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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 49.5 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 59 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints finally got a win two weeks ago by coming back and beating the San Diego Chargers. New Orleans is still only 1-4, but they are holding onto faint hopes that they will be able to get into the postseason. New Orleans is 4th in the NFL in total offense, and I don't see Tampa Bay slowing them down much. The Bucs are second to last in the NFL in passing defense. Drew Brees seems to be coming into his own of late, and he should have a big day in this one. At the same time, the Saints defense isn't very good at all right now. The Saints are allowing 31 points per game on the season. Look for both teams to put up quite a few points here. The over is 8-0 in the Saints last 8 games against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 games following a straight up win. Take the over.
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10-20-12 | Marshall v. Southern Mississippi OVER 66.5 | 59-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Tempo Total* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation. Marshall's scoring drives often only last 2 or 3 minutes. Rakeem Cato is a very talented young quarterback for the Thundering Herd. Marshall is averaging 396 passing yards per game this year, which is second in the nation. Southern Miss has defensive problems this year. The Golden Eagles are allowing 36 points per game. On the other side, Marshall's rushing defense is abysmal and Southern Miss can still run the football. The Golden Eagles should be able to rack up some big yardage in this one. The over is 5-1 in Marshall's last 6 road games. Take the over.
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10-20-12 | Cincinnati v. Toledo OVER 64.5 | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Toledo Rockets can both score points in bunches. Cincinnati averages 37 points per game this year. The Bearcats have scored 52 and 49 points in the last two weeks. Toledo's defense is one of the worst in all of football. Toledo is 111th out of 124 teams in the nation in total defense. The Bearcats should pile up the points here. At the same time, Toledo's offense averages 36.4 points per game, and they will be the best offense the Bearcats defense has faced this season. The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Cincinnati's last 4 following a win. Take the over and expect a high scoring game.
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10-20-12 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 61.5 | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* Boston College has a much improved offense compared to a year ago, but their defense is much worse than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 281 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College is giving up 248 yards per game on the ground. Georgia Tech is third in the nation with 331 rushing yards per game. Army's offense piled up the yards and points against Boston College, and Georgia Tech runs the option even better. Georgia Tech's passing defense has been terrible, so Boston College should pile up the yards here. I don't see either defense slowing down the opposition in this one. The over is 4-0 in Georgia Tech's last 4 games. Look for a very high scoring game. I think this goes way over. Take the over big!
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10-18-12 | Oregon v. Arizona State OVER 68 | 43-21 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks are an amazing offensive team. Chip Kelly just continues to plug in athletic players and run this high-powered offense beautifully. Oregon is averaging 52.3 points per game so far this year. Thomas is one of the most dynamic offensive players in football, and Mariota is a terrific quarterback for this system. Arizona State's defense has good numbers this year, which is giving us some value here. Arizona State hasn't faced a good offense yet this year, and I think they'll struggle in a big way here. At the same time, Todd Graham has this offense putting up points. Oregon has given up quite a few yards through the air, and I think the Sun Devils can score quite a few here. The over is 7-0 in Arizona State's last 7 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in Oregon's last 5 games following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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10-14-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46 | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 38 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star Giants/49ers Total Domination* The New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers have quite a bit of bad blood between them at this point. They met in the NFC Championship game last year, and it was the Giants who pulled off a come from behind victory in that one. San Francisco is definitely looking for revenge here. The 49ers do it with defense first. At this point, it is tough to argue with the fact that the 49ers have the best defense in the league. They are giving up less than 14 points per game. The Giants have had offensive explosions this year several times, but they haven't played a defense like the Niners. New York's defense should get a good pass rush on the 49ers, and I expect both defenses to bring their best in this intense game. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 games after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. Take the under.
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10-14-12 | Buffalo Bills v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 37 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals are 4-1 this year, but a lot of people see their offense and assume they aren't a very good team. Many people overlook the fact that Arizona has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Patrick Peterson is a star at cornerback, and the Cardinals have a ton of very solid guys in their front seven. No team has scored more than 21 points on Arizona this year. Buffalo's offense has been dreadful of late. The Bills scored three points last week against the 49ers. Kevin Kolb and the Cardinals offense is out of sync right now, and I don't expect them to put up too many points without any kind of running game. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinals 5 games this season. Take the under.
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10-13-12 | Texas A&M v. Louisiana Tech OVER 79 | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Texas A&M Aggies offense is starting to get rolling. Kevin Sumlin's fast-paced offense struggled early in the year, but Johnny Manziel is getting it going of late. Louisiana Tech's defense has been torched through the air this year. The Bulldogs allowed an eye-popping 580 yards through the air in a win at Houston earlier this year. On the other side, the Bulldogs offense is tremendous. Louisiana Tech is averaging 53.2 points per game this year, which is fourth best in the nation. The weakness of the Aggies defense is their secondary, and that will be a big problem this week. The over is 5-0 in LA Tech's last 5 games. Look for a shootout. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech OVER 78 | 14-49 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Offensive Explosion* The West Virginia Mountaineers now rival the Oregon Ducks as having the team with the most high-octane offense in the nation. Geno Smith has thrown 24 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions. He is clearly the Heisman front runner for great reason. Texas Tech's pass defense has been ranked at the top of the charts all year, but that will end quickly after this one. The Red Raiders shut down a ton of weak offenses and they'll be torched by West Virginia in this one. On the other side, Texas Tech has a nice quarterback in Seth Doege. West Virginia's defense is nothing special. I think both teams get to 40 points here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | Maryland v. Virginia UNDER 45.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Maryland Terrapins have been making progress this year. Randy Edsall's team is making progress because they can play defense. Edsall has instilled his defensive toughness on this team, and it is showing on the field. West Virginia even struggled at times against the Terrapins defense. For the season, Maryland is allowing only 257 yards per game (7th in the nation). Virginia's offense is inconsistent, and I don't expect them to break out of their slump this week. As good as Maryland has been on defense, their offense has been terrible. The Terrapins rank 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total offense. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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10-13-12 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 66.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Ball State Cardinals have had high scoring games every week this year. Ball State has transitioned to a new fast-pace offense in the past year, and it is paying dividends in a big way now. The Cardinals only scored two touchdowns in 7 trips inside the red zone last weekend, but they'll face a poor defense this week. Western Michigan gave up 35 points against Ball State last year. On the other side, Western Michigan's passing attack is solid and the Cardinals secondary isn't good. Expect both teams to move the ball well through the air in this one. The over is 11-2-1 in Ball State's last 14 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Ball State. I think this one gets into the low-mid 70's. