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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-10-18 | Toledo v. Buffalo -6.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
538 Toledo and Buffalo The Bulls are on a terrific run right now establishing themselves as the clear best team in this conference. Can’t see any way to go against this club right now, especially knowing Toledo’s best player will likely miss this contest. Even if Fletcher goes for the Rockets, he will be severely hampered. Something the run and gun Bulls can exploit. PLAY BUFFALO |
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03-09-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 229.5 | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
813 LA Lakers at Denver This series has been a very high scoring one although the last meeting did go under. Let’s take a look at the point totals as of late for the Lakers on the road. How bout 228 vs the Spurs, 244 vs the Heat, 227 against the Hawks, 221 vs the Kings, 230 vs the T-Wolves, 256 against the Pelicans, and 253 against the Mavericks. Denver runs a faster pace at home as opposed to the road. We look for another high scoring affair here as we look to surpass the posted total. PLAY OVER |
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03-09-18 | Clemson v. Virginia UNDER 117 | 58-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
866 Clemson at Virginia Coming off a 90-82 win over Boston College the Tigers would likely have to play eight quarters against this Virginia defense to reach that number. In the prior meeting the Cavaliers defense completely shut down this team in winning 61-36. In the last month Clemson has been held to 57 against Duke, 58 against Virginia Tech and 52 against Syracuse. The Cavaliers are allowing an opponent effective field goal percent of just 43.5% on the season. Even in victory this team doesn’t put up a lot of points. Only reaching 69 points or better twice in 17 games. We look for another offensive grinder here with this game barely reaching triple digits. PLAY UNDER |
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03-08-18 | Celtics -2 v. Wolves | Top | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
655 Boston at Minnesota Now that the Celtics offense is coming around we have no problem backing this terrific defense in a likely win and cover situation. The Celts have been a money making machine with this young head coach in road games. Not only this year but in prior seasons. You always get a full effort from Boston on the road. While Minnesota is an up and coming team, we are not convinced this team can step up in class and beat a quality opponent. The number is well within our strike zone on the Celtics tonight. PLAY BOSTON |
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03-08-18 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings +120 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
64 Las Vegas at Detroit Can’t trust the sliding Knights here especially with three of its top five players out tonight. Smith, Neal and Schmidt will sit out this game, and with the new trade additions this is a club lacking exposure together. While in the long run this team will be better, right now it’s having trouble finding itself. Detroit is having a real down season but there is no way this team should be a decent sided dog tonight. PLAY DETROIT |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2 v. Virginia Tech | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
579 Notre Dame and Virginia Tech The Irish seemed to have sleepwalked through its game against the lowly Pitt Panthers yesterday. While it could be forgiven, this team just doesn’t have the justification to take anyone for granted. Because of lackluster play and injuries to key players, this team needs at least one more win to make the big dance. The Irish are the better team here and will look to avenge an earlier home loss to the Hokies. VT is already set for the tournament while Notre Dame needs this one. PLAY NOTRE DAME |
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03-07-18 | Air Force +9.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
591 Air Force at UNLV The Falcons have played much better ball as of late and this is always a tough team to beat this time of season. UNLV has been a major disappointment and despite playing at home we can’t see this team winning by a margin. Throw in the fact that this is an early start on a weekday, coupled with apathy from the home fans, and there will be little to no home court advantage. AIR FORCE |
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03-06-18 | South Dakota -1 v. South Dakota State | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
537 South Dakota and South Dakota State The Coyotes of South Dakota split the season series, winning 87-68 at home and losing 76-72 away. That road loss is the only game in the last nine games in which the Coyotes failed to win. That defeat came two weeks ago so the loss is fresh in the players minds. Our stats say this team is three points better on the road, and has the much better defensive efficiency numbers. With the line stating the winner covers we will back the Coyotes here. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA |
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03-05-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -11 | Top | 98-100 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
710 Memphis at San Antonio The Spurs are 4-13 SU against top 10 teams, They are 11-20 against top 16 opponents. But San Antonio has been at its best against the lesser teams in the league. Now 26-7 against the bottom half of the league. Coming into this contest having won just once over the past seven games, you know Pop will have his team prepared. Memphis is in full tank mode right now having lost 13 straight. Pau Gasol is expected to miss tonights contest. PLAY SAN ANTONIO |
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03-04-18 | Michigan +3.5 v. Purdue | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
837 Michigan and Purdue Like last year the Wolverines are peaking at the right time of year. Winners of eight straight games and off an impressive win over instate rival Michigan State. Michigan has double revenge against the Boilermakers after losses by one and four points. Purdue has won five straight but it did so against the weaker teams in the conference. Penn State twice, Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers. Before that Purdue had lost three straight. This team peaked early in the season while Michigan is peaking now. Wrong team favored. PLAY MICHIGAN |
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03-02-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +13 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
806 Golden State at Atlanta The Warriors are likely to go through the motions tonight against Atlanta and Tuesday at home against Brooklyn. After the All-Star break where the Warriors key players didn’t get any rest, the team went to Los Angeles, Oklahoma City, New York and Washington. Now it takes on two of the weakest teams in the league before facing San Antonio, Portland and Minnesota. Atlanta hasn’t been good this year to say the least, but Golden State has been a poor road favorite against this type of opponent. The Hawks are 4-12 SU against the top ten teams, so it has proven itself in the past when stepping up in class. PLAY ATLANTA |
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02-28-18 | Pelicans +5 v. Spurs | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
713 New Orleans at San Antonio The Pelicans enter this game having won six straight as Anthony Davis has played out of his mind as of late. What a difference a healthy Brow has made to this team. New Orleans beat San Antonio earlier in the season 107-90 at home. This is a confident bunch playing against a struggling Spurs squad. Despite the upset win in Cleveland the last time out, the Spurs have dropped 6 of 8 as of late. The only other victory came against the tanking Suns. PLAY NEW ORLEANS |
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02-28-18 | Fairleigh Dickinson +9 v. St Francis PA | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
773 Fairleigh Dickinson at St Francis PA The Knights have played much better as of late winning 7 of 11. Two of those losses came to this St Francis squad. The Knights own a better effective field goal defense in this matchup along with recent double revenge as both losses came in the last four weeks. The Red Flash enter this game fat and happy winning five straight games entering this tournament. This is a major flat spot for St Francis having to win by double digits to cash. PLAY FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON |
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02-27-18 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State -1.5 | 76-54 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
