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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-22 | Rams v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
The Defending Super Champion Rams look pretty much dead in the water this season. Injuries has decimated the team and today they will be without two key starts. QB Matthew Stafford is out with a neck injury as is WR Cooper Kupp who is out with a ankle injury. The Rams have now lost four straight games and not score more than 20 points in seven of their last eight games. What was once a high octane offense now ranks 30th overall and 31st in rushing. The defense is still good though, ranking in at 10th overall. The Kansas City Chiefs have opened up a three-game lead in the AFC West at 8-2 overall. The Chiefs have won four straight games since their loss at home to Buffalo back on Oct 16th. The Chiefs have the top ranked offense in the league and 18th ranked defense. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five road games and 10 of their last 14 road games vs a winning home team. The Chiefs have gone under in five of their last six home games. Unless the Chiefs go crazy scoring here today, I don't see the Rams scoring enough to get this game over. I'll take the UNDER. |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 43 | 0-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints are 4-7 and in third place in the NFC South. The good news is that both the Bucs and Falcons, who lead the division, are just one game ahead of them. The Saints beat the Rams last week 27-20 as a 2.5-point home favorite. That win snapped a two-game losing streak. The Saints defense is ranked 12th overall and 8th vs the pass. The offense is 10th overall. The 49ers are coming off a win over 38-10 as a 9.5-point favorite. They held the Cardinals, who where without their starting QB, to just 314 yards. That makes three wins in a row for the Niners. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The 49ers have the 8th ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the NFL. These teams have gone over in their last six meeting in San Francisco and 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 overall meetings. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns UNDER 42 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Weather looks to be playing a factor here in Cleveland on Sunday as the Browns host the Bucs. It looks to be a windy day with winds from 10-20 mph and temps in the upper 40's and a chance of rain. The Browns have had a disappointing season at 3-7 and tied for last in the AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers. The Cleveland offense is 4th in the league and their rushing attack, which was 1st, has dropped to fifth. The Tampa offense is ranked 17th with the passing game at 5th. Cleveland has the 20th ranked defense with Tampa coming in at 7th. The Browns will have QB Deshaun Watson available for today's contest. The management has said Watson would start as soon as he was eligible and now he is so don't be surprised for Watson to take over today. For me, I'm taking this game UNDER. |
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11-21-22 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
NFC West clash here on Monday night has the 5-4 San Francisco 49ers taking on the 4-6 Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers are coming off a win last week over the Chargers, 22-16, failing to cover the 8-point favorite line. That makes two wins in row in their division. The Rams held the Chargers to just 238 total yards. The Cardinals coming off a win last week over the Rams, 27-17, as a 3-point dog. That win snapped a two game losing streak for the Cardinals. While Arizona had just 298 total yards they held the Rams to 256 total yards. The 49ers have the NFL's 9th ranked total offense while Arizona comes in at 19th. The big difference is on defense where the 49ers are now the top defense in the NFL and tops against the rush. Arizona falls all the way down to 24th overall and 12th vs the rush. The 49ers are 2-10 Ov/Un their last 12 games on grass and 4-13 O/U their last 17 overall games. The Cardinals are 1-9 O/U their last 10 Monday Night games. These teams have gone under in five of the last six meetings in Arizona and are 1-6-1 O/U in their last eight overall meetings. I'm taking UNDER here tonight. |
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11-20-22 | Browns v. Bills OVER 50 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lose their home stadium here due to the snow issues in the area. The game was moved to Detroit's covered stadium on artificial turf. Buffalo coming off two straight losses, last week they had the lead and couldn't hold on against Minnesota, 30-33, losing in OT as a 6.5-point favorite. The week before they lost to the Jets in New Jersey, 17-20. That makes three straight spread losses for the Bills. Granted, QB Josh Allen has been battling some injuries here of late. Buffalo still has the league's top rated offense overall and the 8th ranked defense. The Browns expect QB Deshaun Watson to start here today after his suspension was finally over. Jacoby Brissett has been good in the QB role though, so should be interesting to see which way they go today. Cleveland looks to bounce back after losing last week at Miami, 17-39, as a 3.5-point dog. That coming after their big win over the Bengals the week before, 32-13. No snow and a fast turf makes be believe we'll see some point being put up here today. The Browns are 6-2-1 Ov/Un their last nine games and 5-1-1 O/U their last seven vs the AFC. I will take a chance on the over here today with the move to an indoor stadium and the faster turf. Play the OVER. |
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11-13-22 | Colts v. Raiders UNDER 41.5 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Have to wonder if Raiders HC Josh McDaniels is on a short leash with his job these days. The Raiders led the Jacksonville Jaguars by 17-points, the second time this year they have blown a 17-point lead. And of course, lost to the Jags last Sunday, 20-27. Have to wonder how many big leads the Raiders can blow before the top of Mark Davis' head blows off. Well, this might be the week for the Raiders to get well. If there was one coach and team that has done worse it has been the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts had a very lackluster performance last week in their loss at New England, 3-26. In fact, it was the last straw for Colts HC Frank Reich who was fired after the game. The Colts named Jeff Saturday interim coach for the rest of the season. I believe the Colts have given up on the season and while the Raiders have blown leads, at least they have the offensive weapons to get leads. The Colts should have Jonathan Taylor back today after missing the last game with an ankle injury. Colts have been very good to under players of late, going 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight road games and 1-11 O/U in their last 12 vs the AFC. I expect a lower scoring game here today with the Colts not having much in the passing game. Take UNDER |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
 NFC South matchup here on Thursday in what is one of the worst divisions in the NFL. No one is out of this division, even the 2-7 Panthers. Both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are currently in 1st place with 4-5 records. The Falcons are coming off a loss last week at home to the Chargers, 17-20. While the Falcons have the 26th ranked offense, they do have the 4th ranked rushing game. The Falcons have been a good under play here on Thursday, going 0-6 O/U in their last six on that day. Meanwhile, Carolina was blown out last week at Cincinnati, 21-42. Though QB Baker Mayfield came into the game and led the team to 21 points. However, despite PJ Walker being benched at halftime, he's expected to make the start here on Thursday. The offense had just 228 total yards. Carolina traded away Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers a few weeks ago. The Panthers have the 30th ranked offense in the league. The Panthers have gone under in seven of their last 10 games vs the NFC South. This has also been a very good under series with the teams going 5-13-1 Ov/Un their last 19 meetings and 5-15-2 Ov/Un the last 22 meetings at Carolina. I'm going UNDER here on Thursday. |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 49 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC West Clash here on Sunday has the 5-3 and 1st place Seahawks taking on the 3-5 and last place Cardinals. No one ever expect much out of the Seahawks after Russell Wilson departed in the offseason for Denver. But here they are with Geno Smith at QB and the 7th top rated QB the season. Smith ranks high than both Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow at this point. The Hawks are coming off a win over the Giants last week, 27-13 and have covered three straight games. The Hawks have the 12th ranked offense and 27th ranked defense. The Seahawks have also gone over in four of their last five road games. There were high hopes in Arizona starting the season, however they find themselves in last place right now, though a big win today would close that gap greatly. The Cards are coming off a loss at Minnesota last week, 26-34, as a 4-point dog. They have now lost three of their last four games. Arizona is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. In addition they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five vs the NFC West. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona and the road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 in this series. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest. Both team's have poor defenses and that will help push this one over. |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 45.5 | 29-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Philly vs Houston also happens to be the World Series matchup tonight. Though that game should be a lot closer than this one will be. The Eagles look to remain the only undefeated this year and improve to 8-0. With a win tonight they will hold a two-game lead over both the Cowboys the Giants. It was just last year that the NFC East was the worst division in the NFL and now it's the best. The Eagles are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 35-13 and get the short turnaround this week. Houston is in last in the AFC South with a 1-5-1 record. The Texans won their only game of the season back on October 9th over the Jaguars, 13-6. Since then, they have lost at Vegas, 20-38 and last week at home to the Titans, 10-17. Philly has the league's third ranked offense while Houston comes in at 31st. Philly also has the fourth ranked defense while Houston has the 30th ranked overall defense and 32nd ranked rush defense. I expect to see a lot of the Philly running game, in particular that of Miles Sanders. I will actually be surprised if Houston scores anything over a few field goals here tonight. I'll take a shot with the UNDER and hope that the Eagles look content to run the ball tonight. |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 45.5 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
Bragging rights in Ohio are on the line tonight as the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals can move into a 1st place tie with Baltimore in the AFC North win a win tonight. Meanwhile, the Browns are 2-5 in the North. The Bengals arecoming off a win at home over Atlanta, 35-17. They have also covered their last five games and have gone under in five of their seven games this season. The defense has been very good, ranked 11th in the NFL, while the Browns are 16th. The Browns rank 6th on offense thanks to their third ranked rushing offense that averages 164 yards per game. The Bengals rank 11th on offense, 4th in passing. Cincinnati has gone under in 10 of their last 12 games and are 0-8 Ov/Un in their last eight vs the AFC. This series has favored the under with a 2-6-1 Ov/Un mark the last nine meetings in Cleveland. I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints OVER 49 | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Las Vegas Raiders used their bye week well to rebound from their loss to the Chiefs to beat Houston last week, 38-20. The Raider offense rushed for 164 yards and passed for another 236 yards in the win. The Raiders did get banged-up though as both QB Derek Carr (Back) and WR Davante Adams (Illness) come into this game as probable but ailing. The Raiders offense has been good, ranked 9th overall in the league while New Orleans comes ranked 3rd overall. The Saints defense is ranked 14th and the Raiders 24th. The Raiders are 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 2-5 ATS their last seven on the road. The Raiders have also gone over in their last four games and last five games in October. The Saints have gone over their last 4 and 10-1 O/U their last 11 games in October. These teams have met only once the last five years and that was back in Oakland when the Raiders won 34-24. Both these teams have better offenses then defenses and I expect a lot of points on the board when these teams get together on Sunday. Take the OVER. |