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 | 18-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting accustomed to Larry Fedora's uptempo offense, and it is starting to work well. The Tar Heels like to wear defenses down, and that has been exactly what they are doing over the last few weeks. Bryn Renner is a budding star at the quarterback spot. Renner already has 1,600 passing yards this year. Giovanni Bernard piled up a record 262 rushing yards last week against Virginia Tech. The Hokies defense was supposed to be strong, but North Carolina put up 48 points. Miami's defense is very weak. The Hurricanes have allowed 32 points or more against every FBS team they have played this year. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | UAB v. Houston OVER 67 | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Houston Cougars offense took some time to get going this year, but they are rolling once again. It is the passing attack behind David Piland that is really clicking right now. Houston averages 344 passing yards per game. UAB's defense is allowing 33.8 points per game this year. On the other side, Houston's defense is bad once again this season. The Cougars are giving up almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Houston allows 32 points per game. UAB's passing attack has been very good of late. UAB put up 42 points in a loss to Tulsa last week. I don't see many stops in this one. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Washington v. Oregon OVER 64.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Huskies defense was horrible last season. The Huskies defense has been surprisingly decent this year, but they haven't played anyone with even close to the level of offensive talent that Oregon has. The Ducks probably have the most dynamic offense in the nation. Oregon is averaging 52.4 points per game, and I'll be surprised if they don't get close to that level again this week. They just have too many weapons and too much speed for the Huskies defense. Washington has a very good quarterback in Keith Price, and I expect the Huskies to be able to do some scoring of their own in this one too. The over is 20-7 in Oregon's last 27 conference games. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 73 | 31-47 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the triple option as well as anyone, and I don't think Clemson has the personnel to stop the Yellow Jackets running game. At the same time, Georgia Tech's defense simply isn't very good. Clemson has one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation. The Tigers put up 37 points against a great Florida State defense. Clemson has the type of offense that could score 45-50 points in a game like this. Tajh Boyd has his best play maker back this weekend as Sammy Watkins has been cleared to play. Boyd is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and he should have a great game here. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Tulsa v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | Top | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 117 h 38 m | Show |
*6 Star College Football Play of the Year!* This one sets up to a be huge play for me. Tulsa's offense averages 42 points per game. The Golden Hurricane average 245 rushing yards per game, which is 12th in the nation. Marshall's weakness as a defense is the front seven, and opponents are averaging 225 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Thundering Herd are allowing a ridiculous 44.4 points per game. On the other side, Marshall ranks third in the nation in passing offense. The Thundering Herd average 395 yards per game through the air thanks to super sophomore Rakeem Cato. Cato leads the nation in passing yards. Tulsa's secondary is definitely the weakness of the defense. UAB threw for 337 yards on Tulsa last weekend. Marshall is putting up 41 points per game this year. Marshall scored 34 points against West Virginia and 41 against a pretty good Purdue defense. Both of these teams are teams I look to play the over with, and I was prepared to play a much higher number than this on the over. My numbers have this game projected at 82 points. Look for a major shootout in this one. Take the over in a very big way!
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10-06-12 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 67 | Top | 35-23 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Domination* Ball State has quickly becoming a scoring machine over the past couple years. If you look at Ball State's games this year, the combined score at the end of their games has been: 79, 80, 58, and 88 points. Northern Illinois and Ball State played to a 41-38 final last year. Two years ago the final was 59-21. Northern Illinois has a great play maker at quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Northern Illinois put up 55 points on Central Michigan last weekend. This is one of those games where I think both teams are very capable of putting up 40 points. This is a total I would have played up to 74 points. The over is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last 7 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Ball State's last 4 when allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Ball State. Take the over big!
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10-06-12 | Boston College v. Army OVER 56 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* Boston College is a completely different team than they were a year ago. Chase Rettig leads an impressive passing attack for the Eagles. Boston College is putting up more than 300 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College's defense took a big hit when Kuechly graduated after last season. Army is second in the nation in rushing yards, and I think they'll be able to run the ball well against a fairly weak Boston College front seven. Army's defense has given up more than 40 points in three of their five games this year. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over.
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09-30-12 | Washington Redskins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 47.5 | 24-22 | Loss | -103 | 110 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense has been unstoppable so far this year. Robert Griffin III has been amazing through his first three weeks in the NFL. Washington has scored 40, 28, and 31 points in the first three weeks of the season. Tampa Bay's defense was good against Carolina and Dallas, but they allowed Eli Manning to throw for more than 500 yards in a 41-34 loss to the Giants. Don't forget that Tampa Bay was dead last in the NFL in total defense a year ago. Washington should score quite a few here again. Tampa Bay's offense is improved this year as well. Dating back to last season, Washington's defense has allowed 31 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Tampa Bay should pile up the yards and points against a poor Redskins secondary. The over is 4-0-1 in the Redskins last 5. The over is 21-7-1 in the Bucs last 29 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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09-30-12 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills OVER 50.5 | 52-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots are off to a slow 1-2 start. The Patriots are unlikely to drop to 1-3, but the Bills do pose some problems for their defense. New England has scored at least 34 points in each of their last 4 meetings against Buffalo. Look for Tom Brady and his receivers to get on track in a big way in this one. At the same time, the Bills are starting to get healthier and the Patriots defense isn't very good. There is no reason to expect New England to shut down Buffalo here. The two meetings last year ended at 34-31 and 49-21. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last 4 week 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in Buffalo's last 5 vs. the AFC East. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 50 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers dominated the Nebraska Cornuskers 48-17 last year in the Cornhuskers first game in the Big 10. Nebraska will definitely be looking for revenge in this night game in Lincoln. The Nebraska offense has been much better this year as Taylor Martinez has developed his passing game in a big way. Wisconsin's defense is down a bit, and Nebraska should be able to take advantage. At the same time, I expect Wisconsin to be able to run the ball well against Nebraska's relatively weak front seven. This total is too low for me to pass up. The over is 10-4 in Wisconsin's last 14. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Arizona State v. California OVER 57.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* Arizona State's offense is high-octane now with Todd Graham as the head coach. The Sun Devils are all about trying to pick up the tempo of the game and put points on the board in a hurry. I think Cal's games are being lined too low this year because the team had a good defense last year. The Cal defense is nothing like it was a year ago. Arizona State should pick them apart through the air. On the other side, Cal certainly has the ability to put up quite a few points on Arizona State as well. The over is 10-2 in Arizona State's last 12 conference games. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Clemson v. Boston College OVER 58 | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Total SMASHER* The Clemson Tigers offense is one of the best in the nation. Clemson piled up 37 points against a great Florida State defense last week. Boston College's defense is down quite a bit from a year ago, and Clemson scored 36 on them last season. Boston College does have a much improved passing game this year. The Eagles are putting up 317 passing yards per contest so far this year. Chase Rettig has really stepped up at the quarterback spot. Clemson's defense isn't very good right now, and Boston College should be able to score plenty as well. I think this one gets into the mid 60's or higher. Take the over big.