524 Tennessee at Mississippi State Must win game for the host who has been very good this season but needs a quality win to likely go dancing. The negative advantage of senior night isn’t a concern as this team simply has no seniors. This is a team that is 18-1 SU at home this season, and is favored over a ranked Tennessee team. Tennessee has lost 2 of 3 away with the only win coming at Mississippi, a team in total disarray right now. PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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02-26-18 | Bulls v. Nets OVER 217.5 | 87-104 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
703 Chicago at Brooklyn Word is that Zach LaVine may sit out tonight because of rest, but regardless we feel this game will surpass the posted total. Chicago has now permitted 13 straight opponents to reach the century mark. The last three games opponents scored 122, 116 and 122 points. Brooklyn in turn has permitted 14 straight opponents to hit the century mark. In the last six games the Nets have permitted 111, 108, 114, 138, 115 and 123 points. Both teams are in clear tank mode right now which means defense will be just a thought. With players looking to pad season stats we look for this contest to go over. PLAY OVER |
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02-24-18 | Portland v. Pepperdine -2.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
658 Portland at Pepperdine This is the last game for coach Wilson at Pepperdine, as he will be forced out at the end of the season. The Waves have cashed three straight after the announcement, all against the leagues elite. Now dropping down in class we will lay the points against a Portland team that has dropped five straight games, including three straight at home coming into this contest. It’s payback time for the host after a nine point loss up in Portland. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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02-23-18 | Mavs v. Lakers OVER 222.5 | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
821 Dallas at LA Lakers As with our winning play yesterday featuring two teams just playing out the string, we will look for another high scoring affair here. Mark Cuban has already told his team that in order to win in the future the players should tank the rest of the way out. And since players are looking out for themselves you know they will be looking to pad their offensive stats. Over the last eight days the Mavericks have permitted 114, 104, 123, 121 and 104 points. The Lakers are allowing 110 points on the season and the last three games before the break they permitted 119, 139 and 130 points. That 130 contest was a 130-123 loss to these very same Mavericks. PLAY OVER |
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02-21-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State +3.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
716 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State The Red Raiders just had a seven game winning streak broken at Baylor 59-57 in a tightly contested contest. Tech already beat Oklahoma State at home 75-70 and have Kansas on deck at home on Saturday. The Jayhawks have revenge on its mind from a 85-73 home loss earlier this year. So this is a tough spot here for the visitor. Oklahoma State has lost two straight and six of eight overall. It is coming off a 20 point loss at TCU, tied for its largest margin of defeat on the season. We back the home dog here. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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02-18-18 | Canisius v. Rider -3 | 82-83 | Loss | -112 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
874 Canisius at Rider The Golden Griffins are 13-2 in conference and have won six straight heading into this contest. But this is the third game in seven days and have Niagara home loss revenge on deck. Rider also sits at 13-2 in the league and enter this affair on a nine game winning streak. This is only the second game for the Broncs in eight days. The last time these two met Canisius survived 77-76 back in December. We like the situation here and the line is a bit short with the host. PLAY RIDER |
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02-17-18 | Bruins -175 v. Canucks | 1-6 | Loss | -175 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
19 Boston at Vancouver The Canucks have lost 7 of 8 with the lone win coming against a squad playing its 3rd game in four days. Vancouver itself is playing the 3 in 4 situation tonight. Boston has been red hot and has had the past three days off. This is the first game of a five game road trip for the Bruins. Boston is playing much better ball than the host, and the price isn’t high enough against this struggling Vancouver squad. PLAY BOSTON |
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02-17-18 | Auburn v. South Carolina +6.5 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
540 Auburn at South Carolina At 23-3 the Tigers are now in line to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. This team is 11-2 in conference and just beat a team in Kentucky that has owned them over the years. On deck we have a home game against Alabama, not only the biggest rival of this team, but the Tigers are in revenge from a 76-71 loss on the road. South Carolina was fantastic last year but sits at 13-13 this season. The Gamecocks have lost six straight heading into this contest. Nobody wants anything to do with this team right now which is exactly why we find value on the host. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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02-15-18 | Lakers v. Wolves -10 | 111-119 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
504 LA Lakers at Minnesota Really tough spot here for the Lakers who are playing the second game of a back to back right before the All-Star break. Throw in the fact that this team is also trying to get newcomer Isiah Thomas into the flow and it gets worse. Especially after Thomas and Rondo were thrown out of the game earlier in the week in the opening quarter. This is a young team that may be more interested in the break than this road contest in Minnesota. The T-Wolves are a legit playoff team that has added veteran leadership this season. Minnesota will be less likely to take this game off with a bright second half future. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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02-15-18 | Ohio State v. Penn State | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
530 Ohio State at Penn State Buckeyes cruising along in the Big 10 with a 13-1 record with the only home loss coming to these Nittany Lions. But before we jump on the visitor here keep in mind it plays hated rival Michigan on deck. Penn State is 8-6 in conference but has won 5 of 6 as of late with the only loss coming at Michigan State. The last time the Nittany Lions faced Ohio State was off back to back losses to Minnesota and Northwestern. Now this team is in much better form. PLAY PENN STATE |
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02-14-18 | Clippers +5 v. Celtics | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
715 LA Clippers at Boston Just three weeks ago the Clippers lost at home to Boston 113-102. Since that time LA has won 6 of 8 games, including 4 of 5 on the road. Boston is struggling right now losing 3 of 4, including back to back losses at home. The Celtics don’t have a lot of offensive talent, and the Clippers are playing excellent defense as of late. This line is simply too high based on recent play along with the Clips revenge angle. PLAY LA CLIPPERS |
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02-13-18 | Cavs v. Thunder -2 | Top | 120-112 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
508 Cleveland at Oklahoma City Don’t look now but all of a sudden all is right in Cleveland. Before the trade deadline Cleveland was +140 to win the Eastern Conference, now after exactly one game with the new players the Cavs are -110. All the talking heads are convinced Cleveland is now the clear team to beat in the East. Based on one game. We have to admit that surely was an impressive contest, but isn’t that a major stretch based on one game? Keep in mind Boston had lost two of three before that game, including an outright loss to Indiana at home. This is the third straight road game for the Cavs, and they are 5-18 ATS the last two years on the road vs the Western Conference. The last time Cleveland played Oklahoma City the Thunder scored 148 points. Look for Cleveland to struggle a bit tonight. PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY |
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02-12-18 | Lightning +105 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
51 Tampa Bay at Toronto Big game for both these teams as Tampa Bay now only leads the Maple Leafs by eight points in the division. The Lightning have won 5 of the last 6 meetings, and have been a terrific road team all season. Toronto has been on a nice run but the Lightning are the superior team. A great deal of that is focused on the goaltenders as we much prefer Vasilevskiy to Anderson. Nice price here for the visitor as everyone buys into the must win situation from the host. PLAY TAMPA BAY |
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02-11-18 | Duke v. Georgia Tech +8 | 80-69 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