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10-23-22 | Jets v. Broncos UNDER 37 | 16-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
The honeymoon looks over in Denver as QB Russell Wilson has yet to deliver as the savior to this Broncos team. Wilson came over from Seattle signing the big free contract and the Broncos have scored more than 20 points just one time this season. They are coming off another loss last week at the Chargers, 16-19. The offense has had lots of trouble getting int the end zone. The defense has been very good, ranked 3rd in the NFL. It's the 22nd ranked offense that has fans cringing. The Broncos are 2-4 and in third place in the AFC West. They have also gone under in five of their six games this year. The Jets look to win their fourth straight game here this week. They are coming off that improbable win at Green Bay last week, 27-10. They held Aaron Rodgers and that excellent Packers offense to just 278 total yards. The Jets are in 2nd place in the AFC East, just one game back of the Bills. The Jets offense ranks 17th overall and the defense is 9th overall. Two very good defensive teams here today with the Broncos struggling on offense. I'll take the UNDER in this game. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Rematch of that amazing playoff matchup last year between the Bills and the Chiefs. Maybe one of the most exciting games in NFL history as the Chiefs pulled off the comeback in Overtime to shock the Bills. Now we get to see these teams again here in Kansas City. The Chiefs had to hold off the Raiders last week and a late two-point conversion that would have given the Raiders the lead late. KC held on for the win though, 30-29 as TE Kelso had FOUR touchdown receptions in that game. The Chiefs are 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. KC also took over the top spot in the AFC West, one game ahead of the Chargers and two games ahead of the Broncos. Buffalo had little issues at home last week against the Steelers, winning handly 38-3. The Bills had their best offensive output of the season with 120 yards on the ground and 432 yards through the air. The Bills are also 4-1 S/U and 3-1-1 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming at the hands of the Dolphins, 19-21, back on Sept 25th. The Chiefs have covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They will face a Bills team that ranks first in the NFL in offense (15 rushing and 1st in passing) and 2nd in defense (2 vs rush, 4th vs pass). Kansas City has the 6th ranked offense and the 14th ranked defense. Buffalo is now 10-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 14 games on grass and 4-1 Ov/Un in their last five games overall. KC is 8-2 Ov/Un in their last 10 games on grass, 10-3 Ov/Un in their last 13 games overall and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 vs the AFC. These two teams have gone over in five of the last six meetings in Kansas City. I'll be on the OVER today. |
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10-16-22 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 50.5 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
Reason: Arizona looking to rebound from their close loss at home over Philadelphia last week, 17-20. The Cardinals are 2-3 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Arizona's offense ranks 14th overall with the defense coming in at 18th. Seattle lost a shootout last week at New Orleans, 32-39. The Seahawks are 2-3 S/U and ATS this season and have gone over in three straight games. The Seattle offense ranks 8th overall and the defense is dead last at 32nd. The Hawks allow the most rushing yards in the NFL this year at 170 per game. The Hawks will have issues containing the Cardinals scrambling QB and that should open up the passing game. Geno Smith has this Seattle offense 11th in passing and he should keep them in the game here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
 The surprising Dallas Cowboys bring their 3-1 record to LA this week to take on the 2-2 Super Bowl defending Rams. The Cowboys had QB Dak Prescott go down in week 1, but since they they are 3-0 with backup QB Rush leading the team. Dallas beat the Washington Commanders last week, 25-10 as a 3-point favorite. All four teams in the NL West are at 2-2 with the Rams having come off that Monday Night loss last week to the 49ers, 9-24. Now they are on the short week as they return home to face Dallas. Dallas has a very good defense, ranked 7th overall in the NFL and 5th vs the pass. They should give Rams QB Mathew Stafford all he can handle this week. The Rams defense ranks just 16th. Surprisingly, the Rams offense ranks 28th in the league with the rushing attack 29th. The Cowboys are 1-5-1 O/U in their last seven road games. They are also 3-12-1 O/U in their last 16 overall games. The Rams have gone under in five of their last six games and are 5-15-1 O/U their last 21 games in October and 7-19 O/U their last 26 home games. I'll be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
San Francisco is 2-2 but tied with all the rest of the NFC West for 1st place. The 49ers won't turn any heads with their offense, but their defense is top notch. They have allowed just 46 points this year, tops in the division and best in the NFC. They are also the the only team in the division with a plus points differential at +25. The Giants held the highly vaulted Rams offense to just three field goals last week in their win on Monday night, 24-9. The Rams could muster just 257 total yards and 57 on the ground. They also had a +2 turnover ration. The defense is tied for the top spot in the NFL with Buffalo as both teams allow just 235 yards per game. The 49ers have the 2nd ranked rush defense and the 2nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile Carolina is coming off a home loss last week to Arizona, 16-26. The Panthers have gone under in three straight weeks, thanks to an offense that has 275, 293 and 220 yards in each of those weeks. Not surprising the offense ranks last in the NFL with 262 yards per game. That doesn't bode well this week against this stingy 49ers defense. The 49ers have gone under in 13 of their last 16 overall games, 10 of their last 11 games on grass and their last six vs the NFC. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven overall games and five of their last six vs the NFC. Looks to be a low scoring game here today with the Panthers struggling to find points in this one. Play the UNDER. |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks v. Saints OVER 44.5 | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
 Not many gave the Seahawks much of a chance after Russell Wilson left the team for Denver. However, they are 2-2 and in a four way tie for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks offense erupted last week for a season high points in their win over the Detroit Lions, 48-45. The offense had 555 yards, 235 on the ground and 320 through the air. That makes two straight over plays for the Hawks after a 50-point combined effort the week before vs the Falcons. Today, they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints QB Jameis Winston is currently doubtful with a back injury. However, they do have RB Alvin Kamara back in the lineup with a rib injury. Ageless Andy Dalton looks to be at QB for the Saints on Sunday. The Saints lost a close game at home last week to the Vikings, 25-28. The Saints defense has been good, ranked 12th overall, but 20th vs the rush. Seattle's defense ranks second to last in the NFL at 31st, 29th both vs the rush and pass. The Seahawks have gone over in five of their last seven games. The Saints are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games in October. With the poor Hawks defense and the Saints with Kamara back, I look for plenty of points on the board today. Play the OVER. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts dropped to 1-2-1 after losing last week to the Titans, 17-24 as a 4-point home favorite. That coming after that big win over the Chiefs the week before. All four games for the Colts have gone under this year. The Colts offense ranks 19th overall in the NFL, 27th rushing. The defense has been better, ranked 6th in the NFL. Despite losing last week, the Colts won the stat sheet, holding Tennessee to just 243 yards. The issue were the three turnovers the Colts had in the contest. The Denver Broncos dropped to 2-2 after losing at the LV Raiders last week, 23-32. The Broncos defense, which was ranked 3rd over, was torched for 32 points. Actually six of those coming on a turnover returned for a TD. The defense gave up 212 yards on the ground after not allowing 100 yards in the first three games. The teams have meet twice in the last five years with both games going UNDER. The Colts have been a very good under team of late, going under in nine straight games. They are also 0-8 U/U in their last eight vs the AFC. The Broncos are 4-11 O/U in their last 15 games and 2-6 O/U in their last eight home games. Two very good defenses here and I'm looking for an UNDER. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West battle here on Monday Night as the Rams make the trip North to face San Francisco. The Rams can move back into first place with a win tonight. The Cardinals and Seahawks are both 2-2 after four weeks and the Rams can go to 3-1 with a win. San Francisco is in last place at 1-2. However, a win by the 49ers and all four division teams will be a 2-2. The Rams opened their season with a loss at home to Buffalo, 10-31. They have rebounded with wins over Atlanta and then last week at Arizona, 20-12. Two of their three games have gone under. Now they face the 2nd best defense in the NFL in San Francisco. The Niners have the leagues best passing defense. The Rams offense hasn't been like last year, as they rank just 25th overall and 30th in rushing. San Francisco isn't much better, coming in at 24th overall and 29th passing. San Francisco lost their QB , Trey Lance, to a season ending injury in week 2. Back at starter is Jimmy Garoppolo. After leading the 49ers to a win in the game Lance went down, they lost last week at Denver, 10-11. All three of their games have gone under thanks to their 2nd ranked defense. The Niners have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games and four of their last five home games. These teams have gone under in seven of the last nine meetings in San Francisco and four of the last five overall. With the Rams offense not firing on all cylinders, I will be the UNDER. |
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10-02-22 | Patriots v. Packers UNDER 40 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots just 1-2 and tied for last in the AFC East with the Jets. The Patriots were beat at home last week by the Baltimore Ravens, 26-37. They had more yards than the Ravens (447-394), more plays (60-55) and more first downs (22-19), but it was turnovers that hurt as the offense had four last week. The Patriots offense isn't bad though, ranked 10th in the NFL. The Defense comes in at 12th. The Green Bay Packers opened the season with a loss, but have since won two straight games to tie the Vikings for the lead in the NFC North. Green Bay held off Tampa Bay last week to win on the road, 14-12 as a 1-point dog. It was a defensive battle as the Packers got 315 yards to the Bucs 285. You have to go back to 2018 for the last time these teams have met, and that went to the Pats, 31-17. The Patriots have now gone under in 24 of their last 31 games on grass. They are also 2-6 O/U in their last eight road games. Green Bay has gone under in four straight and are 0-8 O/U in their last eight October games. With four of the last five going under in this series, I think I will be on the UNDER here on Sunday. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 45.5 | 23-32 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
