rest. Any August favorite of -160 or less versus an opponent that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games is 130-60 (68.7%) since the start of the 1997 season. Play on the Boston Red Sox. |
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08-15-12 | Washington: Strasburg -120 v. San Francisco: T Lincecum | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
The Giants starter Tim Lincecum has pitched much better of late in an otherwise terrible year for the former ace of the staff. Lincecum can't be looking forward to facing the Nationals since he posted a large 9.00 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in his last 4 starts versus the NL East leader. Lincecum is 2-11 in his team starts this season as a favorite or underdog of 125 or less.
In spite of their loss yesterday Washington is still a red-hot 9-2 in their last 11 and 11-2 in their last 13. This is a Washington club that's best in MLB on the road with a 40-23 record. The Washington starter Steven Strasburg is an outstanding 10-2 this season in his day game starts with a stellar 2.12 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on the Washington Nationals. |
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08-14-12 | Cleveland: U Jimenez v. LA Anaheim: Z Greinke OVER 8 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
The Cleveland starter Ubaldo Jimenez enters tonight in terrible form off his last 3 starts with a large 7.13 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Jimenez has been extremely shaky in 13 road starts this season with a 6.94 ERA and 1.89 WHIP.The Indians have gone over the total in 27 of 37 games this season when the total is either 8.0 or 8.5.
The Angels starter Zach Greinke hasn't been sharp in his 3 starts since coming over in a trade from Milwaukee. In those 3 outings Greinke has posted a lofty 5.68 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. Greinke has seen 31 of his 44 starts go over the total in the last 2 seasons when the total is between 7.0-8.5. Greinke has seen 10 of his 11 starts this season go over the total versus a team with a losing record. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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08-14-12 | Texas: M Harrison v. New York (A): H Kuroda -140 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
The Yankees starter Hideki Kuroda is in very good form off his last 5 starts posting a terrific 1.82 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, and better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Yankees are a very profitable 18-6 this season versus opponents with a winning percentage of .540-.620. New York has had a lot of success the past 2 seasons versus southpaw starters going 59-31 in those games.
The Texas starter Matt Harrison was putting up CY Yong type numbers up until his last 4 starts. In those 4 outings Harrison has posted a lofty 5.55 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Texas is 8-15 this season versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or less on the year. All American League home favorites of -110 or more that's averaging between 4.7-5.2 runs per game with a starting pitcher posting an ERA of 3.50 or less on the season, and they're facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or less is 94-33 (74%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the New York Yankees. |
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08-13-12 | Milwaukee Brewers -150 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -150 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
The Milwaukee starter Fiers has been extremely sharp in 4 road starts this season posting a microscopic 0.99 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Fiers has been even better than that at night with an excellent 0.52 ERA in 5 starts. Fiers is 3-0 in his last 3 overall with a 1.33 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Brewers are 73-35 the last 2 seasons as a favorite of between -125 and -175.
The Colorado starter Jeff Francis enters tonight in horrible form off his last 3 starts posting a monster 10.80 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. The Rockies are a dismal 6-20 this season as a home underdog and 13-32 overall as an underdog of +150 or less. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers. |
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08-12-12 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
In spite of last night's 9-7 slugfest the White Sox have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games. The White Sox starter Chris Sale has been terrific in 9 home starts with an excellent 11.71 ERA, a 0.85 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The White Sox have gone under the total in 24 of their 38 day games this season.
The Oakland starter Bartolo Colon hasn't allowed an earned run over his last 3 starts. In 10 starts during the day this season Colon has seen just 2 of them go over the total while he posted a stellar 2.60 ERA in the process. Colon has seen 10 of his 11 starts go under the total the last 2 seasons when the total is between 7.0-8.5. Colon has also seen 10 of his 12 starts this season go under the total versus teams that average striking out 7 or more times per game. Any home team that's hitting .260 or less on the season with a starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 1.10 or less over his last 10 starts, and they're facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.60 or less in addition to a WHIP of 1.30 or less on the season has seen 44 of those 56 games (78.6%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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08-11-12 | Atlanta Braves -102 v. New York Mets | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
The Atlanta starter Medlen has just 2 starts under his belt this season but he's posted an impressive 1.74 ERA in those outings. Medlen is an extremely profitable 16-1 in his team starts over the last 2 seasons. Atlanta is a red-hot 13-3 the last 16 and 23-8 in their last 31 games. The Braves have been money in road night games this season going 25-12. Atlanta has defeated the Mets in their last 6 meetings this season including last night's 4-0 shutout win.
The Mets starter Johan Santana has been in horrible form in his last 3 starts posting a monster 13.50 ERA, 2.61 WHIP, and allowed 6 home runs in just 12 2/3 innings. In his last 2 starts versus the Braves this season Santana has posted an atrocious 14.22 ERA and 2.37 WHIP. The Mets have dropped 20 of their last 28 games. These are 2 teams that are headed in drastically different directions and the money line price makes this a super value. Play on the Atlanta Braves. |
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08-10-12 | San Diego: E Volquez v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald OVER 8 | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
The San Diego starter Edinson Volquez is in bad form off his last 3 starts posting a large 7.24 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. The Padres have gone over the total in 11 of their last 12 road games when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. San Diego has also gone over the total in 21 of their 30 road games this season when the total is between 7.0-8.5, and 16 of their 22 road games versus an opponent with a winning record.