836 Duke at Georgia Tech Off back to back road losses to St Johns and North Carolina, many will expect a bounce back game for the Blue Devils. But we don’t feel that way. Duke has dropped 3 of its last 4 games outright and haven’t impressed us on the road all year. This is a team that has dropped 4 of 8 true road games this season. Georgia Tech is having a poor season at 11-13 and just 4-7 in league play. It has dropped 6 of 7 heading into this contest. Other than a road game at Virginia, this is the only contest in which the Yellow Jackets can make a name for itself before the regular season ends. And you know it has a huge chip on its shoulder after losing to Duke last year by a whopping 53 points! You know this team has had this game circled, and the Blue Devils have proven themselves to be a beatable team on the road. PLAY GEORGIA TECH |
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02-10-18 | North Carolina -3 v. NC State | 96-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
551 North Carolina at NC State Coming off the statement win over Duke many will look for a letdown here vs the Wolfpack. But keep in mind that NC State just beat the Tar Heels 95-91 just two weeks ago in North Carolina. It’s one of two home losses on the season and the only chance this team has for home loss revenge. NC has dominated this series winning 16 of 20 outright and cashing 14 of those meetings. The line is short and the revenge is there. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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02-09-18 | Blazers v. Kings +5.5 | Top | 118-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
818 Portland at Sacramento The Blazers are playing its 11th straight game in a different city tonight when it travels to Sacramento. It doesn’t help that Portland had to go to overtime last night to beat Charlotte. This is also the fifth game in eight days for the visitor. Sacramento on the other hand finishes off a four game home stand. The Kings haven’t left Sacramento for a game since January 30th. The Kings enter play having won four of its last seven games. This is a terrific spot for Sacramento to keep that streak alive. PLAY SACRAMENTO |
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02-08-18 | Old Dominion v. Southern Miss +7.5 | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
544 Old Dominion at Southern Miss OD is a solid 8-2 in conference action and just knocked off a pretty good UAB squad. The Monarchs haven’t fared especially well against Southern Miss, splitting four games straight up and dropping three of those games ATS. The Golden Eagles are a full seven points better playing at home than on the road. In fact, Southern Miss is undefeated on this court this season. Off a confidence building win at Florida Atlantic we will take our chances on a solid home dog tonight. PLAY SOUTHERN MISS |
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02-07-18 | Texas A&M +7 v. Auburn | 81-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
757 Texas A&M at Auburn Now that the best defensive team in the league is finally healthy, we expect the Aggies to be a bet on team. A&M has taken the last two meetings in this series and matches up very well with the Tigers. Auburn is a fan favorite squad as its been a cash machine thus far, which gives us plenty of value in this current line. The sharp books are leaning with the dog here and we agree. PLAY TEXAS A&M |
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02-06-18 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
554 Nebraska at Minnesota Huskers have been a major money makers this year posting a 17-6 spread mark. Nebraska has won three straight and enters tonight at 8-4 in Big 10 play. It beat Minnesota 78-68 at home in its earlier meeting. Minnesota is just 14-11 overall and 3-9 in conference. It enters this game having lost 8 of its last 9 games. Yet the line has moved from Minnesota -1 to -3.5, despite the fact that 68% of the bets and money have been on the underdog. Big money is on the host and we agree as fading early season money makers at this point of the season is the way to go. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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02-05-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma -2.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
720 West Virginia at Oklahoma The Mountaineers have lost 5 of its last 7 games, with the only two victories coming at home. Our numbers say that this team plays a full 9 points better at home than away. West Virginia had success trapping and slowing down Trey Young in Morgantown, but we don’t expect the same type of success when playing on the road. Oklahoma plays 5 points better at home than on the road, and enter this contest having dropped 4 of 6 overall. But this is an unedited home court and the Sooners are looking for in-season revenge. PLAY OKLAHOMA |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +4.5 v. Patriots | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
101 Philadelphia & New England in Minnesota The Patriots haven’t had great success winning Super Bowl’s by margins. That looks to be something that holds true here. A lot of the reason for the Patriot’s success over the last two decades is playing in the worst division in football. If New England takes care of business against the Jets, Bills and Dolphins, it can very easily get home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. When having to go on the road and win in the postseason the Pats are simply not the same team. Philadelphia has the best unit on the field, its defense. And the offense can move the ball on a Pats defense that is rather weak considering the level of competition it played this season. PLAY PHILADELPHIA Here are five props we played in the offshore market at the same well known sports book. We could give you a ton of worthy plays in Las Vegas, but since most don’t live here it would be a waste of our time. 1st Score TD -158 Total FG Under 3.5 -135 Total FG Under 4.5 -325 No Safety -1058 Winning margin exactly 3 No -437 As I mentioned, you can get these and others at much better prices if you are in Vegas. If so, shop around. |
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02-03-18 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara +4.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
694 San Francisco at Santa Clara Home revenge game for the Dons, but with a 12-12 mark including 4-7 in conference, how much extra effort will San Francisco bring? After all it has dropped 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. Despite an 8-15 record the Broncos have been better in conference with a 5-6 mark. Coming in off four straight double digit home losses you know this club will be fired up for this contest. The number is favorable and we will back the Broncos here. PLAY SANTA CLARA |
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02-02-18 | Jazz v. Suns +6 | 129-97 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
814 Utah at Phoenix Sorry for the delay on this one. Wanted to send this out at what I thought would be the peak number. Utah just crushed the Warriors and Phoenix just let go of a well known player. Expectations are lower now on the Suns than at any other time this year. That’s when we step in and go against the Jazz in a letdown spot. PLAY PHOENIX |
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02-01-18 | Arizona State v. Washington +3 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
566 Arizona State at Washington The Sun Devils came out of the gate winning 12 straight games to become highly ranked. It was a major surprise for a team expected to be a low finishing team in the PAC 12. But since that time Arizona State has compiled a 4-5 mark, all in league action. Washington has put up a 15-6 seasonal mark mostly as an afterthought. But at 5-3 in the league the Huskies are in better shape right now than the visitor. At home the Huskies are 14-5 SU vs the Sun Devils, overall holding a 27-14 SU mark in this series. We will back the home dog here against a fading Arizona State squad. PLAY WASHINGTON |
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01-31-18 | Texas v. Texas Tech -7.5 | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
760 Texas at Texas Tech While the Longhorns have dominated this series having won 15 of the last 20 meetings. We will side with the home favorite here. By our records the Longhorns have been over 5 points better at home than on the road. In fact, Texas has lost three straight on the road to West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Baylor. Off back to back wins, and hosting the talk of college basketball Trey Young next game, we can see this team lacking focus here. Texas Tech is 17-4 overall with one of those losses coming to this Texas team 67-58. It’s the first revenge game of the season for the Red Raiders. As with Texas the Red Raiders are more than 5 points better at home. This will be a home dominated series and Texas Tech gets its revenge. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-31-18 | Northern Iowa +1.5 v. Evansville | 49-57 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