The Denver Broncos are tied for first in the AFC West with the Kansas City Chiefs at 2-1. That despite a rocky start under new QB Russel Wilson. The Broncos defense has been excellent, ranked 3rd overall in the NFL, 3rd against the pass and 6th against the run. The offense ranks 16th, 11th rushing and 18th passing. As for the Raiders, after a 4-0 preseason they are now 0-3 to start the regular season. They have lost those games by a combined 13-points. Still, have to think Josh Daniels on the hot seat after some questionable calls. Another home loss here and he might be in trouble in Vegas. The Raiders offense one behind Denver at 17th. This with Carr at QB, Adams and WR, Jacobs at RB and Waller at TE. They have the talent, but they have yet to put up the numbers. Vegas has dominated this series going back to when they were in Oakland, covering eight of the last nine times. They have also gone UNDER in eight of the last 10 games. The Raiders are now 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs the AFC. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. This game looks to be close like all the Raiders games have been thus far. I look for another low scoring game with these two anemic offenses going today. Take the UNDER. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 48 | Top | 15-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show |
Miami Dolphins bring a 3-0 record into this Thursday matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Dolphins had little issues with the Patriots (20-7) and then had the huge fourth quarter comeback against the Ravens, 42-38. Last week they just got by the Buffalo Bills, 21-19, covering all three games and going under in two of the three games. The Bengals didn't look like the team of last year to start this season, with back-to-back losses to the Steelers and Cowboys. Then last week they finally broke through with a win over the Jets, 27-12. The defense had four turnovers compared to just one offensive turnover. The Dolphins have been a good under play on Thursday night, going 2-10-1 O/U their lasts 13 Thursday games. They are also 1-5 O/U their last six road games. The Bengals have now gone under in eight straight games. They are also 0-6 O/U in their last six vs the AFC. These two teams have gone under in their last five meetings in Cincinnati and 1-5-1 O/U their last seven overall. I'm taking the UNDER here on Thursday. |
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09-25-22 | Packers v. Bucs UNDER 42 | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 31 m | Show | |
Two future Hall of Fame Qb's will matchup here today as Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers take on the TB Bucs and QB Tom Brady. Brady hasn't looked all that sharp thus far and his frustration was on full display in the Saints contest. Lucky for the Bucs, the Saints had no offensive stars left and thus it was a defensive win for the Bucs, 20-10. The Bucs managed just 260 total yards and Brady threw for just 188 yards. The Bucs defense was the star of the game with multiple sacks and five take aways in the game. Green Bay had little issue with the Chicago Bears. The Packers had 414 yards and 211 passing yards by Rodgers. They had 26 first downs to just 11 by the Bears and held the Bears to just 228 total yards. The Tampa Bay offense ranks just 24th overall in the NFL with Green Bay coming in at 11th. The Bucs defense is 5th ranked with Green Bay at 10th. The Packers have gone UNDER in nine of their last 12 games on grass. Tampa has also gone under on grass with a 3-8 O/U record their last 11. I'm still not sold on Brady fully being back with limited targets. With the Bucs defense playing very well and Brady still not looking like his old self, I'll take this game to go UNDER. |
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09-25-22 | Lions v. Vikings OVER 51.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions have showed a lot of offense the last two week with Jared Goff at QB. The Lions beat the Washington Commanders last week at home, 36-27, going over the posted 48-point line. The Lions scored 35 points in week one loss at home to Philly, 35-38. The Lions offense is ranked 4th overall in the NFL with the rushing game averaging a league's 3rd best 186 yards per game. As for the Minnesota Vikings, they opened the season with a nice home win over the Green Bay Packers, 23-7. However, they came up very short last week at Philly, 7-24. The offense had just 264 total yards and Kirk Cousins tossed three interceptions. The Lions defense has not performed well, ranking 30th in the NFL with 426 yards allowed per game. Three of the last four games in this series have gone over, including last year's 29-27 Detroit win. The Lions have now gone over in four straight games. They are also 8-2 O/U in their last 10 September games. The Vikings are 4-1 O/U in their last five home games and 6-2 O/U in their last eight games vs the NFC. I look for this Detroit offense to get their share of points and the Vikings to exploit the Detroit defense. Take the OVER. |
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09-25-22 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 41 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show | |
The Saints piled-up the injuries and it showed in their loss to the Bucs last week. QB Jameis Winston was sacked and hit many times by the Tampa Bay defense and is probable this week though he has a back injury. RB Alvin Kamara is questionable with a rib injury this week after missing last week. QB Tyson Hill is also questionable with a rib injury. The Saints lost at home to Tampa Bay last week, 10-20. They had five turnovers in the game and were sacked six times though they did have more total yards than the Bucs, 308-260. That loss makes them 1-1 S/U and 0-2 vs the spread. The Panthers lost a close game at the NY Giants last week, 16-19 as a 1-point favorite. The stats were almost dead even, though the Panthers had two turnovers to none by the Giants. Carolina's defense is ranked 9th overall and third against the pass. The Saints have now gone under in seven of their last nine games. They are also 4-9 O/U in their last 13 vs the NFC South. Carolina has gone under in five of their last seven vs the NFC South. With the Saints hurting on offense, I'm going to stick with this game to be low scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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09-22-22 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 39 | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers came up just a bit short last week in their game at home against the Patriots losing 14-17 as a 3-point dog. The Steelers had just 243 total yards, 91 passing and 152 passing with two turnovers. The Pitt offense is now ranked 30th in the NFL with the rushing at 26th and passing at 28th. Cleveland has to be kicking itself after losing last week at home to the Jets, 30-31. Not only did they allow 14 points over the few minutes of the game, but they even gave up the on-side kick to the Jets. Both teams finished with just over 400 yards of offense, though the Jets had nine more plays. These teams are very familiar with each other. They have gone under in the last two meetings and five of the last seven meetings. The Steelers have been very good under team on the road, with 18-44-1 O/U record their last 63 games. The Browns have gone under in seven of their last 10 games on real grass. Both teams decent under plays in this situation. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 42 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears played in what was a swamp last week with the rain pounding down for the entire game. They pulled out the win over the SF 49ers, 19-10. The Bears managed just 204 yards in the downpour with the 49ers bringing in 331 yards. Meanwhile Green Bay were manhandled last week in Minnesota, 7-23. The Packers had just 338 total yards and a pair of turnovers in the loss. QB Aaron Rodgers definitely missed his one time top target in WR Davante Adams. Adams had a stellar debut for the Raiders with 140 yard receiving and a touchdown. It will be a tall order for Rodgers to replace those lost yards. Green Bay has covered six straight in this series, but have to wonder without Adams if that will change now. For me, I'm looking at the UNDER here today. The advance weather is showing some issues with the weather and thunderstorms. Add to the wet field two teams that had offensive issue last week and this looks like an an under to me. |
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09-18-22 | Texans v. Broncos OVER 45 | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
 The Houston Texans started their season with a tie at home last week against the Colts. Considering the Colts had 13 more first downs and 218 more yards than the Texans, maybe they were fortunate to get the draw. The Texans had just 299 yards to 517 by the Colts. Denver's debut of new QB Russell Wilson didn't go quite as planned as they fell to the Seahawks 16-17. The Broncos tried a 64-yard field goal late but came up short. Many criticized Nathaniel Hackett for not going for it on 4th down with their expensive QB who has been able to do much more with both his legs and arm. Instead he opted for a field goal that had a 8% chance historically of being made. Houston's defense is last in the NFL after that performance last week. Something that Wilson and the Broncos should be able to take advantage of this week with the 4th ranked offense. These teams last met in 2019 with the Broncos winning at Houston, 38-24. The Texans have gone under in six of their last seven road games. The Broncos have gone under in nine of their last 12 games. I like this one to stay under here on Sunday. |
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09-18-22 | Patriots v. Steelers UNDER 40.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 11 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots didn't have much life last week as they were beaten on the road by the Miami Dolphins, 7-20. The Pats could manage just 271 yards though the defense did keep them fairly close by allowing the Dolphins 307 yards. Turnovers did hurt the Pats as they turned the ball over three times to none for Miami. Now they hit the road again, this time to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh pulled off the big upset, beating the Cincinnati Bengals last week, 23-20 as a 7-point dog. The Steelers had a +5 turnover ratio in that game though they were outgained by the Bengals 267-432 yards. The Bengals also had 32 first downs to the Steelers 13. But it was the Steelers defense that bent but didn't break in the win. Both Pittsburgh and New England near the bottom of the league in offense. The Pats are 2-5 O/U in their last seven games as a road favorite. They are also 4-10 O/U in their last 14 overall road games. The Steelers are 0-4 O/U in their last four home games and 3-9 O/U in their last 12 games as a home dog. I'll be on the UNDER. |
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09-12-22 | Broncos v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show | |
It didn't take long, in fact week 1 for the Seahawks old QB in Russel Wilson to return home in his first game for his new team, the Denver Broncos. This could be one of the most anticipated games of the start of the season as Wilson returns to Seattle after 10 seasons as the Seahawks QB. Wilson has already elevated Denver to a Super Bowl contender while Seattle appears headed in the opposite direction. With Geno Smith now at QB, this team is in a serious rebuilding mode. Drew Lock is the other QB in Seattle and he spent a lot of time in Denver, most unproductive. The Broncos are already 13-5 in their last 18 vs the Seahawks and that looks to only improve this year. Don't expect many points out of this Seattle team as they look for an identity after the loss of Wilson. I'll take under and hope Denver doesn't run the score up too much. Play UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 94 h 24 m | Show | |
As we begin this new season there will be lots of eyes on QB Tom Brady. Not only is he 45 years old, but he had supposedly retired at the end of last season. He's also missed significant practice time during the preseason due to personal reasons. Will he be ready for the season? Tom is the oldest QB and has offensive line issues at left guard. He's not very mobile and maybe pressured a lot this year. Also gone is his old friend Gronk at TE. The Cowboys were 2-1 in the preseason, playing mainly without their starters. Gone from the Cowboys are WR Amari Cooker and Cedrick Wilson Jr. Michael Gallup will likely miss game one this week. Those three were 40% of the Dallas receiving yards last season. I look for rust to show here on Sunday night with Brady and the Cowboys will have to find a way to replace all that offense. I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-11-22 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 52 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 30 m | Show |
