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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-19-15 | Tulsa Shock v. Washington Mystics OVER 147.5 | 86-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
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06-16-15 | Minnesota Lynx -8 v. LA Sparks | 67-52 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
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06-14-15 | Tulsa Shock v. SA Silver Stars -2.5 | 73-62 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
The Tulsa Shock hit the road today for their game at San Antonio. The Shock started the season 2-1 (0-1 on the road), while San Antonio is 0-2 (0-0 at home). Tulsa is shooting 40% this season and averaging a nice 81.3 ppg. Plennette Pierson is averaging 16.3 ppg and Odyssey Sims is chipping in a team-high 17.3 ppg. The problem today is that Sims is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Combine that with a defense that has allowed 73 ppg this season and Tulsa could be in for a big shock today. Sure, the Stars lost their first two games this season, but both losses came on the road. The Stars are led by Kayla McBride who is averaging 17 ppg. Even thought San Antonio is 0-2, they have lost by a total of eight points. Now they return home. The Shock will have to go without their best player and I look for that to be the difference maker here on Sunday. I'm taking San Antonio to win its first game this season. |
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06-12-15 | Phoenix Mercury v. Indiana Fever OVER 152.5 | 74-77 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
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06-11-15 | Seattle Storm v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 151 | 70-94 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 57 m | Show | |
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06-09-15 | Seattle Storm v. Tulsa Shock UNDER 157.5 | 45-68 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
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06-06-15 | Chicago Sky v. Tulsa Shock +3 | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
6/06 05:05 PM WNBA (655) CHICAGO SKY VS (656) TULSA SHOCK Take: (656) TULSA SHOCK Reason: Chicago is off a rivalry game with Indiana and now heads out on the road for their first away contest. They run into a Tulsa team that has a totally new look and played well in preseason with a pair of wins. Tulsa is bolstered by the additions of Karima Christmas and Plenette Pierson along with No. 2 overall draft pick Amanda Zahui B. Turning pro after her sophomore year at Minnesota, Zahui B. was an All-American, averaging 18.7 points and 12.7 rebounds. Play Tulsa! |
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08-15-14 | Seattle Storm +7 v. Los Angeles Sparks | 65-77 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 37 m | Show | |
LA and Seattle only separated by three games in the west and while LA has already locked-up a playoff spot, Seattle hasn't. Seattle overcame a 13-point halftime deficit to win last time out over the Tulsa Shock, 74-68. Sue Bird's 22 points led the way and kept Seattle in the playoff hunt. With just two games remaining, the Storm need some help but must win these final two games. If they can win and San Antonio loses its final two, the Storm will make the playoffs. LA has their playoff spot secured, but they are a strange team, posting a winning road record (9-7) and losing home record (6-10). I had a nice winner with the Sparks on the road the other night, but I look to go against them at home. That's just what I will do here on Friday as Seattle in that must win spot and we are getting points. Plus, LA Sparks forward Nnemkadi Ogwumike (Ankle) is questionable tonight and might be kept out just because they already have their playoff spot in hand. Seattle needs a outright win, but we only need to cover the +6 1/2 points we are getting. Take Seattle as our WNBA Game of the Year. |
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08-13-14 | Phoenix Mercury v. Atlanta Dream +5.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
It's the best of the West against the Beast of the East as Phoenix takes on Atlanta in a matchup of conference leaders. Phoenix arguably the best team in the league with a 27-4 record and a 12-3 road tally. The Mercury have won nine of their last 10 games with their only loss coming to Minnesota. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 17-14 in the weaker east where the Dream are the only team with a winning record. While I was doing well betting on the Mercury, lately they haven't been a good bet, going 0-5 ATS their last five games. Meanwhile, the Dream have done decent of late against the West, posting a 4-1 ATS mark their last five. I look for Atlanta to slow the pace in this one as they don't want to get into a run and gun shootout against the league's best scoring team. If they can keep the Mercury under 75, we should get the cover. Atlanta is a home dog and the points are just too much to pass on here. I'm taking Atlanta plus the points. |
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08-09-14 | Minnesota Lynx v. Phoenix Mercury -5 | 80-82 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
The two best teams in the WNBA meet up again here on Saturday. The Minnesota Lynx are 2nd in the west with a 24-6 record while the league's best team, Phoenix, is 25-4. Phoenix has lost only one time in their last 18 games and that was last week in Minnesota. So the Mercury have a bit of revenge on their mind as they don't want to lose to the Lynx on their home court. Minnesota is also hot, winning 11 straight and they are 14-4 on the road this season. Both clubs are excellent and while this one could be close we are fading one of the smallest lines you will be able to get at home with Phoenix this year, just 4 1/2 points. I'm done well playing Phoenix this season and while both clubs have covered well, I'm sticking with the home club. Take Phoenix. |