745 Northern Iowa at Evansville Northern Iowa has beaten Evansville four out of the last five meetings. The Panthers were just blown out at Loyola Chicago 70-47 for its worst loss of the season. Evansville at 14-9 just beat Drake and Valparaiso, but is still 4-6 in conference. Nice spot here for a Northern Iowa squad we feel should be favored. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-30-18 | Ball State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
533 Ball State at Toledo The Cardinal are 3-7 SU on the road this year and the Rockets enter play here having won seven straight games. Yet the early money has been on the road dog, and we agree. Despite the 15-6 overall mark and 7-1 record in the MAC, we view this Rockets team as overrated. Toledo just blew out Bowling Green by 26 last time out, so we can see this team fat and happy here. But keep in mind most of the success for the Rockets has been on the road. We will follow the line move and back the Cardinals. PLAY BALL STATE |
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01-29-18 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Michigan | 47-58 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
713 Northwestern at Michigan The Wolverines have struggled somewhat as of late, dropping 3 of 6 entering this contest. It just played a barnburner at Purdue on Thursday, the second game against the Boilermakers this season. Michigan has beaten up on the weak teams in the conference, but we really like this Northwestern squad. The record is only 13-9 but the Wildcats faced the likes of Creighton, Texas Tech and Oklahoma out of conference. These two teams are closer in our ratings than this line suggests. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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01-28-18 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 47-70 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
837 Northern Iowa at Loyola Chicago At 11-10 and 3-6 in conference this has been a down season for the Panthers. But the team has won 3 of 4 entering this contest. The Ramblers are in a bad scheduling spot here. It plays lowly Northern Iowa and has big games on deck against Bradley and Missouri State, two 15 win teams. Currently on a six game winning streak, and having already beat Northern Iowa on the road, this is the spot to go against the better team. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | 51-64 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
625 Oakland at Wright State The Grizzlies are starting to make a run in the Horizon League. Now 6-3 in conference after winning its fifth straight game on Friday. That was good news for our clients and we expect a repeat here. Oakland has two home losses on the season, Northern Kentucky and Wright State. The Grizzlies revenged the Norse and now the Raiders are in their sights. Wright State sits at 8-1 in conference and is coming in off a 32 point blowout of Detroit. This line tells us the betting markets say Oakland is the better team, we agree. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-27-18 | Wake Forest +9.5 v. Louisville | 77-96 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
637 Wake Forest at Louisville A down season for the Demon Deacons has gotten worse as of late as it enters play tonight on a six game losing streak. But keep in mind it just played Duke twice, Virginia, NC State and Virginia Tech the last five games. Wake has been more competitive on the road this season. Louisville is 15-5 and just lost at Miami Florida. Most will assume a big bounce back from the Cardinals here, especially playing on a one loss home court. But Louisville has a date with Virginia on deck, and this team needs a signature win. Nice spot for the dog to take this one deep. PLAY WAKE FOREST |
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01-27-18 | Georgetown +12 v. Creighton | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
641 Georgetown at Creighton The Hoyas played one of the easiest schedules in the country before league play started, and came into Big East play totally overrated. As expected Georgetown is now 3-6 in league play, having just dropped 2 of 3 at home. Now back on the road this team finally shows some betting value. Creighton is 16-5 on the season and undefeated on this home court. It already beat the Hoyas by 24 in Georgetown. Up on deck? The #1 Villanova Wildcats. Massive lookahead spot here for the host. PLAY GEORGETOWN |
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01-27-18 | Cal Poly +9.5 v. UC-Davis | 56-80 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
647 Cal Poly at UC Davis This handicap is quite simple. The Mustangs of Cal Poly have dropped 10 of 12 and sit 1-5 in the Big West Conference. They are an afterthought in the betting markets as well as for opponents. Off back to back double digit losses nobody will want any part of this team, which is where we step in. UC Davis is 13-7 on the season and 4-2 in league play. It’s right in the midst of playing Cal Poly here and a home and home against Cal Northridge, who they just beat 63-56 at home on Thursday. This is an undefeated home team that is all fat and happy heading into tonight. PLAY CAL POLY |
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01-27-18 | Texas State +9 v. Georgia State | 50-54 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
547 Texas State at Georgia State Big battle in the Sun Belt Conference Saturday afternoon. The Bobcats at 7-2 in conference have played better ball away from home this season, an impressive 6-6 straight up mark. Only one of the losses was by more than todays spread. Georgia State is the hotter team having won six straight heading into this contest. But our numbers show the line to be inflated. We will take the points with the talented dog. PLAY TEXAS STATE |
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01-27-18 | Elon +8.5 v. Towson | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
539 Elon at Towson The Phoenix were once 3-1 in conference but have dropped three straight games. Now it heads on the road to play Towson, a team it beat at home 75-72. Towson enters play at 15-7 overall but loaded up on weaklings in non-conference play. The Tigers are just 5-4 in the CAA and are off an impressive win over William & Mary. Early start home games don’t have the sam home court edge as games played at night. Plenty of margin here for the road dog. PLAY ELON |
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01-26-18 | Oakland +7 v. Northern Kentucky | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
831 Oakland at Northern Kentucky The Grizzlies have had a great deal of success in the Horizon League over the years, and enter play at 5-3 in conference. It is looking to avenge an 87-83 home loss earlier this season. Oakland has only lost two home games all year, and enter here after winning four straight contests overall. The Norse have a 7-1 mark in conference with the only loss coming to Wright State. Northern returns home off back to back road wins against the two Milwaukee schools. With Oakland being two games behind in the conference standings and having already lost to the Norse, this becomes a must win game for the Grizzlies. We like this team and expect this contest to go to the wire. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-26-18 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
603 Indiana at Cleveland Why go away from something that has been so successful? The Cavaliers stink right now and the betting public has been slow to react. This line is simply too high right now for a team playing without any heart. The only consistent player over the last month is Wade, and he’s not with the team today because of a personal problem. Indiana has won all three meetings this season and have a 7-3 record as of late against the entire league. The Pacers are 19-5 this season when hitting at least 10 3 pointers a game. Against the Cavs they have made 16, 15 and 10 in the previous meetings. Cleveland has been terrible defending the perimeter all season. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-25-18 | CS-Northridge +13.5 v. UC-Davis | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
559 Cal Northridge at UC Davis Northridge lost 11 straight to start the season after winning against Life Pacific in its opener. Since that time the Matadors are 4-3 including winning its last two contests. In fact, all four of those wins were by 9 points or more. The Aggies return to the mainland after a 77-72 loss at Hawaii. After winning the last four meetings in this series the line is a bit inflated. We will back the improving Matadors to stay under this generous number. PLAY CAL NORTHRIDGE |
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01-24-18 | Mercer +9.5 v. East Tennessee State | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
775 Mercer at East Tennessee State Despite a 10-10 record Mercer has been a money during 4-9 ATS on the season. But the Bears have won 3 of 4 heading into this contest with the only loss coming by 4 to 14-5 NC Greensboro. On the season Mercer has a 3.9 average scoring margin per game. East Tennessee State comes into this contest on fire, winning 14 of 15, but has 14-5 Wofford on deck. Despite the records these two teams are closer in talent than this line suggests. PLAY MERCER |
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01-23-18 | Vanderbilt +11.5 v. Tennessee | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