The Las Vegas Raiders were a perfect 4-0 in the preseason under first year coach Josh McDaniels. The Raiders had the highest points differential in preseason at +41. Right away this Raiders team will be tried by the LA Chargers and Justin Herbert. We can think back to the last game of the regular season when the winner of the Raiders vs Chargers game went on to the playoffs. The game could have easily ended in an OT tie had the Chargers not called that controversial timeout, but instead it allowed the Raiders to setup the winning field goal. Besides McDaniels taking over in Vegas, is the highly anticipated debut of Davante Adams, arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Even though the Chargers are much improved on defense, I expect to see a lot of points in this game with these two offenses. I'm going to take the OVER. |
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09-11-22 | Colts v. Texans OVER 45.5 | 20-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 4 m | Show | |
The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts begin the NFL season in a AFC South Clash here on Sunday. The Texans were a perfect 3-0 in the preseason while the Colts where 1-2. Colts HC Frank Reich begins his fifth season as Colts head coach and while his resume is pretty good, he's yet to win an opening day game. Not only are they 0-4 Straight up, but also 0-4 vs the number. We can take that even beyond Reich as they are 1-11 ATS their last 12 season openers. The Texans might have been 3-0 in preseason, but they have the lowest projected wins of any team this year. The Colts have a new QB in 14-year veteran Matt Ryan. I like the upgrade in QB for the Colts this year and expect that to produce more points here today. I'll take the OVER in this opening game. |
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09-11-22 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40.5 | 10-19 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show | |
 The SF 49ers will start the QB they have wanted to since last season, Trey Lance. Lance takes over for Jimmy Garopplo who resigned with the Niners, but for a much smaller amount then he likely wanted. One has to wonder though how much faith the 49ers have in Lance as they wanted to sign Garoppolo again. Will Lance be able to take this team past the NFC Championship game they made last year? The Bears also go with a 2nd year QB in Justin Fields. Fields had a very good preseason but the question remains if the offensive line will be able to afford him the protection and time need to be efficient. Fields was the highest graded QB in the preseason with no turnovers and a 8.1 yards per attempt. Both these teams were good under plays last year and I don't see that changing. Neither has an explosive offense and in these early games I'll be looking at the under. Take UNDER here in game one. |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams OVER 52 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
 The LA Rams begin defense of their 2021 NFL Championship here on Thursday against one of the best teams in the AFC, Buffalo Bills. The Bills still have that finish from last year in the playoffs against the Chiefs where both teams went back and forth in one of the best finishes in NFL history. Josh Allen drove the team down the field in 49 seconds for the go ahead score, only to have the Chiefs go for the tying score in just 13 seconds to force OT. The Chiefs won the toss in OT and scored the TD for the win without the Bills and Allen even getting to take the field. The Good news for the Rams is that Matthew Stafford will play after nagging injuries all preseason. Gone are WR's Robert Woods and Odell Beckham Jr. The Rams have the 2nd toughest schedule in the NFL and this is their first big test. The Bills are hungry to get that bad taste from their mouth in their playoff loss to the Chiefs. Should be plenty of points in this game with Stafford back at the helm. Play the OVER. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 49 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Let's face it, you can write paragraphs backing one side or another in this game. And really for me I'm taking the money line since these games have been so close in the playoffs and seem to come down to field goal one way or the other. The Rams laying 4 or 4 1/2 might be a tad more than I want to lay though I do like the Rams. Their defense has been rising to the occasion with Donald and Von Miller pressing QB's. Stafford has been very good and Kupp, well he's just amazing. The Bengals offense is loaded too with Burrows and his College connection Chase. Then you have Higgins and Joe Mixon providing the rushing. But for me it's the defense that will likely make the difference here today. The Rams have really stepped it up in the playoffs and the Bengals have a very good rush defense. I'm going to take the UNDER today. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs OVER 54 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 46 m | Show | |
Cincinnati pulled off one of the two big upsets over the last weekend as they upended the top seed in the AFC, Tennessee by a 19-16 margin. Tennessee looked to be moving toward the game winning score late in the 4th when QB Tannehill threw an interception around mid-field. The Bengals moved the ball into field goal position and scored the game winning field goal. The Bengals held the Titans to just 353 total yards in the game despite the return of Derrek Henry. Now the Bengals have only the Chiefs in their way if they want to get to the Super Bowl. What can you say about the Chiefs win over the Bills, 42-36 other then Wow! Both teams combined for over 20 points and four lead changes in the final two minutes of the game. The Chiefs had to go over 40 yards in 10 seconds of regulation just to get the tying field goal and force the OT. Personally, the Bills might have had the worst coaching I've seen at the end of a game I've seen by allowing that to happen. That aside, both teams were amazing on offense. That was the Chiefs 7th straight over as they have scored at more than 30 points in six of those games. The Bengals have lots of offense and in this game I look for another high scoring match. I'll take the OVER here today in the AFC Championship game. |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 124 h 31 m | Show | |
Both of these teams advanced to the divisional game here on Sunday with blowout wins in the Wild Card round. The Bills had no trouble at all with the New England Patriots, jumping out a big lead and never looking back, 47-17. QB Josh Allen had over 300 yards passing and the team rushed for another 174 yards, all while the defense held the Pats to just 305 total yards. The Kansas City Chiefs fell behind 0-7 but then blew the game open in the 2nd quarter en route to a 42-21 win over the Steelers. The Chiefs had 106 yards rushing and 372 yards passing and held the Steelers to just 257 total yards. Now these locomotives clash here on Sunday. Two of the best throwing QB's in the NFL and both can run the ball. I don't see any reason this shouldn't be a very high scoring game and that's what I'm sticking with on Sunday. Play the OVER. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans OVER 47.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
 The Tennessee Titans got the lone AFC bye last week in the Wild Card round. Now they look to return with something they haven't had in months, RB Derrick Henry. Henry was the league's leading running back when he went down with a foot injury. That changed the dynamic of this Titans team, though they did manage to finish with the best record in the AFC. Now, Henry is back and should be well healed. The Titans won their last three games of the season and went 2-1 vs the spread. Though they did suffer a 1-3 run in late November and early December when Henry was gone. The Cincinnati Bengals survived a last second tying TD by the LV Raiders to advance this week, 26-19. The offense was fair, with 308 total yards and 83 rushing yards. The last four games in this series have all gone over the total. With Henry back and the Bengals having lots of weapons, I look for a higher scoring game here today. Play OVER. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 50 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Two NFC West teams that are well acquainted meet here on Wild Card Monday as the Rams host the Cardinals at So-Fi Stadium. The Rams won the NFC West, despite their loss in their last game to the San Francisco 49ers, 24-27. That loss snapped a five game win streak by the Rams and a 4-1 spread win streak. That opened the door for Arizona to win the division but they also lost their last game to Seattle, 30-38. The Cardinals slumped badly down the stretch, going 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last five games. I'm looking at this game under tonight. The Cards don't play all that well on field turf, going 3-13 O/U in their last 16 games. They are also 3-14 O/U in their last 17 road games. The Rams have gone under in four of their last five home games and 5-17 O/U in their last 22 as a home favorite. I am sticking with the UNDER here on Monday Night. |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 7 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers slid their way into this postseason thanks to the LV Raiders deciding to go for the win instead of the tie in their OT with the Chargers. Big Ben lives to play another game, though this looks to be the last of his luxurious career. And, you get two of the elder statesmen in coaches with the Steelers Tomlin and Chiefs Reid. That being said, I don't see the Chiefs running away with this game. Reid won't want to embarrass Ben on what is likely his last game. I look for the Steelers to play ball control and do their best to keep the Chiefs potent offense off the field. I look for a lower scoring game here on Sunday. I'll play the UNDER. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers v. Cowboys UNDER 51 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
The San Francisco 49ers showed a lot of guts in week 18 at the Rams. Down 0-17 they clawed their way back to tie the game in the 4th quarter and had a chance to take the lead before Rams CB Ramsey made a circus interception at the same time the refs missed a roughing on the QB. The Rams took over the ball and marched the field to score the go ahead TD. After a SF punt and defensive stand, they Niners got the ball back with not much time on the clock and no time outs. QB Jimmy Garappolo marched the Niners the length of the field for the TD and forced OT where they kicked a field goal. The Rams threw an INT on the subsequent possession and SFO goes to the playoffs. Look for the Niners to run the ball a lot here today. As such, if they can keep the Cowboys off the field a bit more then this should be a lower scoring game. I'll take the UNDER |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 47 | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
 The Philadelphia Eagles got into the playoffs but no thanks to their last regular season game. The Eagles lost last Saturday at home to the Dallas Cowboys, 26-51. Tampa Bay had little trouble with the Carolina Panthers, winning at home 41-17. I see the key to this game as the running game for the Eagles. The Eagles need to run effectively in order to win games. Problem is they are playing one of the best run defenses in the league in the Tampa Bay Bucs. The Bucs look to start defense of their NFL Championship with Tom Brady and a patchwork of receivers. They lost Antonio Brown when he stormed off the field. The already have lost Chris Goodwin to a season-ending injury. Now they have lost Cyril Grayson who was injured in the Panthers win. But, Brady still seems to find the right receivers at the right time. There looks to be some big Thunderstorms headed the way of this game on Sunday and that will make it even tougher on Philly. I look for a lower scoring game, especially out of the Eagles. Play UNDER |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 44 | 17-47 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
 Ok, we know Buffalo can be cold, but it's going to be insanely cold in this game. The temp is going to be in the single digits and if you figure in the wind chill, how about minus 10-15 degrees. This will be one of the coldest games in NFL history on Saturday. That being said, I expect to see the ball run a lot here on Saturday night. I don't expect to see a lot of long passes in this game. I'm going to play this game under solely on the teams and their ability to run the ball. Take the UNDER. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders v. Bengals UNDER 48.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