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08-07-14 | Phoenix Mercury -7 v. San Antonio Silver Stars | 78-73 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
No doubt about it, the Phoenix Mercury are the best team in the WNBA. Minnesota is a close second and even though the Lynx did beat Phoenix the other day, don't believe they are the better team. Phoenix had won 15 straight games before the loss at Minnesota and now has won two more since. That makes the Mercury 17-1 S/U the last 18. They cover spreads too, going 11-3 ATS their last 14 overall and 4-1 ATS their last five away games. As for San Antonio, they have to play in the tough west and that means third place still has them 11 1/2 back of Phoenix. And surprisingly, the Stars have a losing home record of 6-8. And, the Stars are not a good covering team, going 1-8 ATS their last nine games and 0-6 ATS their last six against the tough West. I know we have to lay points on the road with Phoenix, but they can cover the number. Take Phoenix here on Thursday. |
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08-05-14 | Tulsa Shock +6.5 v. Los Angeles Sparks | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
There is no big secret that the power in the WNBA lies in the west with Phoenix and Minnesota. While LA and Tulsa are not in the elite category of the previously mentioned clubs, they are still in the tough west. LA is 13-15 and in third place with Tulsa 10-19 in fourth place. But what is most surprising is that the Sparks have the worst home record in the WNBA at 5-9. Moreover, the Sparks are not a good covering team at home, posting a 6-21 ATS mark in their last 27 home games. I played against them on Sunday, taking the points with the Connecticut Sun and we easily covered the five point line. The Shock have done well in LA, going 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 trips out west. And, overall, Tulsa is 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games against the Sparks. LA not a good covering home club and Tulsa holds all the cards in this one. Take the points with TULSA. |
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08-03-14 | Connecticut Sun +6 v. LA Sparks | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
There is no big secret that the power in the WNBA lies in the west with Phoenix and Minnesota. Atlanta is the best in the east and after that you can parity is pretty much the name of the game in both leagues. LA hosts Connecticut today and while the Sun has the worst record in the WNBA at 11-17, they did pull off the road win last time out at San Antonio. LA is fourth in the west at 12-15 and is coming off a loss. But what is most surprising is that the Sparks have the worst home record in the WNBA at 4-9. What also could be a big issue today for the Sparks is that of leading scorer Candace Parker. Parker is questionable with a knee injury and even if she does play, her minutes may be limited and she may not be 100%. Moreover, the Sparks are not a good covering team at home, posting a 6-20 ATS mark in their last 26 home games. With Parker hurting, the Sparks not a good home team and laying 6 or 6 1/2 seems like a mountain to climb for the home club. I'll take the points here with Connecticut and wouldn't be surprised at all by a straight-up Sun win. |
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08-02-14 | Indiana Fever v. Phoenix Mercury -10 | 69-79 | Push | 0 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
The WNBA west conference definitely the class of the WNBA and the best team by far is Phoenix. Phoenix not only boasts a league-best 21-4 record, but they are 12-1 at home and have won 15 of their last 16 games after a rare loss at Minnesota last time out. Indiana is the 2nd best team in the east, but still has a below .500 record. The Fever have done well on the road, covering eight of their last nine games. However, Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last five against the East. Moreover, the Mercury are 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Don't know if I would want to be the team having to face Phoenix the game after its first loss in 15 straight. But that's what we have here. I'm sticking with Phoenix here tonight as they rebound from their loss with a big blowout win. Take Phoenix. |
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08-01-14 | Connecticut Sun v. San Antonio Silver Stars -4.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
Definitely the strength in the WNBA is in the West with the best of the best there. Today is no exception as we have the East's Connecticut traveling to San Antonio. The Sun haven't done well against the West of late, going 2-5 ATS their last seven. Even in the weak East, the Sun are in last place with a 10-17 record and 3-11 road mark. They have also lost four straight games. Meanwhile, San Antonio sits third in the tough West at 13-14, but 10 games back of the the Mercury. The Stars maybe better than their record shows, but playing against the likes of Phoenix and Minnesota in the west will take a knock on that record. San Antonio has done well against the weaker East, covering six of the last seven tries. The Stars are also 7-1 ATS the last eight times these teams have met. I like the home club here on Friday, take San Antonio. |
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07-31-14 | Indiana Fever -2.5 v. Seattle Storm | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