The Pirates starter James McDonald has hit the wall after a terrific first half of the season. In his last 5 starts McDonald has posted a very lofty 7.76 ERA and 2.06 WHIP. The last 5 meetings by these two teams played in Pittsburgh all have gone over the total. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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08-09-12 | New York Yankees v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
We catch a major break here with the total due to both teams hitting prowess over the last 7 days. However, looking inside the numbers indicates to me we are getting a terrific value by playing the low side in this game. The Tigers have seen 31 of their 45 day games go under the total. The Yankees are very similar in the fact that 23 of their 35 days games have gone under the total.
The Yankees starter Hideki Kuroda has seen all 6 of his starts during the day go under the total with much due in part to his miniscule 0.61 ERA in those outings. Kuroda has seen his last 4 starts overall go under the total while posting an excellent 1.27 ERA, a 0.85 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Detroit starter Doug Fister has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts posting a 1.62 ERA, a 0.77 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Fister has seen 10 of 11 starts go under the total the last 2 seasons after allowing 1 earned run or less in each of his last 2 starts. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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08-07-12 | Arizona: P Corbin v. Pittsburgh: J Karstens -116 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
This is a very cheap price to pay for a favorite with all things considered. The Pirates are an outstanding 34-18 (.680) at home this season including a very profitable 11-2 as a home favorite of -125 or less. The Pirates have beaten the Diamondbacks in 6 of their last 7 played at home. The Pittsburgh starter Jeff Karstens is 3-0 at home this season and has been untouchable for the opposition posting a microscopic 0.43 ERA in those starts. The Pirates are a stellar 24-6 in their last 30 as a favorite.
The Arizona starter Corbin has been shaky on the road going 2-2 in his team starts with a lofty 5.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Arizona is 7-19 in their last 36 games as a road underdog of +150 or less. Any favorite versus an opponent that has stranded 5 or less men on base in each of the last 3 games, and their bullpen has worked 2.0 innings or less in each of the last 3 games is 65-18 (78.3%) since 1997. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates. |
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08-06-12 | Seattle: J Vargas v. Baltimore: C Tillman UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
The Seattle starter Justin Vargas has been exceptional over his last 8 starts posting an excellent 1.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Vargas has seen his last 5 starts versus the Orioles go under the total including the last 3 where he posted a microscopic 0.43 ERA. The Mariners have gone over the total in just 3 of their last 17 and 10 of the last 39 games overall. Seattle has also gone over the total just 3 times in their last 27 games when the total is between 7.0-8.5.
The Orioles starter Tillman has been very good in 5 starts in spite of a shaky outing at Yankees Stadium in his last appearance. In those 5 starts Tillman has posted a stellar 2.70 ERA. Tillman has seen both of his team starts versus the Mariners go under the total with much being attributed to his brilliant 0.63 ERA in those outings. Baltimore has gone over the total just 7 times in their last 25 games. The Birds have struggled versus southpaw pitching for the better part of the season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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08-04-12 | San Francisco Giants -147 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
The Giants starter Bumgarner is 5-1 in his last 6 team starts versus the Rockies with a paltry 0.89 ERA. Bumgarner enters today in very good form off his last 4 starts posting a 2.33 ERA, a 0.86 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Bumgarner is 12-2 in his team starts this season as a favorite of -110 or more. The Giants are 21-11 versus southpaw pitching.
The Rockies are a dismal 9-26 as a home underdog this season. The Rockies are also a miserable 9-20 versus southpaw pitching. The Colorado starter Jeff Francis has been shaky over his last 3 starts posting a lofty 7.20 ERA. Play on the San Francisco Giants. |
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08-03-12 | SF GIANTS -150 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show |
The Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong is 5-0 in his career team starts versus the Rockies with an outstanding 1.07 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. Vogelsong has been sharp in his last 3 starts posting a stellar 1.42 ERA. The Giants right-hander has been the model of consistency in 19 starts this season with a sparkling 2.22 ERA.
The Colorado starter Jonathan Sanchez is 0-7 in his last 7 team starts with a horrific 10.63 ERA, 2.33 WHIP, and walked 4 more men than he struck out. This is nothing new considering Sanchez has sported a large 8.32 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in a combined 14 starts for the Rockies and Royals. Play on the San Francisco Giants. |
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08-02-12 | LA Anaheim: C Wilson v. Texas: R Dempster -117 | Top | 9-15 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Ryan Dempster makes his debut for the Rangers tonight. Dempster was terrific in 16 games for a lousy Cubs team posting an outstanding 2.25 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Even with those kind of numbers the Cubs were just 7-9 in his starts. He won't have the same difficulty converting strong outings into wins with his new ball club. The Rangers possess one of the most prolific offenses in all of baseball and their bullpen is superb. Dempster is a very profitable 26-9 in his career team starts as a home favorite of 125 or less. Texas dropped the first game of the series but was able to steal the momentum of the series back yesterday overcoming a 6-0 deficit to win 11-10.
The Angels starter C.J. Wilson enters tonight in shaky form off his last 3 starts posting a 5.58 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. In his 2 starts at Texas this season Wilson had a lofty 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. The Angels are a dismal 15-35 the last 3 seasons versus an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or less. Any home favorite in an American League game that has a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.10 or less on the season, versus an opponent with a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.50 or less is 57-16 (78.1%) since the start of the 2008 season. Play on the Texas Rangers. |
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