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09-29-12 | Nevada v. Texas State OVER 62.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* Nevada's offense is extremely tough to stop every single year, and this year is no different. Chris Ault's Pistol offense is unique and very difficult to scheme against. Stefphon Jefferson leads the nation in rushing right now. Jefferson rushed for 6 touchdowns in last week's game alone! Cody Fajardo is a very underrated quarterback for Nevada, and he should have a field day against a terrible Texas State secondary. On the other side, Nevada's defense is horrible. The Wolfpack are 108th in the nation in total defense, and they are allowing 475 yards per game. Texas State should be able to get on the board plenty of times here too. Don't be surprised if this one goes well over the total. Take the over big!
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09-29-12 | Buffalo v. Connecticut UNDER 44 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bulls are expected to be without star running back Branden Oliver in this one. Oliver is basically one-man show for the Bulls on a weekly basis, so if he does indeed miss this game the offense (which is already bad), will really be hurting. Buffalo is 112th in the nation in passing. UConn's defense has been spectacular this year. The Huskies are fifth in the nation in total defense. They are third in rushing defense (allowing only 57.5 yards per game). UConn's offense isn't very strong, and they don't really have the type of team to light up the scoreboard against many teams. The under is 9-0 in Buffalo's last 9 games after allowing 200 rushing yards in the previous game. I like the under here.
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09-23-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Washington Redskins OVER 48.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 89 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals offense woke up nicely last week against Cleveland. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green are a great pass and catch tandem. The Bengals offensive front is strong, which should allow them to run the ball some as well. RG3 has been spectacular through the first two weeks, and the Bengals defense has been very disappointing. Cincinnati's secondary has been beaten deep far too many times through just two weeks. The Bengals are dinged up at the linebacker spot as well, and that will hurt when trying to keep Griffin inside the pocket. Look for Griffin to run around on the Bengals and make plays outside the pocket. Both teams should put up quite a few points. The over is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the Redskins last 4 games overall. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Arizona v. Oregon OVER 75 | Top | 0-49 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* I had this game circled before the lines came out this week. This is a game I was willing to play the 'over' on at 80 points, so I like the value here. Arizona's fast-paced offense under Rich Rodriguez should be able to score points. The Wildcats have scored 56 and 59 points in the last two weeks. The Arizona defense is very bad, and Oregon is more than capable of scoring on every possession here. The Ducks have what I believe is the most impressive offense in the nation at this point. Marcus Mariota is the real deal at quarterback, and there isn't a better play maker in the country than D'Anthony Thomas. Oregon has scored at least 42 points in every game this year, and that is with taking the starters out by halftime. The Ducks starters should get more time in this Pac 12 contest. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets 55-60 points here. The tempo of this game should be about as fast as you'll see in college football all year. The over is 23-6-1 in Oregon's last 30 home games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over big!
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09-22-12 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 54.5 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Air Force is a unique team because they don't move at a quick pace, but they ran the ball extremely well and they have a bad defense. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing yards per game at 390 yards per contest. UNLV's defense is pathetic against the run. The Falcons ran for 394 yards against UNLV last year, and I expect more of the same this season. The difference in this year's UNLV team is that the offense is a bit better. Cornett is a decent running back, and Nick Sherry gives the team a solid upgrade at the quarterback spot. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Kansas v. Northern Illinois OVER 51 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Northern Illinois lost 45-42 in a real shootout last year at Kansas. Both teams offenses have appeared a bit worse so far this year, but this number is far too low. James Sims should be back from a suspension for Kansas, and that will give them a good tailback. Northern Illinois has a great running quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Neither defense has been any good the last couple years (Kansas allowed 37 points per game last year), and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Look for both offenses to move the ball well in this one. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Maryland v. West Virginia OVER 62 | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers have a true Heisman Trophy contender at quarterback in Geno Smith. Smith has as many touchdown passes (9) as he does incompletions so far this year! Dana Holgorsen's offense is perfect for Smith and the Mountaineers two star receivers: Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. Maryland's defense has been solid against horrible offenses this year, but this is their first true test. It won't surprise me at all if the Mountaineers put up 50 points or more here. Maryland's running game should bust a couple long plays as well. The over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 September games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is 7-1 in Maryland's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over.
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09-16-12 | Minnesota Vikings v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 44.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Andrew Luck threw for more than 300 yards in his NFL debut, but he threw three interceptions. The Bears secondary is very good, so that was a tough matchup for Luck. The Vikings secondary will likely start three rookies in this one, and I think Luck will have a much easier time in this one. On the other side, the Colts will be without Dwight Freeney so the pass rush won't get to Ponder as much. In addition, the Colts are terrible against the run. Adrian Peterson should be able to gash the Colts for quite a few yards in this one. Both offenses should have the edge in this game. Take the over.