Indiana played and lost at LA on Monday, though they did cover the 4 1/2 point line. Indiana is also one of those rare teams that has a better road record (7-6) than a home record (5-8). Meanwhile, Seattle has the worst record in the WNBA at 9-18 (before Tuesday's game) and also had lost five straight and eight of the last 10 (all before Tuesday night). We had Indiana at LA on Monday and covered, making it seven of the last eight road covers for the Fever. And, even though the East conference is weaker than the West, Indiana has covered eight of the last 11 against the West. The Storm aren't so good, covering just one of the last five against the East and going 0-4 ATS their last four home games. Indiana has covered five of the last six meetings with Seattle and I look for that to happen again here on Wednesday. Take Indiana. |
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07-29-14 | Los Angeles Sparks v. Phoenix Mercury -10 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
The WNBA west conference definitely the class of the WNBA and the best team by far is Phoenix. The Mercury are unbeatable at this point at home or on the road. Phoenix not only boasts a league-best 21-3 record, but they are 11-1 at home and have won 15 straight games. The LA Sparks are unfortunately in the West and that puts them in four place at 11-14, 10 1/2 games back of the Mercury. LA does have a better road record than home record, which is strange in this sport. LA hasn't done well against winning teams either, evidenced by its 7-19 ATS record the last 26 games. And that pans out here against Phoenix too, where the Sparks have not covered in their last meetings with the league's top team. All the numbers lineup for Phoenix here. The Mercury are not only winning, but covering big spreads. They are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games, 12-3-1 ATS against the tough west conference their last 16 games and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Strike while the Mercury are hot, lets get them here laying just under double digits in what should be another Mercury blowout win. Your WNBA TV Game of the year is on Phoenix. |
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07-28-14 | Indiana Fever +5 v. Los Angeles Sparks | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
It's East against West tonight in LA as the Indiana Fever take on the Sparks. The West is by far the best conference of the two with Phoenix and Minnesota combining for a 41-9 record. Conversely, only Atlanta in the East has better than a .500 record (15-9). Indiana has actually done better on the road this season that at home, posting a 7-5 away mark compared to its home record of 5-8. LA has struggled at home, posting a 3-9 record. The Fever has covered well on the road too, going 6-1 ATS their last seven away. Moreover, Indiana is one of the few teams in the east that has done well against the west, covering seven of their last 10 against the conference. LA has really struggled on its home court, posting a 7-20 ATS record in the last 27 games. Taking points here with Indiana just too much to pass up on. Play Indiana. |
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07-27-14 | Atlanta Dream v. Washington Mystics +2.5 | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
The WNBA East is definitely the weaker division of the two as only Atlanta (15-8) has a winning record. 2nd place Washington is four games back of Atlanta at 12-13. The Mystics can close that gap to three games here on Sunday. Washington has won three straight while Atlanta has lost three straight. The Atlanta Dream hasn't covered well on the road, going just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 away contests. Meanwhile, the Mystics are 4-1-1 ATS their last six games. I'm a bit surprised that Atlanta is laying points on the road despite a 5-5 S/U road record and poor covering record on the road. I'll take the points here on Sunday and look for the Mystics in a straight-up win. |
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07-26-14 | New York Liberty v. Phoenix Mercury -11 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
The WNBA west conference definitely the class of the WNBA with Phoenix and Minnesota topping out at a combined 38-9 record. Phoenix looks to be the team to beat right now at 20-3 (10-2 on the road). They have won 14 straight games and look pretty unbeatable right now. New York looks to be the latest victim here on Saturday. The Liberty are just 10-13 in the weaker East Conference. The Liberty are also just 3-8 on the road. The Mercury are a well balanced team with five players averaging in double figures. The Mercury usually is laying near or over double-digits at home , which is the case again here as we fade a 11 1/2 point home line. The Mercury are 17-5-1 ATS their last 23 games, so they are proving they can cover games. Liberty also just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. Phoenix just too good a team right now to go against. I have been doing great playing Phoenix and like the old saying, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it." I'm sticking with the best team in the WNBA in another blowout win here on Saturday. |