The Raiders had to win down the stretch to get here and they did it with an interim coach, something not done in 60-years. They also had a chance to tie and send the Chargers to the playoffs too, but they were able to get into Field goal range late in OT and get the win. The weather looks to be cold here on Sunday with a 50% chance of snow, something Vegas isn't used to playing in. The lowest temp Vegas has played this year was 40 degrees and that was a Vegas win at Cleveland, 16-14. The Bengals will host their first playoff game since 2015. I don't think any team has gone through as much controversy this year as the Raiders have. Yet, they seem to be able to come out all right. The weather is going to be somewhat of a factor here. While the snow should hold off until after the game, it will be below freezing for the entire game. Vegas hasn't played below 40 degrees this year and as such I'm expecting a lower scoring game here today. Play UNDER. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
The game with the most importance to both teams was moved to Sunday night as the Raiders host the Chargers. The winner of this game will get into the playoffs while the loser goes home. The Chargers coming off a win last week vs Denver, 34-13, snapped a two-game losing streak. Las Vegas has won three straight to keep their playoff hopes alive, though they do need that fourth here today. They beat the Colts last week on the road, 23-20 with Carlson hitting the game winning field goal as time expired. The good news for the Raiders is that they might get back TE Darren Waller here today who has missed time with both injury and Covid protocols. In fact, the Raiders have a number of players they might get back Sunday coming off their Covid protocols. With players coming back and neither team exactly defensive juggernauts, I look for a high scoring game on Sunday Night. Take the OVER. |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 48 | 38-30 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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01-09-22 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Rams can win the NFC West title with a victory here today over the SF 49ers. The Rams can win with a loss if Arizona also loses today against Seattle. The 49ers are currently the sixth seed in the NFC and can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Rams bring a 5-game win streak into today's contest after a come from behind win last week at Baltimore, 20-19. It's still unclear if 49er's QB Jimmy Garoppolo will play today as he's still suffering from a thumb injury. Trey Lance would once again be in line to start this game. Both teams have excellent defenses and this looks to be a tight game. I don't expect this game to eclipse 40 points and with the total at 44.5, I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins v. Titans UNDER 41 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Miami has been amazing after starting the season with a 1-7 record. They really turned things around with seven straight wins and put themselves in the playoff hunt. They have two tough games to go, today against Tennessee then against the Patriots to close out the regular season. Miami's defense has been very good, allowing 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. They are coming off an impressive win at New Orleans, 20-3 as a 3.5-point favorite. Despite losing Derek Henry to a foot injury, the Tennessee Titans are still one game ahead of Indianapolis for the AFC South lead. The Titans are 10-5 on the season, they average 23.8 ppg while allowing 21.7 ppg. The Titans haven't been hit too hard with the Covid bug, with just three players out today. The Titans are coming off that Thursday night win over the 49ers, 20-17, a game which they trailed 0-10. The Titans have allowed just 36 total points over their last three games. Looks to be a good defensive battle today. I'll take the UNDER. |
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01-02-22 | Giants v. Bears UNDER 36.5 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
These two teams not going anywhere this post season and it looks like a miserable day for a game. The weather at Soldier Field in Chicago is expect to be cold, in the 20's with winds around 15-20, so that will make it eve colder. With both teams not going anywhere and the offenses both less than stellar, might make for a sloppy day on the field. The Giants average just 16.5 ppg this season and have scored more than 13 points just once in the last five games. They are 0-4 S/U and ATS in their last four games. The Giants are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games as a dog. Chicago isn't much better, averaging just 17.7 ppg this season. They did manage a win last week at Seattle, but against one of the worst defenses in the NFL,m 25-24. At home they are just 2-5 S/U and ATS along with going under in five of those seven games. The Bears have gone under in six of their last seven games as a home favorite and 19 of their last 26 overall at home. With the weather and both teams dead teams walking, I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints UNDER 38 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins have been hot, winning six straight games and covering five of those. They have also gone under in five of their last seven games, thanks in big part to a stingy defense that has allowed more than 17 points just one time in their last six games. The Miami defense has also climbed to 18th overall in the NFL after being near bottom back in November. The New Orleans Saints defense has been solid, ranked 13th overall and 5th vs the run. The Saints have won two straight games including their big shutout win at Tampa Bay last time out, 9-0. They held the high powered Bucs offense to just 302 totals yards and frustrated Tom Brady the entire game. The problem with the Saints is at QB. They will not have Trevor Siemian today and Tayson Hill is doubtful with Covid protocols. That leaves starting duties to Ian Book. Book is the only QB left on the Saints roster and will make his first every NFL start tonight. That with the wild card on the line for the Saints. Book was a fourth-round 2021 draft choice out of Notre Dame. With Book starting and the Miami defense playing great, I'll take this game UNDER tonight. |
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12-26-21 | Rams v. Vikings OVER 48.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
The Rams can take over sole 1st place in the NFC West with a win today over the Vikings. The Cardinals loss last night to the Colts opened that door for the Rams. They will take on the 2nd place team in the NFC North, the Vikings. Minnesota is 7-7 and can't overtake Green Bay for 1st place but still has a chance with a win for a wild card slot. The Rams have won three straight games after their two-game losing skid. They are coming off a win over Seattle, 20-10. The Rams do good vs the NFC, going 27-12-1 their last 40 games vs the spread. The Vikings have won two straight games after a 2-game losing skid. They have wins over Pittsburgh and then last week over Chicago, 17-9. The Vikes are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I'm looking at the OVER here today. The Rams are 6-2-1 O/U in their last nine road games. The Vikings have gone over in four of their last five overall. I look for plenty of points in this one today. Play OVER. |
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12-25-21 | Colts v. Cardinals UNDER 48.5 | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals have to be one of the strangest teams in the NFL this year. They are 10-4 and tied for first place in the NFC West. However, last week they go to Detroit and were never in the game with a blowout loss, 12-30. Their offense could manage just just 13 points and 36 points over the last two weeks. It won't get any easier today against the 15th ranked defense in the Colts. The Colts have the most take aways this year. The Colts are +14 in turnover ratio, tops in the league. The Colts beat the red-hot Patriots last week, 27-17 with two more turnovers in that game. They have won four of their last five games and gone under in their last two games. The Colts also have the top running back in the league in Jonathon Taylor, so they should be able to control the ball on the ground today. I'm taking the UNDER. |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers UNDER 46.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
This game does have playoff implications as the Packers have clinched a postseason spot, but the Browns are still battling. The Browns are in last in the AFC North at 7-7, one game back of the Bengals. They are 12th in the Wild Card race tied with three other teams. If the Browns lose today, they will be eliminated if the Ravens and Steelers both win. The Packers are 11-3 and have the best record in the NFL. While they can't clinch the No 1 seed this week, a win goes a long way toward that goal. I look at the Browns as the desperate team here today. They will look to control the ball on the ground with Chubb and keep Aaron Rodgers offense off the field as long as they can. That being said, I don't believe the Browns can get into a scoring match here today with the Packers. They need to keep this score lower and that means rushing the ball. I'm taking the UNDER here today. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans OVER 44 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
The San Francisco 49ers are in one of the toughest division in football, the NFC West. Even though they have a 8-6 record, they trail the Rams and Cardinals by 2-games. However, they do have the best Wild Card record at this point, so they need to keep winning. The 49ers have won two straight games over Cincinnati, 26-23 and then last week over Atlanta, 31-13. Now they have the short week turnaround as they travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. The Titans are coming off a loss at Pittsburgh, 13-19 as a 1-point dog. That makes them 1-3 S/U and ATS over their last four games. The 49ers are ranked 12th overall in offense, 7th in rushing. The Titans have dropped to 17th since the loss of Derek Henry. The 49ers are 7-3-1 O/U in their last 11 games as a road favorite. The Titans are 6-2 O/U in their last eight home games. These teams have gone over in their last four meetings and that's what I look for again here today. Play OVER. |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles UNDER 41 | 17-27 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Washington and Philly are tied at 6-7 in the NFC East. Neither team will catch the 1st place Cowboys at 10-4, but both still are alive in the NFC Wild Card. Loser here will be done in the race. This game got moved from Sunday due to severe Covid outbreak with Washington, including starting QB Taylor Heinicke among many others. Most are questionable pending their Covid test today, including Heinike. Ryan Fitzpatrick looks to return to and should start at QB if Heinicke can't go. Washington has seen its last four game go under and eight of last nine go under. This is due in part to a 20th ranked offense and a 17th ranked defense. Washington coming off a loss last week to Dallas, 20-27 as a 6.5-point dog. Philadelphia is coming off a win over the Jets, 33-18. They have gone under in two of their last three and three of the last five. I don't look for this to be a high scoring game. I'll take UNDER. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46.5 | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle has rebounded nicely after a three game stretch where the offense really struggled. They are coming off wins over the 49ers, 30-23 and then last week over Houston, 33-13. The Seattle offense ranks only 28th overall. The defense still ranks last overall in the NFL. Now they have to face a LA Rams team fighting for a playoff spot. The Rams have won two straight games after their loss to the Packers back on Nov 28th. They beat Jacksonville, 37-7 and then last week beat Arizona, 30-23. Both teams have been scoring and I will take the OVER in this matchup today. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts OVER 45 | 17-27 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have opened up a 2-game lead in the AFC East over the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots are not only 6-0 away from home this year but are on a 7-game win streak. They head to Indianapolis tonight to face the Colts. The Colts trail the Tennessee Titans in the AFC South by two games. After that, the Wild Card at this point is surely Wild and up for a number a teams to take. The Colts have the leagues 11th ranked overall offense and 2nd ranked rushing attack. New England has the leagues 16th ranked offense. The Colts have the 12th ranked defense and the Patriots have the 3rd ranked defense. As for the total, the Colts have gone over in five of their last seven overall games. They are also 13-3 O/U in their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record. This series has also been a good over bet with 16 of the last 21 meetings going over and seven of the last nine at Indianapolis going OVER. Play OVER today. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals UNDER 51 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals can take sole possession of the NFC standings with a win here tonight over the LA Rams. The Cardinals are 10-2 this season with the 10-3 Packers and Bucs on their heals. The Rams sit at 8-4 and right now looking for one of the those NFC Wild Card slots. The Rams are 5-7 ATS on the season and coming off a win and cover over Jacksonville, 37-7. That snapped a four-game spread losing streak. Arizona is 9-3 ATS and coming off a win and cover over Chicago, 33-22. The Rams have a 2-5-1 O/U record in their last eight road games. They are also 3-7 O/U in their last 10 vs the NFC West. Arizona is 9-19 O/U in their last 28 games as a home favorite. I will take the UNDER here tonight. |