519 Vanderbilt at Tennessee It has been a bad season for the Commodores entering here with a 7-12 mark on the year. It’s looked especially ugly on the road which is why this line is where it is. But this team has played well in this series winning straight up the last two times in this building. In fact, this has been a road dominated series the past three seasons. Tennessee just beat Vandy on the road by 9 just two weeks ago. No special reason for this team to get up here. It just beat South Carolina by 7, and has a road game at Iowa State on deck. We will take the generous points with a road dog everyone else has written off. PLAY VANDERBILT |
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01-23-18 | Providence +15.5 v. Villanova | 69-89 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
511 Providence at Villanova Friars playing much better ball as of late, winning four straight heading into this contest. The last two victories coming by double digits. Providence has cashed 4 of the last 5 in this series, including both meetings here the last two years. The Wildcats are 13-6 ATS on the season but just 3-3 ATS playing at home. Coming off back to back 20+ victories we can’t see the better team being up for this contest. PLAY PROVIDENCE |
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01-22-18 | Kings v. Hornets -10.5 | 107-112 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
702 Sacramento at Charlotte Since the Kings management made the decision to start the youngsters the team hasn’t won a game. Now rookie Giles is out for the season to shorten an already lineup with a lack of talent. The closest Kings loss as of late by by 6 points at home against the Clippers. A more reasonable chance for victory comes tomorrow at Orlando. The Hornets let a game slip away on Saturday as it blew a late lead against the Heat. This is the third of a five game homestead for Charlotte. We look for the host to make a statement here after watching victory slip through its hands late. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 11 m | Show | |
313 Minnesota at Philadelphia Better get this one up now before any more money comes in on the host. Simply put we want no part of a dome team playing on the road outside in the playoffs. It’s been a terrible situation historically and we saw it again last week with Atlanta. Home field means so much in this matchup, and to catch the host as an underdog is a no brainer. Foles has a history of being a productive quarterback over the years and his short sample size this season has given us strong line value. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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01-20-18 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +3.5 | 70-63 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
628 Tennessee at South Carolina Line here is a bit high in our opinion based on the lack of success by the Volunteers on the road. Just 3-2 SU away from home as this team has feasted on home cooking all season. Just once in five road games did Tennessee win by more than seven points. South Carolina had a huge comeback win against Kentucky last time out. That should be a positive momentum situation for a program that went deep into the tourney a year ago. Just one home loss for the Gamecocks on the season gives us even more confidence. PLAY SOUITH CAROLINA |
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01-19-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Davidson | 73-83 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
815 St Bonaventure at Davidson Very important game for the Bonnies who have lost all three road games in conference and enter here 2-3 overall. St Bonaventure is an excellent 3 point defending team which is what Davidson does best. This series is tied 4-4 and we actually rate St Bonaventure as the slightly better team. After facing Dayton, St Josephs and Rhode Island on the road the Bonnies have been tested. It’s also a veteran team that should bounce back here before a home revenge game against St Josephs. The Wildcats are a solid 4-1 in conference play, but none of its opponents currently have a winning mark on the season. Coming off blowout wins by margins of 30, 27 and 27 points, the Wildcats step up in class tonight. PLAY ST BONAVENTURE |
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01-18-18 | Pepperdine +10.5 v. Pacific | Top | 78-92 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
563 Pepperdine at Pacific The Waves have been bad this season with an 0-6 conference record and just 3-15 overall. It’s riding a nine game losing streak entering this contest, having lost by double digits in four straight. But as Lee Corso would say “Not so Fast”. Over the last five games the Wave have played teams with a combined 71-23 record. Tonights opponent is just 9-10 on the year. The Tigers are off three straight victories and face three heavyweights after this contest. St Mary, San Francisco and BYU. Terrible spot for the host while the visitor drops down in class. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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01-17-18 | Heat +4.5 v. Bucks | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
709 Miami at Milwaukee Quick revenge for the Bucks here after losing to Miami 97-79 on the road just three days ago. But in looking over the Milwaukee schedule we see 11 of the last 12 games being played against current playoff squads, with another on deck. Having to get up every single game to play the best teams in the league is a chore. Miami is now 12-5 SU off a SU loss this season. They lost at Chicago Monday after winning seven straight games. Coincidently we had Miami in that contest, our only loss in any sport this week. But we have the Heat being the slightly better team here and we prefer the Miami coaching staff which has done a terrific job the last full year here in Miami. The Heat are on a 6-2 SU run on the road and we really like the way this team is playing. PLAY MIAMI |
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01-16-18 | Drake v. Northern Iowa -5.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
536 Drake at Northern Iowa Many will look at this game and see the 5-1 in conference Bulldogs catching points at the 1-5 Panthers as a lock. But there is much more than wins and losses in handicapping sports. Drake is just 11-8 on the season, while Northern Iowa is 9-9. But the Panthers faced the likes of North Carolina, NC State, Villanova, UNLV, Texas Arlington, Iowa State and Xavier. The coaching staff made a surprising move last time out putting a talented freshman in the starting lineup at center, and dropping its leading scorer to the bench. For a coach to do such a thing tells us that its the right move to spark this squad. Northern Iowa in turn beat Valparaiso 81-76, breaking a seven game losing streak. Now with its back against the wall we expect these Panthers to be on the prowl. Our numbers show the Panthers to be 48 places better than the Bulldogs, and because of the way these two started the conference season the line is cheap. PLAY NORTHERN IOWA |
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01-15-18 | Heat +1 v. Bulls | 111-119 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
711 Miami at Chicago The Heat have been excellent in the second of back to back games and enter this affair on a seven game winning streak. Miami has already beaten the Bulls twice this year by 6 and 7 points. Chicago has dropped 5 of 8 after that surprising winning streak in December. We will back the veteran Heat here. PLAY MIAMI |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show |
305 Jacksonville at Pittsburgh The last time these two met the Jaguars dominated as Big Ben had a career worst game. So what has changed since that meeting? Not enough to make us want to back the Steelers here. In fact, because of the Brown injury Jacksonville should be better able to take advantage of the Steelers here. Jacksonville has a terrific pass defense and yet the Steelers brain trust tried to pass all over it in the first meeting. The correct game plan for Pittsburgh would be to run the ball as much as possible. But are they perceptive enough to stick with it through the entire game? We don’t believe so, as this team is too accustomed to having its way through the air. And that plays right into the hands of the touchdown underdog. PLAY JACKSONVILLE |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
302 Atlanta at Philadelphia Too much is being made about the quarterback advantage for the Falcons here. It’s just one position on the field and it’s getting too much play in this line. The best unit on the field is the Philadelphia defense. The Eagles are also playing at home off a bye week. Atlanta is a dome team playing outside in cold weather on a strong home field for the host. While Ryan wins the QB battle, the Eagles win the game. PLAY PHILADELPHIA |
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01-12-18 | Cavs v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 95-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