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09-16-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers OVER 50.5 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 155 h 43 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints defense was absolutely chewed up by RG3 and the Redskins last week. Griffin was great, but I can't help but think part of the reason for his amazing day was a poor Saints defense. New Orleans still put up 32 points, and they should be able to score points in bunches against a less than mediocre Carolina defense. Cam Newton and the Panthers put up 27 points in a 30-27 loss to the Saints at home last year. I think Carolina can get a lot from the tape of last week's Redskins game and use that against New Orleans in this one. The two meetings between these two last year finished at 57 and 62 points. Both offenses have a significant edge on the defenses here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 games. 5 Star Play of the Week on the over in this game!
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09-15-12 | BYU v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* BYU/Utah is known as "The Holy War" rivalry game. It might not be well known all across the country, but this is a very strong rivalry game. BYU was beaten 54-10 by Utah at home last season, and you know that didn't sit well. BYU is a much better team than last year. Utah just lost their starting quarterback. Hays will start for Utah here, and he has never thrown for more than 200 yards in a game. Utah's defensive front is terrific led by Star Lotulelei. BYU ranks in the top 10 in the nation in total defense. The under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. The under is 8-1 in BYU's last 9 September games. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 44 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Notre Dame/MSU Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish appear to be a much better team this year under Brian Kelly. Kelly has had some time to get his type of players into the system, and it is working out very well for the defense. Notre Dame allowed just 10 points against Navy and 17 against a solid Purdue offense. Michigan State is one-dimensional on offense right now with Maxwell struggling at quarterback. On the other side, Michigan State's defense is excellent. I think the Spartans have one of the top five defenses in the nation. The Spartans don't have any real weakness on defense. Boise State couldn't get anything going against the Spartans. Opponents are averaging only 225.5 total yards per game against Michigan State. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Western Kentucky v. Kentucky UNDER 49 | 32-31 | Loss | -109 | 39 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers program has come a very long ways in the past few years. The primary reason this team is so much better is because of the strength of their defense. Even the best teams in the nation don't put up ridiculous numbers on Western Kentucky. Alabama scored 35 points on them last week, but the Crimson Tide had only 328 total yards of offense. Western Kentucky's offense is poor this year without Rainey at tailback. Kentucky's offense isn't very good either, but they do have an athletic defense. It would surprise me to see either team get above 24 points here. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Rice v. Louisiana Tech OVER 64 | Top | 37-56 | Win | 100 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* The Lousiana Tech Bulldogs beat Houston 56-49 last week. Houston moved the ball at will against the Bulldogs defense, which was a bit of a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is clicking from the get go this year, but their defense is a mess. Rice's defense has given up at least 35 points per game for the last three seasons, and this will be one of the best offenses they face this year. Rice has a well-balanced offense that should move the ball very well here. Both teams like to play at a fast pace, and I expect both defenses to be worn out by the end of this one. I think this total should have been set at about 70 points. The over is 62-28 in Rice's last 90 games overall. Take the over big here!
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09-15-12 | Northern Illinois v. Army OVER 50 | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies smacked around Army 49-26 last year. Army struggled last week at San Diego State, but I expect Army to be able to run it against the Huskies here. Northern Illinois doesn't have as good of a defensive front as they did a year ago. In addition, Army's defense hasn't shown the ability over the past couple years to stop the run. Northern Illinois has another very good running quarterback this year in Jordan Lynch. Both teams should be able to move the ball well here. The over is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games against the MAC. Take the over.
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09-15-12 | Arkansas State v. Nebraska OVER 66.5 | 13-42 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Arkansas State is a mid-major team that can put up points in bunches. They scored 34 points in a season-opening loss to Oregon. Ryan Aplin is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Gus Malzahn is the team's new coach, so you know this is an uptempo attack. Nebraska's new offense is all built around going uptempo as well. The Cornhuskers offense has been much improved so far this year, but the defense has been terrible. Both offenses should have their way in this one. I think this line could have easily been above 70. Take the over.
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09-13-12 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 51.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bears/Packers Total Domination* The Chicago Bears clearly have a much better offense than they did a year ago. The Green Bay Packers obviously have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Why do I like the under in this one? It is all about value. Getting a number like 51.5 isn't something I expected here. The public has pushed the number up enough to where this fits in as a solid play. The Bears secondary is one of the best in the NFL, and Green Bay simply can't run the football. Green Bay's defense is good at pressuring the quarterback. The highest total set for meetings between these teams in the past four years is 45.5. I think both teams have to settle for field goals enough here. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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09-10-12 | San Diego Chargers v. Oakland Raiders OVER 46.5 | 22-14 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MNF Totals SMASHER* The San Diego Chargers defense took a big step backward last year. This team doesn't have a good secondary, and Carson Palmer will air it out against them in this one. The Raiders have lost key pieces in their secondary for two straight seasons, and they now have a real weakness at the cornerback spot. Phillip Rivers is healthier now, and I expect him to lead the Chargers offense to quite a few yards against this mediocre Raiders defense. Neither team has a strong pass rush and both secondaries are susceptible. I think the offenses will have the upper hand here. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 season openers. The over is 4-0 in the Raiders last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland between these teams. Take the over.
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09-09-12 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 46.5 | 10-16 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 38-19 and 48-16. Carolina has a very balanced offense with Cam Newton under center. The Panthers have two very good running backs in Stewart and Williams and Newton can run as well as any QB in the NFL. On the other side though, Carolina's defense just isn't very good at all. Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball with ease through the air. Josh Freeman should have a solid season and Doug Martin is a good addition to the offense. Tampa Bay's defense gave up at least 31 points in their final four games last year. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at Tampa Bay between these teams. Take the over.