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12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 44 | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 40 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears travel to chilly Green Bay to take on the Packers here in week 14. The Bears are 4-8 S/U and ATS with a 4-8 O/U record. They average just 16.7 ppg this season while allowing 23.9 ppg. The Bears offense has now fallen to 31st in the NFL with the only team worse being Houston. The Bears do have the worst passing average in the NFL with just 173.8 yards per game. QB Justin Field missed last week's game with a rib injury and is questionable to play this Sunday. That means Andy Dalton will likely get the start again. The Packers improved to 9-3 with a win two week's ago at home over the Rams, 36-28. They Packers had last week off and they needed it. QB Aaron Rodgers has been nursing a toe injury and used the extra time off to heal. Both these teams have been good under plays this year with both having identical 4-8 O/U records. The Bears have also gone under in eight of their last 11 overall and are 12-28 O/U in their last 40-games on grass. Cold weather, wind and maybe even some rain/snow likely all play a part this week. The Bears already can't score much, add weather and they get even worse. I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs OVER 52 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 116 h 54 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills coming off that wind-swept loss last week to the NE Patriots, 10-14. The Bills had two straight trips into the red-zone late in the 4th quarter and came away with no points. The loss dropped the Bills to 7-5 overall and two-games back of the Patriots in the AFC East. Now the Bills face the real prospect of having to fight for a AFC Wild Card slot. The Bills have lost three of their last five games and scored 15 points or fewer in those three losses. It won't get any easier this week as the Bills have to travel to Tampa to face the NFL defending Champion Bucs. Tampa Bay improved to 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS with their win last week at Atlanta, 30-17. It was the team's third straight win after having two losses in a row. Tampa Bay also has the league's third best overall offense and top rated passing attack. These are two very good offenses and I look for this game to fly OVER the total. |
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12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 42.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
Baltimore is 8-4 S/U and 5-7 ATS after losing on Sunday to the Pittsburgh Steelers, 19-20. That snapped a two game winning streak. The Ravens have also now gone under in three straight games. The Ravens defense is ranked 20th in the NFL overall, but 2nd vs the rush and 32 nd vs the pass. The offense is 4th overall, 2nd rushing and 13th passing. The Browns had last week off after losing to the Ravens back on Nov 28th, 10-16. The Browns offense is ranked 16th and while their rushing is ranked 3rd they had only 40 yards on the ground in their loss to the Ravens two weeks ago. Weather can also wreck havoc in Cleveland and right now it doesn't look too bad, but that can change quickly. I look for a repeat of their game two weeks ago, a low scoring affair. Take UNDER. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings UNDER 44.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Tonight, it's the Steelers at the Vikings in this Inter-Conference matchup. The injury report isn't good for the Vikings in this one as their star RB Dalvin Cook is questionable with a shoulder injury. At first it looked like a season ending injury, but turned out to just be dislocated. Still, without Cook this Vikings team is not the same. The Vikings have the dubious distinction of being the first team to lose to the Detroit Lions this year after last week's 27-29 setback at Detroit. That makes two straight losses for the Vikings. They will have to face a Steelers team that is playing with lots of confidence after coming from behind last week to beat Baltimore, 20-19. That improved the Steelers to 6-5-1 on the season. While the Steelers are still 3rd in the AFC North, they kept their playoff hopes alive. Minnesota will also be without their star wide receiver in Adam Thielen who has an ankle injury. Even with Cook playing tonight, they will still be missing a key cog tonight and I look for this game to go UNDER. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 41.5 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Looks like a typical late fall early winter night in Buffalo as the weather is going to be around freezing with rain that will turn to snow with very high winds that can be upwards of 30 mph. This will make for a very interesting night between the Pats and the Bills. The Patriots have been rolling too, winning six straight games. their defense has also been great, allowing 18 points or fewer in five of those games. They have also covered all six. The Bills have been hit and miss of late, going 2-2 S/U and ATS their last four games. The defense, with the exception of the 41 points allowed to Indianapolis two weeks ago has also been very good, allowing 17 or fewer in four of their last five games. Considering the weather, points will be at a premium tonight. I'll take the UNDER. |
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12-05-21 | Jaguars v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 7-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
 The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-9 on the season and tied for last in the NFC overall standings. While they won't be going to the postseason, they can make life rougher on the Rams chances here today. The Jags are 4-7 ATS and average 15.7 ppg while allowing 25.7 ppg. The Jags defense is ranked 19th overall in the NFL while their offense is 23rd. The Jags have lost three straight games. The Rams need to stop their free fall if they hope to make the playoffs. They have lost three straight games including last week at Green Bay, 28-36. They have also failed to cover their last five games. The Rams return home where they are 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. Neither team all that good defensively, despite the big name defensive players on the Rams. I expect the Rams offense to get back on track today and if we can get a few TD's out of the Jags we'll get the OVER. Play OVER. |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears UNDER 43 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have had some extra time off before today's game with their last coming on Thanksgiving Day in their win at Detroit in the last seconds, 16-14. The Bears are 4-7 on the season and out of the playoffs. But they can still put a bump in the Cardinals playoff run. Arizona QB Kyler Murray is questionable today with his ongoing ankle injury. With or without Murray, this game looks to be one that the weather could have an impact on. This will be the first time the Cardinals will have to deal with cold weather. There is a near 50% chance of rain and while it will be in the 40 degree range, the winds will be pushing 20 mph and that not only makes the wind chill much less but the rain that much colder. I believe the weather will play a factor here today, especially if Murray doesn't play for the Cardinals. Take the UNDER today in chilly Chicago. |
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12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions still looking for their first win of the season. They have had plenty of time off, last playing on Thanksgiving Day and losing to Chicago in the last seconds, 14-16. It's their third straight game decided by 3-points or fewer. Bad news is that they have scored 16 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Detroit has the 28th ranked defense and the 29th ranked offense. They face a Vikings team ranked 9th in offense and 30th in defense. The Vikings lost last week at San Francisco, 26-34 as a 4-point dog. The Vikings are 8th overall in the NFC. I don't expect the Lions to get many points here today. I'll take the UNDER and see if Detroit can keep it close. Play UNDER. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys look to get back on the winning track tonight as they play under the dome in New Orleans. The Cowboys have lost two straight games, including last week's OT home loss to the Raiders, 33-36. Despite the losing streak, Dallas still has the NFL's top overall offense, ranked 7th in rushing and 3rd in passing. They will face a New Orleans team that has had lots of issues on offense since QB Jameis Winston went down with an injury. The Saints are now 28th overall on offense. The good news is that they have a solid defense, that ranks 12th overall and 3rd against the rush. The Saints have lost four straight games, including last week at home to the Bills, 6-31. The offense had just 190 total yards in the loss. Four of the last five in this series at New Orleans has gone UNDER and I don't expect a lot of points out of the Saints tonight. They have very few big offensive weapons and little help with the few they do have. Take UNDER. |
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11-28-21 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 53 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay Bucs got off to a hot start, winning six of their first seven games. Since then they have lost back-to-back games to New Orleans and Washington before rebounding with a win at home last week over the Giants, 30-10. They have covered just three of their last eight games. Meanwhile, the Indianapolis Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL winning three straight games and now back in the playoff picture. They went into Buffalo last week as a 7-point dog and blew out the Bills, 41-15. Jonathon Taylor had five touchdowns in that win. The Bucs have gone over in 28 of their last 41 road games. They have also gone over in seven of the last 10 on fieldturf. The Colts have gone over in 11 of the last 12 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 4-0 in their last four as a dog. The teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings and that's what i look for today. Play OVER. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints UNDER 45.5 | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
Who would have expected the Indianapolis Colts to return to HC Frank Reich's old stomping grounds and put a hurting on the 1st place Hills? But they did. The Colts behind FIVE Jonathon Taylor TD's manhandled the Bills, 41-15. The Colts have four takeaways and no turnovers in the win. Now the Bills have to hit the road for a game at the Saints. Two of their last three games have not been good, beginning three weeks again in Jacksonville where they lost 6-9. Sure they rebounded an blew out the NY Jets, 45-17, but that's the Jets we are talking about. The Saints also got blown out last week, despite a mad fourth quarter rally against Philadelphia, 29-40. The Saints have the 10th ranked defense in the league, 3rd against the rush and 21st vs the pass. The Bills still have the leagues top defense, despite the blowout last week. The Bills are 8th vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. I look for this game to go under today with weather not playing any issue as it did last week in Buffalo. Play UNDER |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