802 Cleveland at Indiana The Cavaliers have allowed its three highest point totals in the last three games. It has Golden State on deck and have lost to Indiana both times it faced the Pacers this year. Cleveland ranks 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the offense is still trying to adjust with new players in new roles. The Pacers are finishing four game home stand after beating Chicago and Milwaukee, before losing to the Heat last night. With six straight games against Western Conference foes on deck, this is the game the Pacers have circled. PLAY INDIANA |
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01-11-18 | Cavs v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 99-133 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
504 Cleveland at Toronto The Cavs are off a terrible defensive game at Minnesota, and the Raptors are without two of its best players. The current line is saying that those differences are worth 10 1/2 points to the spread, which is ridiculous. Cleveland has been bad defensively all season and now with Thomas in the lineup the numbers should get worse, not better. With Ibaka and Lowry out of the lineup the numbers actually get better for Toronto. Sure its a small sample size, and nobody is saying the team is better without these two. But the loss isn’t nearly as drastic as this line suggests. Throw in the fact that the Raptors have playoff revenge against the Cavaliers, and we have a solid play on the host here. PLAY TORONTO |
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01-10-18 | UNLV v. Air Force +9.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
780 Unlv at Air Force The Rebels haven’t won at Air Force since 2014 and were crushed in this building a year ago. Because off all the instability in the program virtually all the players will be playing here for the first time tonight. UNLV likes to get out and run, which is why it was so successful early on in non-conference action. The Rebels played a vast majority of its games at home. Now that conference play has started the opposition isn’t letting the Rebels show its athleticism. Air Force is always tough at home and enters play tonight 0-3 in the Mountain west Conference. This is a club that is hard to prepare for because of the style of play it uses. This line is way too high for a struggling Rebels team to lay. PLAY AIR FORCE |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech +2 v. Oklahoma | 65-75 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
529 Texas Tech at Oklahoma While Tre Young got his points on Saturday against West Virginia, the Mountaineers really made him work for it. It was the first real defense Oklahoma faced and the Sooners despite giving their all were simply outworked. We look for more of the same here from an excellent Texas Tech defense that will look to slow down the pace and get physical with the young superstar. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-08-18 | Cavs v. Wolves OVER 222 | Top | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
705 Cleveland at Minnesota The Cavaliers are scoring 129 points per game with Isiah Thomas in the lineup. The offense is virtually unstoppable and the bench players are really playing well offensively. The problem is a defense that was originally bad, but is even worse with Thomas on the floor. Tonight both teams have many options to take advantage of offensively, as the Cavs have no rim protector, and the Wolves are terrific attacking the basket. The Anthony-Towns and Love matchup should provide huge numbers offensively. The number is high for a reason, but not high enough. PLAY OVER |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -8 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
102 Tennessee at Kansas City We want no part of the Titans today playing on the road. There were two teams in the playoffs that were outscored in the regular season, Buffalo and Tennessee. Mariota has been a turnover machine, especially on the road. Kansas City doesn’t turn the ball over and wins with defense and running the ball. Smith has been one of the top quarterbacks in the league this season by quarterback rating. He’s been able to extend the field by throwing longer passes this season. This line is being held down somewhat by the Chiefs prior playoff failures. While that may be the case in following weeks it’s not going to prevent KC in this matchup. PLAY KANSAS CITY |
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01-05-18 | Bulls +5 v. Mavs | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
809 Chicago at Dallas Can’t ignore the massive improvements from the Bulls despite dropping three straight entering this contest. The last time Chicago lost to a team not in the current playoff race was way back on December 1st against Sacramento. That’s 17 straight games with the only losses coming to postseason type opposition. Dallas at 13-26 is far removed from the playoffs. Coming off a hard fought 125-122 loss to the Warriors just two days ago, we can’t see the Mavericks winning this one by a margin. PLAY CHICAGO |
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01-04-18 | Thunder v. Clippers +2 | 127-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
504 Oklahoma City at LA Clippers While the Thunder are playing the second game of a back to back, it was on this same court in a blowout win over the shorthanded Lakers. Oklahoma City has been playing better ball but the Clippers streak has gone unnoticed. LA has won 6 of 7 with the lone loss coming by 3 at Memphis. The Clips have been straight up winners at home the past six outings, in addition to a 10 point victory at Houston. This is a team under the radar now and we take full advantage of the rested home squad. PLAY LA CLIPPERS |
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01-03-18 | Western Illinois v. South Dakota -16.5 | 50-62 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
792 Western Illinois at South Dakota Western Illinois has played the 342nd toughest schedule, while South Dakota comes in at #154. The Leathernecks have beaten the likes of Lincoln Christian, Calvary University and St Mary’s Minnesota. A 25 point loss to Iowa State and a 61 point loss to Butler tell you all you need to know about this squad. Despite playing the tenth easiest schedule in the nation, the Leathernecks are being outscored by 4.4 points per game. South Dakota comes into play at 13-4 on the season while playing almost 200 spots stronger opposition. The four losses came against teams a combined 47-9. This one should be a blowout for the host. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA |
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01-03-18 | George Washington +1.5 v. Duquesne | 52-69 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
745 George Washington at Duquesne Big strength of schedule mismatch for the visitor as GW comes in at #113 while Duquesne sits at #335. The Colonials are 8-6 on the season but the losses came against teams with a combined record of 68-18. Despite playing such a strong schedule three of the six losses were by single digits, with the largest defeat coming by 20 points. The combined record of the teams the Dukes have lost to is just 30-27. Duquesne has beaten up on the Maryland Eastern Shores and the Delaware State’s of college basketball. This isn’t North Carolina A&T tonight. PLAY GEORGE WASHINGTON |
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01-02-18 | Penguins +110 v. Flyers | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
1 Pittsburgh at Philadelphia Rare chance to back the defending champs against an in-state rival as an underdog. Jarry will get the start tonight for the Pens and while the markets feel it’s a downgrade, we like the goalie change. Murray simply hasn’t been himself this year and we view his sitting out as a plus for the visitor. Philadelphia will go with Elliott in goal for the 14th straight game. While he has been excellent, the minutes are really starting to add up. PLAY PITTSBURGH |
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12-30-17 | Georgetown v. Marquette -9.5 | 65-74 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
582 Georgetown at Marquette The Hoyas have played the 314th hardest schedule while Marquette sits at the 38th strongest. We’ve been looking for a nice spot to fade the 10-2 Hoyas and this is it. In 12 games Georgetown has played away from home just once, at Richmond. 11 of the 12 games were played on the Hoyas home court, not even a neutral site game on the schedule. Marquette has already faced Purdue, VCA, Wichita State, LSU, Georgia, Wisconsin and Xavier. Last time out it dropped a 91-87 home game to the Musketeers. Now this squad gets to face an overrated opponent before heading to the road to face Providence and Villanova. Great spot for the host. PLAY MARQUETTE |
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12-30-17 | Dayton -3 v. Duquesne | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
563 Dayton at Duquesne The Flyers have played the 93rd best strength of schedule in the country. Duquesne has played the 342nd. Dayton is 6-6 on the season while the Dukes are 9-4. This is a major step up in class for the host while Dayton has already faced the likes of Hofstra, Auburn, Mississippi State, Penn and St Mary’s. The Flyers are the superior team and have the better ball movement. They will find many open shots in this contest. PLAY DAYTON |