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09-09-12 | Washington Redskins v. New Orleans Saints OVER 50 | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 47 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints have heard about Bountygate all through the offseason, and I'm guessing they are ready to take out their frustration on the Redskins. Washington's defense allowed 33 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games last year. New Orleans is quite likely to get into the 30's here. Drew Brees has weapons all over the field. Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston are great pass catchers, and the backfield is stacked with talent. New Orleans does give up points. The Redskins should have an improved offense with RG3 at the helm this season. Washington will have more balance and that should help them put up several points here. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Rice v. Kansas OVER 61.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls and Kansas Jayhawks will battle in a game where defense will likely be optional. Kansas allowed a ridiculous 43.8 points per game in 2011. Rice allowed just over 33 points per game. The Owls defense has been atrocious the last few years, and they show no signs of getting better. Kansas should be better offensively with Crist and Charlie Weis running the show. Still, Kansas is a bad team and Rice should be able to run up the points as well. Rice has more offensive weapons than you might think, and it won't surprise me a bit if they get into the 30's in this one. The over is 21-5 in Rice's last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 4-0 in the Jayhawks last 4 September games. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Penn State v. Virginia UNDER 44 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 91 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Penn State Nittany Lions showed their offensive issues last week against Ohio. Still, I do believe the Penn State front seven on defense is pretty good. Virginia is a team that likes to run the ball a lot, and I'm not sure they'll be able to just line up and run on the Nittany Lions. On the other side, Virginia's defense is much improved. Penn State really misses Silas Redd and the passing game is way too inconsistent to be trusted at this point. The under is 7-0 in Virginia's last 7 home games. The under is 12-3-1 in the Nittany Lions last 16. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Toledo v. Arizona OVER 62 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Era Total* Both of these teams have new coaches this season. Tim Beckman left for Illinois and Mike Stoops was fired. The new big name coach at Arizona is Rich Rodriguez. Even though he didn't succeed at Michigan, I still think he can do a solid job at Arizona, especially on offense. He has a great quarterback for his offense in Scott. Arizona should pile up the points against a Toledo defense that gave up more than 60 points twice last year. Arizona's defense was awful in the secondary as well, and the Rockets can score points in bunches. This one should be a track meet. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | San Diego State v. Washington OVER 56.5 | 12-21 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The San Diego State Aztecs have an experienced quarterback in Ryan Katz. Katz has had trouble in the past with interceptions, and it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't get picked a couple times here (which could easily lead to Washington scores). Washington's defense is atrocious, and the Aztecs should find the end zone several times. Washignton's offense is led by Keith Price, who is one of the best quarterbacks in the nation. The Huskies will score a ton of points on nearly everyone this year. I think this total is set quite a bit too low. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | Clemson v. Auburn UNDER 56.5 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 137 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clemson/Auburn Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers were last seen giving up 70 points to West Virginia in the Orange Bowl. That is one of the main reasons we get such a good value on the total here. Auburn's offense is horrendous right now. It will likely be worse than last year after losing Michael Dyer and suspending their star center. Clemson's offense is good, but Auburn should slow them down enough to hold them to field goals a few times. This kind of number simply isn't justified when Auburn is so much stronger defensively than on offense. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Nevada v. California OVER 55.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Nevada Wolfpack have a unique Pistol offense that is very tough to stop. Chris Ault has a very good talent base to work with on offense this year. Fajardo will be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the nation. In addition, Nevada has a couple great weapons on the outside. Cal had a good defense last year, but they lost most of their leaders. Nevada scored 52 points last time they met with Cal. On the other side, Nevada's defense is terrible. Cal should be able to move the ball however they want to in this one. This absolutely seems like a game where both teams should get into the 30's. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 against the PAC 10. The over is 5-1-1 in Cal's last 7 against the MWC. Take the over.
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01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 43.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers have done it all year with their defense. The 49ers stop the run better than anyone in the NFL, and last week they proved they can get after the quarterback as well. The 49ers should have a conservative game plan here. Look for Frank Gore to get quite a few carries in this one. The Giants will open up the passing game quite a bit, but San Francisco has an above average secondary. The under is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 games, and this Giants defense is really improving right now. Conference Championship games tend to run a little lower scoring than average, and I think both of these defenses will be ready for this one. Take the under.
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01-15-12 | NY Giants v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Giants/Packers Total DOMINATION* The New York Giants and Green Bay Packers met in early December. The Giants gained 447 yards and scored 35 points in that one. The Packers gained 449 yards and scored 38 points in that one. I don't see any reason to believe that the defenses will be able to change much in this one. The Packers offense is the most prolific in the NFL. The Giants passing offense has been great all year, and the Packers secondary is last in the NFL in pass defense. The Giants have a great pass rush, but the Packers are great at quick drops to neutralize that advantage. The over is 8-2 in the Packers last 10. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over.
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 40.5 | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Championship Total DOMINATION* It will be a rematch of Alabama vs. LSU in the BCS Championship Game Monday night. I have little doubt that the offenses will have more success than they did last game when it was a 9-6 field goal battle. At the same time, a total of 40.5 with the two best defenses in the country is certainly appealing. Both teams will be looking to establish the run in this one. This should be a game where the clock keeps on ticking the majority of the time. There should be a lot of lining up and trying to pound the running game down the opposition's throat. Alabama allowed 8.8 points per game this year and LSU gave up 10.5 per contest. Neither team has a great quarterback, and both defenses will be stacking the box to guard against the running game. Look for a very hard hitting title game. Take the under.
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01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants OVER 47 | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Falcons/Giants Total Domination* The Atlanta Falcons offense really found its own in the last four weeks. Atlanta scored at least 31 points in three of their last four games. The Giants have a good pass rush, but the secondary takes too many chances and gives up big plays too often. On the other side, Eli Manning has some real weapons on the outside. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have turned into young superstars for the Giants. Atlanta's secondary is below average, and they aren't that great at pressuring the quarterback without bringing a blitz. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4. Take the over in this one.
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01-07-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans UNDER 39 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wild Card Total Domination* Houston's offense has done fairly well under the leadership of rookie T.J. Yates, but there is no doubt this unit isn't as strong as it was at the start of the season. The Bengals will likely gear up to stop the run, something they have done well this year. On the other side, Houston quietly has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Cedric Benson and the Bengals running game hasn't been very good of late. The Bengals offense hasn't scored more than 24 in a game in their last nine games, and the playoff jitters should hurt this young offense. Look for both defenses to play well here. Take the under.
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01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 58.5 | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 728 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Orange Bowl Total Domination* Clemson and West Virginia are two teams who can really put up the points. Both teams have become much more impressive on the offensive side of the football this season. Dana Holgorsen's Mountaineers are a brand new team this year. Geno Smith is picking apart defenses on a consistent basis. On the other side, Tajh Boyd was sensational in his freshman season for the Tigers. Clemson averages 34 points per game, and the Tigers have one of the nation's best play makers in Sammy Watkins. Tavon Austin and the Mountaineers receivers are also capable of making big plays. This game definitely has the potential to be very high scoring. I really like the over in this one.