The Raiders have been a team in disarray every since news broke about Jon Gruden and he was forced to resign. Since then they have lost WR Henry Ruggs and a starting defensive back - both to off field issues. And since then they are just 1-3, including last week's loss at home to Cincinnati, 13-32. The once top ranked offense now looks out of sorts and has not cracked 300 yards in the last two game (both at home). The Dallas Cowboys ran into a buzz saw last week in Kansas City and could only manage nine points in the loss, 9-19. The offense had just 276 total yards for a team that is ranked 1st in the NFL in offense. I don't expect the Raiders to get it together in this short week, but I do expect the Cowboys will. Take the UNDER as Vegas has all kinds of problems on offense. |
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11-21-21 | Cowboys v. Chiefs OVER 56 | 9-19 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
The marquee game of the day has two of the best offenses in the NFL facing off here today as the Dallas Cowboys face the Kansas City Chiefs. The Cowboys rebounded from the loss two weeks ago to Denver, 16-30, with a win last week over Atlanta, 43-3. Dallas is the league's TOP offense with 434 yards per game. They are also very balanced, 4th in rushing and 4th in passing. Kansas City has the league's 3rd ranked offense, 18th rushing and 3rd passing. The Chiefs had a couple of off weeks in regards to offense, but that was because of QB Patrick Mahomes hurting. They beat the Aaron Rodger less Packers two weeks ago, 13-7 and then rebounded with a more Chiefs like performance last week in Vegas, 41-14. The offense had over 500 yards. This one should pan out to be a back-and-forth battle of offenses and as such I'll take the OVER. |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks UNDER 47.5 | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizona has had to play without QB Kyler Murray for a few weeks now. They looked great in their first week without him and then terrible in the next. Right now Murray is listed as questionable with his ankle injury for today's contest. His backup, Colt McCoy is also questionable with a pectoral muscle issue. Arizona is 8-2 S/U and 7-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off that loss at Carolina last week, 10-34. That makes them 1-2 S/U and ATS the last three weeks. The Seahawks have QB Russell Wilson back, but that didn't help last week at Green Bay in which they got shutout, 0-17. The offense had just 208 total yards in the loss. Both offenses have had issues in recent weeks and even if Murray is back this week, he won't be as active as normal with his ankle likely still hurting. Play the UNDER. |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | 32-13 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati Bengals started the season 3-1 and then 5-2 to top the division. However, since then they are 0-2 S/U and ATS after losing to instate rival Cleveland last week, 16-41. The Bengals have the league's 14th ranked offense. Las Vegas Raiders also started the season strong at 3-0. Since then they are 2-4 and have to go through a lot of off-field issues that could have played part in their recent losses. They are coming off a home loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, 14-41. They allowed a season high 422 passing yards to the Chiefs. The Raiders still have the 8th ranked offense overall, 28th rushing and 2nd passing. This looks to be a game fill with passing yards and points. I'll take the OVER today. |
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11-21-21 | Ravens v. Bears UNDER 44 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
A few factors going on here in this game today from Solider Field in Chicago. The Baltimore Ravens could have a sick QB in Lamar Jackson. He's been battle some form of illness and then after participating in Wednesday and Thursday practices was pronounced ready to play. However, since then he's gotten worse and while he did make the trip with the team his status is up in the air. He's listed as probable, but I have to wonder if that will change before game time. Baltimore has the league's 2nd ranked offense thanks to Jackson and his contribution to a 2nd ranked rushing offense. The Bears have the league's 31st ranked offense, 5th rushing and last in passing. The other issue is the wind factor. Winds can be over 23 mph sustained here on Sunday and that will hurt passing attacks. With a ill Jackson and the wind, I am going to stick with the UNDER today. |
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11-21-21 | Lions v. Browns UNDER 43 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are still looking for that first win of the year at 0-8-1. They gave the Steelers all they could handle last week, but the teams came away with a 16-16 tie after no team scored in the OT. The offense wasn't good, at least passing where they got just 77 yards. The rushing game was excellent with 229 yards on the ground. The Lions have now gone under in six of their last seven games. The Cleveland Browns look to rebound from a poor performance last week at New England, 7-45. The offense was dismal with just 217 total yards. The weather has me concerned this week in Cleveland. There will be showers for most of the game with winds that could sustain up to 20 mph. Cleveland is notorious for bad weather games and I have to take this one under with the Lions involved. |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons OVER 47 | 25-0 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
The Patriots are hitting on both offensive and defensive cylinders of late. They won last week at home over Cleveland, 45-7 and the week before at Carolina, 24-6. The Patriots now have the league's 7th best defense overall and are tops in QB sacks this year (17). The Falcons had their worst offensive show of the season last week at Dallas in a 3-43 loss. They had just 214 total yards. The Patriots offense has been very balanced, with 140 or more yards rushing in each of the last four weeks and 211 or more yards passing in three of the four weeks. I look for the Patriots to control this game again and keep producing their high point totals. Take the OVER. |
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11-14-21 | Vikings v. Chargers OVER 53 | 27-20 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a OT loss last week at Baltimore, 31-34. The Vikings looked to have that game in control but let Lamar Jackson get the Ravens back into the game in the 2nd half. Good news for the Vikings, it was their 2nd time in the last three games that the offense scored more than 30 points. They had 500 yards of offense against the Ravens. That moved the offense to 10th overall in the NFL. The Chargers went to Philly last week and came away with the win, 27-24. QB Herbet had 356 yards passing in the win. The Chargers have the 9th ranked offense, 5th passing and 20th rushing. The Chargers should get plenty of points today against a Vikings defense ranked 27th.I look for this game to go OVER today. |
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11-14-21 | Falcons v. Cowboys OVER 54.5 | 3-43 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys have the best overall offense in the NFL, ranked 3rd rushing and 4th passing. Last week that offense didn't click in their loss to the Broncos, 16-30. The Cowboys were never in that game, down 0-30. My feeling is the offense had just 290 yards because of Dak Prescot. Dak missed the prior week with that injury and he just was off a bit last week, likely due to some rust. But I fully expect to see Dak and the rest of the offense back at in full this week. They face an Atlanta team that is ranked 18th overall in defense. The Falcons won at New Orleans last week, 27-25, going over the 43-point line. It was the team's fourth over in their last five games. Look for Dak and the Cowboys to be hitting on all cylinders today and take the OVER. |
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11-08-21 | Bears v. Steelers UNDER 39 | 27-29 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bears have lost three games in a row, both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at home to the 49ers, 22-33 as a 4.5-point dog. That was also the team's first over after six straight under games. The Bears offense ranks last in the NFL with only 264 yards per game. However, the rushing game is excellent, ranked 5th overall with an average of 137 yards per game. One huge problem for these Bears is that they allow the most sacks in the NFL (30). That is probably a good reason the passing game ranks last in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won three in a row. They are coming off a win last week at Cleveland, 15-10. The offense is not very good, ranked just 24th overall in the NFL. They have scored fewer than 20 points in four of their seven games. They are also 1-5-1 O/U on the season. The Bears have gone under in four of their last five road games. They are also 5-16 O/U in their last 21 road games vs a team with a winning home record. My play tonight is on the UNDER. |
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11-07-21 | Chargers v. Eagles OVER 49 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Chargers looking to rebound from back-to-back losses. They lost to the Ravens three weeks ago, 6-34, had a bye week and then lost last week to the Patriots, 24-27. They just did get over the 50.5 point total last week. The offense is 12th in the league, 7th in passing. They take on a Philly team that is 18th in offense, though 6th in rushing. Philly is coming off their best offensive outing last week at Detroit, scoring 44 points and 236 yards rushing. I look for that to continue here today against this Chargers' defense. Play the OVER. |
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11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens OVER 50 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a loss to the Dallas Cowboys, 16-20. This loss came despite the Cowboys playing without QB Dak Prescott who was on the sidelines with an injury. The Minnesota offense still ranks good though, 7th overall in the league. The defense does have issues, ranked 20th overall. The 78 yards allowed to the Cowboys on the ground were the fewest they have allowed this season. In fact, every other team they have played have rushed for least 100 yards. The Baltimore Ravens also coming off a loss two weeks ago at home to Cincinnati, 17-41. They had last week off to stew over that home loss. The Ravens are the third best offense in the NFL, 3rd rushing and 9th passing. The last four meetings between these teams have all gone over. For me, I see two very good offenses with one of having a week rest. I'll take the OVER in what could be a shootout. Play over. |
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11-07-21 | Browns v. Bengals OVER 47 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Bitter rivalry here today between these Ohio teams as the Bengals host the Browns. The Bengals have been the surprise team this year with some big wins. They also are scoring a lot, over 30-points in their last three games. The offense is ranked 14th overall, 11th in passing. They play a Cleveland team that is ranked 10th in offense, 1st in rushing. QB Baker Mayfield has had some injury issues with his non-throwing shoulder, but he got through a full week of practice with no issues. This looks to be a great offensive clash this week. Play over. |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts OVER 46 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The New York Jets coming off a 34-31 upset win last week over the 11.5-point favorite Cincinnati Bengals. The Jets are now 2-5 on the season. The Jets are still not one of the better offenses, ranked 19th in passing and 32nd in rushing and 30th in scoring offense. The Colts started the season 0-3 and then won three of their next four games before losing in OT to Tennessee last week, 31-34. That snapped a four game spread win streak for the Colts. The offense has been improving each week as they now rank 16th overall with the defense coming in at 12th. The Colts defense is 2nd in the league in forcing turnovers. Even though Jets QB White threw for over 400 yards last week. The Colts offense has been good of late, scoring 30 or more points in each of their last three games and 25 or more in each of the last five games. The Jets haven't give up fewer than 24 points since week one. They have gone over in four straight games. These teams have also gone over in seven of their last 10 meetings. I look for points to be scored in bunches tonight. Play the OVER. |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs OVER 52 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