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12-29-17 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State -3.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
844 UL Monroe at Arkansas State The Warhawks come into this contest with a 6-5 record. But those wins have come against SE Louisiana, Rust College, Jackson State, Grambling State, Milksops and Centenary. All six of those victories were also played at home. All four road games resulted in losses by margins of 10, 18, 3 and 19. Arkansas State has a full week to get ready for this contest. Coming in with a lesser 5-8 record but facing a more potent schedule. The Red Wolves are 4-1 SU at home with wins by margins of 14, 14, 14 and 31 points. PLAY ARKANSAS STATE |
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12-29-17 | Texas State v. Appalachian State -3.5 | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
828 Texas State at Appalachian State The Bobcats have played a schedule 125 places weaker than that of App State. This is its 2nd of three straight road games after beating Rice 74-66 a week ago. App State has the lesser record but has faced a far superior schedule. Games against Iowa State, UTEP, James Madison, VCU and Ohio State have toughened up this Mountaineers bunch. Now back home after four straight games away, with a full eight days to get ready for this contest. Playing on an undefeated home court we will lay the small number with the better team. PLAY APPALACHIAN STATE |
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12-28-17 | Southern Miss v. Marshall -11 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
358 Southern Miss at Marshall The Golden Eagles have played a schedule 100 places easier than that of the Thundering Herd. Wins over the likes of Southern-New Orleans, Blue Mountain College, Rust College, Alabama A&M and William Carey will not prepare this team for league play. Marshall has taken on some cupcakes as well but did face Illinois, William & Mary and Xavier. This team is a perfect 8-0 SU at home and haven’t played since the 22nd. The Thundering Herd have scored at least 83 points in all but one home contest, six times reaching 90 or better. Despite the easy schedule Southern Miss is allowing 7.9 more points per game than it produces. Look for a big offensive game from the host. PLAY MARSHALL |
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12-27-17 | Wizards v. Hawks +6 | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
706 Washington at Atlanta Sandwich spot for the Wizards who are off a physical game last night in Boston, along with a home game against Houston on deck. The Wizards beat Boston last night 111-103, a game it needed to have against one of the best teams in the East. Now Washington faces a down Atlanta team that it beat by 19 in its only other meeting. Atlanta is at home for its fourth of five games after outlasting the Mavericks. The Hawks have had three straight days of rest before playing three games in four days. The spot screams home underdog and we agree. PLAY ATLANTA |
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12-26-17 | Jazz +6 v. Nuggets | 83-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
511 Utah at Denver Must win game here for the Jazz who have already taken care of the Nuggets twice this season. Coming into this contest having dropped 8 of 10, and facing Golden State and Cleveland up next. While it’s true Utah has come up short as of late, they have faced Oklahoma City twice, San Antonio, Houston, Cleveland and Boston the past six games. Denver is coming off a victory over Golden State, but the Warriors were looking past the Nuggets to yesterdays rematch with the Cavaliers. PLAY UTAH |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -3.5 | Top | 21-12 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
128 Seattle at Dallas The Seahawks have scored a combined 17 first half points over the last four games. They continually play from behind because the defense is battered and bruised. It’s just not the same healthy defense that has been so dominant the past few seasons. The loss to the Rams last week was totally embarrassment, which you would expect a rebound from. But keep in mind that this is a team that entered the season expecting to go deep into the playoffs. Now it’s virtually shutout of the postseason. What type of effort will the players give knowing it has nothing to play for. Dallas gets Zeke back today and other than a quarterback he’s the most valuable skill position player in the league. In his last six games before the suspension the Boys scored 28, 33, 40, 31, 30 and 28 points. With him out of the lineup Dallas averaged 18.3 ppg. The defense has held the opposition to 17, 10 and 14 points the past three weeks. This is a cheap number for the Cowboys. PLAY DALLAS |
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12-22-17 | Texas State v. Rice +4.5 | 74-66 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
840 Texas State at Rice Texas State has played the 318th easiest schedule in the country while posting a 6-6 record. The Bobcats have already lost on the road at Air Force and Houston Baptist. Wins have come against the likes of Texas Pan American, Arkansas Pine Bluff, Texas A&M CC, McMurry and Ecclesia College. Despite such a cupcake schedule this team is outscoring the opposition by only 0.8 points per game. Rice comes in with a 3-9 mark but has played the likes of UNLV, Mississippi, Texas Tech and New Mexico. This is just the sixth home game for the Owls this season, and the only game here in a five game span. The Owls should give extreme effort in this one with Texas San Antonio and UTEP on deck. PLAY RICE |
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12-22-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Oakland -7 | 81-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
836 Eastern Michigan at Oakland What a strength of schedule mismatch. Eastern Michigan has the 307th ranked schedule with an 8-2 record, Oakland 76th with a 7-6 mark. The Eagles have won against Spring Arbor, Michigan Dearborn and Central State. Oakland has played the likes of Toledo, Syracuse, Michigan State and Kansas, all away from home. But the major reason we are backing the Grizzlies here is a 95-89 loss to these Eagles just 16 days ago. Eastern Michigan had three extra days to prepare in that game. It’s revenge time for the host who has been much more tested this season. PLAY OAKLAND |
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12-21-17 | Miami-OH v. DePaul -12.5 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
532 Miami Ohio at DePaul Seems like the entire MAC has been loading up its schedule against nobodies. And that includes this Redhawks squad. Wins against Fordham, Wright State, LIU Brooklyn, Midway, IPFW and Rio Grande. Now it takes to the road to face a solid team in DePaul. In road games this season Miami has lost by 21, 25 and 19 points. DePaul has won five of six with the lone loss coming on this court last time out vs Northwestern. You can be assured this team will be fully prepared tonight. With league action starting in six days this is one last try to pad the non-conference resume. PLAY DEPAUL |
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12-20-17 | Georgia State v. Massachusetts -5 | 71-63 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
726 Georgia State at Massachusetts The Panthers have a 7-4 mark but it was done against the 247th ranked schedule. Wins against Carver Bible College, Eastern Washington, Alabama A&M and Point University won’t prepare them tonight for the Minutemen. This is also the 2nd of 5 straight road games. UMass enters play at 6-5 on the year, losing to quality opponents in Harvard, Minnesota, BYU and South Carolina. This club is riding a three game winning streak including victories over Providence and Georgia the last two times out. We saw how good that Georgia team was as it trounced Georgia Tech for us yesterday. A much tougher schedule and a scheduling edge put us squarely on the host here. PLAY MASSACHUSETTS |
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12-19-17 | Georgia Tech v. Georgia -5 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
528 Georgia Tech at Georgia The Yellow Jackets come into this rivalry game with a 5-4 record. But the victories have come against the likes of Bethune-Cookman, Texas Pan American, North Texas, Florida A&M and Northwestern by a single point. Georgia Tech has played just once away from home, a three point loss at Wofford. Georgia has started the year playing the much tougher schedule and have a 7-2 record to show for it. Coming off a road favorite loss at Massachusetts, we can imagine this club looked past the Minutemen and paid for it. Let’s lay it with the better team on Tuesday. PLAY GEORGIA |
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12-18-17 | Blue Jackets +115 v. Bruins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
5 Columbus at Boston The Bruins are starting a 7 game in 11 day stretch. So most feel this is a must win game for the host. Especially as Boston plays on the road tomorrow. But despite the need the value is on the visitor here. Columbus is outplaying the opposition but it hasn’t resulted in victories. There is a tremendous amount of luck in hockey, which has been proven by those who know much more than I. It’s the highest variance major sport. Which is why we can gran Columbus here at a plus price. PLAY COLUMBUS |