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 71.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rose Bowl Total Domination* There should be plenty of offensive fireworks in this terrific Rose Bowl matchup. Wisconsin's defense has been vulnerable against the run this year and Oregon has the running backs to take advantage. The Ducks have a quick strike offense that should be better than any offense Wisconsin has seen this year. The Badgers have a great offense as well. Montee Ball racked up the touchdowns this year and he should find plenty of running room against a weak Oregon defense. Russell Wilson was spectacular this year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease. The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games. Take the over!
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01-01-12 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Both Carolina and New Orleans can pile up the points. Cam Newton has shown that he can perform well against just about any defense in the NFL. Drew Brees and the Saints starters are expected to play in this game. The final game of the season generally lends itself to a higher scoring game. The over is 6-2 in the Saints last 8 January games. The over/under here is posted extremely high, but I think these two teams have a good shot at getting to 60 in this situation. Both pass defenses are very poor, and I think that will be on full display in this one. Take the over.
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12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State OVER 44.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* Rutgers has improved its passing game dramatically throughout the year. Iowa State's secondary has been pretty suspect this year. Rutgers has had some trouble stopping the run this year, and the running game is Iowa State's strength. I tend to think that a game like this is a good case of the long layoff helping the offense more than the defense. The over is 4-1 in Rutgers last 5 bowl games. This total is set a little too low. Take the over here.
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12-24-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 16-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's defense has been awful of late. The Bucs have given up at least 31 points in five of their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good under the leadership of Cam Newton this year. Stewart and Williams are a great tailback tandem, and Steve Smith is a great weapon on the outside. Carolina's defense is giving up 26.3 points per game this year. The Panthers haven't been good against the run or the pass. Josh Freeman and the Bucs offense should be able to put up several scores in this one as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Bucs last 27 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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12-24-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Vikings have given up 34, 35, and 42 points in their last three games. In fact, Minnesota hasn't given up less than 24 points in a game since October 2. This Minnesota secondary has been getting riddled on a weekly basis. Rex Grossman may throw quite a few interceptions, but he does help the Redskins move the ball pretty consistently through the air. On the other side, Washignton is mediocre against the run, and Adrian Peterson is a beast on the ground. Christian Ponder and the Vikings offense has scored 32, 28, and 20 points in their last three games. I expect both teams to score quite a few here. Take the over here.
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12-22-11 | Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 390 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total.
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12-18-11 | Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47.5 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 87 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Oakland Raiders defense has completely fallen apart of late. Oakland has allowed 33.3 points per game in their last three games. Carson Palmer has helped the offense move the ball well, but he is throwing far too many interceptions. Palmer has a tendency to throw a lot of pick six passes. The Lions secondary will be very aggressive this weekend. Matt Stafford and the Lions passing attack is working well right now. The trends point strongly to the over. The over is 7-1-1 in the Lions last 9 road games. The over is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 games. Take the over.
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12-18-11 | Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 45.5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* Rex Grossman does give the Redskins offense a bit of a boost when it comes to moving the ball, but he still makes those bad decisions with the ball. The Giants are liable to pick him off at least a couple times here, and there could easily be a defensive score in this game. Eli Manning and the Giants passing game has been great of late. Look for the Giants to build on last week's momentum building win in Dallas. The over is 12-5-1 in the Giants last 18 games. The over is 4-0 in Washington's last 4. Take the over.
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12-17-11 | Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 264 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here.
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12-11-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 39 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The 49ers defense continues to amaze as the season moves along. San Francisco tops the NFL in run defense, and the pass defense has improved over the last few weeks. Arizona has scored 9, 6, 7, and 7 points in the team's last four meetings with San Francisco. The Cardinals defense has been playing better lately as well. The under is 4-1 in Arizona's last 5. The under is 6-1 in San Francisco's last 7. I think this is a game where both offenses settle for field goals most of the time. Take the under.
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12-11-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* Carolina has shown they have the ability to move the football against just about everyone this year. The Atlanta defense isn't very good against the pass, and Cam Newton should have some success against them. On the other side, the Panthers defense is allowing 27 points per game. The Panthers lost two defensive tackles last week, and that will certainly hurt the run defense. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense chewed up this unit in the first meeting this year, and I expect them to do the same this time. Look for both offenses to move it with ease here. Take the over.
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12-11-11 | New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 48 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense had a brief period where they struggled a few weeks ago, but they are back in a big way of late. The Patriots have scored at least 31 points in four straight games. The Redskins defense gave up 34 points against the Jets last week, and I suspect they'll struggle against Brady and the Pats. Rex Grossman has Santana Moss back, and the Patriots secondary ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. Washington should be able to move the ball and score. Also, Grossman always has the potential to throw a pick-six at any time. The over is 23-8 in New England's last 31. Take the over.
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12-10-11 | Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
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12-04-11 | Oakland Raiders v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders have been playing pretty good football of late. The Raiders are right in the thick of the AFC West race, and this is a game they really need to win. Miami may have started 0-7, but they have won 3 of their last 4. The Dolphins defense is giving up less than 19 points per game this year. Without Darren McFadden, the Raiders offense is certainly less explosive. Jacoby Ford is also expected to miss this game. Matt Moore is a solid quarterback, but the Raiders should key in on the run in this one. Look for the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 15-5-1 in Miami's last 21 games. Take the under.
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12-03-11 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 43 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Ten Title Total* Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
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12-03-11 | Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
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11-26-11 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5 | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
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11-26-11 | Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 112 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown* Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-26-11 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46 | 38-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rivalry Totals Play* Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
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11-25-11 | California v. Arizona State OVER 54 | 47-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
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11-25-11 | Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57 | 20-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total* Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
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11-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 40 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Total Domination* San Francisco is a ball control type of team. Alex Smith has been great for the 49ers, but he isn't going to throw for a ton of yards against many teams. The Niners will be looking to establish Frank Gore. Baltimore's front seven is terrific. The 49ers defense is first in the NFL in points allowed, and the Ravens offense has been very inconsistent this year. This looks like a game where both teams try to pound the ball and play a field position battle. Take the under here.