The New York Giants hit the road today for this inter-conference clash at Kansas City. New York coming off it's best overall performance of the year in a 25-3 win over Carolina last week. Kansas City is coming off its worst performance yet in the Patrick Mahomes era, losing to Tennessee, 3-27. The Giants hope their 11-3 record vs the Chiefs will come into play again tonight as they are a double-digit dog in this one. The Giants started the season 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS. They have the 18th ranked offense and 20th ranked defense. The Chiefs have the 28th ranked defense and the third ranked offense. Patrick Mahomes was forced from last week's game with a head injury but will be starting tonight. The will be without RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire who is on IR with a knee injury. The Chiefs are 3-4 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. Yet, here they are laying 10.5 or even 11.5 points tonight. Yes, they have the ability to blow out the Giants. I'll just take the easy way out tonight and play the OVER. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots v. Chargers OVER 49.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
The Patriots head out West for their game with the LA Chargers here on Sunday. The Patriots coming of their best offensive game of the season, although it was against the Jets, in a 54-13 final. They improved to 3-4 S/U and and ATS on the season. The offense improved a few spots to 15th overall and the defense is 12th. The Chargers had last week off after their worst offensive performance the week before in a rod loss to the Ravens, 6-34. They could muster just 208 total yards of offense in that loss. The setback dropped them to 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The defense is ranked 19th overall while the offense dropped to 8th after that performance two weeks ago. The Patriots have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including last year's 45-0 win at LA. The Chargers running game has not been good as they have to rely on QB Justin Herbert most of the time. The Chargers should get back to their higher scoring ways today and with that I'll take the OVER. |
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10-31-21 | 49ers v. Bears UNDER 40 | 33-22 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
These are two teams that have had their share of offensive problems this year. The 49ers have scored more than 21 points just twice in their six games. They are 1-5 S/U and ATS. They do have the 6th ranked defense in the league this year. The Bears have the 11th ranked defense. Chicago is coming off a loss at Tampa Bay last week, 3-38. The Bears have scored just 17 points over their last two games. Chicago now has the NFL's worst offense, 7th rushing and 32nd passing. Two poor offenses and winds that can be up to 20 mph here on Sunday will look to a lower scoring game. Play UNDER. |
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10-31-21 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 43 | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Browns had to resort to backup QB Case Keenum last week as they just did get by Denver, 17-14. The Cleveland offense has just 31 points the last two weeks. It does look like Baker Mayfield will return this week, but how effective he will be is yet to be seen. Another issue will be weather with showers and winds that could gust over 20mph. I'm looking at this game under on Sunday. |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins v. Bills UNDER 48.5 | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Not the best football weather here on Sunday in Buffalo. They are expecting winds between 13 and 20 mph and some rain during the games. Buffalo already possesses the best defense in the NFL, 1st against the pass and 6th vs the rush. They should have little problems keeping this Miami offense down today. Take the UNDER. |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 42 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
There will be some key injuries on both sides of the ball here tonight, likely effecting the total as much as the side. The Saints will be without QB Taysom Hill, who will miss this game with a concussion. The Seahawks are once again without QB Russell Wilson who has that broken finger and has been put on IR. The are also without RB Chris Carson (neck), though RB Rashaad Penny looks to return tonight from the IR. The Saints had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. They are coming off a win at Washington, 33-22. The Saints are now 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Seattle offense is now ranked 22nd overall, 16th rushing and 21st passing. The Saints have the 28th ranked offense, 9th in rushing but 31st in passing. Both teams possess poor offenses and with Wilson out and Hill out, I expect less scoring opportunities. Play the UNDER. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 22-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
The post Jon Gruden era began on a positive note last week for the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders went to Denver and beat the Broncos, 34-24. They also did something they hadn't done all season under Gruden, scored a first quarter touchdown and a TD on their first drive of the game. The Raiders were also a +4 in the turnover game and sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times. Overall it was a very good day for Vegas. They will host the Philadelphia Eagles here today. The Eagles are coming off home loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs, 22-28, covering the 7-point dog line. They are now 2-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Las Vegas offense was ranked first in the NFL after three weeks, now has dropped to 10th overall, 30th in rushing and third in passing. Philadelphia is 20th in offense, 15th rushing and 22nd passing. Both teams possess excellent QB's and potent passing games. The defenses are mid-pack, nothing to brag much about. I like the way the Raiders have come out aggressive and finally scoring early. Look for both teams to get plenty of points here on Sunday. Play OVER. |
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10-24-21 | Panthers v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 3-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Carolina hits the road this week after playing the last two weeks at home. The Panthers are coming off a pair of home losses, 18-21 to Philadelphia and then last week to the Vikings, 28-34. The Panthers continue to struggle on offense without the services of RB Christian McCaffrey who is out again this week with hamstring issue. Carolina ranks 17th in offense, 18th in rushing and 15th in passing. The Giants are now 1-5 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have lost four straight games including last week at home to the Rams, 11-38. The Giants have been missing key elements of the offense. RB Saquon Barkely will miss his second straight game with a ankle injurey. They are also hurting at WR with Kenny Golladay out and John Ross and Darius Slayton both questionable. The Giants offense ranks 16th overall, 25th in rushing and 10th in passing. Carolina does boast a very good defense, ranked 2nd in the NFL, 16th vs rush and 2nd vs pass. With the Giants poor rushing offense they will have issues passing against this very good Panthers defense. Play the UNDER. |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns UNDER 41 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This AFC contest could come down to a battle of the backup QB's. Browns QB Mayfield is already ruled out for this game and Case Keenum is the starter. The Broncos QB Teddy Bridgewater has both a quad and foot injury and while he's not listed as out, it could be a tough game for him to play. The Broncos opened the season with three wins, but have now lost three straight after last week's loss to Las Vegas, 24-34. The Browns are also 3-3 on the season after last week's loss at home to Arizona, 14-34. The offense managed just 290 total yards in the loss and had trouble protecting their QB's with five sacks allowed. The Broncos have been a good under team with five of their last seven road games going under. This is thanks to their 4th ranked defense. The Browns also have a very good defense, ranked 3rd overall. And this game looks to be a battle between these top rated units. Turnovers likely also key here today. I'll take the UNDER with QB issues on both sides. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns UNDER 48.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the UNDER on what could be a windy day for passers. Play UNDER the Total. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 51 | 6-34 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Two of the best teams in the AFC meet here on Sunday has the Baltimore Orioles host the LA Chargers. The Chargers are 4-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a huge 4th quarter last week that catapulted them to a win over Cleveland, 47-42. The offense is now ranked 7th overall, 17th rushing and 3rd passing behind Herbert. Baltimore is 4-1 S/U and 2-3 vs the number. They lost their opening game of the season at Las Vegas in OT and have won every game since. They are coming off a 31-25 home win over the Colts last week. Baltimore has the NFL's top rated offense, 4th rushing and 5th passing. The defense isn't as good in year's past, ranked just 25th overall, 7th vs rush and 29th vs pass. These two top offenses should put up plenty of points today. Play the OVER. |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 49.5 | 38-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Rams are coming off a win at Seattle last week, 26-17. The team is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Rams rank 9th overall on offense, 23rd rushing and 2nd in passing. The defense was supposed to be the core of this team, however they are ranked just 23rd overall on the season. They are 19th vs the rush and 23rd vs the pass. The Giants are just 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Dallas last week, 20-44. The Giants have been once again hit by the injury bug. They include RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, WR Kadarius Jones and WF Sterling Shepard. Barkley and Golloday are both out for Sunday with the others all questionable. With so much offense on the sidelines or hurting, not sure how they will score against this Rams defense today. I'll just take the UNDER and hope they don't get blown out too badly. Play UNDER. |
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10-10-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 56.5 | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Both teams should get plenty of points in this one. Take the OVER. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders v. Chargers OVER 51.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders are 7-1 O/U in their last eight games overall. Two top 10 offenses here with both having middle of the pack defenses. I'll take the OVER. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers v. Cowboys UNDER 51.5 | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 S/U and ATS as they head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. They are also 0-3 O/U. The Panthers have the NFL's top defense right now. They are first both against the pass and the rush, allowing just 191 yard average per game. They are also third in the league in interceptions (13) and top in QB sacks (14). Dallas is 2-1 after their impressive win at home last week over the Eagles, 41-21. The Dallas defense is ranked 26th in the NFL. It's the offense that shines, ranked 5th overall. Carolina's offense ranks 10th. This game will be the Carolina defense against the Cowboys offense. I will take the UNDER in this one today. |
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10-03-21 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 42 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 0-3 as we enter week four action. They are coming off a close home loss to the Baltimore Ravens, 17-19. It took a NFL Record breaking field goal of 66 yards by Tucker to not only break the record but get the win for the Ravens as time ran out. Th Lions offense managed just 285 total yards. The Detroit offense ranks just 17th in the NFL (15th in both pass and rush. The Bears are 1-2 S/U and ATS after losing last week at home to Cleveland, 6-26. The Bears had a total of 47 yards, yes 47! The Bears started rookie QB Justin Fields who had a disastrous showing. The Bears defense was very good, sacking Baker Mayfield five times. Hard to believe, but the Bears netted just 1 passing yard last week after you take out the 67 yards in nine sacks. These are two pathetic offenses and I wouldn't bet either side. But I will take the UNDER today. |
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