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12-18-17 | Charlotte +3 v. East Carolina | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
727 Charlotte at East Carolina While the records say East Carolina should be favored here, the strength of schedule says the wrong team is favored. The 49ers have been installed as underdogs in all lined games this year and have played the likes of Oklahoma State, College of Charleston, Davidson and Wake Forest. So a 3-6 record isn’t as disparaging as it would normally look. East Carolina on the other hand is 5-4 playing a vastly inferior schedule. Coppin State, Radford, Central Connecticut, NC A&T and Campbell just to name a few. Even with one of the weakest schedules in the country the Pirates are outscoring the opposition by just 0.6 points per game. And to make it worse, 8 of the 9 games were played at home. We have a live dog here with the 49ers. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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12-17-17 | Texas State v. Colorado State -5 | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
816 Texas State at Colorado State The Rams have played the much tougher schedule including back to back blowout losses at Arkansas and Oregon. Now the team is back home for three straight games before conference season begins. The Bobcats are 5-5 on the season but have lost to the likes of Air Force, UTSA, Canisius, Houston Baptist and Abiline Christian. Texas State has covered just one lined game all season. PLAY COLORADO STATE |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs +1 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
306 LA Chargers at Kansas City The Chargers have dropped seven straight games to Kansas City, yet are now a slight favorite on the road. While this team has won 7 of 9 games, those wins came against questionable opposition. Victories against the Giants, Raiders, Broncos, Bills, Cowboys, Browns and Redskins. Very likely all teams that will not make the playoffs. Kansas City on the other hand has beaten the likes of the Patriots, Eagles and these very same Chargers by a score of 24-10 on the road. The better team at home in a basically pick ‘em game? Sign us up. PLAY KANSAS CITY |
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12-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State +4 v. Arkansas State | Top | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 36 m | Show |
209 Middle Tennessee State & Arkansas State in Montgomery, Alabama Brent Stockstill has been a stud for the Blue Raiders when he has been healthy. That’s where we find the Middle Tennessee signal caller on Saturday. With the son of the coach behind center we expect big things from this squad. Middle Tennessee has moved the ball well against this level of competition. The problem has been first half turnovers. Down 13 turnovers in the first half of games despite producing an 8-4 yards per play advantage. Arkansas State just lost the conference title to Troy 32-25. That was the game this team wanted, especially playing at home. The Sun Belt is the lowest rated conference in the country, yet the Red Wolves have been installed as the favorite here. Keep in mind Middle Tennessee State has a +27 explosive play margin on the season, while Arkansas State sits at +10. Better team from the better conference as an underdog. Can’t beat that combination. PLAY MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE |
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12-16-17 | North Texas +6.5 v. Troy | 30-50 | Loss | -108 | 73 h 45 m | Show | |
201 North Texas & Troy in New Orleans Some money is coming in on the Mean Green here and we fully agree. We get the team from the better conference as an underdog, and if the Mean Green take care of the football the stats show this game to be a coin flip. North Texas has an explosive offense which can trade points with anyone. Troy just won the Sun Belt with a 32-25 victory over Arkansas State. Many will remember the shocker it pulled off at LSU beating the Tigers 24-21. But despite a solid overall record this team played a very easy schedule. We will take the points here in a game that should be an exciting bank and forth showdown. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs -4 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
114 Oakland at Kansas City Despite winning 3 of its last 4 games we aren’t buying into the Raiders who enter this contest having played the easiest schedule in the league. Wins over the Giants, Broncos and Dolphins aren’t much to write home about. The last time these two met was a Thursday Night Football win for the Raiders at home 31-30. The host on these early week games has a sizable advantage so once again we found the Raiders in a favorable position. Now with Kansas City entering this game having lost 6 of 7, we get to back the better team with the far better coach at a discount. With three straight home games for the Chiefs Kansas City can take advantage of a weak schedule down the stretch. PLAY KANSAS CITY |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | 30-10 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
130 Dallas at NY Giants Dallas beat the Giants 19-3 in the season opener, but the Cowboys have faded badly since. The offense has really been affected with the suspension on Elliott, and his absence has hurt the overall productivity of Prescott. Keep in mind heading into last week this team had scored 6, 9 and 7 points, and is now a road favorite. Make no mistake the Giants are not a good football team, but the coaching change can’t do anything but help. The players didn’t respect McAdoo and really were against the Manning benching a week ago. With Philadelphia on deck we really expect the players to exceed expectations in this game. PLAY NEW YORK GIANTS |
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12-09-17 | Jets +158 v. Lightning | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
57 Winnipeg at Tampa Bay The Jets dropped the first two games of this road trip but played better than the outcomes. Now it takes on a fat and happy Lightning squad who end its homestead tonight after winning the first three at home. Because of the recent events Tampa Bay is laying an inflated line. Willing to take a chance with the Jets tonight as a nice sized underdog. PLAY WINNIPEG |
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12-08-17 | Bulls v. Hornets -9 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
502 Chicago at Charlotte The Bulls have dropped 15 of 16 games heading into the contest tonight. The lone victory came against these Hornets. In fact, Chicago is 1-11 this season when facing teams ranked 1-16 in our power ratings, and the lone victory again was against Charlotte.The Bulls return home tomorrow for a winnable game hosting the Knicks, so if this game gets out of hand early we can see the bench for the majority of the second half. Charlotte has dropped 5 of 6 but the teams it lost to were Cleveland, San Antonio, Toronto, Miami and Golden State. This is the time for this club to get back into the win column against a team it should be able to dominate. The only home losses for Charlotte this year have come against Houston, Cleveland, San Antonio and Golden State. The Bulls will be a welcome relief. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons +2 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 56 m | Show |
102 New Orleans at Atlanta The last four years the team that won the first game of this series also won the second game. This should be easy. Until you realize there are only four weeks left in the season and these two have yet to meet this year. A strange scheduling situation indeed. The Saints have been terrific this year and just knocked off Carolina for the season sweep. New Orleans has won 9 of 10 games heading into this matchup. But the short week does bring some problems even though the trip is short to Atlanta. The Saints now have a virtual two game lead on second place Carolina after winning the tie breaker. New Orleans still has the Jets and Bucs on the schedule, so beating Atlanta here isn’t a priority. The Falcons on the other hand trail the Saints by two full games, and a loss here would be devastating if a division title is the goal. Even for a wild card this is a game Atlanta has to have. Off a home loss to Minnesota we are catching the host with more on the line here. This is also the third straight home game for the Falcons. With Seattle at 8-4 and Carolina also 8-4, this team simply cannot fall to 7-6 and make the postseason. It’s all in for the host and we will join them. PLAY ATLANTA |
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12-05-17 | Wild +120 v. Kings | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
69 Minnesota at Los Angeles Nice scheduling spot for the Wild who enter play on an 8-3-1 run. The Kings get their full attention tonight as the Wild has the next two days off before taking on Anaheim. LA is off a four game east coast sweep, so the team returns home fat and happy. It’s also their fourth game in six nights. PLAY MINNESOTA |
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