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11-20-11 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Day* Arizona's offense may have had enough to beat the Eagles last week, but with Skelton at quarterback I don't expect them to move the ball much at all against the 49ers. The 49ers lead the league in rushing defense, so they should shut down the Cardinals rushing attack. Skelton and Smith are two quarterbacks that really can't air it out that often. Look for both teams to be running a lot here. Jim Harbaugh's team should grind out another win here. I don't expect this to be a pretty game, and it should stay under the posted total. Take the under.
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11-20-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48 | 26-35 | Win | 100 | 39 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bucs/Packers Total Domination* Tampa Bay's secondary is a mess right now, and the last team they would want to be playing is the Green Bay Packers. Aaron Rodgers is carving up every defense he faces, and he should do the same to this weakened Bucs secondary. The Packers have scored 45 points in each of their last two games, and I think they could easily top 40 again in this one. At the same time, Green Bay's secondary has struggled this year and I think Josh Freeman and the Bucs will be able to move the ball at times. The over is 8-2 in Green Bay's last 10 home games. Take the over.
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11-20-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 42 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total TKO* Washington's offense has been abysmal of late. The Redskins made the change to John Beck and it hasn't helped the offense one bit. Tim Hightower is out and the running game is struggling as well. Washington just doesn't have many play makers at all on offense right now. Dallas has been playing well defensively this year. Rob Ryan should have a scheme to shut down this Redskins offense. The Redskins usually get up to play the Cowboys, and that generally leads to a low scoring affair. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 games. Take the under.
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11-19-11 | USC v. Oregon OVER 67 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 116 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Oregon showed the college football world how good they are last weekend when they took it to Stanford on the road. The Ducks high powered offense got rolling in the second half, and when it is rolling it is a thing of beauty. LaMichael James is back in the lineup and he is a gamebreaker. USC has one of the best passing attacks in the nation, and Oregon ranks 80th in the country in pass defense. The Ducks will have trouble with Matt Barkley and company, but I expect Oregon to put up a big number here as well. Last year's game finished 53-32. Don't be surprised if this game ends up in the upper 70's or so low 80's. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 44 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* The word around Tennessee is that Tyler Bray will likely be back for the Volunteers in this one. Bray is probably the best quarterback in the SEC, and he will instantly make this Tennessee offense much better again. Vanderbilt has improved as an offense of late. The Commodores should be able to run the ball some against a mediocre front seven for Tennessee. Jordan Rodgers has helped this Vanderbilt offense build some momentum of late. Look for this game to have more scoring than most expect. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 41 | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Eastern Michigan is a much improved football team this year. Ron English and the Eastern Michigan Eagles have done it by running the football well and controlling the ball. The defense is also much better than it was last year. Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in the country in total offense. The Golden Flashes do have a very good defense, especially against the run. Neither of these offenses can throw the ball much at all, and the defenses should hold up well here. Expect an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-13-11 | St. Louis Rams v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 37 | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The St. Louis Rams and the Cleveland Browns both have been very poor offensively this year. Neither team has very many weapons offensively. Sam Bradford has been dinged up this year, and he doesn't have much help at all at wide receiver. Colt McCoy hasn't been bad, but without a running game at all this Browns offense has been bad. Peyton Hillis is expected to miss this one, and that hurts the Browns a lot. I fully expect this to be a very ugly that not many people will want to watch. The under is set low, but it is low for a reason. The under is 6-0-1 in the Rams last 7 road games. Take the under.
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11-13-11 | Washington Redskins v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 38 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Top Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins decided to go to John Beck at quarterback, and it hasn't helped the offense. This offense is struggling to get anything done lately. Beck has only thrown two touchdowns all year. The Redskins are lacking offensively without key weapons such as Cooley, Moss, and Hightower. Miami's defense is better than most people realize, and that is why the Dolphins have been in so many games of late. The Dolphins offense can only run the ball, and the Redskins defense isn't that bad. Washington is giving up only 19.8 points per game. Two bad offenses and two decent defenses should mean a lot of running and not much scoring. The under is 6-1 in the Redskins last 7. The under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7. Take the under.
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11-12-11 | Oregon v. Stanford OVER 65.5 | 53-30 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/Stanford Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were in the BCS Championship game last year. Stanford is hoping to make it to the title game this year, but Oregon is standing in the way. The Ducks still have a chance at the title game, but they must win here. Oregon's offense is extremely dangerous, and I think they give Stanford's defense some serious matchup problems. Oregon's offense is built on pure speed, while Stanford is a physical defense that isn't as quick. Oregon's offense is just as good as last year, but their defense isn't as strong. Stanford should be able to move the ball consistently against the Ducks. The over is 15-6 in Oregon's last 21 conference games. The over is 11-3 in Stanford's last 14 home games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Fresno State v. New Mexico State OVER 64 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* Fresno State has one of the worst defenses in college football. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.2 points per game this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year. The Aggies have topped the 30 point mark in four of their last five games. New Mexico State's defense also gives up 36 points per game. The Aggies are 112th out of 120 teams in the nation in total defense. Fresno State should be able to move it up and down the field consistently here. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 10 games. Take the over in this one!
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11-12-11 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 48 | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Buffalo's offense is slowly improving as the season moves along. Buffalo's strength is the passing game, and Eastern Michigan's secondary struggles. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is a team that runs almost all the time. Buffalo's front seven has been terrible against the run this year. Both offenses should be able to move the ball here. The over is 7-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | West Virginia v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* West Virginia's Dan Holsgorsen has changed the way the Mountaineers play. West Virginia's offense is much much better than they have been in recent years, but their defense is also much worse. The Mountaineers last three games have had a total final score of 72, 72, and 73 points. Cincinnati's weakness on defense is their pass defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati averages 39 points per game on offense. Zach Collaros leads an offense that can put points on the board in a hurry either by running or throwing it. The over is 8-0 in West Virginia's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Penn State Totals CASH* The Penn State defense is the best in the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions offense simply isn't very good. The Cornhuskers defense has underachieved this year, but they have been a bit better the last few weeks. Both teams will be looking to run the ball consistently in this one. There will be extra emotions from Penn State in this one, and I think that will show up on the defensive side of the ball. Look for Nebraska's option offense to be slowed down. Taylor Martinez isn't a very adept passer, which means the Nittany Lions should hold down the Huskers offense. Seven of Penn State's last eight games have stayed under this posted total. I like the under here.