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07-24-14 | Phoenix Mercury -3 v. Los Angeles Sparks | 93-73 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Reason: The WNBA west conference definitely the class of the WNBA with Phoenix and Minnesota topping out at a combined 37-9 record. Phoenix looks to be the team to beat right now at 19-3 (9-2 on the road). They have won 13 straight games and look pretty unbeatable right now. LA is 10-12 in the West and sits in 4th place, nine games back of Phoenix. The Mercury are led by Diana Taurasi with 17.8 ppg. But the Mercury are a well balanced team with five players averaging in double figures. LA had won three straight games before their last contest, a 79-75 setback at home to Washington. The Mercury usually is laying near or over double-digits at home and laying on the road also. Here at LA we have to lay just three and that seems like a bargain with the best team in the WNBA. The Mercury are 16-5-1 ATS their last 22 games, so they are proving they can cover games. The Mercury have also covered the last four meetings in LA against the Sparks and are 4-1 ATS overall the last five meetings. Phoenix just too good a team right now to go against, even on the road. LA could pull an upset, but I don't see it happening. LA is still a sub-.500 club going against the best in the WNBA. Let's stick with the best here, take Phoenix. |
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07-23-14 | Connecticut Sun v. Washington Mystics -4.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Connecticut had a good run in June, winning seven of eight games. But it fell apart starting on June 27 at this same Washington club where the Sun lost 69-63. Since that loss to the Mystics, the Sun have gone on a 2-8 S/U run. Meanwhile, Washington has won three of its last four games, all on the road. They finally return home after a five game road trip and playing nine of the last 11 away. Washington has really dominated Connecticut, covering the last five games in Washington and eight of the last nine overall. Laying five points here at home with the Mystics is a bargain with the way Connecticut has been playing of late. Take Washington. |
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07-22-14 | Phoenix Mercury -5.5 v. Seattle Storm | 89-71 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Reason: WNBA T.V. Road Warrior Game of the Month: |
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07-16-14 | Tulsa Shock +9 v. Minnesota Lynx | 82-93 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Minnesota is the defending WNBA Champion and they are playing very good again this year at 16-6. At home they have been even better, posting a 9-1 mark. Tonight they have to lay double digits against Tulsa. Tulsa is 7-14 on the season and 3-7 on the road. Tulsa scores a lot of points so covering double digits will be tough here for Minnesota against a team that average over 80 ppg. And, if we look at the last six games for the Shock, they have gone to OT in three of those games. Double digits against a high scoring team is tough so I'm going to take the points here on Wednesday and hop that Tulsa can just get their average on the season and we should get the cover. |
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07-15-14 | Washington Mystics v. Phoenix Mercury -10.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
The best team in the WNBA is the Phoenix Mercury and they keep showing just why as they have rattled off 10 straight wins. The Washington Mystics are just 9-12 on the season and have the worst defense in the WNBA, allowing 74.4 ppg. That's bad news for the Mystics tonight against not only the best team in the WNBA, but the WNBA's top scoring team with an 84.2 ppg average. The Mercury are coming off a 20 point home win over Seattle and have had four days to rest up for tonight's contest. The Mystics have lost eight of their last 11 games so tonight could get ugly for Washington. I don't normally like laying double digits, but Phoenix should be able to score at will tonight and cover this big number. Play Phoenix. |
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07-08-14 | Los Angeles Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx -5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
Reason: The LA Sparks ran into the best team in the NBA on Sunday, Phoenix, and found out just why the Mercury are the best. Phoenix beat the Sparks in LA, 94-89 to extend their winning streak to seven games. The WNBA West is the best conference as three of the six teams have records above .500, compared to just one team in the East (Atlanta) with a winning record. The Lynx are defending champs, but haven't had a healthy roster all season. Star Seimone Augustus (knee bursitis) has missed three games but did practice on Sunday. Not sure if she will be ready tonight, but the Lynx really don't need her against a reeling Sparks club. The Sparks are 4-7 in their last 11 games but have won their last two on the road. Still, LA does not do well against winning teams, evidenced by their 4-12 ATS mark the last 16 tries. In addition, the Sparks are 0-4 ATS in their last four trips to Minnesota. The defending champs may not be fully healthy but they are still 13-6 on the season and 7-1 at home. Even if Augustus doesn't play, the Lynx should be able to cover as a five-point home chalk against LA here on Tuesday. |
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07-06-14 | Phoenix Mercury -1.5 v. Los Angeles Sparks | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Mercury have the best winning percentage in the WNBA at .800 (12-3). They Mercury is rising with six straight wins and a 6-2 road record. Meanwhile, the LA Sparks are struggling at 7-9 and a losing home record (3-5). No surprise that Phoenix is the top scoring team in the WNBA at 84.8 ppg and 6th best rebounding team. LA has also had trouble at home covering just five of their last 19 games. The Mercury have done well in LA, covering four of the last five meetings. Best team in the WNBA against a struggling LA club and we have to lay just one point? We'll take that. Play the Mercury. |
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