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers OVER 47.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thurdsay Night Total Domination* Carson Palmer is still learning the Oakland Raiders offense. Palmer started to show some flashes of brilliance last weekend, but he once again threw three interceptions. The Chargers secondary takes chances, and I suspect they'll probably pick off a couple passes in this one. Don't be surprised if there is a defensive score here. The Raiders defense has been shredded of late. Denver put up 38 points on them last week, and Kansas City scored 28 the week before. The Chargers passing game got going last week against the Packers, but Rivers is still throwing lots of interceptions as well. Expect both teams to move the ball a lot here. I think there is a good amount of value on the 'over' in this one. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green OVER 65 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Day* The Northern Illinois Huskies are a terrific running team. They rank ninth in the nation in rushing yards. Bowling Green's rushing defense ranks 93rd in the nation. Northern Illinois averages 41 points per game. The Huskies have also been horrific on the defensive side of the ball, especially on the road. In their five road games they have allowed 45, 49. 48, 30, and 60 points. That is hardly a strong defense, and Bowling Green's offense is pretty good. Expect Matt Schilz and the Falcons to move the ball through the air nicely in this one. The over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois' last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in Bowling Green's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 68 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Western Michigan and Toledo both have powerful offenses. The Broncos have Alex Carder, one of the MAC's best quarterbacks. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he and Carder have built up trust in each other. Toledo's secondary is the team's biggest weakness, and that should be exposed in a big way by Western Michigan. On the other side, Western Michigan has given up more than 30 points in three of their last five games. The over is 6-1 in Toledo's last 7 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 42.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Knockout* The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers are both very tough teams. When these two get together you can always expect nothing short of a hard nosed football game where plenty of guys get dinged up. James Harrison is expected to be back in the Steelers lineup for this one, and that should be a big boost for the defense. The total for this game is set quite a bit higher than we are used to seeing for a Ravens/Steelers game. Earlier this year when the teams met the total was 36. The game did go 'over' but it finished at 42 points (and that was with 7 Steelers turnovers). Just two of the last eight games between these two went over this posted total. I expect both defenses to play well Sunday night. Take the under.
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11-06-11 | Green Bay Packers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Packers/Chargers Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense has been virtually unstoppable this year. Aaron Rodgers is showing that he is the best quarterback in the NFL right now. Rodgers has 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions this year. The Packers are averaging 33 points per game. San Diego's offense has struggled with turnovers this year. Phillip Rivers has been extremely disappointing, but this is still a Chargers team that can move the ball through the air. Green Bay is giving up 289 yards through the air each game. San Diego has the offensive weapons to rack up a lot of yards through the air. Look for both quarterbacks to have a lot of success here. This should be a shootout. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 42 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bengals have the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. The Titans are dead last in the NFL in rushing so far this year. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense have been solid, but they aren't a high scoring offense. This is the type of game that I expect to be won on the ground. Look for the Bengals to get Cedric Benson the ball quite a bit. At the same time, the Titans will be eager to try to get Chris Johnson going. Both defenses should have the upper hand on the offenses in this one. Take the under here.
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11-05-11 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 70.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks expect to have LaMichael James for this game, and that is huge for this offense. Washington's defense is allowing almost 300 yards per game through the air, and the Huskies allow 33 points per game. Oregon put up 53 points on Washington last year. The Huskies lost Jake Locker, but their offense is actually better this year. Keith Price has been fantastic at the quarterback position, and Chris Polk is one of the best runners in the country. This Oregon offense is just as good as last year, but the Oregon defense is definitely weaker than last season. I expect both teams to move the ball at will in this one. The total is set very high, but I think this has a good chance of topping 80 points. The over is 19-9 in Oregon's last 28. The over is 5-2-1 in the Huskies last 8. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 58.5 | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 134 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rice Owls gave up 73 points to Houston last week. UTEP certainly doesn't have the same offense Houston does, but this Rice defense has a way of making the opposing offense look good. The Owls are giving up 495 yards and 38 points per contest. On the other side, UTEP is giving up 427 yards and 27 points per contest as well. The Rice offense has been improving in the last few weeks, and they should be able to run the ball against the Miners front seven. The books have had a lot of trouble trying to catch up to the Owls in the last few years. The over is 60-24 in the Owls last 84 games overall. Take the over here.
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11-05-11 | Troy v. Navy OVER 58.5 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Navy has one of the best running games in the country, and they also have a very poor defense. I have played successfully on the 'over' in Navy games several times this year. I think this is another good spot. Troy can move the football quite well through the air. I expect Corey Robinson to have a big game against the Navy secondary. On the other side, Troy's defense simply isn't any good. I don't expect them to be able to slow down the option much at all. Navy averages 36 points per game at home, and Troy gives up 34 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | North Carolina v. North Carolina State OVER 55 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The NC State defense has struggled mightily all year. The Wolfpack are giving up almost 400 yards of offense each game, and that has been to mostly mediocre offenses. Bryn Renner and this North Carolina offense is pretty good. Renner can make all the tough throws, and Giovani Bernard already has 965 yards rushing this year. The Tar Heels should roll up quite a few points here. NC State gets most of their yards through the air, and that just happens to be the Tar Heels defense weakness. North Carolina is 98th in the nation against the pass. The over is 13-4 in NC State's last 17 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Louisville v. West Virginia OVER 49 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 131 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers are a different team now that Dana Holgorsen is at the helm instead of Bill Stewart. The Mountaineers are much better offensively, and they are much weaker on defense. In their last seven games, the lowest total is 59 points. Louisville is certainly a team that has a pretty good defense, but they haven't faced offenses as good as West Virginia's. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 49 and 31 points to mediocre offenses in their last two games. The under is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 8. The over is 7-0 in West Virginia's last 7. I think the Mountaineers will dictate the style of play here. Take the over.
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